Matches › 2024/25

Kilmarnock 2–0 Motherwell

Saturday 5 April 2025, 15:00 · The BBSP Stadium Rugby Park · Round 32 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 5,671

Kilmarnock Murray 22', Wright 53'

Motherwell Balmer sent off 26'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Goals	2	0
xG	1.22	0.18
Expected Points	2.24	0.45

Kilmarnock 64%Draw 31%Motherwell 5%

Most likely score 1–0, 31%. Final score 2–0, 19%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

KilmarnockMotherwell

1.22 −0.15xG0.18 −0.90

2.64 +1.47xG on target0.20 −0.95

16 +3.3Shots3 −6.7

9 +5.2Shots on target1 −2.3

2 0.0Big chances0 −1.7

28 +6Touches in the opposition box16 −2

54% +9Possession46% +6

355 +38Passes308 0

76% +10Pass accuracy65% −4

80% +35Field tilt20% −14

36 +4Final-third entries18 −8

16 +5.8Box entries3 −4.5

10.5 −4Passes per defensive action23.8 +5

7 +1.2Corners2 −2.5

18 +3Tackles24 +8

10 +1.2Interceptions7 −1.0

49 +14Clearances29 −4

1 −1.6Saves7 +3.4

11 +1Fouls9 −2

2 +0.7Offsides1 −0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

KilmarnockMotherwell

0.69 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.12 1 shot, 0 goals

0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.45 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.05 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 22 min (22%) · Kilmarnock 0.35, Motherwell 0.14 xG
Kilmarnock ahead: 79 min (78%) · Kilmarnock 0.88, Motherwell 0.04 xG

Line-ups

Kilmarnock substitutes

59' Ramsay for Mayo
68' Watson for McKenzie
88' Deas for Findlay
88' Donnelly for Lyons
88' Kennedy for Murray

Motherwell substitutes

54' Tavares for Andrews
70' Maswanhise for Armstrong
70' Dickson for Thompson
77' Koutroumbis for Slattery

Players

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
O'Hara	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	1
Mayo	RB	59			0.00	0.01	0	0.05	4	9
Wright	CB	90	1		0.18	0.00	0	0.03	5	15
Findlay	CB	88			0.09	0.01	0	0.06	4	13
Ndaba	LB	90			0.10	0.03	0	0.05	3	14
Armstrong	RM	90		1	0.02	0.57	3	0.19	9	1
McKenzie	CM	68			0.00	0.06	2	0.06	1	6
Lyons	CM	88			0.00	0.02	0	0.01	3	5
Wales	LM	90			0.29	0.11	0	0.07	3	2
Murray	ST	88	1		0.32	0.06	1	0.14	6	6
Anderson	ST	90			0.16	0.04	2	0.06	1	0
Ramsay	DF	31			0.07	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Watson	MF	22			0.00	0.01	2	0.01	3	3
Deas	DF	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Donnelly	MF	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Kennedy	MF	2			0.00	0.08	2	0.02	0	1

Motherwell

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Balcombe	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	2
O'Donnell	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	4	7
Balmer	CB	26	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	4
Casey	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	3	20
Sparrow	RWB	90	0.00	0.02	0	−0.02	5	8
Halliday	CM	90	0.04	0.01	0	0.01	3	2
Andrews	CM	54	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	1	1
Thompson	LWB	70	0.02	0.01	0	0.04	6	3
Miller	AM	90	0.12	0.02	0	0.01	0	5
Slattery	AM	77	0.00	0.09	2	0.05	1	1
Armstrong	ST	70	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
Tavares	MF	36	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	5
Maswanhise	FW	20	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Dickson	FW	20	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Koutroumbis	DF	13	0.00	0.03	0	0.04	3	3

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Wright	Mayo	14
Lyons	Armstrong	8
Findlay	Wright	8
Mayo	Armstrong	7
Mayo	Wright	7

Motherwell

From	To	Passes
O'Donnell	Miller	7
Sparrow	O'Donnell	6
Miller	Halliday	6
Balcombe	Casey	6
Casey	Thompson	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 31 matches

Motherwell

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
11th	22%	14%	−8
Bottom	3%	1%	−2
Motherwell
Top six	13%	5%	−8
11th	4%	6%	+2
Hearts
Top six	64%	70%	+6
Dundee FC
11th	48%	51%	+3
Bottom	11%	11%	0

From the forecast before the match (5 April 2025): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Expected goals	1.64	1.05
Win	51%	24%
Expected Points	1.78	0.96
Clean sheet	35%	19%

