Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

St. Mirren 2–0 Dundee United

Saturday 6 December 2025, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 16 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Nick Walsh · Attendance 6,518

St. Mirren McMenamin 17', Baccus 66'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenDundee United
Goals20
xG1.241.01
Expected Points1.521.16

St. Mirren 40%Draw 33%Dundee United 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 19%. Final score 2–0, 7%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%11%5%1%12%8%2%7%11%5%1%3%4%2%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTBaccus on for Taylor, 59'Richardson on for McMenamin and Nlundulu on for Mandron, 68'Mooney on for Ayunga and Tanser on for John, 82'Fatah on for Sevelj, 46'Trapanovski on for Strain and Dolcek on for Sapsford, 82'McMenamin 17'Baccus 66'St. Mirren 1.24Dundee United 1.0100.511.50153045607590HTBaccus on for Taylor, 59'Richardson on for McMenamin and Nlundulu on for Mandron, 68'Mooney on for Ayunga and Tanser on for John, 82'Fatah on for Sevelj, 46'Trapanovski on for Strain and Dolcek on for Sapsford, 82'McMenamin 17'Baccus 66'1.241.01St. MirrenDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenDundee United

1.24 +0.14xG1.01 −0.29
0.97 +0.06xG on target0.75 −0.82
13 +1Shots13 0
5 +1.6Shots on target3 −1.9
2 +0.5Big chances2 +0.1
24 +1Touches in the opposition box22 −1
39% −4Possession61% +18
337 +10Passes536 +218
67% −5Pass accuracy79% +8
46% 0Field tilt54% +15
45 +10Final-third entries49 +18
10 −1Box entries14 +2
19.7 +2Passes per defensive action24.1 +12
3 −3.1Corners2 −2.5
13 0Tackles10 −8
4 −2.9Interceptions9 −2.1
34 +3Clearances21 −15
3 −0.4Saves3 −0.6
14 +1Fouls5 −9
0 −2.1Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Richardson 90+2', 0.13 xGMandron 57', 0.12 xGMcMenamin 9', 0.06 xGTaylor 10', 0.06 xGPhillips 10', 0.05 xGPhillips 66', 0.05 xGJohn 25', 0.04 xGNlundulu 86', 0.04 xGMandron 14', 0.03 xGAyunga 73', 0.02 xGBaccus 89', 0.02 xGBaccus 66', 0.35 xG, goalMcMenamin 17', 0.27 xG, goal23%0.28 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.28 xG, 1 goal60%0.75 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.75 xG, 1 goal11%0.14 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Sapsford 36', 0.46 xGMöller 53', 0.12 xGFatah 71', 0.08 xGMöller 31', 0.05 xGMöller 37', 0.05 xGMöller 48', 0.05 xGSapsford 65', 0.04 xGFatah 79', 0.04 xGSapsford 81', 0.04 xGSibbald 72', 0.03 xGSevelj 30', 0.02 xGKeresztes 3', 0.01 xGFerry 51', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals76%0.76 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.76 xG, 0 goals7%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals16%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenDundee United

0.90 7 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.18 6 shots, 0 goals
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.51 2 shots, 0 goals
0.31 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.31 5 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
17 min (18%) · St. Mirren 0.47, Dundee United 0.01 xG
St. Mirren ahead
75 min (82%) · St. Mirren 0.77, Dundee United 0.99 xG

Line-ups

1225211088301324911GeorgeFraserKingFreckletonMcMenaminPhillipsTaylorGogicJohnMandronAyungaGoalYellow card68'59'82'68'82'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson25462325211411779RichardsIovuGrahamKeresztesStrainSeveljStephensonSibbaldFerryMöllerSapsfordYellow cardYellow card82'46'82'Dundee United 3-5-2Jim Goodwin

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 59' Baccus for Taylor · yellow card 61', goal 66'
  • 68' Richardson for McMenamin
  • 68' Nlundulu for Mandron
  • 82' Mooney for Ayunga
  • 82' Tanser for John

Dundee United substitutes

  • 46' Fatah for Sevelj
  • 82' Dolcek for Sapsford
  • 82' Trapanovski for Strain

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0440
FraserCB900.000.0200.0856
KingCB900.000.0110.06610
FreckletonCB900.000.1220.211414
McMenaminRWB6810.340.010−0.0312
PhillipsCM900.100.0800.0744
Taylor CM590.060.040−0.0211
GogicCM900.000.0200.2044
JohnLWB8210.040.1910.1723
MandronST680.150.0100.0032
AyungaST820.020.0100.0330
Baccus MF3110.360.2200.0114
RichardsonMF220.130.000−0.0201
NlunduluFW220.040.0920.0230
MooneyMF80.000.0300.0320
TanserMF80.000.000−0.0112

