Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Hearts 3–0 Motherwell

Saturday 10 May 2025, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 36 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 18,496

Hearts Shankland 31', 60', Forrest 62'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HeartsMotherwell
Goals30
xG0.520.42
Expected Points1.351.14

Hearts 28%Draw 51%Motherwell 21%

Most likely score 0–0, 40%. Final score 3–0, 0%.

Motherwell goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+16%3%20%11%2%5%2%40%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.750153045607590HTDhanda on for Vargas, 53'Kartum on for Grant and Wilson on for Shankland, 72'Nieuwenhof on for Baningime and Kabangu on for Forrester, 81'Armstrong on for Watt, Wilson on for Thompson, and Dickson on for Maswanhise, 68'Zdravkovski on for Slattery, 80'Andrews on for Halliday, 84'Shankland 31'Shankland 60'Forrest 62'Hearts 0.52Motherwell 0.4200.250.50.750153045607590HTDhanda on for Vargas, 53'Kartum on for Grant and Wilson on for Shankland, 72'Nieuwenhof on for Baningime and Kabangu on for Forrester, 81'Armstrong on for Watt, Wilson on for Thompson, and Dickson on for Maswanhise, 68'Zdravkovski on for Slattery, 80'Andrews on for Halliday, 84'Shankland 31'Shankland 60'Forrest 62'0.520.42HeartsMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsMotherwell

0.52 −0.85xG0.42 −0.69
2.21 +0.89xG on target0.86 −0.28
8 −5.0Shots8 −1.8
5 +0.7Shots on target3 −0.2
1 −1.3Big chances1 −0.9
26 +1Touches in the opposition box12 −6
50% −4Possession50% +9
430 −13Passes449 +135
86% +9Pass accuracy85% +16
71% +13Field tilt29% −6
19 −22Final-third entries12 −14
7 −5.1Box entries1 −6.6
12.2 −1Passes per defensive action21.8 +3
6 −0.3Corners1 −3.4
22 +4Tackles24 +8
11 +2.3Interceptions5 −3.1
29 0Clearances27 −7
3 +0.6Saves2 −1.7
17 +7Fouls10 −1
1 −0.5Offsides2 +0.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hearts

Dhanda 90+5', 0.08 xGForrester 90+2', 0.04 xGKartum 86', 0.03 xGKartum 78', 0.02 xGDhanda 62', 0.01 xGForrest 62', 0.20 xG, goalShankland 60', 0.10 xG, goalShankland 30', 0.05 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals33%0.17 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal44%0.23 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.23 xG, 1 goal19%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 1 goal4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Armstrong 85', 0.09 xGCasey 81', 0.08 xGSlattery 49', 0.07 xGWatt 49', 0.06 xGThompson 63', 0.04 xGSlattery 19', 0.03 xGWatt 49', 0.03 xGSparrow 59', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals50%0.21 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals5%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals38%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsMotherwell

0.52 8 shots, 3 goalsOpen play0.31 6 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.11 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (32%) · Hearts 0.04, Motherwell 0.03 xG
Hearts ahead
65 min (68%) · Hearts 0.47, Motherwell 0.39 xG

Line-ups

12352429146777917FultonForresterKentHalkettPenriceDevlinBaningimeGrantVargasShanklandForrestYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalGoal81'81'72'53'72'Hearts 4-3-3Liam Fox137215311385585652OxboroughSparrowO'DonnellCaseySeddonHallidayMillerMaswanhiseSlatteryThompsonWattYellow cardYellow card84'68'80'68'68'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Michael Wimmer

Hearts substitutes

  • 53' Dhanda for Vargas
  • 72' Kartum for Grant
  • 72' Wilson for Shankland
  • 81' Nieuwenhof for Baningime
  • 81' Kabangu for Forrester

Motherwell substitutes

  • 68' Wilson for Thompson
  • 68' Armstrong for Watt
  • 68' Dickson for Maswanhise
  • 80' Zdravkovski for Slattery
  • 84' Andrews for Halliday

Players

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FultonGK9010.000.0010.0110
ForresterRB810.040.0400.0326
KentCB900.000.0100.03212
Halkett CB900.000.0100.04513
PenriceLB9010.000.2320.0827
Devlin CM900.000.041−0.03210
BaningimeCM810.000.0000.0028
GrantCM720.000.0400.0431
VargasRW530.000.0600.1021
ShanklandST7220.140.020−0.0700
ForrestLW9010.200.0200.0570
DhandaMF370.090.030––2
KartumMF180.050.130––1
WilsonFW180.000.092––0
NieuwenhofMF90.000.000––3
KabanguFW90.000.080––1

