Digressive Celts

Matches › 2025/26

Kilmarnock 1–3 Motherwell

Saturday 22 November 2025, 15:00 · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park · Round 13 · Half-time 0–2 · Referee Ryan Lee · Attendance 5,100

Kilmarnock Tiffoney 49'

Motherwell Maswanhise 16', 26', Stamatelopoulos 68' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

KilmarnockMotherwell
Goals13
xG1.732.24
Non-penalty xG1.731.46
Expected Points1.011.73

Kilmarnock 25%Draw 27%Motherwell 49%

Most likely score 2–2, 13%. Final score 1–3, 8%.

Motherwell goalsKilmarnock goals0123456+0123456+2%3%2%1%1%8%8%3%1%8%8%4%1%4%5%4%2%1%1%11%13%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTLyons on for Lowery, 46'John-Jules on for Anderson and Watkins on for Kiltie, 71'Dackers on for Williams and Brannan on for Brown, 79'Stamatelopoulos on for Hendry, Gordon on for Longelo, and Just on for Slattery, 63'Sparrow on for Maswanhise, 77'Priestman on for Fadinger, 89'Tiffoney 49'Maswanhise 16'Maswanhise 26'Stamatelopoulos 68' (pen)Motherwell 2.24Kilmarnock 1.7301230153045607590HTLyons on for Lowery, 46'John-Jules on for Anderson and Watkins on for Kiltie, 71'Dackers on for Williams and Brannan on for Brown, 79'Stamatelopoulos on for Hendry, Gordon on for Longelo, and Just on for Slattery, 63'Sparrow on for Maswanhise, 77'Priestman on for Fadinger, 89'Tiffoney 49'Maswanhise 16'Maswanhise 26'Stamatelopoulos 68' (pen)2.241.73KilmarnockMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

KilmarnockMotherwell

1.73 +0.64xG2.24 +0.73
1.73Non-penalty xG1.46
0.69 −0.46xG on target1.53 +0.06
18 +8.3Shots12 −0.1
6 +2.3Shots on target5 +1.3
2 +0.2Big chances5 +3.0
33 +15Touches in the opposition box18 −8
41% +3Possession59% 0
338 +32Passes508 −37
75% +4Pass accuracy82% −2
47% +13Field tilt53% −7
34 +7Final-third entries45 0
15 +6.7Box entries12 −3.5
12.2 −4Passes per defensive action17.4 +5
3 −1.9Corners3 −1.1
23 +6Tackles13 −1
10 +0.3Interceptions4 −4.1
10 −25Clearances35 +15
2 −1.1Saves4 +0.5
15 +2Fouls12 0
3 +1.4Offsides3 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Kilmarnock

Dackers 88', 0.46 xGThompson 52', 0.12 xGMayo 71', 0.08 xGAnderson 55', 0.06 xGKiltie 27', 0.05 xGWatson 43', 0.05 xGWatson 52', 0.05 xGKiltie 10', 0.04 xGBrown 51', 0.04 xGDeas 22', 0.02 xGWatson 29', 0.02 xGTiffoney 44', 0.02 xGKiltie 45', 0.02 xGWatson 90+4', 0.02 xGBrown 46', 0.01 xGWatson 76', 0.01 xGJohn-Jules 86', 0.01 xGTiffoney 49', 0.65 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%1.30 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 1.30 xG, 1 goal14%0.24 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals6%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals5%0.09 xGFurther out: 5 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Watt 24', 0.19 xGGordon 74', 0.18 xGSlattery 32', 0.12 xGSaid 90+1', 0.12 xGMaswanhise 26', 0.11 xGGordon 74', 0.10 xGJust 88', 0.09 xGHendry 25', 0.08 xGStamatelopoulos 73', 0.05 xGMaswanhise 26', 0.36 xG, goalMaswanhise 16', 0.06 xG, goal12%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 0 goals74%1.08 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.08 xG, 1 goal7%0.10 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.10 xG, 1 goal6%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

