Digressive Celts

Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 1–1 Dundee United

Saturday 10 August 2024, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 2 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 4,169

Ross County Hale 90+5'

Dundee United Babunski 48'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee United
Goals11
xG2.231.34
Non-penalty xG1.441.34
Expected Points2.030.72

Ross County 59%Draw 25%Dundee United 16%

Most likely score 2–1, 15%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+2%1%4%10%6%2%7%3%4%10%7%2%2%4%3%1%15%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTChilvers on for Brophy and Samuel on for Denholm, 64'White on for Allardice, 74'Brown on for Efete and Robesten on for Grieves, 83'Moult on for van der Sande, 66'Ubochioma on for Babunski, 80'Odada on for Trapanovski, 81'Hale 90+5'Babunski 48'Ross County 2.23Dundee United 1.3401230153045607590HTChilvers on for Brophy and Samuel on for Denholm, 64'White on for Allardice, 74'Brown on for Efete and Robesten on for Grieves, 83'Moult on for van der Sande, 66'Ubochioma on for Babunski, 80'Odada on for Trapanovski, 81'Hale 90+5'Babunski 48'2.231.34Ross CountyDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee United

2.23 +1.92xG1.34 −0.87
1.44Non-penalty xG1.34
2.00 +1.67xG on target0.95 −2.39
21 +14.0Shots12 −3.0
5 +2.0Shots on target2 −7.0
3 +2.0Big chances1 −2.0
23 +10Touches in the opposition box22 −3
57% +7Possession43% +6
376 −11Passes280 +35
75% +8Pass accuracy66% +9
57% +5Field tilt43% +7
48 +9Final-third entries27 −1
10 +3.0Box entries6 −8.0
12.4 +2.5Passes per defensive action15.4 −2.9
7 +4.0Corners5 0.0
16 −2Tackles23 +2
2 −12.0Interceptions6 −2.0
35 −6Clearances29 +3
1 −2.0Saves4 +2.0
11 0.0Fouls13 +5.0
0 0.0Offsides2 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Efete 37', 0.18 xGGrieves 33', 0.12 xGWright 50', 0.08 xGHale 25', 0.06 xGDenholm 34', 0.06 xGHale 37', 0.06 xGBrophy 5', 0.05 xGWright 85', 0.05 xGEfete 32', 0.03 xGAllardice 33', 0.03 xGHale 60', 0.03 xGGrieves 21', 0.02 xGHale 21', 0.02 xGAllardice 23', 0.02 xGEfete 40', 0.02 xGHale 60', 0.02 xGWhite 85', 0.02 xGRandall 90+3', 0.02 xGBrophy 4', 0.01 xGHale 90+5', 0.56 xG, goal18%0.26 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals58%0.84 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.84 xG, 1 goal4%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals19%0.27 xGEdge of the box: 9 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Thomson 1', 0.61 xGSibbald 87', 0.18 xGTrapanovski 70', 0.17 xGSibbald 61', 0.05 xGTrapanovski 61', 0.04 xGBabunski 62', 0.04 xGMoult 75', 0.03 xGSevelj 80', 0.03 xGSevelj 56', 0.02 xGTrapanovski 70', 0.02 xGMoult 90+6', 0.01 xGBabunski 48', 0.14 xG, goal46%0.61 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.61 xG, 0 goals43%0.57 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals7%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee United

0.98 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.80 7 shots, 0 goals
0.46 9 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.54 5 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (51%) · Ross County 1.45, Dundee United 0.76 xG
Dundee United ahead
47 min (49%) · Ross County 0.78, Dundee United 0.58 xG

Line-ups

12443516158614279LaidlawEfeteWrightNightingaleHarmonDenholmRandallAllardiceGrievesBrophyHaleYellow cardGoal83'64'74'83'64'Ross County 4-4-2Don Cowie116314514101129720WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltSeveljSibbaldBabunskiFerryThomsonTrapanovskivan der SandeYellow cardYellow cardGoal80'81'66'Dundee United 3-4-2-1Jim Goodwin

Ross County substitutes

  • 64' Chilvers for Brophy
  • 64' Samuel for Denholm · 1 assist
  • 74' White for Allardice
  • 83' Brown for Efete
  • 83' Robesten for Grieves

Dundee United substitutes

  • 66' Moult for van der Sande
  • 80' Ubochioma for Babunski
  • 81' Odada for Trapanovski