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RichardsGK900.000.0000.0221
IovuCB900.000.0110.06108
GrahamCB900.000.0100.1075
Keresztes CB900.010.0100.11139
StrainRWB820.000.1330.1065
SeveljCM460.020.0610.0831
StephensonCM900.000.0100.0122
SibbaldCM900.030.0610.1454
FerryLWB900.010.4210.55147
MöllerST900.270.021−0.0421
Sapsford ST820.550.0810.2030
FatahFW440.120.060−0.0511
DolcekFW80.000.0000.0610
TrapanovskiFW80.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

King and McMenamin: 4 passesGogic and Taylor: 4 passesPhillips and Taylor: 4 passesMandron and Ayunga: 4 passesGeorge and Mandron: 5 passesKing and Phillips: 5 passesFreckleton and Taylor: 5 passesFraser and McMenamin: 5 passesFraser and Taylor: 5 passesMcMenamin and Taylor: 5 passesKing and Fraser: 6 passesGogic and Phillips: 6 passesFreckleton and Mandron: 7 passesMcMenamin and Ayunga: 7 passesFreckleton and Gogic: 8 passesFreckleton and John: 10 passesKing and Freckleton: 11 passesGeorge: 8 completed passesKing: 18 completed passesFreckleton: 31 completed passesFraser: 14 completed passesMcMenamin: 17 completed passesJohn: 13 completed passesGogic: 18 completed passesPhillips: 14 completed passesTaylor: 14 completed passesMandron: 8 completed passesAyunga: 8 completed passes1521221024138830911GeorgeKingFreckletonFraserMcMenaminJohnGogicPhillipsTaylorMandronAyungaStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Strain and Stephenson: 4 passesStrain and Sapsford: 4 passesStrain and Möller: 4 passesFerry and Stephenson: 4 passesSevelj and Stephenson: 4 passesStephenson and Möller: 4 passesSapsford and Möller: 5 passesRichards and Graham: 6 passesGraham and Sibbald: 6 passesKeresztes and Stephenson: 7 passesStrain and Sevelj: 7 passesKeresztes and Sibbald: 8 passesFerry and Sibbald: 9 passesIovu and Strain: 12 passesKeresztes and Graham: 14 passesKeresztes and Ferry: 14 passesIovu and Graham: 14 passesIovu and Stephenson: 14 passesIovu and Sevelj: 17 passesGraham and Stephenson: 21 passesRichards: 8 completed passesKeresztes: 27 completed passesIovu: 36 completed passesGraham: 38 completed passesStrain: 20 completed passesFerry: 18 completed passesSevelj: 24 completed passesStephenson: 33 completed passesSibbald: 13 completed passesSapsford: 6 completed passesMöller: 10 completed passes25234621152114977RichardsKeresztesIovuGrahamStrainFerrySeveljStephensonSibbaldSapsfordMöllerStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
JohnFreckleton8
FreckletonGogic6
FreckletonMandron6
KingFreckleton6
FreckletonJohn5

Dundee United

FromToPasses
GrahamStephenson18
GrahamKeresztes17
KeresztesFerry17
IovuGraham14
IovuStrain13

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

2−2.65−2.611+4.65+0.26+0.17−0.99+3.114+7.38+2.82−3.05+1.15+2.11−3.04+0.33−0.82−1.23+0.15+3.15+2.31−1.63+1.02+0.32+0.44+1.10−1.00−0.60−1.10−0.12+1.610−7.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Dundee United

10+4.44−3.94−3.94−2.19+2.46−2.53−4.94−4.46−1.93−2.17+2.70−5.25−1.42−4.61−2.81−3.64+0.42−2.45+1.71−1.31−0.91+0.10−2.41−1.01+0.51+0.60−0.80−0.40−1.08−9.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.040.010.040.010.020.030.030.050.020.040.02−0.03−0.030.010.020.070.240.18LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.030.030.010.020.020.030.030.050.050.100.070.020.050.030.070.040.05−0.10−0.070.090.150.170.180.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.16 → 1.17Dundee United1.16 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43 → 1.42Dundee United1.54 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six9%13%+4
11th13%9%−4
Bottom7%4%−3
Dundee United
Top six18%13%−5
11th9%12%+3
Bottom4%6%+2

From the forecast before the match (6 December 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenDundee United
Expected goals1.561.11
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.681.06
Clean sheet33%21%

