Matches › 2024/25

Ross County 0–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 31 August 2024, 17:45 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 4 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Euan Anderson · Attendance 5,480

Aberdeen Nisbet 90+8'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Ross County	Aberdeen
Goals	0	1
xG	1.05	0.35
Non-penalty xG	0.26	0.35
Expected Points	2.15	0.54

Ross County 61%Draw 31%Aberdeen 8%

Most likely score 1–0, 44%. Final score 0–1, 4%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyAberdeen

1.05 +0.12xG0.35 −1.33

0.26Non-penalty xG0.35

0.73 −0.11xG on target0.90 −0.98

8 −3Shots9 −6

4 +0.7Shots on target3 −1.0

1 −0.3Big chances1 −2.3

12 −1Touches in the opposition box14 −14

35% −9Possession65% +13

267 −62Passes494 +118

56% −12Pass accuracy80% +5

29% −13Field tilt71% +13

25 −10Final-third entries47 +10

3 −3.3Box entries12 −3.3

15.0 −2Passes per defensive action9.7 −3

1 −2.3Corners12 +5.0

21 +5Tackles14 −1

9 −0.7Interceptions15 +9.0

27 −6Clearances17 −14

2 −0.3Saves4 +1.3

11 0Fouls13 −1

2 +1.3Offsides3 +1.3

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Ross County

Aberdeen

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.10 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.26 6 shots, 1 goal

0.16 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.09 3 shots, 0 goals

0.79 1 shot, 0 goalsPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–0

Level: 105 min (96%) · Ross County 1.02, Aberdeen 0.35 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 4 min (4%) · Ross County 0.03, Aberdeen 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Ross County substitutes

61' White for Brophy
71' Loturi for Denholm
80' Campbell for Lopata
80' Chilvers for Hale
81' Grieves for Nisbet

Aberdeen substitutes

35' Nisbet for McGrath · goal 90+8'
46' Besuijen for Sokler
72' Ambrose for Gueye
72' Morris for Keskinen · 1 assist
90+10' Milne for Devlin

Players

Ross County

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Laidlaw	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.05	5	3
Brown	RWB	90	0.00	0.06	1	0.09	3	8
Wright	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	2	11
Lopata	CB	80	0.00	0.05	1	−0.04	2	8
Leak	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.03	3	6
Harmon	LWB	90	0.05	0.02	1	0.01	4	7
Denholm	CM	71	0.01	0.01	0	0.04	4	4
Randall	CM	90	0.00	0.03	1	0.06	3	6
Nisbet	CM	81	0.00	0.01	1	0.01	1	3
Brophy	ST	61	0.00	0.00	0	0.05	0	1
Hale	ST	80	0.88	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
White	FW	29	0.00	0.03	1	0.10	3	1
Loturi	MF	19	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	1	1
Campbell	DF	10	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Chilvers	MF	10	0.10	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Grieves	MF	9	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	2
Devlin	RB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.11	6	1
Rubezic	CB	90			0.00	0.04	1	0.13	5	5
Molloy	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.07	9	15
MacKenzie	LB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.06	5	7
Shinnie	DM	90			0.00	0.04	0	0.08	10	8
Nilsen	DM	90			0.00	0.05	1	0.09	5	3
Keskinen	RW	72			0.09	0.03	0	0.01	4	0
Gueye	AM	72			0.00	0.01	0	0.04	1	2
McGrath	LW	35			0.02	0.52	1	0.23	3	1
Sokler	ST	46			0.00	0.01	1	0.00	2	0
Nisbet	FW	55	1		0.15	0.00	0	0.01	1	0
Besuijen	FW	44			0.09	0.06	2	0.08	4	2
Ambrose	FW	18			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Morris	FW	18		1	0.00	0.06	1	0.10	5	0
Milne	DF	0			0.00	0.00	0	–	–	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Aberdeen

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

From	To	Passes
Wright	Brown	10
Harmon	Leak	8
Brown	Wright	6
Leak	Lopata	5
Harmon	Nisbet	5

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
MacKenzie	Molloy	16
Molloy	Rubezic	14
Nilsen	Molloy	14
Molloy	MacKenzie	13
MacKenzie	Nilsen	12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

Against its average of 3 matches

Aberdeen

Against its average of 3 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

Aberdeen

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Ross County
Top six	11%	8%	−3
11th	20%	20%	0
Bottom	27%	32%	+5
Aberdeen
Top six	91%	94%	+3
11th	<1%	<1%	0
Dundee United
Top six	19%	19%	0
11th	17%	18%	+1
Bottom	23%	21%	−2
Hearts
Top six	66%	67%	+1
11th	2%	2%	0

