Matches › 2023/24

Hearts 0–1 Motherwell

Sunday 3 September 2023, 15:00 · Tynecastle Park · Round 4 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee Grant Irvine · Attendance 18,353

Motherwell Slattery 29' · McGinn sent off 69'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell
Goals	0	1
xG	1.51	1.14
Expected Points	1.60	1.08

Hearts 43%Draw 31%Motherwell 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 20%. Final score 0–1, 9%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HeartsMotherwell

1.51 +0.50xG1.14 −0.03

0.03 −1.74xG on target0.68 −1.07

18 +7Shots8 −4

1 −4.0Shots on target4 −0.3

1 −1.0Big chances1 −1.0

43 +18Touches in the opposition box19 −1

68% +2Possession32% −21

528 +29Passes245 −132

81% +4Pass accuracy64% −5

58% −9Field tilt42% −14

49 +3Final-third entries19 −12

20 +4.3Box entries13 +5.0

7.6 −2Passes per defensive action18.9 +8

16 +8.3Corners5 −1.0

12 +2Tackles25 +7

4 −3.7Interceptions11 +2.7

18 0Clearances44 +20

3 0.0Saves1 +0.3

10 −2Fouls16 +2

1 0.0Offsides3 +1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Hearts

Motherwell

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HeartsMotherwell

1.17 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.03 6 shots, 1 goal

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.01 1 shot, 0 goals

0.34 7 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.10 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–00–1

Level: 29 min (30%) · Hearts 0.22, Motherwell 0.81 xG
Motherwell ahead: 68 min (70%) · Hearts 1.29, Motherwell 0.34 xG

Line-ups

Hearts substitutes

46' Sibbick for Lowry
46' Tagawa for Oda
72' Vargas for Devlin
89' Forrest for Haring

Motherwell substitutes

75' Zdravkovski for Slattery
81' Shaw for Bair · yellow card 90'
88' McGinley for Miller

Players

Hearts

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Clark	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Atkinson	RB	90	0.02	0.23	3	0.36	14	5
Kent	CB	90	0.14	0.06	0	0.17	5	8
Rowles	CB	90	0.00	0.17	0	0.27	10	5
Cochrane	LB	90	0.04	0.19	4	0.11	5	0
Devlin	DM	72	0.00	0.10	2	0.07	3	5
Haring	DM	89	0.00	0.05	0	0.08	6	4
Oda	RW	46	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	2
Boyce	AM	90	0.15	0.11	1	0.03	6	0
Lowry	LW	46	0.16	0.03	1	0.06	1	0
Shankland	ST	90	0.48	0.03	1	0.02	3	0
Sibbick	DF	44	0.00	0.02	0	0.09	4	4
Tagawa	FW	44	0.47	0.03	0	−0.01	0	1
Vargas	MF	18	0.03	0.13	1	0.06	4	1
Forrest	MF	1	0.02	0.02	0	0.05	3	0

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Kelly	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	2
O'Donnell	RWB	90			0.00	0.03	0	0.10	7	6
McGinn	CB	69			0.00	0.00	0	0.02	4	4
Mugabi	CB	90			0.10	0.00	0	0.00	0	19
Casey	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	13
Spencer	LWB	90			0.00	0.04	1	−0.01	3	8
Paton	RM	90			0.00	0.05	0	0.15	5	7
Slattery	CM	75	1		0.68	0.03	0	−0.01	0	4
Miller	CM	88			0.00	0.01	1	0.00	0	12
Spittal	LM	90		1	0.25	0.42	3	0.20	7	8
Bair	ST	81			0.02	0.03	1	−0.01	1	3
Zdravkovski	MF	15			0.09	0.04	0	0.08	1	4
Shaw	FW	9			0.00	0.01	1	0.02	0	2
McGinley	MF	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hearts

Motherwell

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hearts

From	To	Passes
Rowles	Cochrane	31
Kent	Rowles	25
Rowles	Kent	22
Kent	Atkinson	15
Cochrane	Rowles	15

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
O'Donnell	Slattery	11
Spencer	Spittal	7
Spittal	Paton	6
Spittal	Bair	6
Slattery	Paton	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hearts

Against its average of 3 matches

Motherwell

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hearts

Motherwell

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Hearts
Top six	65%	54%	−11
11th	3%	5%	+2
Bottom	2%	3%	+1
Motherwell
Top six	70%	79%	+9
11th	3%	2%	−1
Bottom	2%	1%	−1

