Saturday 31 January 2026, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 24 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 6,461
St. Mirren Young sent off 63'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Goals
0
0
xG
1.04
0.78
Expected Points
1.58
1.06
St. Mirren 41%Draw 36%Dundee FC 23%
Most likely score 1–1, 21%. Final score 0–0, 12%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. MirrenDundee FC
1.04 −0.11xG0.78 −0.03
0.11 −0.79xG on target0.03 −0.77
10 −2.2Shots11 +1.7
2 −1.6Shots on target2 −0.9
2 +0.3Big chances1 0.0
24 −1Touches in the opposition box14 0
40% −5Possession60% +20
317 −35Passes483 +147
72% −1Pass accuracy84% +10
30% −17Field tilt70% +37
30 −9Final-third entries49 +19
11 −0.5Box entries11 +5.1
17.2 +1Passes per defensive action15.7 −6
5 −1.0Corners6 +2.9
14 0Tackles11 −3
4 −2.8Interceptions6 −2.1
32 +3Clearances27 −7
2 −1.2Saves2 −1.9
12 −0.4Fouls10 +0.5
0 −2.2Offsides1 −0.3
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
90 min (100%) · St. Mirren 1.04, Dundee FC 0.78 xG
Line-ups
St. Mirren substitutes
46'Richardson for Sobowale
46'Mandron for Etete
73'Campbell for Idowu
78'Nlundulu for Tanser
Dundee FC substitutes
73'Reilly for Congreve
73'Bevan for Yogane
83'Jones for Cotterill
Players
St. Mirren
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
George
GK
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
2
0
Fraser
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
3
8
King
CB
90
0.55
0.01
0
0.07
5
9
Freckleton
CB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.09
6
8
Sobowale
RWB
46
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
3
1
Gogic
CM
90
0.00
0.23
1
0.16
6
3
Phillips
CM
90
0.02
0.04
1
−0.07
0
3
Tanser
LWB
78
0.01
0.05
1
0.13
7
11
Idowu
RW
73
0.05
0.03
0
0.05
4
3
Etete
ST
46
0.00
0.02
1
−0.06
2
2
Young
LW
63
0.00
0.00
0
0.09
4
0
Richardson
MF
44
0.18
0.00
0
0.06
1
6
Mandron
FW
44
0.22
0.01
1
0.01
1
1
Campbell
MF
17
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Nlundulu
FW
12
0.00
0.10
1
0.19
4
0
Dundee FC
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
McCracken
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
0
Halliday
RB
90
0.03
0.04
1
0.07
9
5
Astley
CB
90
0.22
0.00
0
0.07
7
7
Graham
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.08
5
9
Wright
LB
90
0.05
0.02
1
0.08
8
7
Dhanda
CM
90
0.03
0.09
0
0.18
7
6
Hamilton
CM
90
0.05
0.04
0
0.05
5
2
Cotterill
CM
83
0.02
0.02
0
−0.01
2
5
Congreve
RW
73
0.29
0.36
4
0.08
5
1
Murray
ST
90
0.09
0.01
0
−0.01
0
1
Yogane
LW
73
0.00
0.01
3
0.04
8
2
Reilly
MF
17
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
5
0
Bevan
FW
17
0.00
0.01
0
0.01
3
0
Jones
MF
7
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
2
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Mirren
From
To
Passes
Freckleton
King
15
King
Freckleton
13
Fraser
King
12
King
Fraser
9
Phillips
Freckleton
8
Dundee FC
From
To
Passes
Astley
Halliday
19
Halliday
Dhanda
19
McCracken
Graham
18
Graham
Wright
14
Halliday
Congreve
14
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Mirren
Against its average of 22 matches
Dundee FC
Against its average of 23 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Mirren
Top six
<1%
<1%
0
11th
8%
10%
+2
Bottom
1%
1%
0
Dundee FC
Top six
<1%
<1%
0
11th
12%
11%
−1
Bottom
2%
1%
−1
From the forecast before the match (31 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Expected goals
1.61
0.94
Win
53%
21%
Expected Points
1.84
0.90
Clean sheet
39%
20%
St. Mirren 53%Draw 26%Dundee FC 21%
Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 49%.
From the forecast as it stood on 31 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Mirren win
Draw
Dundee FC win
St. Mirren
Top six
<1%
1%
<1%
<1%
11th
8%
5%
10%
15%
Bottom
1%
1%
1%
3%
Dundee FC
Top six
<1%
<1%
<1%
1%
11th
12%
15%
11%
5%
Bottom
2%
3%
1%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Position
10th
9th
Played
22
23
Won, drawn, lost
4–7–11
6–4–13
Points
19 (0.86 per game)
22 (0.96 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.21
0.85
Goals
17–31
19–37
xG per game
1.15–1.38
0.81–1.61
Home: points, xG per game
1.18, 1.11–1.03
1.45, 1.10–1.40
Away: points, xG per game
0.55, 1.18–1.73
0.50, 0.53–1.80
Manager
Stephen Robinson (93)
Steven Pressley (23)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Mirren
Dundee FC
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−28%
+2%
−48%
+18%
Counter-attacks
−51%
+86%
−65%
−18%
Set pieces
+24%
−22%
−22%
+20%
Penalties
−39%
−70%
−42%
+16%
Headers
+27%
+11%
−16%
+12%
Left side
−26%
+10%
−59%
+9%
Centre
−14%
+6%
−43%
+10%
Right side
−13%
−3%
−27%
+30%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
St. Mirren attacking
St. Mirren createdDundee FC concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−26%+30%Centre−14%+10%Right side−13%+9%Open play−28%+18%Counter-attacks−51%−18%Set pieces+24%+20%Headers+27%+12%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
St. MirrenDundee FC
1.15xG0.81
1.38xG against1.61
45%Possession40%
12.2Shots9.3
12.8Shots against15.9
3.6Shots on target2.9
1.7Big chances1.0
24.9Touches in the opposition box13.5
352Passes336
74%Pass accuracy74%
6.0Corners3.1
47%Field tilt33%
39.0Final-third entries29.6
11.5Box entries5.9
16.2Passes per defensive action21.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
St. Mirren
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
58
1.16
1.38
Ahead
13
0.89
1.62
Behind
18
1.27
1.22
Dundee FC
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
39
0.97
1.64
Ahead
18
0.75
1.91
Behind
33
0.65
1.40
xG by period
St. Mirren
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.13
0–0
16–30
0.17
0.20
4–3
31–45
0.18
0.31
2–6
46–60
0.15
0.20
2–6
61–75
0.19
0.29
4–5
76–90
0.29
0.27
5–11
Dundee FC
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.21
1–4
16–30
0.10
0.20
4–8
31–45
0.17
0.30
6–7
46–60
0.11
0.27
4–4
61–75
0.12
0.24
2–3
76–90
0.16
0.38
2–11
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.