Matches › 2025/26

Hibernian 1–1 St. Mirren

Sunday 31 August 2025, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 17,658

Hibernian Bushiri 70'

St. Mirren Freckleton 61'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Goals	1	1
xG	2.42	0.85
Expected Points	2.48	0.35

Hibernian 77%Draw 16%St. Mirren 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Final score 1–1, 9%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Mirren

2.42 +0.83xG0.85 0.00

1.05 −1.00xG on target1.23 +0.71

16 +2.5Shots10 +1.3

4 −1.5Shots on target4 +0.7

3 +0.5Big chances3 +1.7

39 +14Touches in the opposition box22 +3

55% −9Possession45% +16

408 −192Passes334 +84

85% −2Pass accuracy81% +14

42% −38Field tilt58% +32

37 −13Final-third entries40 +13

15 +2.5Box entries12 +2.3

38.2 +24Passes per defensive action18.8 −2

10 +2.5Corners7 +2.3

9 +0.5Tackles11 −4.3

4 −2.5Interceptions6 −5.3

31 +10Clearances40 +1

2 +2.0Saves3 −1.3

7 −2.0Fouls7 −6.0

2 +1.0Offsides2 +1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Mirren

0.59 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.56 7 shots, 0 goals

0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

1.76 10 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.29 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–1

Level: 88 min (91%) · Hibernian 1.23, St. Mirren 0.72 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 9 min (9%) · Hibernian 1.20, St. Mirren 0.12 xG

Line-ups

Hibernian substitutes

64' McGrath for Hoilett
64' Mulligan for C. Cadden
64' Bowie for Boyle
82' Obita for Iredale

St. Mirren substitutes

27' King for Phillips
81' Mooney for Ayunga

Players

Hibernian

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Smith	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	5
Hanley	CB	90		0.13	0.03	0	0.08	3	8
Bushiri	CB	90	1	1.19	0.00	0	0.03	0	6
Iredale	CB	82		0.00	0.18	2	0.38	12	6
C. Cadden	RWB	64		0.00	0.01	1	0.04	3	5
Chaiwa	CM	90		0.02	0.03	1	0.01	1	3
Levitt	CM	90		0.00	0.07	1	0.12	6	2
N. Cadden	LWB	90		0.08	0.35	2	0.21	4	6
Boyle	RW	64		0.09	0.01	0	0.02	1	0
Klidje	ST	90		0.22	0.05	2	0.05	2	2
Hoilett	LW	64		0.52	0.03	0	0.04	2	2
McGrath	MF	26		0.00	0.15	2	0.03	1	0
Mulligan	MF	26		0.05	0.00	0	−0.01	1	0
Bowie	FW	26		0.13	0.37	0	0.28	2	0
Obita	MF	8		0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	1

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	6	3
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	4	11
Gogic	CB	90			0.08	0.00	0	0.03	2	7
Freckleton	CB	90	1		0.10	0.04	1	0.15	9	9
Richardson	RWB	90			0.15	0.10	1	0.09	6	4
Phillips	CM	27			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	3
Baccus	CM	90			0.04	0.03	0	0.07	3	2
O'Hara	CM	90			0.02	0.27	2	0.32	4	3
John	LWB	90		1	0.00	0.21	2	0.03	5	6
Mandron	ST	90			0.18	0.18	1	0.18	2	3
Ayunga	ST	81			0.28	0.01	1	0.09	0	3
King	DF	63			0.00	0.01	1	0.10	7	8
Mooney	MF	9			0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

From	To	Passes
Bushiri	Iredale	19
Iredale	N. Cadden	14
Bushiri	Hanley	14
Smith	Hanley	13
Hanley	Bushiri	12

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Fraser	Baccus	10
O'Hara	Freckleton	9
King	Fraser	9
Fraser	King	9
John	O'Hara	8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

Against its average of 2 matches

St. Mirren

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

St. Mirren

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hibernian
Top six	91%	89%	−2
St. Mirren
Top six	43%	44%	+1
11th	5%	4%	−1
Bottom	2%	2%	0

From the forecast before the match (31 August 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Expected goals	1.78	0.95
Win	56%	19%
Expected Points	1.93	0.82
Clean sheet	39%	17%

Hibernian 56%Draw 24%St. Mirren 19%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 51%.