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0223
EfeteRB830.230.0000.0341
WrightCB900.130.0000.02113
NightingaleCB900.000.0100.08311
HarmonLB900.000.4950.1295
DenholmRM640.060.1320.3541
Randall CM900.020.0310.081210
AllardiceCM740.050.2410.0472
GrievesLM830.140.0120.0233
BrophyST640.850.0000.0011
HaleST9010.740.0300.0842
ChilversMF260.000.0600.0931
SamuelFW2610.000.3410.1411
WhiteFW160.020.0100.0111
BrownMF70.000.1010.0751
RobestenFW70.000.0000.0003

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WaltonGK900.000.0000.0112
Adegboyega CB900.000.0000.0119
GallagherCB900.000.000−0.08311
Holt CB900.000.1510.02110
SeveljRWB900.050.0100.0675
SibbaldCM900.230.0210.0315
BabunskiCM8010.180.1910.0115
FerryLWB9010.000.3020.32114
ThomsonAM900.610.0110.0455
TrapanovskiAM810.230.0210.0442
van der SandeST660.000.5910.1822
MoultFW240.050.221−0.0202
UbochiomaFW100.000.0000.0001
OdadaMF90.000.0000.0003

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Efete and Allardice: 4 passesEfete and Brophy: 4 passesNightingale and Denholm: 4 passesAllardice and Brophy: 4 passesHale and Brophy: 4 passesEfete and Harmon: 5 passesHarmon and Randall: 5 passesHarmon and Hale: 5 passesDenholm and Hale: 5 passesWright and Randall: 6 passesRandall and Allardice: 6 passesAllardice and Grieves: 6 passesAllardice and Hale: 6 passesEfete and Randall: 9 passesWright and Allardice: 9 passesDenholm and Allardice: 9 passesEfete and Wright: 11 passesHarmon and Allardice: 11 passesNightingale and Harmon: 14 passesHarmon and Denholm: 14 passesNightingale and Allardice: 15 passesNightingale and Wright: 17 passesLaidlaw: 4 completed passesEfete: 22 completed passesNightingale: 33 completed passesWright: 29 completed passesHarmon: 36 completed passesDenholm: 18 completed passesRandall: 18 completed passesAllardice: 38 completed passesGrieves: 8 completed passesHale: 11 completed passesBrophy: 5 completed passes12435416158614927LaidlawEfeteNightingaleWrightHarmonDenholmRandallAllardiceGrievesHaleBrophyStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee United

Walton and Gallagher: 3 passesAdegboyega and Thomson: 3 passesGallagher and Holt: 3 passesGallagher and Sevelj: 3 passesSevelj and Ferry: 3 passesSevelj and Babunski: 3 passesBabunski and Sibbald: 3 passesSibbald and Trapanovski: 3 passesTrapanovski and van der Sande: 3 passesHolt and Sibbald: 4 passesFerry and van der Sande: 4 passesWalton and Adegboyega: 5 passesAdegboyega and Gallagher: 5 passesSevelj and Sibbald: 5 passesFerry and Sibbald: 5 passesBabunski and Trapanovski: 5 passesBabunski and Thomson: 5 passesGallagher and Ferry: 6 passesGallagher and Babunski: 7 passesHolt and Ferry: 7 passesSevelj and Thomson: 10 passesFerry and Babunski: 12 passesAdegboyega and Sevelj: 13 passesFerry and Trapanovski: 14 passesWalton: 10 completed passesAdegboyega: 15 completed passesGallagher: 18 completed passesHolt: 12 completed passesSevelj: 18 completed passesFerry: 28 completed passesBabunski: 20 completed passesSibbald: 13 completed passesTrapanovski: 13 completed passesThomson: 12 completed passesvan der Sande: 6 completed passes116314511101472920WaltonAdegboyegaGallagherHoltSeveljFerryBabunskiSibbaldTrapanovskiThomsonvan der SandeStarters until 66' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
NightingaleHarmon15
WrightNightingale14
HarmonDenholm9
NightingaleWright8
AllardiceNightingale8

Dundee United

FromToPasses
FerryTrapanovski11
FerryBabunski9
BabunskiFerry9
SeveljThomson7
AdegboyegaSevelj7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

6−3.08+4.018−4.09−4.090.080.060.050.04−4.04−4.08+1.05+1.01−3.07+3.02−2.01−3.03−1.06+3.01−3.03+2.03−1.010.020.02−3.01+1.000.01+1.000.02+1.00−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Dundee United

7+4.07−1.017−1.09+4.080.08+2.09+5.06+5.010+2.07−4.06+2.04−1.04+1.08+3.040.03+3.03−1.00−2.06+4.04+3.000.00−1.010.03+3.020.000.00−1.000.010.03−5.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 1 match

