Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 1–1 St. Mirren

Tuesday 20 January 2026, 19:45 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 11 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Duncan Nicolson · Attendance 1,564

Livingston Muirhead 56'

St. Mirren Gogic 89'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Goals11
xG1.471.41
Expected Points1.401.30

Livingston 37%Draw 30%St. Mirren 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 1–1, 15%.

St. Mirren goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+4%7%5%2%7%10%4%5%9%3%2%5%3%1%1%15%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTLawal on for Montano and Pittman on for Arfield, 46'Zimmerman on for L. Smith, 76'Tamm on for Muirhead, 82'Kabongolo on for McLennan, 83'Nlundulu on for Richardson, 46'Young on for Mandron, Mooney on for Idowu, and Tanser on for McMenamin, 63'Sobowale on for John, 79'Muirhead 56'Gogic 89'Livingston 1.47St. Mirren 1.4100.511.520153045607590HTLawal on for Montano and Pittman on for Arfield, 46'Zimmerman on for L. Smith, 76'Tamm on for Muirhead, 82'Kabongolo on for McLennan, 83'Nlundulu on for Richardson, 46'Young on for Mandron, Mooney on for Idowu, and Tanser on for McMenamin, 63'Sobowale on for John, 79'Muirhead 56'Gogic 89'1.471.41LivingstonSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.47 +0.46xG1.41 +0.28
0.98 −0.03xG on target1.07 +0.17
11 +1Shots11 −1
4 +0.5Shots on target5 +1.5
1 −0.3Big chances3 +1.4
15 −5Touches in the opposition box24 −1
56% +10Possession44% −1
453 +78Passes361 +9
80% +6Pass accuracy71% −2
55% +12Field tilt46% −2
44 +9Final-third entries39 0
11 +2.1Box entries11 −0.6
12.0 −1Passes per defensive action11.2 −5
3 −1.8Corners4 −2.0
17 −1Tackles19 +6
8 −0.3Interceptions4 −3.0
25 −9Clearances29 0
4 +1.3Saves2 −1.2
12 −3Fouls14 +2
3 +1.6Offsides3 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Muirhead 45+3', 0.47 xGMcLennan 39', 0.20 xGMcGowan 70', 0.13 xGArfield 45+3', 0.11 xGL. Smith 45+3', 0.10 xGMuirhead 79', 0.07 xGMuirhead 16', 0.04 xGMcLennan 52', 0.04 xGLawal 90+4', 0.03 xGL. Smith 73', 0.01 xGMuirhead 56', 0.28 xG, goal39%0.57 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.57 xG, 0 goals49%0.72 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.72 xG, 1 goal8%0.12 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Mandron 43', 0.49 xGMcMenamin 44', 0.21 xGFreckleton 83', 0.10 xGYoung 88', 0.08 xGPhillips 1', 0.07 xGIdowu 53', 0.07 xGMooney 75', 0.07 xGMandron 30', 0.05 xGGogic 42', 0.03 xGIdowu 45', 0.02 xGGogic 89', 0.21 xG, goal50%0.70 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.70 xG, 1 goal43%0.60 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.60 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals6%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.20 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.04 8 shots, 0 goals
0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.21 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.36 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
64 min (66%) · Livingston 1.26, St. Mirren 0.94 xG
Livingston ahead
33 min (34%) · Livingston 0.21, St. Mirren 0.47 xG

Line-ups

2830195267251537119PriorBrenetFinlaysonMcGowanMontanoSusohoTaitL. SmithArfieldMcLennanMuirheadYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'76'46'83'82'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale12252128813102497GeorgeFraserKingFreckletonRichardsonPhillipsGogicMcMenaminJohnMandronIdowuYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal46'63'79'63'63'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Lawal for Montano
  • 46' Pittman for Arfield
  • 76' Zimmerman for L. Smith
  • 82' Tamm for Muirhead
  • 83' Kabongolo for McLennan

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Nlundulu for Richardson
  • 63' Mooney for Idowu
  • 63' Tanser for McMenamin · 1 assist
  • 63' Young for Mandron
  • 79' Sobowale for John

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0111
BrenetRB9010.000.1110.21105
FinlaysonCB900.000.0100.06712
McGowanCB900.130.0000.0448
MontanoLB460.000.2310.2675
Susoho DM900.000.0410.0437
Tait DM900.000.0100.0111
L. SmithRW760.110.2020.29101
ArfieldAM460.110.0100.0220
McLennan LW830.240.0200.0172
MuirheadST8210.860.0400.0321
LawalDF440.030.0200.0643
PittmanMF440.000.010−0.2210
ZimmermanFW140.000.0010.0000
TammFW80.000.0000.0001
KabongoloDF70.000.0000.0005