From the forecast as it stood on 31 August 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hibernian win	Draw	St. Mirren win
Hibernian
Top six	91%	93%	89%	85%
St. Mirren
Top six	43%	38%	44%	57%
11th	5%	6%	4%	3%
Bottom	2%	2%	2%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

St. Mirren

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hibernian	St. Mirren
Position	4th	9th
Played	2	3
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠1–⁠0	0–⁠2–⁠1
Points	4 (2.00 per game)	2 (0.67 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.24	1.12
Goals	4–⁠3	1–⁠2
xG per game	1.59–⁠0.53	0.85–⁠1.17
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 1.77–⁠0.94	1.00, 1.16–⁠1.04
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.42–⁠0.13	0.00, 0.23–⁠1.41
Manager	David Gray (42)	Stephen Robinson (74)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hibernian		St. Mirren
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−6%	−19%	−24%	+28%
Counter-attacks	+84%	−22%	+11%	−2%
Set pieces	+52%	−29%	−12%	−35%
Penalties	average	−37%	−34%	−16%
Headers	+43%	−14%	−25%	−22%
Left side	+48%	−27%	−31%	+15%
Centre	+8%	−13%	−8%	+7%
Right side	+16%	−35%	−21%	−11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+48%−11%Centre+8%+7%Right side+16%+15%Open play−6%+28%Counter-attacks+84%−2%Set pieces+52%−35%Headers+43%−22%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdHibernian concededLeft side−31%−35%Centre−8%−13%Right side−21%−27%Open play−24%−19%Counter-attacks+11%−22%Set pieces−12%−29%Headers−25%−14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Mirren

1.59xG0.85

0.53xG against1.17

64%Possession29%

13.5Shots8.7

6.0Shots against11.7

5.5Shots on target3.3

2.5Big chances1.3

25.0Touches in the opposition box19.0

600Passes250

87%Pass accuracy67%

7.5Corners4.7

80%Field tilt26%

50.0Final-third entries26.7

12.5Box entries9.7

14.2Passes per defensive action20.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	45	1.09	0.26
Ahead	45	2.10	0.81
Behind	0	–	–

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	74	0.94	0.97
Ahead	15	0.45	1.76
Behind	1	0.00	6.60

xG by period

Hibernian

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.19	0.00	0–0
16–30	0.52	0.06	3–0
31–45	0.27	0.22	1–2
46–60	0.09	0.20	0–1
61–75	0.40	0.04	0–0
76–90	0.13	0.01	0–0

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.06	0.17	0–0
16–30	0.13	0.17	0–0
31–45	0.16	0.39	1–0
46–60	0.04	0.03	0–0
61–75	0.22	0.13	0–0
76–90	0.26	0.28	0–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

St. Mirren

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
14 May 2025	St. Mirren	2–2	Hibernian	xG 0.70–1.34
16 February 2025	St. Mirren	0–0	Hibernian	xG 0.70–0.37
9 November 2024	Hibernian	1–2	St. Mirren	xG 2.28–2.18
4 August 2024	St. Mirren	3–0	Hibernian	xG 1.20–1.58
3 February 2024	Hibernian	0–3	St. Mirren	xG 0.41–2.40
8 November 2023	St. Mirren	2–2	Hibernian	xG 1.60–0.89

18 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 7, St. Mirren won 6, and 5 were drawn. Goals 23–22 and xG 1.22–1.10 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Bowie	7	818	8	1	0.46	0.05
Boyle	30	2,689	15	6	0.37	0.12
Hoilett	21	1,654	4	5	0.25	0.24
Youan	12	963	3	1	0.38	0.11

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
McMenamin	5	548	4	1	0.32	0.13
Smyth	6	676	4	0	0.29	0.13
Mandron	21	2,046	7	3	0.27	0.14
Ayunga	15	1,377	5	4	0.31	0.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.