Saturday 29 November 2025, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 10,938
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Motherwell
Hearts
Goals
0
0
xG
0.58
0.41
Expected Points
1.45
1.06
Motherwell 32%Draw 49%Hearts 19%
Most likely score 0–0, 37%. Final score 0–0, 37%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
MotherwellHearts
0.58 −1.03xG0.41 −1.42
1.61 +0.09xG on target0.00 −2.34
9 −3Shots8 −8
5 +1.1Shots on target1 −4.9
2 −0.4Big chances0 −2.6
21 −4Touches in the opposition box18 −13
55% −5Possession45% −10
593 +32Passes471 +36
85% 0Pass accuracy82% +5
51% −11Field tilt49% −14
59 +12Final-third entries40 −4
11 −4Box entries9 −5
18.1 +5Passes per defensive action17.1 +7
3 −0.7Corners4 −1.8
22 +8Tackles16 −3
12 +4.2Interceptions7 −1.6
34 +13Clearances31 0
0 −3.2Saves5 +3.1
4 −8Fouls14 +2
3 +0.7Offsides1 −0.4
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Motherwell
Hearts
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
94 min (100%) · Motherwell 0.58, Hearts 0.41 xG
Line-ups
Motherwell substitutes
67'Said for Hendry
84'Sparrow for Koutroumbis
84'Stamatelopoulos for Maswanhise
84'Charles-Cook for Slattery
90+4'O'Donnell for Just
Hearts substitutes
68'Borchgrevink for McEntee · yellow card 90'
68'Magnússon for Spittal
85'Forrest for Kyziridis
85'Kaboré for Braga
Players
Motherwell
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Ward
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
0
Koutroumbis
RB
84
0.00
0.02
1
0.07
7
10
McGinn
CB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.12
11
9
Welsh
CB
90
0.00
0.23
0
0.21
11
12
Longelo
LB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
5
6
Just
RM
90
0.44
0.25
2
0.31
8
5
Fadinger
CM
90
0.06
0.03
0
0.01
5
5
Watt
CM
90
0.02
0.05
0
0.09
7
9
Slattery
LM
84
0.05
0.04
0
0.03
4
4
Hendry
ST
67
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
1
6
Maswanhise
ST
84
0.02
0.08
1
−0.10
3
2
Said
FW
23
0.00
0.03
0
0.01
3
1
Sparrow
DF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Stamatelopoulos
FW
6
0.00
0.01
1
−0.01
0
1
Charles-Cook
FW
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
O'Donnell
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Hearts
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Schwolow
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
2
McEntee
RB
68
0.00
0.01
0
0.20
6
4
Halkett
CB
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.04
5
5
Findlay
CB
90
0.12
0.01
0
0.01
2
7
Kingsley
LB
90
0.00
0.17
2
0.34
14
9
Milne
RM
90
0.11
0.18
3
0.03
2
7
Devlin
CM
90
0.10
0.12
1
0.02
2
10
Spittal
CM
68
0.00
0.15
1
0.08
4
4
Kyziridis
LM
85
0.04
0.09
1
0.12
6
1
Braga
ST
85
0.00
0.02
0
−0.07
2
1
Shankland
ST
90
0.01
0.13
0
0.11
2
0
Borchgrevink
MF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
4
Magnússon
MF
22
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
2
Forrest
MF
5
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Kaboré
FW
5
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Motherwell
Hearts
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Motherwell
From
To
Passes
Ward
Welsh
19
Welsh
Watt
19
Welsh
Fadinger
17
Welsh
McGinn
15
Watt
Welsh
14
Hearts
From
To
Passes
Kingsley
Kyziridis
19
Halkett
Findlay
18
Findlay
Halkett
17
Findlay
Kingsley
16
Halkett
McEntee
11
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Motherwell
Against its average of 13 matches
Hearts
Against its average of 13 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Motherwell
Hearts
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Motherwell
Top six
87%
87%
0
Hearts
Title
9%
8%
−1
Celtic
Title
88%
89%
+1
Falkirk
Top six
49%
49%
0
From the forecast before the match (29 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Motherwell
Hearts
Expected goals
1.24
1.38
Win
33%
40%
Expected Points
1.26
1.46
Clean sheet
25%
29%
Motherwell 33%Draw 27%Hearts 40%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.
From the forecast as it stood on 29 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Motherwell win
Draw
Hearts win
Motherwell
Top six
87%
92%
87%
82%
Hearts
Title
9%
6%
8%
12%
Celtic
Title
88%
90%
89%
85%
Falkirk
Top six
49%
47%
49%
51%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Motherwell
Hearts
Position
4th
1st
Played
13
13
Won, drawn, lost
5–6–2
9–3–1
Points
21 (1.62 per game)
30 (2.31 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.54
2.07
Goals
22–15
29–11
xG per game
1.61–1.35
1.83–0.74
Home: points, xG per game
1.83, 1.70–0.94
2.43, 1.63–0.76
Away: points, xG per game
1.43, 1.54–1.71
2.17, 2.07–0.72
Manager
Jens Berthel Askou (13)
Derek McInnes (13)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Motherwell
Hearts
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+27%
+3%
+16%
−34%
Counter-attacks
−6%
−2%
+13%
−79%
Set pieces
−30%
−5%
+82%
−35%
Penalties
+117%
−13%
+30%
−100%
Headers
−13%
−14%
+49%
−47%
Left side
−2%
−15%
+38%
−47%
Centre
−22%
+15%
+56%
−53%
Right side
+80%
−16%
−19%
−2%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
MotherwellHearts
1.61xG1.83
1.35xG against0.74
60%Possession54%
12.4Shots15.5
10.6Shots against8.7
3.9Shots on target5.9
2.4Big chances2.6
24.9Touches in the opposition box30.7
561Passes435
85%Pass accuracy77%
3.7Corners5.8
62%Field tilt64%
46.8Final-third entries44.2
15.0Box entries14.1
13.0Passes per defensive action10.3
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Motherwell
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
52
1.22
1.30
Ahead
26
1.84
1.78
Behind
12
2.81
0.67
Hearts
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
45
1.30
0.52
Ahead
32
2.51
0.95
Behind
13
2.05
0.96
xG by period
Motherwell
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.03
0.11
0–1
16–30
0.28
0.22
6–3
31–45
0.26
0.23
4–0
46–60
0.34
0.21
3–3
61–75
0.33
0.23
4–4
76–90
0.36
0.36
5–4
Hearts
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.09
2–1
16–30
0.26
0.08
5–4
31–45
0.24
0.14
4–3
46–60
0.38
0.13
7–2
61–75
0.20
0.12
5–1
76–90
0.61
0.17
6–0
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.