Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Mirren 2–2 Hibernian

Wednesday 14 May 2025, 19:45 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 7,671

St. Mirren Taylor 45+5', McMenamin 64'

Hibernian Boyle 3', Kukharevych 10'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenHibernian
Goals22
xG0.701.34
Expected Points0.791.91

St. Mirren 16%Draw 30%Hibernian 53%

Most likely score 0–1, 19%. Final score 2–2, 4%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+9%13%4%7%11%3%2%5%4%1%19%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTTanser on for John, 60'McMenamin on for Ayunga and O'Hara on for Boyd-Munce, 61'Kiltie on for Idowu, 82'Bowie on for Kukharevych, 61'Campbell on for Hoilett and N. Cadden on for Obita, 76'O'Hora on for C. Cadden and Gayle on for Boyle, 84'Taylor 45+5'McMenamin 64'Boyle 3'Kukharevych 10'Hibernian 1.34St. Mirren 0.7000.511.50153045607590HTTanser on for John, 60'McMenamin on for Ayunga and O'Hara on for Boyd-Munce, 61'Kiltie on for Idowu, 82'Bowie on for Kukharevych, 61'Campbell on for Hoilett and N. Cadden on for Obita, 76'O'Hora on for C. Cadden and Gayle on for Boyle, 84'Taylor 45+5'McMenamin 64'Boyle 3'Kukharevych 10'1.340.70St. MirrenHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenHibernian

0.70 −0.60xG1.34 −0.20
1.10 −0.23xG on target1.41 −0.19
11 −1Shots9 −4
4 −0.2Shots on target4 −0.1
1 −1.1Big chances2 −0.5
35 +14Touches in the opposition box22 0
52% +9Possession48% +3
322 +28Passes308 −24
68% +3Pass accuracy74% +1
58% +13Field tilt42% −5
45 +13Final-third entries21 −12
10 +0.5Box entries11 +0.9
13.4 −2Passes per defensive action16.9 0
5 +0.2Corners6 +0.3
14 −2Tackles11 −2
1 −6.9Interceptions7 −0.8
38 +8Clearances65 +32
2 −0.3Saves2 −0.8
12 −1Fouls13 +3
7 +4.8Offsides3 +1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Mandron 45', 0.10 xGPhillips 35', 0.09 xGAyunga 33', 0.06 xGKiltie 83', 0.03 xGMcMenamin 88', 0.03 xGPhillips 90+7', 0.03 xGMcMenamin 72', 0.02 xGTaylor 89', 0.02 xGBoyd-Munce 51', 0.01 xGMcMenamin 64', 0.20 xG, goalTaylor 45+5', 0.11 xG, goal14%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals64%0.45 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.45 xG, 2 goals13%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Triantis 90+8', 0.57 xGBoyle 19', 0.22 xGIredale 49', 0.17 xGBoyle 46', 0.07 xGTriantis 63', 0.05 xGHoilett 53', 0.03 xGLevitt 50', 0.01 xGKukharevych 10', 0.20 xG, goalBoyle 3', 0.03 xG, goal13%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals60%0.81 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.81 xG, 1 goal19%0.25 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.25 xG, 1 goal8%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenHibernian

0.47 8 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.37 5 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.80 2 shots, 0 goals
0.24 3 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.18 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
37 min (36%) · St. Mirren 0.14, Hibernian 0.60 xG
Hibernian ahead
66 min (64%) · St. Mirren 0.56, Hibernian 0.74 xG

Line-ups

12213528815122479HemmingFraserGogicTaylorAlebiosuPhillipsBoyd-MunceIdowuJohnAyungaMandronYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card61'82'60'61'St. Mirren 3-5-2Stephen Robinson13233151226621102399SmithMillerBushiriIredaleC. CaddenTriantisLevittObitaBoyleHoilettKukharevychYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal84'76'84'76'61'Hibernian 3-4-2-1David Gray

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 60' Tanser for John
  • 61' O'Hara for Boyd-Munce
  • 61' McMenamin for Ayunga · goal 64'
  • 82' Kiltie for Idowu

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Bowie for Kukharevych · yellow card 79'
  • 76' N. Cadden for Obita
  • 76' Campbell for Hoilett
  • 84' O'Hora for C. Cadden
  • 84' Gayle for Boyle

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
HemmingGK900.000.0110.0752
Fraser CB900.000.0100.0483
GogicCB900.000.0200.08510
TaylorCB9010.130.031−0.01412
AlebiosuRWB900.000.0910.1298
PhillipsCM900.120.0400.0574
Boyd-MunceCM610.010.0400.0131
IdowuCM8210.000.1710.2156
John LWB600.000.1710.0550
Ayunga ST610.060.0200.0010
MandronST900.100.1320.0635
TanserMF300.000.0000.0124
O'HaraMF290.000.011−0.0100
McMenaminFW2910.250.0200.0730
KiltieFW80.030.000−0.0400