KilmarnockMotherwell

0.92 14 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.52 6 shots, 1 goal
0.65 1 shot, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.15 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.94 5 shots, 1 goal
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
16 min (17%) · Kilmarnock 0.04, Motherwell 0.06 xG
Motherwell ahead
80 min (83%) · Kilmarnock 1.69, Motherwell 2.19 xG

Line-ups

205461512183191711OluwayemiMayoWilliamsDeasBrownWatsonLoweryThompsonAndersonTiffoneyKiltieYellow cardGoal79'79'46'71'71'Kilmarnock 3-4-3Stuart Kettlewell132216574520121889066WardKoutroumbisMcGinnWelshLongeloWattFadingerMaswanhiseSlatterySaidHendryYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card63'89'77'63'63'Motherwell 4-2-3-1Jens Berthel Askou

Kilmarnock substitutes

  • 46' Lyons for Lowery
  • 71' Watkins for Kiltie
  • 71' John-Jules for Anderson
  • 79' Brannan for Brown
  • 79' Dackers for Williams

Motherwell substitutes

  • 63' Gordon for Longelo · yellow card 81'
  • 63' Just for Slattery
  • 63' Stamatelopoulos for Hendry · goal 68' (pen), yellow card 80'
  • 77' Sparrow for Maswanhise
  • 89' Priestman for Fadinger

Players

Kilmarnock

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
OluwayemiGK900.000.0110.0540
MayoCB900.080.0000.0335
WilliamsCB790.000.0920.1254
DeasCB900.020.0500.1656
BrownRWB790.050.0100.0335
WatsonCM900.160.0900.1857
Lowery CM460.000.0110.0003
ThompsonLWB900.120.1340.10610
AndersonRW7110.060.281−0.0810
TiffoneyST9010.670.0200.1652
KiltieLW710.110.0900.0833
LyonsMF440.000.0200.0222
WatkinsFW190.000.0000.0000
John-JulesFW190.010.0100.0000
BrannanDF110.000.0910.1350
DackersFW110.460.0000.0000

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WardGK900.000.0000.0451
Koutroumbis RB900.000.0200.0897
McGinnCB900.000.0400.1359
WelshCB900.000.0200.07210
LongeloLB6310.000.1220.1264
WattDM900.190.4120.2462
FadingerDM890.000.1720.1526
MaswanhiseRW7720.530.1210.1911
Slattery AM630.120.1110.0324
SaidLW900.120.0300.0134
Hendry ST630.080.010−0.0112
Gordon DF270.280.0000.0004
JustMF270.090.0210.0431
Stamatelopoulos FW2710.830.061−0.0700
SparrowMF130.000.0700.0820
PriestmanMF10.000.0000.0112

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Kilmarnock

Oluwayemi and Williams: 3 passesOluwayemi and Anderson: 3 passesMayo and Lowery: 3 passesMayo and Watson: 3 passesDeas and Thompson: 3 passesDeas and Lowery: 3 passesWilliams and Lowery: 3 passesBrown and Watson: 3 passesOluwayemi and Lowery: 4 passesMayo and Deas: 4 passesThompson and Tiffoney: 4 passesLowery and Tiffoney: 4 passesLowery and Kiltie: 4 passesWatson and Anderson: 4 passesDeas and Williams: 5 passesDeas and Brown: 6 passesBrown and Lowery: 6 passesThompson and Kiltie: 8 passesMayo and Brown: 9 passesOluwayemi: 7 completed passesMayo: 13 completed passesDeas: 10 completed passesWilliams: 10 completed passesBrown: 14 completed passesThompson: 15 completed passesLowery: 21 completed passesWatson: 7 completed passesAnderson: 5 completed passesTiffoney: 4 completed passesKiltie: 7 completed passes205641531812191711OluwayemiMayoDeasWilliamsBrownThompsonLoweryWatsonAndersonTiffoneyKiltieStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Motherwell