Kilmarnock 51%Draw 26%Motherwell 24%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 5 April 2025: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Kilmarnock win	Draw	Motherwell win
Kilmarnock
11th	22%	14%	26%	33%
Bottom	3%	1%	3%	6%
Motherwell
Top six	13%	5%	9%	34%
11th	4%	6%	3%	1%
Hearts
Top six	64%	70%	69%	48%
Dundee FC
11th	48%	51%	46%	42%
Bottom	11%	11%	10%	11%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Kilmarnock	Motherwell
Position	10th	8th
Played	31	31
Won, drawn, lost	8–⁠8–⁠15	11–⁠5–⁠15
Points	32 (1.03 per game)	38 (1.23 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.29	1.07
Goals	35–⁠53	37–⁠54
xG per game	1.37–⁠1.50	1.08–⁠1.60
Home: points, xG per game	1.53, 1.76–⁠1.23	1.47, 1.14–⁠1.54
Away: points, xG per game	0.56, 1.01–⁠1.75	1.00, 1.02–⁠1.66
Manager	Derek McInnes (107)	Michael Wimmer (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Kilmarnock		Motherwell
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−11%	+5%	−30%	+21%
Counter-attacks	−48%	−4%	−37%	−14%
Set pieces	+20%	+18%	+3%	+7%
Penalties	+24%	−17%	−59%	+3%
Headers	−3%	−6%	+23%	+18%
Left side	+1%	average	−42%	+33%
Centre	−12%	+13%	−15%	+4%
Right side	−1%	+3%	−14%	+15%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdMotherwell concededLeft side+1%+15%Centre−12%+4%Right side−1%+33%Open play−11%+21%Counter-attacks−48%−14%Set pieces+20%+7%Headers−3%+18%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdKilmarnock concededLeft side−42%+3%Centre−15%+13%Right side−14%averageOpen play−30%+5%Counter-attacks−37%−4%Set pieces+3%+18%Headers+23%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

KilmarnockMotherwell

1.37xG1.08

1.50xG against1.60

45%Possession40%

12.7Shots9.7

12.7Shots against14.6

3.8Shots on target3.3

2.0Big chances1.7

22.4Touches in the opposition box17.6

317Passes308

66%Pass accuracy69%

5.8Corners4.5

45%Field tilt34%

32.2Final-third entries26.2

10.2Box entries7.5

14.5Passes per defensive action19.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	42	1.38	1.53
Ahead	16	1.60	1.38
Behind	32	1.26	1.52

Motherwell

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	37	1.26	1.59
Ahead	24	0.80	1.52
Behind	29	1.07	1.70

xG by period

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.24	0.24	5–5
16–30	0.22	0.20	3–7
31–45	0.14	0.26	2–9
46–60	0.16	0.25	7–9
61–75	0.26	0.22	7–10
76–90	0.35	0.31	11–13

Motherwell

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.15	0.24	6–7
16–30	0.24	0.23	10–8
31–45	0.15	0.33	8–8
46–60	0.14	0.31	2–11
61–75	0.14	0.16	3–7
76–90	0.26	0.34	8–13

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Kilmarnock

Formations: 4-4-2 (15), 3-4-1-2 (5), 4-3-3 (3), 3-4-2-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1)

Motherwell

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (10), 3-5-2 (9), 3-4-3 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 5-3-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
8 January 2025	Kilmarnock	0–0	Motherwell	xG 1.72–0.39
20 December 2024	Motherwell	1–1	Kilmarnock	xG 0.76–1.03
3 February 2024	Motherwell	1–1	Kilmarnock	xG 1.14–0.24
4 November 2023	Kilmarnock	1–0	Motherwell	xG 1.95–0.61
26 August 2023	Motherwell	2–1	Kilmarnock	xG 2.15–1.05
6 May 2023	Motherwell	2–0	Kilmarnock	xG 1.67–0.43

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Kilmarnock won 4, Motherwell won 4, and 5 were drawn. Goals 15–14 and xG 1.12–1.05 per game.

Key players

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Anderson	10	1,050	9	0	0.79	0.06
Kennedy	13	1,115	4	1	0.16	0.32
Watkins	22	1,886	4	1	0.37	0.04
Vassell	19	1,425	2	1	0.32	0.09

Motherwell

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Ebiye	3	588	2	0	0.42	0.04
Armstrong	6	470	2	0	0.38	0.01
Stamatelopoulos	13	897	5	1	0.34	0.04
Miller	25	2,175	2	6	0.13	0.20

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.