Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

St. Johnstone 2–1 Ross County

Saturday 10 May 2025, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 36 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 4,355

St. Johnstone Balodis 31', Watt 60'

Ross County Samuel 41' · Ashworth sent off 90+11'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Goals21
xG1.900.65
Expected Points2.260.52

St. Johnstone 68%Draw 22%Ross County 10%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Final score 2–1, 12%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+6%5%1%3%4%9%7%2%4%3%1%14%12%15%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTAshworth (Ross County), red card 90+11'Kirk on for Ikpeazu, 74'Griffith on for McPake, 88'White on for Phillips, 66'Campbell on for Lopata and Smith on for Harmon, 73'Balodis 31'Watt 60'Samuel 41'St. Johnstone 1.90Ross County 0.6500.511.520153045607590HTAshworth (Ross County), red card 90+11'Kirk on for Ikpeazu, 74'Griffith on for McPake, 88'White on for Phillips, 66'Campbell on for Lopata and Smith on for Harmon, 73'Balodis 31'Watt 60'Samuel 41'1.900.65St. JohnstoneRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneRoss County

1.90 +0.88xG0.65 −0.38
1.25 +0.24xG on target0.76 −0.19
21 +11Shots9 −1
6 +2.9Shots on target1 −2.3
2 +0.6Big chances1 −0.3
27 +11Touches in the opposition box18 +2
61% +8Possession39% −1
400 −34Passes252 −36
74% −4Pass accuracy56% −8
61% +15Field tilt39% +2
41 +6Final-third entries27 −2
15 +6.4Box entries5 −2.3
10.0 −5Passes per defensive action9.6 −6
4 −0.1Corners4 −0.8
17 +2Tackles18 0
3 −4.9Interceptions11 +0.9
41 +9Clearances29 −10
0 −3.0Saves4 +1.0
12 +1Fouls17 +7
1 −0.6Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Curtis 28', 0.38 xGIkpeazu 51', 0.31 xGSidibeh 60', 0.14 xGKirk 80', 0.13 xGKirk 90+10', 0.12 xGKirk 85', 0.09 xGCurtis 57', 0.08 xGSidibeh 90+9', 0.08 xGCurtis 4', 0.05 xGWatt 69', 0.05 xGWatt 5', 0.03 xGSidibeh 33', 0.03 xGMcPake 66', 0.03 xGSidibeh 9', 0.02 xGCurtis 57', 0.02 xGDouglas 59', 0.02 xGIkpeazu 59', 0.02 xGIkpeazu 71', 0.02 xGSidibeh 77', 0.02 xGWatt 60', 0.21 xG, goalBalodis 31', 0.05 xG, goal16%0.31 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.31 xG, 0 goals55%1.06 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 1.06 xG, 2 goals11%0.21 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals10%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals7%0.13 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Samuel 36', 0.10 xGNightingale 82', 0.10 xGPhillips 13', 0.04 xGHale 39', 0.03 xGNisbet 75', 0.03 xGHarmon 23', 0.02 xGAshworth 87', 0.02 xGNisbet 90+8', 0.02 xGSamuel 41', 0.29 xG, goal44%0.29 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.29 xG, 1 goal15%0.10 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 0 goals9%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals29%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneRoss County

1.45 13 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.40 5 shots, 1 goal
0.34 4 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.10 1 shot, 0 goals
0.11 4 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.15 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
50 min (50%) · St. Johnstone 1.33, Ross County 0.06 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
51 min (50%) · St. Johnstone 0.57, Ross County 0.59 xG

Line-ups

123430377441991624FisherSpranglerBalodisDouglasCurtisHoltWattStevenIkpeazuSidibehMcPakeGoalGoalYellow card74'88'St. Johnstone 3-4-3Simo Valakari1842035152381125169AmissahWrightLopataNightingaleAshworthNisbetRandallPhillipsSamuelHarmonHaleYellow cardSent offGoalYellow card73'66'73'Ross County 4-2-3-1Don Cowie

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 74' Kirk for Ikpeazu
  • 88' Griffith for McPake

Ross County substitutes

  • 66' White for Phillips
  • 73' Smith for Harmon
  • 73' Campbell for Lopata

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
FisherGK900.000.0000.0640
SpranglerCB900.000.0100.0997
BalodisCB9010.050.0000.0327
DouglasCB900.020.0100.09918
CurtisRWB900.530.2620.0486
HoltCM900.000.0320.0273
Watt CM90110.290.1620.16910
StevenLWB900.000.0500.0234
IkpeazuRW740.340.0440.0422
SidibehST900.290.221−0.0324
McPakeLW8810.030.5650.5151
KirkFW160.340.0000.0213
GriffithMF20.000.0000.0001