McGinn and Fadinger: 6 passesKoutroumbis and Fadinger: 7 passesKoutroumbis and Maswanhise: 7 passesFadinger and Said: 7 passesWatt and Hendry: 7 passesLongelo and Said: 8 passesFadinger and Watt: 8 passesKoutroumbis and Said: 9 passesWelsh and McGinn: 9 passesWelsh and Fadinger: 9 passesSlattery and Said: 9 passesMcGinn and Watt: 10 passesMaswanhise and Slattery: 10 passesWelsh and Longelo: 11 passesWatt and Slattery: 11 passesLongelo and Fadinger: 14 passesKoutroumbis and Watt: 15 passesWelsh and Watt: 15 passesWard and Welsh: 16 passesKoutroumbis and Slattery: 17 passesWard and McGinn: 18 passesKoutroumbis and McGinn: 19 passesWard: 27 completed passesKoutroumbis: 45 completed passesWelsh: 43 completed passesMcGinn: 35 completed passesLongelo: 23 completed passesFadinger: 35 completed passesWatt: 41 completed passesMaswanhise: 11 completed passesSlattery: 28 completed passesSaid: 21 completed passesHendry: 11 completed passes132257164512201889066WardKoutroumbisWelshMcGinnLongeloFadingerWattMaswanhiseSlatterySaidHendryStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Kilmarnock

FromToPasses
MayoBrown11
DeasWilliams11
MayoDeas11
DeasMayo9
BrownMayo9

Motherwell

FromToPasses
KoutroumbisSlattery13
WelshWatt13
WelshWard13
WardWelsh12
McGinnWard11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Kilmarnock

3−4.24−5.04−2.66+2.32−5.84−3.23−4.77−1.715+10.03−2.93−2.11−2.64−1.09+3.92−2.710+5.93+0.54+1.211+8.15+2.14+1.93+1.25+3.40−1.80−1.02+1.510.00−0.40−0.86−10.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Motherwell

2−2.114+7.822+12.34−2.52−2.07+0.811+4.42−4.45−2.56+0.55−1.55+1.53−0.33−0.86+1.50−4.54−1.01−1.01−1.840.02−0.73+1.60−1.01−1.10−2.21−0.10−0.60−0.70−0.60−0.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 11 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Kilmarnock

0.010.020.010.010.050.010.030.050.030.010.040.020.020.040.040.030.120.040.040.090.070.02−0.100.050.26LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.010.030.020.010.010.050.010.020.010.180.080.010.070.030.160.03−0.020.010.18−0.05−0.050.020.27LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackKilmarnock1.16 → 1.15Motherwell1.28 → 1.30Defence (lower is better)Kilmarnock1.51 → 1.54Motherwell1.38 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Kilmarnock
Top six14%8%−6
11th14%17%+3
Bottom9%12%+3
Motherwell
Top six67%78%+11
11th1%1%0
Bottom<1%<1%0

From the forecast before the match (22 November 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

KilmarnockMotherwell
Expected goals1.381.27
Win39%34%
Expected Points1.441.29
Clean sheet28%25%

Kilmarnock 39%Draw 27%Motherwell 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Motherwell goalsKilmarnock goals0123456+0123456+8%8%6%2%9%8%3%1%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 22 November 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowKilmarnock winDrawMotherwell win
Kilmarnock
Top six14%20%12%8%
11th14%11%16%17%
Bottom9%6%9%12%
Motherwell
Top six67%58%66%78%
11th1%2%1%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Kilmarnock

  1. L0–49 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.38–2.85
  2. L1–31 NovFalkirk (A)xG 0.43–2.08
  3. L0–129 OctAberdeen (H)xG 1.36–0.55
  4. L1–326 OctRangers (A)xG 1.04–1.36
  5. L0–318 OctHearts (H)xG 0.43–2.88
  6. W2–04 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.15–0.43

Motherwell

  1. D1–19 NovAberdeen (A)xG 0.68–0.80
  2. W2–029 OctDundee United (H)xG 1.08–0.48
  3. W2–125 OctLivingston (A)xG 2.16–2.45
  4. L1–218 OctFalkirk (H)xG 1.01–1.35
  5. L2–35 OctCeltic (A)xG 1.39–2.62
  6. W2–027 SepAberdeen (H)xG 2.03–1.00