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SmithGK900.000.0000.0120
MillerCB900.000.0100.06820
BushiriCB900.000.0000.00016
IredaleCB900.170.0100.06212
C. CaddenRWB840.000.0300.0534
Triantis CM900.620.0310.1857
LevittCM900.010.4900.2346
Obita LWB760.000.3910.0829
BoyleAM8410.320.0400.0641
HoilettAM7620.030.1130.0133
KukharevychST6110.200.010−0.0203
Bowie FW290.000.0100.0110
N. CaddenDF140.000.0000.0102
CampbellMF140.000.0010.0010
O'HoraDF60.000.0000.0004
GayleFW60.000.020−0.0500

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Hemming and Phillips: 4 passesGogic and Alebiosu: 4 passesGogic and Idowu: 4 passesFraser and Phillips: 4 passesPhillips and Boyd-Munce: 4 passesPhillips and Ayunga: 4 passesBoyd-Munce and Mandron: 4 passesMandron and Ayunga: 4 passesJohn and Ayunga: 5 passesHemming and Mandron: 6 passesTaylor and Idowu: 6 passesFraser and Mandron: 6 passesJohn and Idowu: 6 passesIdowu and Boyd-Munce: 6 passesAlebiosu and Phillips: 7 passesTaylor and John: 8 passesFraser and Alebiosu: 8 passesJohn and Boyd-Munce: 10 passesGogic and Fraser: 14 passesHemming: 15 completed passesGogic: 15 completed passesTaylor: 12 completed passesFraser: 24 completed passesAlebiosu: 11 completed passesJohn: 18 completed passesIdowu: 13 completed passesPhillips: 17 completed passesBoyd-Munce: 16 completed passesMandron: 15 completed passesAyunga: 8 completed passes11352222412881597HemmingGogicTaylorFraserAlebiosuJohnIdowuPhillipsBoyd-MunceMandronAyungaStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Hibernian

Smith and Kukharevych: 3 passesMiller and Hoilett: 3 passesBushiri and Levitt: 3 passesC. Cadden and Hoilett: 3 passesIredale and Obita: 4 passesIredale and Triantis: 4 passesC. Cadden and Boyle: 4 passesLevitt and Boyle: 4 passesBoyle and Hoilett: 4 passesMiller and Bushiri: 5 passesMiller and Triantis: 5 passesObita and Kukharevych: 5 passesTriantis and Kukharevych: 5 passesLevitt and Kukharevych: 5 passesSmith and Bushiri: 6 passesIredale and Bushiri: 6 passesC. Cadden and Triantis: 6 passesMiller and C. Cadden: 7 passesMiller and Levitt: 8 passesIredale and Hoilett: 9 passesLevitt and Hoilett: 9 passesTriantis and Levitt: 10 passesSmith and Iredale: 14 passesIredale and Levitt: 15 passesSmith: 18 completed passesIredale: 27 completed passesMiller: 16 completed passesBushiri: 12 completed passesC. Cadden: 13 completed passesObita: 8 completed passesTriantis: 18 completed passesLevitt: 31 completed passesBoyle: 7 completed passesKukharevych: 12 completed passesHoilett: 15 completed passes13152331221266109923SmithIredaleMillerBushiriC. CaddenObitaTriantisLevittBoyleKukharevychHoilettStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserGogic11
GogicFraser9
PhillipsAlebiosu9
FraserAlebiosu7
HemmingMandron6

Hibernian

FromToPasses
SmithIredale11
IredaleLevitt10
LevittMiller8
IredaleHoilett8
LevittTriantis8

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

5+0.17+0.617+3.87+0.27+1.87+0.56−1.23−2.15−1.75−2.85−0.32−2.71−2.22−2.69+3.27+3.41−2.53+0.15+1.42−1.82−0.72+0.11−0.32+0.83+0.71+0.10−0.61−0.10−0.51+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Hibernian

7+2.48+1.325+9.311+3.49+3.913+6.49+3.35−1.320+13.312+5.62−2.75+0.730.04−1.36+1.25+1.42−1.62−0.22−1.42−2.43+1.00−1.52+0.90−1.43+0.91+0.40−0.50−0.70−0.30−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.020.010.010.050.020.010.010.030.040.010.010.020.040.020.010.030.05−0.01−0.020.040.090.01−0.06−0.010.130.17LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.010.020.020.010.040.010.020.080.020.020.04−0.020.030.07−0.010.09−0.120.050.070.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.30 → 1.28Hibernian1.46 → 1.47Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.31 → 1.33Hibernian1.18 → 1.17

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenHibernian
Expected goals1.341.26
Win38%34%
Expected Points1.421.31
Clean sheet28%26%

St. Mirren 38%Draw 28%Hibernian 34%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 54%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+8%9%6%2%9%8%3%1%7%8%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%1%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 14 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. W2–010 MayDundee United (A)xG 2.18–1.47
  2. W1–03 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.22–0.47
  3. D2–226 AprRangers (H)xG 1.90–1.27
  4. W3–212 AprRoss County (H)xG 2.16–1.43
  5. L0–25 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.35–0.65
  6. W5–129 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.74–1.29

