Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Dundee United 2–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 17 May 2025, 12:30 · CalForth Construction Arena at Tannadice Park · Round 38 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 11,490

Dundee United Gallagher 56', Dalby 63' (pen)

Aberdeen Okkels 15'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Goals21
xG1.931.70
Non-penalty xG1.141.70
Expected Points1.541.19

Dundee United 42%Draw 27%Aberdeen 31%

Most likely score 2–2, 11%. Final score 2–1, 11%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+1%2%2%1%4%5%2%5%5%2%3%6%6%3%1%2%2%1%11%9%11%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTPaton on for Trapanovski and Moult on for Babunski, 54'Campbell on for Middleton, 88'Keskinen on for Gueye and Polvara on for Okkels, 63'Morris on for Palaversa, 67'Dabbagh on for Nisbet and Ambrose on for McGrath, 75'Gallagher 56'Dalby 63' (pen)Okkels 15'Dundee United 1.93Aberdeen 1.7001230153045607590HTPaton on for Trapanovski and Moult on for Babunski, 54'Campbell on for Middleton, 88'Keskinen on for Gueye and Polvara on for Okkels, 63'Morris on for Palaversa, 67'Dabbagh on for Nisbet and Ambrose on for McGrath, 75'Gallagher 56'Dalby 63' (pen)Okkels 15'1.931.70Dundee UnitedAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

1.93 +0.65xG1.70 +0.49
1.14Non-penalty xG1.70
2.27 +0.88xG on target1.16 −0.07
16 +5Shots20 +8
6 +2.1Shots on target4 +0.2
3 +1.0Big chances2 +0.3
23 0Touches in the opposition box32 +7
35% −9Possession65% +12
223 −100Passes425 −5
70% +2Pass accuracy83% +5
31% −9Field tilt69% +16
33 +3Final-third entries39 +1
8 −1.8Box entries12 −1.1
21.4 +6Passes per defensive action9.5 −4
8 +3.8Corners13 +7.1
19 +1Tackles16 −1
7 −0.6Interceptions3 −3.6
52 +11Clearances46 +15
4 +1.0Saves4 +1.1
7 −4Fouls12 +1
0 −1.3Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Moult 64', 0.23 xGBabunski 35', 0.12 xGTrapanovski 46', 0.10 xGTrapanovski 35', 0.08 xGTrapanovski 18', 0.06 xGCleall-Harding 40', 0.05 xGMoult 55', 0.05 xGMiddleton 78', 0.05 xGPaton 84', 0.05 xGMiddleton 29', 0.04 xGMiddleton 41', 0.04 xGBabunski 45+1', 0.04 xGDocherty 76', 0.04 xGDalby 44', 0.03 xGGallagher 56', 0.18 xG, goal29%0.33 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.33 xG, 1 goal48%0.55 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.55 xG, 0 goals16%0.18 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Knoester 9', 0.22 xGGueye 9', 0.20 xGTobers 83', 0.19 xGDabbagh 90+1', 0.08 xGGueye 49', 0.07 xGKeskinen 66', 0.07 xGMcGrath 51', 0.06 xGNisbet 52', 0.05 xGMcGrath 72', 0.05 xGDabbagh 83', 0.05 xGPolvara 71', 0.04 xGMcGrath 9', 0.03 xGClarkson 9', 0.03 xGClarkson 32', 0.03 xGAmbrose 89', 0.03 xGGueye 8', 0.02 xGNisbet 68', 0.02 xGGueye 30', 0.01 xGClarkson 80', 0.01 xGOkkels 15', 0.42 xG, goal61%1.03 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.03 xG, 1 goal18%0.30 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.30 xG, 0 goals4%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals16%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals2%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

0.60 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.74 9 shots, 1 goal
0.14 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.40 6 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.96 11 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
22 min (23%) · Dundee United 0.79, Aberdeen 0.93 xG
Dundee United ahead
31 min (33%) · Dundee United 0.37, Aberdeen 0.55 xG
Aberdeen ahead
42 min (44%) · Dundee United 0.77, Aberdeen 0.23 xG

Line-ups

2537315223101171915RichardsCleall-HardingGallagherSeveljStrainDochertyBabunskiFerryTrapanovskiDalbyMiddletonGoalYellow cardGoal54'54'88'Dundee United 3-4-3Jim Goodwin12824541810167914MitovJensenTobersKnoesterShinniePalaversaClarksonOkkelsMcGrathNisbetGueyeYellow cardGoalYellow card67'63'75'75'63'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jimmy Thelin

Dundee United substitutes

  • 54' Moult for Babunski
  • 54' Paton for Trapanovski
  • 88' Campbell for Middleton

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 63' Polvara for Okkels
  • 63' Keskinen for Gueye
  • 67' Morris for Palaversa
  • 75' Dabbagh for Nisbet
  • 75' Ambrose for McGrath