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0100.0341
Fraser CB900.000.0200.10511
King CB900.000.0100.0558
FreckletonCB900.100.0210.08108
RichardsonRWB460.000.0000.0123
Phillips CM900.070.0310.0345
GogicCM9010.240.0100.0219
McMenaminCM630.210.2610.1721
JohnLWB790.000.1010.0752
MandronST630.550.0810.0820
IdowuST630.090.0100.0661
NlunduluFW440.000.0000.0121
MooneyMF270.070.0000.0101
TanserMF2710.000.1410.0125
YoungFW270.080.0410.0930
SobowaleDF110.000.0710.1030

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Prior and Susoho: 4 passesBrenet and McGowan: 4 passesMontano and Susoho: 4 passesMontano and Muirhead: 4 passesTait and McLennan: 4 passesFinlayson and Susoho: 5 passesMontano and L. Smith: 5 passesL. Smith and Arfield: 5 passesL. Smith and Muirhead: 5 passesMcLennan and Muirhead: 5 passesMcGowan and Tait: 6 passesMontano and Tait: 7 passesMontano and Arfield: 8 passesBrenet and Susoho: 9 passesSusoho and L. Smith: 9 passesTait and Arfield: 9 passesBrenet and Finlayson: 10 passesBrenet and L. Smith: 10 passesMcGowan and Finlayson: 12 passesPrior and McGowan: 13 passesMcGowan and Montano: 13 passesPrior and Finlayson: 16 passesMontano and McLennan: 19 passesPrior: 24 completed passesBrenet: 21 completed passesMcGowan: 29 completed passesFinlayson: 31 completed passesMontano: 31 completed passesSusoho: 20 completed passesTait: 18 completed passesL. Smith: 16 completed passesArfield: 15 completed passesMcLennan: 16 completed passesMuirhead: 10 completed passes2830519267251537119PriorBrenetMcGowanFinlaysonMontanoSusohoTaitL. SmithArfieldMcLennanMuirheadStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

St. Mirren

Freckleton and Gogic: 3 passesFraser and Mandron: 3 passesRichardson and Gogic: 3 passesJohn and McMenamin: 3 passesJohn and Mandron: 3 passesJohn and Idowu: 3 passesGeorge and Fraser: 4 passesFraser and Richardson: 4 passesGeorge and King: 5 passesGeorge and Mandron: 5 passesFreckleton and Idowu: 5 passesFraser and Gogic: 5 passesMcMenamin and Idowu: 5 passesKing and Fraser: 7 passesFreckleton and McMenamin: 10 passesFreckleton and John: 11 passesKing and Freckleton: 13 passesGeorge: 13 completed passesKing: 17 completed passesFreckleton: 25 completed passesFraser: 19 completed passesRichardson: 5 completed passesJohn: 14 completed passesGogic: 8 completed passesPhillips: 6 completed passesMcMenamin: 12 completed passesMandron: 3 completed passesIdowu: 6 completed passes15212222413881097GeorgeKingFreckletonFraserRichardsonJohnGogicPhillipsMcMenaminMandronIdowuStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FinlaysonBrenet13
TaitMcGowan13
McGowanFinlayson12
PriorFinlayson12
MontanoMcLennan11

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FreckletonKing13
KingFreckleton11
JohnFreckleton10
FreckletonJohn9
KingFraser8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.59+1.84−3.25−0.58+0.780.04−3.05−3.39+0.97+2.34−1.04−0.24−1.85−1.31−3.02−2.53+0.41−2.93−1.35+2.620.00−1.54+2.14+1.11−0.41+0.60−0.81+0.42+0.810−7.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

St. Mirren

5+0.817+0.27+0.38+3.29+3.36−1.58+1.84−3.28+2.66+1.87+3.00−3.13−0.76+2.29+5.44+0.82−1.01−1.64+0.96+3.41−0.91−0.73+1.14+1.22+1.10−0.40−1.13+2.90−0.53−4.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.030.030.030.030.020.040.020.030.040.050.010.060.040.050.010.060.04−0.010.08−0.040.010.16LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.020.030.020.010.020.030.030.060.020.070.070.030.080.02−0.01−0.030.020.160.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.31AttackLivingston0.93 → 0.94St. Mirren1.11 → 1.11Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.75 → 1.73St. Mirren1.38 → 1.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
11th21%19%−2
Bottom72%75%+3
St. Mirren
Top six2%1%−1
11th11%12%+1
Bottom2%2%0
Kilmarnock
11th51%51%0
Bottom23%21%−2

From the forecast before the match (20 January 2026): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.161.34
Win32%40%
Expected Points1.231.49
Clean sheet26%31%

Livingston 32%Draw 28%St. Mirren 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