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OxboroughGK900.000.0000.0000
SparrowRB900.020.0310.01111
O'DonnellCB900.000.0000.0436
CaseyCB900.080.0000.0119
SeddonLB900.000.0100.06611
Halliday DM840.000.0410.0302
Miller DM900.000.1820.0214
MaswanhiseRW680.000.010−0.0102
SlatteryAM800.100.021−0.0112
ThompsonLW680.040.0300.0335
WattST680.090.0510.0201
WilsonDF220.000.000––0
ArmstrongFW220.090.000––0
DicksonFW220.000.000––3
ZdravkovskiMF100.000.000––1
AndrewsMF60.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Forrester and Kent: 4 passesForrester and Devlin: 4 passesKent and Devlin: 4 passesKent and Grant: 4 passesPenrice and Baningime: 4 passesDevlin and Vargas: 4 passesDevlin and Grant: 4 passesBaningime and Shankland: 4 passesBaningime and Grant: 4 passesFulton and Kent: 5 passesHalkett and Baningime: 5 passesHalkett and Grant: 5 passesPenrice and Shankland: 5 passesForrester and Shankland: 6 passesHalkett and Forrest: 7 passesFulton and Halkett: 8 passesPenrice and Forrest: 8 passesPenrice and Grant: 9 passesForrester and Vargas: 10 passesHalkett and Penrice: 12 passesForrest and Grant: 12 passesKent and Halkett: 14 passesFulton: 13 completed passesForrester: 18 completed passesKent: 21 completed passesHalkett: 29 completed passesPenrice: 25 completed passesDevlin: 17 completed passesBaningime: 11 completed passesForrest: 15 completed passesVargas: 8 completed passesShankland: 9 completed passesGrant: 20 completed passes12352429146177797FultonForresterKentHalkettPenriceDevlinBaningimeForrestVargasShanklandGrantStarters until 53' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Seddon and Maswanhise: 3 passesSeddon and Watt: 3 passesSlattery and Thompson: 3 passesSparrow and Casey: 4 passesCasey and Miller: 4 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 4 passesOxborough and Sparrow: 5 passesSeddon and Halliday: 5 passesSparrow and Halliday: 6 passesO'Donnell and Seddon: 6 passesHalliday and Slattery: 6 passesMiller and Slattery: 6 passesMiller and Thompson: 6 passesO'Donnell and Halliday: 7 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 7 passesHalliday and Miller: 7 passesCasey and Halliday: 8 passesOxborough and Casey: 9 passesOxborough and O'Donnell: 9 passesSeddon and Slattery: 9 passesSeddon and Thompson: 9 passesCasey and Seddon: 10 passesSparrow and O'Donnell: 12 passesSeddon and Miller: 13 passesCasey and O'Donnell: 19 passesOxborough: 15 completed passesSparrow: 18 completed passesCasey: 29 completed passesO'Donnell: 35 completed passesSeddon: 33 completed passesHalliday: 24 completed passesMiller: 21 completed passesMaswanhise: 3 completed passesSlattery: 13 completed passesThompson: 10 completed passesWatt: 3 completed passes137152311385585652OxboroughSparrowCaseyO'DonnellSeddonHallidayMillerMaswanhiseSlatteryThompsonWattStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

FromToPasses
KentHalkett9
PenriceHalkett8
ForresterVargas7
HalkettForrest6
ForrestGrant6

Motherwell

FromToPasses
CaseyO'Donnell13
SeddonMiller8
O'DonnellHalliday7
OxboroughCasey6
SeddonCasey6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

1−3.04−1.51−5.61−3.97+0.20−6.31−5.13−4.23−2.64−0.32−1.42−3.52−4.96+1.43−0.31−2.00−3.71−3.51−1.31−0.71−0.41−0.93+0.30−0.70−0.30−0.80−0.410.05−7.91−6.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Motherwell

2−3.15−2.14−4.01−5.05−2.65−2.21−5.75−1.93−5.02−3.11−3.53−0.35+0.72−4.30−4.10−2.90−1.90−2.81−2.90−2.31−0.40−0.90−1.30−1.51+0.10−0.60−0.60−0.10−0.46−11.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

0.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.030.010.010.020.040.03−0.01−0.010.010.08LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.01−0.010.010.010.03LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.41 → 1.40Motherwell1.15 → 1.14Defence (lower is better)Hearts1.21 → 1.20Motherwell1.49 → 1.49

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HeartsMotherwell
Expected goals1.830.93
Win58%18%
Expected Points1.980.78
Clean sheet40%16%

Hearts 58%Draw 24%Motherwell 18%

Most likely score 1–1, 11%. Both sides score 51%.