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RichardsGK900.000.0000.0232
Cleall-HardingCB900.050.0000.02314
GallagherCB9010.180.0100.06419
SeveljCB900.000.1020.15613
StrainRWB900.000.1510.1047
DochertyCM900.040.0100.0127
BabunskiCM540.160.011−0.0100
Ferry LWB900.000.1320.2466
TrapanovskiRW540.230.0000.0442
DalbyST9010.820.0710.06310
MiddletonLW8810.130.3620.0522
MoultFW360.280.0100.1503
PatonFW360.050.0000.0211
CampbellMF20.000.000––0

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0102
JensenRB9010.000.7820.2367
Tobers CB900.190.0000.04214
KnoesterCB900.220.0110.07718
ShinnieLB900.000.3510.2937
PalaversaDM670.000.0100.0142
ClarksonDM900.070.6860.1184
OkkelsRW6310.420.0200.1135
McGrathAM750.150.021−0.0211
NisbetLW750.070.142−0.0102
Gueye ST630.310.0000.1421
PolvaraMF270.040.2110.2262
KeskinenFW270.070.0200.0112
MorrisFW230.000.0300.0320
DabbaghFW150.130.0100.0100
AmbroseFW150.030.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Richards and Cleall-Harding: 3 passesGallagher and Docherty: 3 passesGallagher and Middleton: 3 passesFerry and Trapanovski: 3 passesDocherty and Middleton: 3 passesFerry and Middleton: 4 passesSevelj and Dalby: 4 passesMiddleton and Dalby: 4 passesStrain and Cleall-Harding: 5 passesFerry and Docherty: 5 passesFerry and Babunski: 5 passesSevelj and Babunski: 5 passesStrain and Gallagher: 6 passesCleall-Harding and Docherty: 6 passesFerry and Sevelj: 6 passesStrain and Middleton: 7 passesGallagher and Cleall-Harding: 7 passesStrain and Docherty: 8 passesGallagher and Ferry: 10 passesRichards: 7 completed passesStrain: 19 completed passesGallagher: 17 completed passesCleall-Harding: 16 completed passesFerry: 22 completed passesSevelj: 12 completed passesDocherty: 12 completed passesTrapanovski: 4 completed passesBabunski: 9 completed passesMiddleton: 11 completed passesDalby: 6 completed passes2523137115237101519RichardsStrainGallagherCleall-HardingFerrySeveljDochertyTrapanovskiBabunskiMiddletonDalbyStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Jensen and Gueye: 4 passesKnoester and Palaversa: 4 passesPalaversa and Gueye: 4 passesClarkson and McGrath: 4 passesKnoester and Okkels: 5 passesPalaversa and McGrath: 5 passesPalaversa and Okkels: 5 passesMcGrath and Nisbet: 5 passesShinnie and Nisbet: 6 passesClarkson and Gueye: 6 passesJensen and Clarkson: 8 passesJensen and McGrath: 8 passesTobers and McGrath: 8 passesClarkson and Okkels: 8 passesJensen and Tobers: 9 passesKnoester and Shinnie: 9 passesShinnie and Okkels: 9 passesMitov and Knoester: 10 passesTobers and Clarkson: 10 passesKnoester and Clarkson: 11 passesTobers and Knoester: 13 passesShinnie and Clarkson: 15 passesPalaversa and Clarkson: 15 passesJensen and Palaversa: 16 passesTobers and Palaversa: 16 passesMitov and Tobers: 19 passesMitov: 21 completed passesJensen: 30 completed passesTobers: 40 completed passesKnoester: 28 completed passesShinnie: 24 completed passesPalaversa: 34 completed passesClarkson: 40 completed passesMcGrath: 17 completed passesGueye: 6 completed passesOkkels: 10 completed passesNisbet: 12 completed passes12824541810714169MitovJensenTobersKnoesterShinniePalaversaClarksonMcGrathGueyeOkkelsNisbetStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerryGallagher7
DochertyFerry6
Cleall-HardingDocherty5
DochertyStrain4
FerrySevelj4

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MitovTobers16
ClarksonShinnie11
KnoesterClarkson11
MitovKnoester11
ShinnieKnoester10

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

50.09+0.829+9.57−2.78+1.63−3.54−3.89+1.97−2.07−0.57+1.65+0.43−0.54−1.53−2.71−2.40−3.04+1.92−0.63−0.22−0.24+2.90−1.32+0.71−0.910.00−0.30−0.70−0.50−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Aberdeen

2−2.96+0.123+6.34−3.49+3.55−1.65−0.95−0.59+1.511+3.75−0.52−1.81−2.53−2.73−2.73−0.83−0.12−0.63−0.43−1.32+0.22+0.53+1.51−0.61−2.40−0.80−0.21+0.60−0.31+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.020.010.010.040.030.010.010.010.050.030.120.020.030.010.090.010.010.020.150.25LessMore

Aberdeen

0.020.020.010.020.030.030.050.030.030.030.030.060.020.020.020.09−0.010.05−0.02−0.040.020.240.260.22LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee United1.13 → 1.16Aberdeen1.19 → 1.19Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.48 → 1.46Aberdeen1.48 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Expected goals1.461.15
Win44%29%
Expected Points1.581.15
Clean sheet32%23%