St. Mirren goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%7%3%1%9%9%4%1%6%7%5%2%2%3%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 January 2026: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Mirren win
Livingston
11th21%27%19%17%
Bottom72%61%75%80%
St. Mirren
Top six2%1%1%3%
11th11%15%12%6%
Bottom2%5%2%1%
Kilmarnock
11th51%41%51%59%
Bottom23%31%21%18%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D1–110 JanKilmarnock (H)xG 1.30–1.69
  2. L0–13 JanHearts (A)xG 0.54–2.23
  3. L1–330 DecDundee United (H)xG 0.45–3.25
  4. L2–427 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.09–3.83
  5. L0–120 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.24–2.23
  6. D2–213 DecDundee FC (H)xG 0.89–0.46

St. Mirren

  1. L0–214 JanHearts (A)xG 0.98–2.18
  2. L0–210 JanFalkirk (H)xG 0.54–0.52
  3. L0–23 JanMotherwell (A)xG 0.30–1.88
  4. L1–230 DecRangers (A)xG 1.71–1.89
  5. D0–027 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.36–0.75
  6. W1–020 DecLivingston (H)xG 2.23–0.24

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Position12th10th
Played2121
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠7–⁠134–⁠6–⁠11
Points10 (0.48 per game)18 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game0.861.20
Goals21–⁠4116–⁠30
xG per game1.01–⁠1.921.13–⁠1.38
Home: points, xG per game0.60, 1.19–⁠1.751.18, 1.11–⁠1.03
Away: points, xG per game0.36, 0.85–⁠2.080.50, 1.16–⁠1.76
ManagerDavid Martindale (158)Stephen Robinson (92)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.31AttackLivingston0.93, 12thSt. Mirren1.11, 9thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.75, 12thSt. Mirren1.38, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 0.93St. Mirren attack: 1.111.110.93St. MirrenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.75St. Mirren defence: 1.381.751.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−27%+31%−30%+1%
Counter-attacks−63%+17%−50%+89%
Set pieces−41%+37%+27%−19%
Penalties+56%+118%−38%−69%
Headers−41%+8%+17%+3%
Left side−39%+28%−26%+9%
Centre−37%+26%−14%+8%
Right side−27%+45%−12%−4%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−39%−4%Centre−37%+8%Right side−27%+9%Open play−27%+1%Counter-attacks−63%+89%Set pieces−41%−19%Headers−41%+3%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−26%+45%Centre−14%+26%Right side−12%+28%Open play−30%+31%Counter-attacks−50%+17%Set pieces+27%+37%Headers+17%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.01xG1.13
1.92xG against1.38
46%Possession45%
10.0Shots12.2
13.9Shots against12.9
3.5Shots on target3.5
1.3Big chances1.6
20.0Touches in the opposition box25.0
375Passes352
74%Pass accuracy74%
4.8Corners6.0
43%Field tilt47%
34.6Final-third entries39.2
8.9Box entries11.6
12.8Passes per defensive action16.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.871.98
Ahead81.262.76
Behind371.121.68

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level591.151.35
Ahead140.891.62
Behind181.261.28

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.352–6
16–300.150.244–5
31–450.220.344–6
46–600.100.380–7
61–750.220.254–5
76–900.230.367–12

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.140–0
16–300.180.204–3
31–450.150.282–6
46–600.150.192–5
61–750.200.294–5
76–900.280.274–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 21Finlayson 11Brenet 5Lawal 4McGowan 10Finlayson 7Sylla 2Wilson 18Blaney 3Kabongolo 2Montaño 9Montgomery 8Lawal 1Tait 12Pittman 10Sylla 10Susoho 9Smith 12McLennan 2Pittman 1Pittman 9Tait 4Sylla 3May 9Yengi 4Winter 3Bokila 8Yengi 7Muirhead 44-2-3-1 in 10 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (10), 4-3-3 (9), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTGeorge 21Fraser 19King 12Gogic 12Freckleton 20Richards… 14RichardsonMcMenamin 7Phillips 21Baccus 11Taylor 4Donnelly 4O'Hara 8Gogic 6Idowu 4John 20Tanser 1Ayunga 11Nlundulu 9Idowu 4Mandron 183-5-2 in 16 of 21 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (16), 5-3-2 (3), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 December 2025St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 2.23–0.24
17 February 2024Livingston1–0St. MirrenxG 0.97–2.07
25 November 2023St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 0.81–0.59
2 September 2023Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.45–0.67
1 April 2023St. Mirren3–0LivingstonxG 3.07–1.20
28 December 2022Livingston1–1St. MirrenxG 1.59–1.36

14 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 1, St. Mirren won 7, and 6 were drawn. Goals 7–15 and xG 0.91–1.11 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead6617110.450.20
Yengi111,054200.300.08
McLennan4460200.250.12
Bokila9819500.330.02

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
McMenamin10946110.200.28
Ayunga11953200.340.03
Nlundulu10932200.290.06
Mandron181,520420.220.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.