Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Livingston 0–1 Aberdeen

Sunday 30 November 2025, 15:00 · Home of the Set Fare Arena · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 3,584

Aberdeen Devlin 80'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonAberdeen
Goals01
xG0.990.76
Expected Points1.521.12

Livingston 39%Draw 36%Aberdeen 26%

Most likely score 0–0, 17%. Final score 0–1, 13%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+5%1%5%1%8%7%3%2%2%17%13%17%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTBrenet on for Lawal and Carey on for Smith, 73'Bokila on for May, 78'Muirhead on for Tait, 85'Nisbet on for Lazetic and Polvara on for Nilsen, 65'Keskinen on for Armstrong and Clarkson on for Aouchiche, 77'Milanovic on for Karlsson, 78'Devlin 80'Livingston 0.99Aberdeen 0.7600.511.50153045607590HTBrenet on for Lawal and Carey on for Smith, 73'Bokila on for May, 78'Muirhead on for Tait, 85'Nisbet on for Lazetic and Polvara on for Nilsen, 65'Keskinen on for Armstrong and Clarkson on for Aouchiche, 77'Milanovic on for Karlsson, 78'Devlin 80'0.990.76LivingstonAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonAberdeen

0.99 −0.16xG0.76 −0.45
0.54 −0.75xG on target0.96 +0.10
15 +6.0Shots14 +2.2
3 −0.7Shots on target4 +0.7
0 −1.5Big chances1 −0.7
29 +11Touches in the opposition box13 −7
56% +11Possession44% −2
420 +61Passes338 −60
80% +7Pass accuracy72% −6
67% +29Field tilt33% −12
47 +16Final-third entries42 +9
14 +6.2Box entries10 −0.1
11.3 −2Passes per defensive action12.6 −4
7 +2.8Corners4 −0.4
11 −8Tackles22 +6
13 +4.5Interceptions5 −1.5
26 −11Clearances54 +23
3 +0.5Saves3 +0.3
12 −3Fouls15 0
3 +1.7Offsides1 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Montano 12', 0.20 xGSusoho 38', 0.15 xGSmith 16', 0.10 xGSusoho 15', 0.09 xGWilson 14', 0.07 xGSusoho 38', 0.06 xGMay 53', 0.06 xGMay 31', 0.05 xGTait 48', 0.05 xGLawal 53', 0.05 xGYengi 61', 0.05 xGMay 9', 0.03 xGMay 31', 0.02 xGMontano 42', 0.02 xGSmith 72', 0.01 xG15%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals62%0.62 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.62 xG, 0 goals8%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals15%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Aouchiche 40', 0.08 xGKarlsson 39', 0.06 xGMilanovic 90+3', 0.06 xGKarlsson 23', 0.05 xGArmstrong 63', 0.05 xGArmstrong 76', 0.05 xGAouchiche 36', 0.04 xGKarlsson 71', 0.04 xGMilanovic 79', 0.04 xGKeskinen 90+4', 0.04 xGKarlsson 55', 0.03 xGLazetic 56', 0.03 xGLazetic 31', 0.02 xGDevlin 80', 0.17 xG, goal22%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 1 goal26%0.20 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals9%0.07 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals32%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals10%0.08 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonAberdeen

0.55 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.41 9 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.15 3 shots, 0 goals
0.44 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.20 2 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
80 min (85%) · Livingston 0.99, Aberdeen 0.66 xG
Aberdeen ahead
14 min (15%) · Livingston 0.00, Aberdeen 0.10 xG

Line-ups

28401927262571581739PriorLawalFinlaysonWilsonMontanoTaitSusohoSmithPittmanMayYengiYellow card73'85'73'78'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale1222538746161727MitovDevlinMilneKnoesterLobbanAouchicheShinnieNilsenArmstrongKarlssonLazeticGoalYellow card77'65'77'78'65'Aberdeen 3-4-2-1Jimmy Thelin

Livingston substitutes

  • 73' Brenet for Lawal
  • 73' Carey for Smith
  • 78' Bokila for May
  • 85' Muirhead for Tait

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 65' Polvara for Nilsen
  • 65' Nisbet for Lazetic
  • 77' Clarkson for Aouchiche
  • 77' Keskinen for Armstrong · 1 assist
  • 78' Milanovic for Karlsson

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
PriorGK900.000.0000.0451
LawalRB730.050.0910.2183
FinlaysonCB900.000.0400.10611
WilsonCB900.070.0200.1236
MontanoLB900.210.0410.0478
Tait DM850.050.030−0.0124
SusohoDM900.300.0800.1277
SmithRW730.110.0320.1222
PittmanAM900.000.0210.0514
MayLW780.150.2420.0033
YengiST900.050.073−0.0121
BrenetDF170.000.0000.0413
CareyMF170.000.0100.0231
BokilaFW120.000.0000.0000
MuirheadFW50.000.0200.0010