Dundee United 44%Draw 27%Aberdeen 29%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%3%1%1%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–314 MayRangers (A)xG 0.78–1.69
  2. L0–210 MaySt. Mirren (H)xG 1.47–2.18
  3. L1–33 MayHibernian (A)xG 1.35–1.73
  4. L0–526 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.44–3.06
  5. W1–012 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.17–0.95
  6. W1–06 AprHearts (A)xG 0.82–1.21

Aberdeen

  1. L1–514 MayCeltic (H)xG 1.07–3.68
  2. L0–411 MayRangers (A)xG 0.57–2.60
  3. L0–13 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 0.47–1.22
  4. W1–026 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.83–0.93
  5. D2–213 AprRangers (H)xG 2.44–1.18
  6. W1–05 AprRoss County (A)xG 1.47–1.19

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
Position5th4th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠8–⁠1515–⁠8–⁠14
Points50 (1.35 per game)53 (1.43 per game)
Expected Points per game1.211.14
Goals43–⁠5347–⁠59
xG per game1.28–⁠1.481.21–⁠1.63
Home: points, xG per game1.33, 1.33–⁠1.381.79, 1.49–⁠1.37
Away: points, xG per game1.37, 1.22–⁠1.581.06, 0.90–⁠1.90
ManagerJim Goodwin (49)Jimmy Thelin (37)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackDundee United1.13, 9thAberdeen1.19, 8thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.48, 8thAberdeen1.48, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee United attack: 1.13Aberdeen attack: 1.191.191.13AberdeenDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayDundee United defence: 1.48Aberdeen defence: 1.481.481.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−19%+4%−2%+21%
Counter-attacks−7%+5%−22%−12%
Set pieces+9%−3%−20%+25%
Penalties−3%+35%−81%−23%
Headers+35%+19%−14%+23%
Left side−20%−2%−1%+14%
Centre+7%−1%−12%+22%
Right side−37%+14%−11%+17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdAberdeen concededLeft side−20%+17%Centre+7%+22%Right side−37%+14%Open play−19%+21%Counter-attacks−7%−12%Set pieces+9%+25%Headers+35%+23%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee United concededLeft side−1%+14%Centre−12%−1%Right side−11%−2%Open play−2%+4%Counter-attacks−22%+5%Set pieces−20%−3%Headers−14%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedAberdeen

1.28xG1.21
1.48xG against1.63
44%Possession53%
11.2Shots11.8
14.7Shots against13.9
3.9Shots on target3.8
2.0Big chances1.7
22.8Touches in the opposition box24.8
323Passes430
69%Pass accuracy78%
4.2Corners5.9
40%Field tilt52%
29.6Final-third entries38.2
9.8Box entries13.1
15.3Passes per defensive action13.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.231.28
Ahead161.341.80
Behind221.341.71

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.061.45
Ahead201.311.77
Behind231.421.90

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.153–4
16–300.190.237–10
31–450.180.275–10
46–600.190.168–5
61–750.170.295–12
76–900.410.4015–12

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.184–3
16–300.190.234–11
31–450.190.2910–12
46–600.190.209–10
61–750.190.286–7
76–900.290.4714–16

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWWalton 36Richards 1Adegboyega 28Strain 10Cleall-Harding 3Gallagher 33Sevelj 4Holt 19Graham 13Strain 14Stephenson 9Fotheringham 5Stephenson 12Docherty 9Odada 3Sevelj 19Babunski 9Sibbald 8Ferry 18Middleton 4Babunski 4Ferry 11Stephenson 6Docherty 3Dalby 26van der Sande 8Middleton 1Middleton 13Trapanovski 7Dalby 53-4-3 in 8 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (8), 3-5-2 (7), 3-4-2-1 (7), 4-4-2 (4), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMitov 23Doohan 14Devlin 26Jensen 10Milne 1Rubezic 20Tobers 9Dorrington 8Molloy 19Knoester 12Nilsen 2MacKenzie 23Shinnie 7McGarry 5Shinnie 23Palaversa 17Keskinen 2Nilsen 23Clarkson 8Keskinen 18Morris 11McGrath 3Clarkson 13Gueye 11McGrath 4McGrath 13Keskinen 10Okkels 9Nisbet 20Sokler 11Gueye 24-2-3-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 March 2025Aberdeen2–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.98–0.53
29 December 2024Dundee United1–0AberdeenxG 2.29–0.91
26 October 2024Aberdeen1–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.41–0.38
4 March 2023Dundee United1–3AberdeenxG 2.02–0.78
12 November 2022Aberdeen1–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.18–0.32
8 October 2022Dundee United4–0AberdeenxG 2.25–0.89

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 4, Aberdeen won 4, and 4 were drawn. Goals 11–10 and xG 0.93–1.00 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Moult4637300.440.10
Dalby312,7141420.390.05
Trapanovski151,288320.270.17
Babunski171,331110.150.16

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Gueye141,159620.400.10
Duk8936020.250.20
McGrath201,745460.220.22
Nisbet211,8831150.320.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.