Matches › 2023/24

St. Mirren 2–2 Aberdeen

Sunday 27 August 2023, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 7,492

St. Mirren Kiltie 59' (pen), Greive 76'

Aberdeen Hayes 42', Miovski 90+10' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Mirren	Aberdeen
Goals	2	2
xG	1.97	0.87
Non-penalty xG	1.18	0.09
Expected Points	2.26	0.47

St. Mirren 66%Draw 27%Aberdeen 6%

Most likely score 2–1, 26%. Final score 2–2, 3%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.97 +0.55xG0.87 −0.36

1.18Non-penalty xG0.09

2.69 +1.11xG on target1.36 +0.90

13 +2Shots4 −7

6 +3.0Shots on target2 +1.0

4 +1.0Big chances1 0.0

47% +2Possession53% +10

318 +13Passes376 +92

60% −1Pass accuracy61% +7

51% +8Field tilt49% +6

41 +14Final-third entries28 +1

17 +8.5Box entries3 −8.5

13.9 −5Passes per defensive action12.8 0

4 −1.5Corners3 −5.0

17 0Tackles22 +6

12 +7.5Interceptions4 −7.5

21 −9Clearances33 +6

0 −3.0Saves4 +0.5

9 +1.5Fouls14 +1.5

3 +0.5Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenAberdeen

0.53 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.04 1 shot, 0 goals

0.35 2 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.30 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 1 goal

0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–11–12–1

Level: 61 min (60%) · St. Mirren 0.85, Aberdeen 0.05 xG
St. Mirren ahead: 24 min (24%) · St. Mirren 0.04, Aberdeen 0.83 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 17 min (17%) · St. Mirren 1.08, Aberdeen 0.00 xG

Line-ups

St. Mirren substitutes

70' Greive for Kiltie · goal 76'
70' Mandron for Olusanya · 1 assist
81' Bolton for Boyd-Munce
87' Flynn for McMenamin

Aberdeen substitutes

52' McGarry for Hayes
56' Jensen for MacKenzie
57' McGrath for Polvara
77' Morris for Duk

Players

St. Mirren

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Hemming	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Fraser	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	6
Gogic	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	4
Taylor	CB	90			0.03	0.03	0	0.13	11	9
Strain	RWB	90			0.10	0.09	2	0.11	10	5
Baccus	CM	90			0.00	0.28	1	0.20	2	3
Boyd-Munce	CM	81			0.00	0.40	3	0.09	2	4
Tanser	LWB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.08	6	9
McMenamin	RW	87			0.05	0.01	0	0.15	8	3
Olusanya	ST	70			0.70	0.01	0	0.00	2	2
Kiltie	LW	70	1		0.95	0.01	0	−0.01	2	1
Greive	FW	20	1		0.11	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Mandron	FW	20		1	0.00	0.16	1	0.04	2	1
Bolton	DF	9			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	1
Flynn	MF	3			0.04	0.00	0	0.02	1	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Roos	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	2
Rubezic	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.04	5	12
MacDonald	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.04	3	8
MacKenzie	CB	56		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	10
Devlin	RWB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	4	6
Clarkson	CM	90		0.04	0.04	0	0.04	3	5
Shinnie	CM	90		0.00	0.02	0	0.01	1	4
Hayes	LWB	52	1	0.03	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Polvara	AM	57		0.00	0.02	0	−0.02	2	2
Miovski	ST	90	1	0.79	0.01	0	−0.01	1	2
Duk	ST	77		0.00	0.01	0	−0.03	0	1
McGarry	DF	38		0.02	0.04	1	−0.01	1	1
Jensen	DF	34		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	5
McGrath	MF	33		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	3
Morris	MF	13		0.00	0.03	0	0.07	2	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

From	To	Passes
Strain	Baccus	11
Baccus	Strain	10
Strain	McMenamin	9
McMenamin	Strain	8
Taylor	Boyd-Munce	7

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Rubezic	MacDonald	8
MacKenzie	MacDonald	7
MacKenzie	Clarkson	6
Clarkson	MacKenzie	6
Roos	Rubezic	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