Hibernian

  1. L1–310 MayCeltic (A)xG 0.82–2.26
  2. W3–13 MayDundee United (H)xG 1.73–1.35
  3. L0–126 AprAberdeen (A)xG 0.93–0.83
  4. W4–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 2.00–0.14
  5. W2–05 AprRangers (A)xG 0.52–1.36
  6. W3–029 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–0.02

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenHibernian
Position6th3rd
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost14–⁠6–⁠1615–⁠11–⁠10
Points48 (1.33 per game)56 (1.56 per game)
Expected Points per game1.321.55
Goals50–⁠5658–⁠46
xG per game1.30–⁠1.451.54–⁠1.27
Home: points, xG per game1.47, 1.24–⁠1.231.94, 1.75–⁠1.07
Away: points, xG per game1.18, 1.36–⁠1.701.17, 1.34–⁠1.47
ManagerStephen Robinson (69)David Gray (38)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Mirren1.30, 6thHibernian1.46, 3rdDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.31, 5thHibernian1.18, 3rd

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Mirren attack: 1.30Hibernian attack: 1.461.461.30HibernianSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Mirren defence: 1.31Hibernian defence: 1.181.311.18

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−12%−10%−8%−16%
Counter-attacks−17%−13%+24%+21%
Set pieces−10%+13%+29%−10%
Penalties+40%+80%+60%average
Headers−8%−4%+9%−18%
Left side−16%−17%+12%−20%
Centre−11%−3%+6%−8%
Right side−10%+9%−3%−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdHibernian concededLeft side−16%−8%Centre−11%−8%Right side−10%−20%Open play−12%−16%Counter-attacks−17%+21%Set pieces−10%−10%Headers−8%−18%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side+12%+9%Centre+6%−3%Right side−3%−17%Open play−8%−10%Counter-attacks+24%−13%Set pieces+29%+13%Headers+9%−4%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenHibernian

1.30xG1.54
1.45xG against1.27
43%Possession45%
11.6Shots12.5
11.6Shots against11.4
4.2Shots on target4.1
2.1Big chances2.5
21.0Touches in the opposition box22.5
294Passes332
65%Pass accuracy73%
4.8Corners5.7
45%Field tilt47%
31.8Final-third entries33.5
9.5Box entries10.1
15.0Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.221.26
Ahead221.311.58
Behind201.481.78

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level381.511.18
Ahead321.501.17
Behind201.691.60

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.257–7
16–300.170.168–6
31–450.310.1713–8
46–600.230.177–8
61–750.160.295–14
76–900.260.4110–13

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.217–8
16–300.320.2113–5
31–450.220.1610–8
46–600.170.174–6
61–750.340.169–2
76–900.330.3515–17

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTBalcombe 21Hemming 15Fraser 33Idowu 1Alebiosu 1Gogic 31Iacovitti 8Taylor 29Dunne 4Bwomono 15Alebiosu 10Rooney 6Phillips 33Adeniran 2Boyd-M… 20Boyd-MunceSmyth 6McMena… 5McMenaminO'Hara 29Idowu 9Gogic 1Tanser 19John 13Brown 3Olusanya 26Idowu 2van Veen 2Mandron 16Kiltie 13Ayunga 123-5-2 in 19 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (19), 3-4-3 (9), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTSmith 23Bursik 13O'Hora 29Miller 7Boyle 5Bushiri 24Ekpiteta 12Iredale 23C. Cadden 21Miller 14Obita 1Triantis 26Kwon 5Moriah-Welsh 3Newell 15Obita 11Levitt 9N. Cadden 14Kwon 7Triantis 5Campbell 13Hoilett 8Boyle 5Kukharevych 18Bowie 4Campbell 2Boyle 17Hoilett 9Gayle 73-4-1-2 in 17 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (17), 4-2-3-1 (7), 4-3-3 (5), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 February 2025St. Mirren0–0HibernianxG 0.70–0.37
9 November 2024Hibernian1–2St. MirrenxG 2.28–2.18
4 August 2024St. Mirren3–0HibernianxG 1.20–1.58
3 February 2024Hibernian0–3St. MirrenxG 0.41–2.40
8 November 2023St. Mirren2–2HibernianxG 1.60–0.89
6 August 2023Hibernian2–3St. MirrenxG 1.41–1.55

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 6, Hibernian won 7, and 4 were drawn. Goals 20–21 and xG 1.12–1.21 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Olusanya262,045820.440.03
Mandron161,639720.300.15
Ayunga121,117340.330.08
Smyth6665400.270.13

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Bowie4552510.510.06
Kukharevych191,410500.520.02
Hoilett171,405420.280.25
N. Cadden191,614560.240.28

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.