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0112
DevlinCB9010.170.0100.06510
MilneCB900.000.0100.02214
KnoesterCB900.000.0000.05314
LobbanRWB900.000.1020.1778
AouchicheCM770.120.0930.1385
Shinnie CM900.000.0310.05711
NilsenLWB650.000.0100.0114
ArmstrongAM770.110.0710.0534
KarlssonAM780.180.0100.0243
LazeticST650.050.0110.0312
PolvaraMF250.000.0110.0224
NisbetFW250.000.000−0.0102
ClarksonMF130.000.0710.0911
KeskinenFW1310.040.1410.1920
MilanovicMF120.100.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Prior and Lawal: 5 passesPrior and Wilson: 5 passesLawal and Wilson: 5 passesLawal and Susoho: 5 passesWilson and Tait: 5 passesSusoho and Pittman: 5 passesSusoho and Yengi: 5 passesSmith and Yengi: 5 passesPittman and Yengi: 5 passesMay and Yengi: 5 passesMontano and Susoho: 7 passesFinlayson and Tait: 8 passesSusoho and May: 8 passesPrior and Finlayson: 9 passesWilson and Susoho: 9 passesWilson and May: 9 passesFinlayson and Susoho: 9 passesSusoho and Tait: 9 passesLawal and May: 10 passesTait and Smith: 10 passesWilson and Montano: 12 passesMontano and May: 12 passesLawal and Smith: 17 passesLawal and Finlayson: 21 passesWilson and Finlayson: 21 passesLawal and Tait: 26 passesPrior: 17 completed passesLawal: 51 completed passesWilson: 35 completed passesFinlayson: 40 completed passesMontano: 23 completed passesSusoho: 40 completed passesTait: 38 completed passesSmith: 17 completed passesPittman: 13 completed passesMay: 23 completed passesYengi: 12 completed passes28402719267251581739PriorLawalWilsonFinlaysonMontanoSusohoTaitSmithPittmanMayYengiStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Aberdeen

Shinnie and Karlsson: 4 passesNilsen and Armstrong: 4 passesDevlin and Karlsson: 5 passesLobban and Armstrong: 5 passesMitov and Milne: 6 passesMilne and Nilsen: 6 passesAouchiche and Armstrong: 6 passesMitov and Knoester: 7 passesKnoester and Armstrong: 7 passesMilne and Devlin: 7 passesMilne and Aouchiche: 7 passesLobban and Aouchiche: 7 passesShinnie and Aouchiche: 7 passesShinnie and Nilsen: 7 passesAouchiche and Nilsen: 7 passesAouchiche and Karlsson: 8 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 9 passesDevlin and Aouchiche: 9 passesKnoester and Milne: 11 passesShinnie and Armstrong: 12 passesMitov: 15 completed passesKnoester: 19 completed passesMilne: 24 completed passesDevlin: 20 completed passesLobban: 12 completed passesShinnie: 26 completed passesAouchiche: 25 completed passesNilsen: 23 completed passesKarlsson: 10 completed passesArmstrong: 22 completed passesLazetic: 2 completed passes1522238476171627MitovKnoesterMilneDevlinLobbanShinnieAouchicheNilsenKarlssonArmstrongLazeticStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
FinlaysonLawal15
LawalTait14
LawalSmith13
TaitLawal12
WilsonFinlayson12

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
ArmstrongShinnie8
MilneDevlin8
ShinnieAouchiche8
AouchicheKarlsson8
ShinnieKnoester7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−2.23−4.86−2.15−0.95−2.610+1.89+1.48−1.29+0.56+1.34−0.75+1.84−2.53−0.57+2.59+6.52−2.34−0.43+0.52+0.32+0.53+1.14+1.42+0.90−0.30−0.80−0.42+0.512−5.51−5.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Aberdeen

9+4.213+6.822+8.116+7.813+8.46−1.713+5.910+5.210−0.26−1.75−0.85+1.83−1.77+1.17−1.12−0.96+2.73+0.14+0.52−3.43+0.60−1.11+0.14+2.63+0.50−0.20−0.20−0.60−0.61+0.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.020.010.010.010.030.020.030.050.040.020.050.040.100.010.040.070.020.100.03−0.060.02−0.020.23LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.030.010.010.060.010.040.030.030.090.010.12−0.010.010.030.14−0.01−0.020.040.21LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackLivingston1.05 → 1.04Aberdeen1.20 → 1.20Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.66 → 1.63Aberdeen1.41 → 1.39

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six2%1%−1
11th24%25%+1
Bottom34%42%+8
Aberdeen
Top six30%39%+9
11th5%3%−2
Bottom2%1%−1
Dundee FC
11th27%30%+3
Bottom37%33%−4
Falkirk
Top six52%49%−3
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (30 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonAberdeen
Expected goals1.291.32
Win36%37%
Expected Points1.341.38
Clean sheet27%27%