St. Mirren 47%Draw 26%Dundee United 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Dundee United goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%2%8%5%2%4%5%3%1%2%2%1%10%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 6 December 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawDundee United win
St. Mirren
Top six9%13%6%4%
11th13%9%14%17%
Bottom7%4%8%10%
Dundee United
Top six18%13%18%29%
11th9%12%8%5%
Bottom4%6%4%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. D3–33 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.83–2.08
  2. L1–329 NovDundee FC (A)xG 1.39–0.68
  3. L0–122 NovCeltic (H)xG 1.53–0.88
  4. L0–38 NovHibernian (H)xG 0.78–1.62
  5. D2–229 OctHearts (H)xG 1.01–1.57
  6. L1–325 OctDundee United (A)xG 2.28–2.21

Dundee United

  1. D2–23 DecRangers (H)xG 1.38–4.79
  2. D1–129 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 1.86–2.11
  3. L0–322 NovFalkirk (H)xG 0.74–1.78
  4. D1–19 NovHearts (A)xG 0.34–0.45
  5. L0–229 OctMotherwell (A)xG 0.48–1.08
  6. W3–125 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.21–2.28

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenDundee United
Position11th8th
Played1414
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠5–⁠73–⁠7–⁠4
Points11 (0.79 per game)16 (1.14 per game)
Expected Points per game1.131.08
Goals12–⁠2221–⁠23
xG per game1.10–⁠1.461.30–⁠1.81
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 0.98–⁠1.261.14, 1.53–⁠2.12
Away: points, xG per game0.71, 1.23–⁠1.661.14, 1.07–⁠1.49
ManagerStephen Robinson (85)Jim Goodwin (64)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackSt. Mirren1.16, 8thDundee United1.16, 8thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.43, 8thDundee United1.54, 10th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren attack: 1.16Dundee United attack: 1.161.161.16Dundee UnitedSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecSt. Mirren defence: 1.43Dundee United defence: 1.541.541.43

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−26%+8%−24%+41%
Counter-attacks−52%+100%+22%−16%
Set pieces+24%−12%+13%+22%
Penalties−61%−61%+17%+55%
Headers+16%+22%−4%+15%
Left side−23%+3%+19%+7%
Centre−14%+25%−21%+42%
Right side−10%+1%−5%+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdDundee United concededLeft side−23%+20%Centre−14%+42%Right side−10%+7%Open play−26%+41%Counter-attacks−52%−16%Set pieces+24%+22%Headers+16%+15%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+19%+1%Centre−21%+25%Right side−5%+3%Open play−24%+8%Counter-attacks+22%+100%Set pieces+13%−12%Headers−4%+22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenDundee United

1.10xG1.30
1.46xG against1.81
44%Possession43%
12.0Shots12.5
13.4Shots against16.7
3.4Shots on target4.9
1.5Big chances1.9
23.1Touches in the opposition box23.0
327Passes318
72%Pass accuracy71%
6.1Corners4.5
46%Field tilt39%
35.2Final-third entries31.5
10.8Box entries11.6
17.3Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level621.141.39
Ahead140.901.89
Behind141.111.38

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.391.74
Ahead180.972.58
Behind241.381.33

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.150–0
16–300.200.173–3
31–450.170.252–4
46–600.180.152–1
61–750.150.392–4
76–900.270.343–10

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.200.163–1
16–300.090.321–8
31–450.180.416–3
46–600.230.283–4
61–750.300.285–2
76–900.300.353–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 14Fraser 12King 5Gogic 12Freckleton 13Richards… 12RichardsonMcMena… 2McMenaminPhillips 14Baccus 11Donnelly 3McMena… 2McMenaminO'Hara 8Taylor 2Idowu 2John 13Tanser 1Ayunga 7Nlundulu 6Idowu 2Mandron 133-5-2 in 11 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (11), 5-3-2 (3)

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKucherenko 12Richards 2Iovu 12Camara 1Stephenson 1Esselink 13Graham 1Keresztes 13Stephenson 10Sevelj 1Strain 1Sevelj 12Camara 8Sibbald 7Pappoe 1Ferry 11Keresztes 1Dolcek 1Dolcek 7Fatah 3Camara 2Sapsford 10Möller 3Stirton 1Fatah 6Sapsford 4Dolcek 23-4-3 in 8 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (8), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 October 2025Dundee United3–1St. MirrenxG 2.21–2.28
10 May 2025Dundee United0–2St. MirrenxG 1.47–2.18
11 January 2025St. Mirren0–1Dundee UnitedxG 2.39–1.51
30 November 2024Dundee United2–0St. MirrenxG 3.22–0.35
5 October 2024St. Mirren0–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.07–0.97
18 March 2023Dundee United1–1St. MirrenxG 1.12–1.75

15 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 5, Dundee United won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 18–15 and xG 1.47–1.41 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Nlundulu6557200.330.03
Ayunga7688200.270.04
Mandron131,058220.190.11
John131,093120.020.23

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dolcek10777510.240.14
Sapsford141,146410.300.07
Möller4475020.210.10
Fatah9752220.180.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.