From the forecast before the match (31 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Ross County	Aberdeen
Expected goals	1.13	1.46
Win	29%	44%
Expected Points	1.13	1.59
Clean sheet	23%	32%

Ross County 29%Draw 27%Aberdeen 44%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

From the forecast as it stood on 31 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Ross County win	Draw	Aberdeen win
Ross County
Top six	11%	16%	10%	8%
11th	20%	19%	21%	20%
Bottom	27%	20%	26%	32%
Aberdeen
Top six	91%	87%	91%	94%
11th	<1%	1%	<1%	<1%
Dundee United
Top six	19%	19%	19%	19%
11th	17%	16%	16%	18%
Bottom	23%	26%	23%	21%
Hearts
Top six	66%	63%	66%	67%
11th	2%	3%	2%	2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

Aberdeen

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Ross County	Aberdeen
Position	9th	2nd
Played	3	3
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠2–⁠1	3–⁠0–⁠0
Points	2 (0.67 per game)	9 (3.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.87	2.02
Goals	1–⁠7	7–⁠2
xG per game	0.93–⁠2.10	1.68–⁠0.85
Home: points, xG per game	1.00, 2.23–⁠1.34	3.00, 1.63–⁠0.86
Away: points, xG per game	0.50, 0.28–⁠2.48	3.00, 1.79–⁠0.81
Manager	Don Cowie (18)	Jimmy Thelin (3)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Ross County		Aberdeen
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−34%	+35%	+15%	−10%
Counter-attacks	−50%	+95%	−18%	−63%
Set pieces	−37%	+9%	+33%	−13%
Penalties	+73%	−54%	−67%	−22%
Headers	−37%	−8%	+53%	−24%
Left side	−28%	+30%	+41%	−8%
Centre	−39%	+52%	+8%	−20%
Right side	−40%	+6%	+3%	−17%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−28%−17%Centre−39%−20%Right side−40%−8%Open play−34%−10%Counter-attacks−50%−63%Set pieces−37%−13%Headers−37%−24%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side+41%+6%Centre+8%+52%Right side+3%+30%Open play+15%+35%Counter-attacks−18%+95%Set pieces+33%+9%Headers+53%−8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.93xG1.68

2.10xG against0.85

44%Possession52%

10.7Shots14.7

13.7Shots against10.7

3.3Shots on target4.0

1.3Big chances3.3

12.7Touches in the opposition box28.0

329Passes376

69%Pass accuracy74%

3.3Corners7.0

41%Field tilt58%

35.0Final-third entries36.6

6.3Box entries15.3

16.6Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	52	1.06	1.36
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	38	0.74	3.11

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	31	3.11	0.36
Ahead	59	0.94	1.10
Behind	0	–	–

xG by period

Ross County

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.05	0.24	0–0
16–30	0.32	0.69	0–1
31–45	0.20	0.17	0–1
46–60	0.06	0.32	0–2
61–75	0.06	0.41	0–2
76–90	0.24	0.27	1–1

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.27	0.11	0–0
16–30	0.46	0.01	2–0
31–45	0.30	0.44	1–1
46–60	0.29	0.03	1–0
61–75	0.21	0.09	2–0
76–90	0.16	0.17	1–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

Formations: 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (1)

Aberdeen

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
19 May 2024	Ross County	2–2	Aberdeen	xG 2.30–1.30
30 March 2024	Aberdeen	2–1	Ross County	xG 0.71–0.82
2 January 2024	Ross County	0–3	Aberdeen	xG 0.14–1.72
24 September 2023	Aberdeen	4–0	Ross County	xG 3.33–0.85
14 April 2023	Ross County	0–1	Aberdeen	xG 0.94–0.65
2 January 2023	Aberdeen	0–0	Ross County	xG 2.08–0.44

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Aberdeen won 6, and 5 were drawn. Goals 11–21 and xG 0.88–1.70 per game.

Key players

Ross County

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
White	27	2,423	5	3	0.28	0.04
Brophy	12	1,188	3	2	0.27	0.04
Brown	27	2,403	1	2	0.05	0.14
Harmon	14	1,380	1	3	0.10	0.09

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	37	3,242	16	2	0.48	0.12
Sokler	9	939	1	2	0.45	0.12
McGrath	34	2,928	11	4	0.23	0.14
Morris	5	484	0	1	0.08	0.14

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.