Against its average of 2 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Mirren
Top six	43%	41%	−2
11th	9%	10%	+1
Bottom	5%	6%	+1
Aberdeen
Top six	43%	43%	0
11th	8%	7%	−1
Bottom	6%	5%	−1

From the forecast before the match (27 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Mirren	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.37	1.15
Win	41%	31%
Expected Points	1.52	1.20
Clean sheet	32%	25%

St. Mirren 41%Draw 28%Aberdeen 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 27 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Mirren win	Draw	Aberdeen win
St. Mirren
Top six	43%	52%	41%	33%
11th	9%	6%	10%	11%
Bottom	5%	3%	6%	8%
Aberdeen
Top six	43%	34%	43%	54%
11th	8%	11%	7%	6%
Bottom	6%	8%	5%	3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Mirren	Aberdeen
Position	4th	10th
Played	2	2
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠0–⁠0	0–⁠1–⁠1
Points	6 (3.00 per game)	1 (0.50 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.05	0.92
Goals	5–⁠3	1–⁠3
xG per game	1.42–⁠1.86	1.23–⁠1.85
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.28–⁠2.31	0.00, 1.76–⁠2.94
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.55–⁠1.41	1.00, 0.70–⁠0.76
Manager	Steve Robinson (5)	Barry Robson (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Mirren		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−26%	+22%	−14%	+13%
Counter-attacks	+1%	+13%	+38%	−28%
Set pieces	−5%	−34%	+5%	+76%
Penalties	+76%	+111%	−22%	+13%
Headers	+22%	−11%	+7%	+15%
Left side	−22%	+15%	−19%	+26%
Centre	−16%	+17%	−1%	+41%
Right side	−21%	−27%	−16%	−8%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−22%−8%Centre−16%+41%Right side−21%+26%Open play−26%+13%Counter-attacks+1%−28%Set pieces−5%+76%Headers+22%+15%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−19%−27%Centre−1%+17%Right side−16%+15%Open play−14%+22%Counter-attacks+38%+13%Set pieces+5%−34%Headers+7%−11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenAberdeen

1.42xG1.23

1.86xG against1.85

44%Possession43%

11.5Shots11.0

10.5Shots against14.0

3.0Shots on target1.0

3.0Big chances1.0

305Passes284

61%Pass accuracy54%

5.5Corners8.0

43%Field tilt43%

27.0Final-third entries27.0

8.5Box entries11.5

19.4Passes per defensive action13.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	14	3.63	0.25
Ahead	76	0.99	2.16
Behind	0	–	–

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	52	0.74	1.51
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	38	1.91	2.33

xG by period

St. Mirren

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.47	0.02	2–0
16–30	0.31	0.02	1–0
31–45	0.14	0.40	1–0
46–60	0.04	0.14	0–0
61–75	0.23	0.80	0–2
76–90	0.24	0.47	1–1

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.19	0.69	0–1
16–30	0.56	0.09	1–1
31–45	0.23	0.10	0–0
46–60	0.11	0.41	0–0
61–75	0.11	0.18	0–0
76–90	0.02	0.37	0–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Aberdeen

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
24 May 2023	Aberdeen	3–0	St. Mirren	xG 1.53–0.70
1 February 2023	Aberdeen	1–3	St. Mirren	xG 0.94–2.21
24 December 2022	St. Mirren	3–1	Aberdeen	xG 3.27–0.98
6 August 2022	Aberdeen	4–1	St. Mirren	xG 3.37–0.93
15 May 2022	Aberdeen	0–0	St. Mirren	xG 1.16–0.37
25 January 2022	St. Mirren	1–0	Aberdeen	xG 0.13–0.47

11 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 4, Aberdeen won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 14–18 and xG 1.25–1.43 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Greive	12	1,141	5	0	0.35	0.04
O'Hara	35	2,991	11	3	0.26	0.07
Strain	37	3,030	4	5	0.08	0.16
Kiltie	20	2,087	2	2	0.08	0.12

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	39	3,070	17	2	0.50	0.04
Duk	31	2,684	16	3	0.30	0.06
Clarkson	34	2,830	5	8	0.07	0.16
Hayes	25	2,141	1	5	0.06	0.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.