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

KilmarnockMotherwell
Position10th6th
Played1211
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠4–⁠63–⁠6–⁠2
Points10 (0.83 per game)15 (1.36 per game)
Expected Points per game1.011.44
Goals13–⁠2217–⁠14
xG per game1.09–⁠1.731.51–⁠1.37
Home: points, xG per game0.83, 1.27–⁠1.461.60, 1.61–⁠0.97
Away: points, xG per game0.83, 0.91–⁠2.001.17, 1.43–⁠1.70
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (12)Jens Berthel Askou (11)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.36AttackKilmarnock1.16, 8thMotherwell1.28, 5thDefence (lower is better)Kilmarnock1.51, 9thMotherwell1.38, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovKilmarnock attack: 1.16Motherwell attack: 1.281.281.16MotherwellKilmarnockDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovKilmarnock defence: 1.51Motherwell defence: 1.381.511.38

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

KilmarnockMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+16%+31%+3%
Counter-attacks+12%+57%+9%−19%
Set pieces+33%+13%−45%+7%
Penalties−100%+84%+51%average
Headers+16%+23%−17%−1%
Left side−47%+47%+16%−20%
Centre+16%+13%−30%+23%
Right side−35%+14%+82%−30%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdMotherwell concededLeft side−47%−30%Centre+16%+23%Right side−35%−20%Open play−38%+3%Counter-attacks+12%−19%Set pieces+33%+7%Headers+16%−1%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+16%+14%Centre−30%+13%Right side+82%+47%Open play+31%+16%Counter-attacks+9%+57%Set pieces−45%+13%Headers−17%+23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockMotherwell

1.09xG1.51
1.73xG against1.37
38%Possession59%
9.7Shots12.1
13.9Shots against10.7
3.7Shots on target3.7
1.8Big chances2.0
17.8Touches in the opposition box26.2
306Passes545
70%Pass accuracy85%
4.9Corners4.1
34%Field tilt60%
27.1Final-third entries45.5
8.3Box entries15.5
15.8Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level361.021.51
Ahead171.352.24
Behind371.051.73

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level581.161.36
Ahead181.581.98
Behind142.810.67

xG by period

Kilmarnock

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.050.260–3
16–300.170.313–5
31–450.240.275–2
46–600.160.162–4
61–750.160.281–4
76–900.300.462–4

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.130–1
16–300.160.252–3
31–450.290.194–0
46–600.400.163–2
61–750.270.263–4
76–900.360.375–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTStryjek 7Beach 3Oluwayemi 2Stanger 10Schilte-Brown 2Lyons 1Mayo 9Deas 11Williams 2Brown 5Brandon 4Brannan 2Watson 12McKenzie 3Polworth 9Lyons 6Kiltie 4Lowery 2Thompson 9Brannan 3Dackers 10Daniels 4Tiffoney 1Anderson 7Kiltie 23-5-2 in 4 of 12 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (3), 3-1-4-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Motherwell

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTWard 11Koutroumbis 6O'Donnell 5Welsh 6Gordon 6O'Donnell 1McGinn 8Longelo 10Koutroumbis 1Fadinger 11Just 2Watt 9Maswanhise 10Said 1Slattery 4Said 3Watt 2Charles-Cook 4Just 3Said 3Stamatelopoulos 8Hendry 2Maswanhise 14-2-3-1 in 9 of 11 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (9), 4-3-3 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 August 2025Motherwell2–2KilmarnockxG 1.76–1.20
14 May 2025Motherwell3–0KilmarnockxG 2.57–0.53
5 April 2025Kilmarnock2–0MotherwellxG 1.22–0.18
8 January 2025Kilmarnock0–0MotherwellxG 1.72–0.39
20 December 2024Motherwell1–1KilmarnockxG 0.76–1.03
3 February 2024Motherwell1–1KilmarnockxG 1.14–0.24

16 league meetings since 2020/21: Kilmarnock won 5, Motherwell won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 19–19 and xG 1.10–1.14 per game.

Key players

Kilmarnock

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Dackers10887100.240.13
Kiltie6544020.050.27
Watson121,044310.230.06
Anderson7625100.220.02

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stamatelopoulos8683420.830.05
Just7637230.240.24
Maswanhise11896510.280.11
Longelo10923320.140.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.