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.010.020.030.050.050.030.050.010.050.020.030.110.010.060.040.020.04−0.010.140.150.19LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.020.010.050.040.01−0.040.060.020.04−0.110.33LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRoss County1.01 → 1.03Dundee United1.07 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.57 → 1.55Dundee United1.59 → 1.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six13%11%−2
11th20%19%−1
Bottom20%21%+1
Dundee United
Top six17%17%0
11th17%17%0
Bottom22%22%0

From the forecast before the match (10 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee United
Expected goals1.421.14
Win43%30%
Expected Points1.561.17
Clean sheet32%24%

Ross County 43%Draw 28%Dundee United 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee United goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 10 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee United win
Ross County
Top six13%17%11%9%
11th20%18%19%24%
Bottom20%14%21%27%
Dundee United
Top six17%12%17%25%
11th17%19%17%15%
Bottom22%29%22%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D0–03 AugMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–1.20
  2. D2–219 MayAberdeen (H)xG 2.30–1.30
  3. D1–115 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.47–0.58
  4. L1–511 MayMotherwell (H)xG 1.21–1.65
  5. W2–14 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.83–2.55
  6. L0–227 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.99–1.46

Dundee United

  1. D2–24 AugDundee FC (H)xG 2.21–2.42
  2. L2–328 MayMotherwell (A)xG 2.81–2.15
  3. L0–324 MayKilmarnock (H)xG 0.99–1.90
  4. L1–220 MayLivingston (A)xG 1.17–1.06
  5. L1–313 MayRoss County (H)xG 2.19–3.37
  6. L0–16 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.26–1.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee United
Position9th4th
Played11
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠1–⁠00–⁠1–⁠0
Points1 (1.00 per game)1 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.541.20
Goals0–⁠02–⁠2
xG per game0.31–⁠1.202.21–⁠2.42
Home: points, xG per game–⁠1.00, 2.21–⁠2.42
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.31–⁠1.20–⁠
ManagerDon Cowie (16)Jim Goodwin (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.34AttackRoss County1.01, 11thDundee United1.07, 10thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.57, 9thDundee United1.59, 12th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−28%+19%+9%+2%
Counter-attacks−38%−2%+45%+26%
Set pieces−37%−1%−10%−6%
Penalties−89%−24%−17%+183%
Headers−26%−23%−2%−2%
Left side−25%+6%+31%−10%
Centre−34%+20%+9%+16%
Right side−33%−1%−11%−9%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−25%−9%Centre−34%+16%Right side−33%−10%Open play−28%+2%Counter-attacks−38%+26%Set pieces−37%−6%Headers−26%−2%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side+31%−1%Centre+9%+20%Right side−11%+6%Open play+9%+19%Counter-attacks+45%−2%Set pieces−10%−1%Headers−2%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee United

0.31xG2.21
1.20xG against2.42
50%Possession37%
7.0Shots15.0
12.0Shots against14.0
3.0Shots on target9.0
1.0Big chances3.0
13.0Touches in the opposition box25.0
387Passes245
67%Pass accuracy58%
3.0Corners5.0
52%Field tilt36%
39.0Final-third entries28.0
7.0Box entries14.0
9.9Passes per defensive action18.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level900.311.20
Ahead0––
Behind0––

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level293.761.64
Ahead611.482.79
Behind0––

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.020.000–0
16–300.060.970–0
31–450.070.100–0
46–600.040.040–0
61–750.070.020–0
76–900.060.070–0

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.530.001–0
16–300.560.791–1
31–450.270.080–0
46–600.600.120–0
61–750.130.110–0
76–900.121.320–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTLaidlaw 1Wright 1Nightingale 1Leak 1Brown 1Loturi 1Randall 1Grieves 1Harmon 1White 1Hale 13-5-2 in every start

Dundee United

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTWalton 1Graham 1Gallagher 1Holt 1Sevelj 1Sibbald 1Babunski 1Ferry 1Thomson 1Trapanovski 1van der Sande 13-4-2-1 in every start

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 May 2023Dundee United1–3Ross CountyxG 2.19–3.37
25 February 2023Ross County4–0Dundee UnitedxG 2.57–0.60
28 December 2022Dundee United3–0Ross CountyxG 0.85–0.98
15 October 2022Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.35–1.64
14 May 2022Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.52–2.93
26 January 2022Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 2.96–1.19

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 3, Dundee United won 7, and 2 were drawn. Goals 15–17 and xG 1.39–1.49 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
White262,337530.290.04
Brown272,352120.060.14
Harmon121,209130.110.06
Loturi221,864100.090.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.