From the forecast before the match (3 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell
Expected goals	1.57	1.10
Win	47%	26%
Expected Points	1.69	1.05
Clean sheet	33%	21%

Hearts 47%Draw 26%Motherwell 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 3 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Hearts win	Draw	Motherwell win
Hearts
Top six	65%	72%	62%	54%
11th	3%	2%	4%	5%
Bottom	2%	1%	2%	3%
Motherwell
Top six	70%	63%	72%	79%
11th	3%	4%	3%	2%
Bottom	2%	2%	2%	1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hearts

Motherwell

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Hearts	Motherwell
Position	8th	3rd
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	1–⁠1–⁠1	2–⁠1–⁠0
Points	4 (1.33 per game)	7 (2.33 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.25	1.28
Goals	2–⁠1	5–⁠3
xG per game	1.01–⁠1.06	1.17–⁠1.17
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 0.39–⁠0.73	3.00, 1.38–⁠0.96
Away: points, xG per game	1.50, 1.31–⁠1.23	1.00, 0.76–⁠1.60
Manager	Frankie McAvoy (3)	Stuart Kettlewell (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Hearts		Motherwell
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−3%	−16%	−8%	−9%
Counter-attacks	+68%	−50%	+1%	−59%
Set pieces	−26%	+70%	−35%	average
Penalties	−28%	−54%	+50%	+24%
Headers	−31%	+28%	−39%	+39%
Left side	−14%	−31%	+8%	−5%
Centre	+4%	+5%	−26%	−23%
Right side	−14%	+51%	−18%	+20%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdMotherwell concededLeft side−14%+20%Centre+4%−23%Right side−14%−5%Open play−3%−9%Counter-attacks+68%−59%Set pieces−26%averageHeaders−31%+39%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdHearts concededLeft side+8%+51%Centre−26%+5%Right side−18%−31%Open play−8%−16%Counter-attacks+1%−50%Set pieces−35%+70%Headers−39%+28%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HeartsMotherwell

1.01xG1.17

1.06xG against1.17

66%Possession53%

11.3Shots12.0

11.7Shots against11.0

5.0Shots on target4.3

2.0Big chances2.0

25.3Touches in the opposition box20.0

499Passes377

78%Pass accuracy69%

7.7Corners6.0

67%Field tilt56%

46.4Final-third entries31.0

15.7Box entries8.0

10.0Passes per defensive action11.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hearts

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	76	0.75	1.14
Ahead	5	3.90	0.42
Behind	9	1.60	0.77

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	59	1.23	0.52
Ahead	16	0.50	3.71
Behind	16	1.63	1.07

xG by period

Hearts

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.00	0.27	0–0
16–30	0.06	0.10	0–0
31–45	0.06	0.10	0–0
46–60	0.12	0.42	0–0
61–75	0.41	0.07	1–1
76–90	0.36	0.11	1–0

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.00	0.13	0–1
16–30	0.11	0.16	0–0
31–45	0.23	0.11	1–0
46–60	0.19	0.29	1–0
61–75	0.16	0.14	1–1
76–90	0.47	0.34	2–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hearts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-3 (1)

Motherwell

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
19 February 2023	Motherwell	2–0	Hearts	xG 1.33–0.94
6 November 2022	Hearts	3–2	Motherwell	xG 2.61–2.25
18 September 2022	Motherwell	0–3	Hearts	xG 2.83–1.92
11 May 2022	Motherwell	2–1	Hearts	xG 1.42–1.31
29 January 2022	Hearts	2–0	Motherwell	xG 1.65–0.76
20 November 2021	Motherwell	2–0	Hearts	xG 2.16–0.30

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Hearts won 4, Motherwell won 3, and 0 were drawn. Goals 11–8 and xG 1.56–1.70 per game.

Key players

Hearts

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Shankland	36	3,308	25	4	0.66	0.12
Grant	10	1,197	2	2	0.23	0.14
Oda	10	751	2	0	0.24	0.06
Forrest	17	1,571	4	0	0.18	0.06

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Efford	5	474	1	1	0.26	0.15
Obika	5	506	1	0	0.25	0.04
Spittal	39	3,131	6	8	0.10	0.18
Slattery	26	2,205	4	2	0.09	0.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.