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AmissahGK900.000.0000.0000
Wright RB900.000.0100.0026
LopataCB730.000.0700.1057
NightingaleCB900.100.1200.15314
Ashworth LB900.020.2620.01112
NisbetDM900.050.0100.0235
RandallDM900.000.1810.1469
PhillipsRW6610.040.5120.1921
SamuelAM9010.390.0310.0010
HarmonLW730.020.0100.0115
Hale ST900.030.0130.0003
WhiteFW240.000.1600.0500
SmithDF170.000.010−0.0921
CampbellDF170.000.0100.0231

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Fisher and Sprangler: 6 passesFisher and Watt: 6 passesBalodis and Holt: 6 passesDouglas and Ikpeazu: 6 passesWatt and Sidibeh: 6 passesSteven and Watt: 7 passesBalodis and Douglas: 8 passesDouglas and McPake: 8 passesBalodis and Watt: 9 passesCurtis and Watt: 9 passesWatt and Holt: 10 passesFisher and Balodis: 11 passesSprangler and Watt: 11 passesSprangler and Holt: 11 passesWatt and McPake: 13 passesFisher and Douglas: 14 passesSprangler and Curtis: 15 passesDouglas and Watt: 15 passesCurtis and Holt: 16 passesFisher: 21 completed passesSprangler: 32 completed passesBalodis: 27 completed passesDouglas: 34 completed passesCurtis: 27 completed passesSteven: 17 completed passesWatt: 47 completed passesHolt: 34 completed passesIkpeazu: 13 completed passesSidibeh: 11 completed passesMcPake: 21 completed passes123430371944791624FisherSpranglerBalodisDouglasCurtisStevenWattHoltIkpeazuSidibehMcPakeStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Ross County

Wright and Nisbet: 3 passesLopata and Samuel: 3 passesLopata and Hale: 3 passesAshworth and Nisbet: 3 passesLopata and Randall: 4 passesPhillips and Samuel: 4 passesSamuel and Hale: 4 passesNisbet and Randall: 5 passesLopata and Nightingale: 7 passesNightingale and Ashworth: 7 passesAshworth and Randall: 8 passesAmissah: 1 completed passesWright: 9 completed passesLopata: 15 completed passesNightingale: 12 completed passesAshworth: 13 completed passesNisbet: 12 completed passesRandall: 14 completed passesPhillips: 6 completed passesSamuel: 6 completed passesHarmon: 4 completed passesHale: 5 completed passes1842035152381125169AmissahWrightLopataNightingaleAshworthNisbetRandallPhillipsSamuelHarmonHaleStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
DouglasFisher11
HoltCurtis10
DouglasWatt8
SpranglerCurtis8
CurtisSprangler8

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallAshworth6
LopataNightingale5
NightingaleAshworth5
AshworthRandall5
NisbetRandall5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

5−0.315−2.78+0.912+6.56−1.47−0.67+0.312+4.912+4.32−3.15+0.72−1.23−1.53−2.50−2.96+3.25+3.33+0.32−1.60−2.24+2.60−0.91−0.31−0.70−0.70−0.31+0.60−0.30−0.72−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Ross County

5−0.56−1.315−3.990.07+0.94−3.56−1.39+1.15−0.34−0.26+2.27+2.94−1.25+1.44+1.01−0.80−2.93−0.63+0.32+0.30−1.14+3.02−0.22+1.20−0.22+1.62+1.90−0.84−4.23−5.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.010.020.040.020.020.020.050.010.010.030.020.050.010.030.060.040.020.060.040.02−0.010.05−0.110.290.24LessMore

Ross County

0.010.020.010.010.010.020.010.010.030.100.030.020.010.01−0.010.060.020.020.03−0.010.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.01 → 1.04Ross County1.01 → 1.00Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57 → 1.53Ross County1.63 → 1.66

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
11th7%15%+8
Bottom93%84%−9
Ross County
11th65%67%+2
Bottom7%15%+8
Dundee FC
11th28%18%−10
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (10 May 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Expected goals1.441.06
Win45%27%
Expected Points1.631.09
Clean sheet35%24%

St. Johnstone 45%Draw 28%Ross County 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Ross County goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+9%8%5%2%7%2%9%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%2%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 May 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawRoss County win
St. Johnstone
11th7%15%1%–
Bottom93%84%99%>99%
Ross County
11th65%67%73%53%
Bottom7%15%1%–
Dundee FC
11th28%18%26%46%
Bottom1%1%––

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. L0–23 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 1.43–1.39
  2. L2–326 AprMotherwell (A)xG 1.84–2.03
  3. L0–112 AprDundee United (A)xG 0.95–1.17
  4. W1–06 AprCeltic (H)xG 0.52–2.32
  5. L0–329 MarHibernian (A)xG 0.02–2.12
  6. D0–015 MarAberdeen (H)xG 0.64–0.58