Motherwell goalsHearts goals0123456+0123456+7%5%3%5%2%5%1%6%6%3%3%3%1%1%1%11%11%11%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hearts

  1. W3–13 MayRoss County (A)xG 2.19–1.27
  2. L0–126 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.46–0.71
  3. D0–012 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.12–0.27
  4. L0–16 AprDundee United (H)xG 1.21–0.82
  5. L0–329 MarCeltic (A)xG 1.02–2.68
  6. W2–015 MarRoss County (H)xG 1.73–0.29

Motherwell

  1. W2–13 MayDundee FC (A)xG 3.15–0.78
  2. W3–226 AprSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.03–1.84
  3. D0–012 AprHearts (H)xG 0.27–1.12
  4. L0–25 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.18–1.22
  5. L1–429 MarAberdeen (A)xG 1.21–1.58
  6. D2–215 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.67–1.24

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HeartsMotherwell
Position8th7th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost12–⁠7–⁠1613–⁠6–⁠16
Points43 (1.23 per game)45 (1.29 per game)
Expected Points per game1.431.10
Goals46–⁠4642–⁠59
xG per game1.37–⁠1.321.11–⁠1.56
Home: points, xG per game1.41, 1.46–⁠1.171.53, 1.14–⁠1.53
Away: points, xG per game1.06, 1.29–⁠1.461.06, 1.09–⁠1.59
ManagerLiam Fox (1)Michael Wimmer (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackHearts1.41, 4thMotherwell1.15, 9thDefence (lower is better)Hearts1.21, 4thMotherwell1.49, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts attack: 1.41Motherwell attack: 1.151.411.15MotherwellHeartsDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHearts defence: 1.21Motherwell defence: 1.491.491.21

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HeartsMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+2%−11%−27%+16%
Counter-attacks+9%−19%−14%−20%
Set pieces+7%+1%+3%+14%
Penalties−80%+22%−59%+2%
Headers−5%+14%+28%+14%
Left side+20%−9%−46%+27%
Centreaverage−5%−10%+3%
Right side−3%−16%−7%+14%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdMotherwell concededLeft side+20%+14%Centreaverage+3%Right side−3%+27%Open play+2%+16%Counter-attacks+9%−20%Set pieces+7%+14%Headers−5%+14%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHearts concededLeft side−46%−16%Centre−10%−5%Right side−7%−9%Open play−27%−11%Counter-attacks−14%−19%Set pieces+3%+1%Headers+28%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsMotherwell

1.37xG1.11
1.32xG against1.56
54%Possession41%
13.0Shots9.8
10.6Shots against14.4
4.3Shots on target3.2
2.3Big chances1.9
25.1Touches in the opposition box18.2
443Passes314
77%Pass accuracy69%
6.3Corners4.4
58%Field tilt34%
41.1Final-third entries26.3
12.1Box entries7.6
13.4Passes per defensive action18.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level411.291.38
Ahead231.551.11
Behind261.351.40

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.201.53
Ahead231.081.60
Behind291.021.58

xG by period

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.146–5
16–300.170.206–7
31–450.220.266–8
46–600.200.279–8
61–750.180.158–9
76–900.420.2911–9

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.236–8
16–300.230.2310–9
31–450.150.3010–9
46–600.150.324–12
61–750.130.153–8
76–900.320.339–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTGordon 33Clark 2Forrester 16Oyegoke 11Taylor 6Kent 14Halkett 11Steinwender 7Rowles 20McCart 10Kingsley 2Penrice 29Kingsley 3Grant 1Devlin 19Grant 8Kartum 4Baningime 14Boateng 13Spittal 7Drammeh 9Baningime 6Forrest 5Shankland 14Grant 9Boyce 3Spittal 19Kabangu 6Forrest 4Wilson 13Shankland 12Vargas 44-2-3-1 in 16 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (16), 4-3-1-2 (6), 4-4-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTOxborough 23Balcombe 11Mair 1Balmer 16O'Donnell 13McGinn 7Gordon 26Casey 29Blaney 10Seddon 2Kaleta 13O'Donnell 10Sparrow 7Halliday 28Zdravkovski 8Andrews 4Miller 12Paton 6Wilson 6Wilson 14Thompson 7Seddon 3Miller 14Slattery 8Sparrow 7Maswanhise 13Watt 5Paton 3Stamatelopoulos 10Watt 6Armstrong 63-4-2-1 in 11 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (11), 3-5-2 (9), 3-4-3 (4), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 April 2025Motherwell0–0HeartsxG 0.27–1.12
2 January 2025Hearts1–0MotherwellxG 1.97–1.25
25 August 2024Motherwell3–1HeartsxG 2.54–0.62
17 February 2024Hearts2–0MotherwellxG 1.71–0.46
11 November 2023Motherwell1–2HeartsxG 1.10–2.08
3 September 2023Hearts0–1MotherwellxG 1.51–1.14

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 7, Motherwell won 5, and 1 was a draw. Goals 17–13 and xG 1.53–1.43 per game.

Key players

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kabangu11975610.500.09
Drammeh11977310.450.07
Vargas131,155430.340.15
Shankland262,342670.300.15

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ebiye3597200.420.04
Stamatelopoulos13897510.340.04
Watt131,488120.220.12
Armstrong7579200.310.01

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.