Livingston 36%Draw 28%Aberdeen 37%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Aberdeen goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%3%9%8%4%1%6%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 30 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawAberdeen win
Livingston
Top six2%3%1%1%
11th24%21%25%25%
Bottom34%25%34%42%
Aberdeen
Top six30%21%28%39%
11th5%7%5%3%
Bottom2%3%2%1%
Dundee FC
11th27%25%26%30%
Bottom37%41%37%33%
Falkirk
Top six52%53%53%49%
Bottom1%2%1%1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–222 NovRangers (A)xG 1.37–1.39
  2. D1–18 NovFalkirk (A)xG 0.62–1.82
  3. D2–21 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.87–0.76
  4. L1–225 OctMotherwell (H)xG 2.45–2.16
  5. L0–418 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.43–2.80
  6. D1–14 OctDundee United (A)xG 1.29–2.14

Aberdeen

  1. W1–023 NovHearts (H)xG 0.56–2.30
  2. D1–19 NovMotherwell (H)xG 0.80–0.68
  3. W1–029 OctKilmarnock (A)xG 0.55–1.36
  4. L1–226 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.24–3.20
  5. W1–018 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.05–0.48
  6. W4–05 OctDundee FC (H)xG 2.80–0.31

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonAberdeen
Position12th8th
Played1312
Won, drawn, lost1–⁠5–⁠74–⁠2–⁠6
Points8 (0.62 per game)14 (1.17 per game)
Expected Points per game0.991.30
Goals15–⁠259–⁠12
xG per game1.15–⁠1.811.21–⁠1.31
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 1.43–⁠1.501.14, 1.16–⁠1.35
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.98–⁠2.011.20, 1.27–⁠1.25
ManagerDavid Martindale (150)Jimmy Thelin (50)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackLivingston1.05, 11thAberdeen1.20, 6thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.66, 11thAberdeen1.41, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovLivingston attack: 1.05Aberdeen attack: 1.201.201.05AberdeenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovLivingston defence: 1.66Aberdeen defence: 1.411.661.41

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%+41%−13%−16%
Counter-attacks−55%−33%+47%+36%
Set pieces−45%+16%−16%+24%
Penalties+108%+108%−55%−55%
Headers−34%average−40%+12%
Left side−40%+57%+18%−5%
Centre−30%+1%−16%average
Right side−21%+45%−8%+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdAberdeen concededLeft side−40%+15%Centre−30%averageRight side−21%−5%Open play−16%−16%Counter-attacks−55%+36%Set pieces−45%+24%Headers−34%+12%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdLivingston concededLeft side+18%+45%Centre−16%+1%Right side−8%+57%Open play−13%+41%Counter-attacks+47%−33%Set pieces−16%+16%Headers−40%average

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonAberdeen

1.15xG1.21
1.81xG against1.31
45%Possession46%
9.0Shots11.8
13.6Shots against12.9
3.7Shots on target3.3
1.5Big chances1.7
18.2Touches in the opposition box19.9
359Passes398
73%Pass accuracy77%
4.2Corners4.4
38%Field tilt45%
30.5Final-third entries32.6
7.8Box entries10.1
13.2Passes per defensive action16.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.882.02
Ahead111.471.41
Behind321.441.65

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.250.92
Ahead160.901.48
Behind221.332.12

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.060.160–3
16–300.190.244–2
31–450.220.303–3
46–600.120.450–6
61–750.260.213–3
76–900.300.455–8

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.110–1
16–300.180.173–1
31–450.280.132–2
46–600.140.360–1
61–750.190.212–4
76–900.270.322–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTPrior 13Finlayson 8Brenet 3Lawal 1McGowan 5Finlayson 4Sylla 2Wilson 12Blaney 3Montgomery 8Montano 3Lawal 1Pittman 7Susoho 4Sylla 8Tait 6Carey 1Smith 8Pittman 1May 1Pittman 4Tait 3Susoho 2Yengi 4Winter 3May 2Bokila 6Muirhead 4May 24-2-3-1 in 6 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (6), 4-3-3 (5), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 12Jensen 6Devlin 5Lobban 1Milne 10Dorrington 2Devlin 1Knoester 11Gyamfi 5Jensen 2Shinnie 2Armstrong 4Nilsen 4Polvara 3Shinnie 6Palaversa 3Clarkson 2Milanovic 4Devlin 2Aouchiche 2Aouchiche 5Polvara 2Jensen 2Karlsson 8Keskinen 3Armstrong 1Nisbet 6Lazetic 3Yengi 34-2-3-1 in 5 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 September 2025Aberdeen0–0LivingstonxG 1.22–0.56
15 May 2024Aberdeen5–1LivingstonxG 1.77–1.65
6 April 2024Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.76–0.92
20 December 2023Aberdeen2–1LivingstonxG 1.00–1.53
5 August 2023Livingston0–0AberdeenxG 0.76–0.70
25 February 2023Aberdeen1–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.43

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 4, Aberdeen won 8, and 4 were drawn. Goals 13–24 and xG 1.00–1.54 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Muirhead6521110.470.19
Yengi5521100.480.07
Bokila6515400.440.01
May7616020.140.18

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Karlsson8665300.320.17
Armstrong7582110.230.15
Polvara5496000.210.08
Aouchiche8669100.220.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.