Ross County

  1. L1–33 MayHearts (H)xG 1.27–2.19
  2. L0–226 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.27–1.28
  3. L2–312 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.43–2.16
  4. L0–15 AprAberdeen (H)xG 1.19–1.47
  5. L0–130 MarDundee United (H)xG 0.36–1.87
  6. L0–215 MarHearts (A)xG 0.29–1.73

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneRoss County
Position12th11th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠5–⁠229–⁠8–⁠18
Points29 (0.83 per game)35 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.091.08
Goals35–⁠6334–⁠61
xG per game1.02–⁠1.521.03–⁠1.65
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.13–⁠1.471.11, 1.33–⁠1.31
Away: points, xG per game0.67, 0.91–⁠1.570.88, 0.71–⁠2.01
ManagerSimo Valakari (28)Don Cowie (50)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.35AttackSt. Johnstone1.01, 12thRoss County1.01, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.57, 10thRoss County1.63, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Johnstone attack: 1.01Ross County attack: 1.011.011.01Ross CountySt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMaySt. Johnstone defence: 1.57Ross County defence: 1.631.631.57

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−33%+17%−47%+36%
Counter-attacks−62%−4%−32%−11%
Set pieces−13%average−8%−8%
Penalties+2%−19%+63%+2%
Headers−23%+14%−44%+9%
Left side−24%+28%−20%average
Centre−36%+8%−37%+21%
Right side−24%−4%−43%+32%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdRoss County concededLeft side−24%+32%Centre−36%+21%Right side−24%averageOpen play−33%+36%Counter-attacks−62%−11%Set pieces−13%−8%Headers−23%+9%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−20%−4%Centre−37%+8%Right side−43%+28%Open play−47%+17%Counter-attacks−32%−4%Set pieces−8%averageHeaders−44%+14%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneRoss County

1.02xG1.03
1.52xG against1.65
53%Possession40%
10.2Shots10.0
13.9Shots against15.0
3.1Shots on target3.3
1.4Big chances1.3
16.0Touches in the opposition box15.9
434Passes288
77%Pass accuracy64%
4.1Corners4.8
46%Field tilt37%
35.5Final-third entries29.3
8.6Box entries7.3
15.4Passes per defensive action15.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level351.051.60
Ahead140.991.56
Behind401.001.44

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.071.48
Ahead170.971.32
Behind281.002.13

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.184–8
16–300.090.282–14
31–450.210.226–10
46–600.210.277–14
61–750.130.187–6
76–900.270.409–11

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.162–4
16–300.170.206–7
31–450.220.345–17
46–600.160.258–7
61–750.130.273–7
76–900.230.4310–19

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRae 13Fisher 12Sinclair 10Cameron 12Wright 11Balodis 10Sanders 21Mitchell 6Kucheriavyi 1Mikulic 13Douglas 8Curtis 9Wright 9Clark 7Smith 14Carey 11MacPhers… 3MacPhersonSprangler 24Kirk 4Clark 3Holt 20Griffith 5Watt 4Raymond 13Wright 9Douglas 3Sidibeh 17Kirk 16Ikpeazu 1Kimpioka 18Clark 8Griffith 23-5-2 in 7 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-3-1-2 (7), 3-4-3 (6), 3-4-2-1 (4), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTAmissah 17Laidlaw 15Hamilton 3Wright 27Tomkinson 10Grieves 1Lopata 28Allardice 2Campbell 17Leak 14Nightingale 3Brown 18Efete 9Wright 7Harmon 13Randall 12Chilvers 8Nisbet 14Ashworth 3Campbell 3Randall 10Harmon 5Nisbet 4Chilvers 13Randall 8Nisbet 4White 17Phillips 7Samuel 3Hale 25Kenneh 3Randall 23-4-1-2 in 10 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (10), 3-5-2 (10), 3-5-1-1 (7), 3-4-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 February 2025St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 1.26–0.26
19 October 2024St. Johnstone3–0Ross CountyxG 3.16–0.26
21 September 2024Ross County3–3St. JohnstonexG 1.28–0.55
15 May 2024St. Johnstone1–1Ross CountyxG 0.58–0.47
3 February 2024Ross County0–1St. JohnstonexG 0.58–0.54
11 November 2023St. Johnstone1–0Ross CountyxG 0.69–0.21

17 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 6, Ross County won 5, and 6 were drawn. Goals 19–19 and xG 1.22–0.80 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Carey151,615330.160.28
Clark181,561620.350.06
Sidibeh191,798320.250.09
Kimpioka191,796620.270.04

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Phillips8666210.360.09
Hale252,0911000.400.04
White202,081600.310.06
Chilvers251,990350.120.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.