Matches › 2024/25

Aberdeen 2–0 Kilmarnock

Sunday 25 August 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 3 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Matthew McDermid · Attendance 16,146

Aberdeen Gueye 23', 65'

Kilmarnock Lyons sent off 54'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Aberdeen	Kilmarnock
Goals	2	0
xG	1.66	0.43
Expected Points	2.38	0.41

Aberdeen 72%Draw 22%Kilmarnock 6%

Most likely score 1–0, 21%. Final score 2–0, 21%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenKilmarnock

1.66 −0.04xG0.43 −0.54

1.62 −0.39xG on target0.35 −0.01

12 −4.0Shots7 −2.5

3 −1.5Shots on target2 0.0

3 −0.5Big chances1 −1.0

32 +6Touches in the opposition box18 +2

58% +10Possession42% +12

446 +105Passes314 +100

77% +4Pass accuracy66% +8

62% +6Field tilt38% +13

49 +18Final-third entries30 +7

16 +1.0Box entries4 −2.5

10.4 −4Passes per defensive action14.0 −8

8 +1.5Corners6 +3.5

16 +1.5Tackles19 +11.5

3 −4.5Interceptions13 +3.0

34 +4Clearances21 −16

2 −1.0Saves1 −4.5

14 0Fouls12 0

2 +0.5Offsides1 0.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenKilmarnock

1.38 5 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.16 3 shots, 0 goals

0.28 7 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.27 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–02–0

Level: 23 min (24%) · Aberdeen 0.91, Kilmarnock 0.03 xG
Aberdeen ahead: 71 min (76%) · Aberdeen 0.75, Kilmarnock 0.40 xG

Line-ups

Aberdeen substitutes

71' Besuijen for Keskinen
79' Nisbet for Gueye
79' Ambrose for Sokler
88' Palaversa for Nilsen · yellow card 90+2'
88' Morris for McGrath

Kilmarnock substitutes

31' Anderson for Watson
56' McKenzie for Armstrong
75' Ndaba for Deas
75' Polworth for Kennedy
75' Cameron for Watkins
90+1' Bainbridge for Findlay

Players

Aberdeen

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	2
Devlin	RB	90			0.00	0.02	0	0.05	3	2
Rubezic	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.04	3	13
Molloy	CB	90			0.00	0.01	0	0.06	4	13
MacKenzie	LB	90			0.03	0.09	1	0.11	8	6
Shinnie	DM	90		1	0.04	0.25	2	0.29	12	7
Nilsen	DM	88			0.03	0.04	0	0.10	8	3
Keskinen	RW	71			0.14	0.02	0	−0.04	1	1
Gueye	AM	79	2		0.83	0.02	0	0.01	3	2
McGrath	LW	88		1	0.13	0.37	3	0.31	7	5
Sokler	ST	79			0.47	0.00	0	−0.03	1	0
Besuijen	MF	19			0.00	0.04	1	0.05	3	0
Nisbet	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Ambrose	FW	11			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	1
Palaversa	MF	2			0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	1
Morris	FW	2			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
O'Hara	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	4	2
Lyons	RB	54	0.01	0.00	0	0.00	2	6
Mayo	CB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.07	6	7
Findlay	CB	90	0.00	0.18	2	0.17	2	6
Deas	LB	75	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	1	2
Donnelly	DM	90	0.15	0.02	0	0.01	3	8
Armstrong	RM	56	0.06	0.06	1	0.02	1	2
Burroughs	CM	90	0.00	0.04	0	0.02	1	7
Watson	CM	31	0.03	0.00	0	0.00	0	5
Kennedy	LM	75	0.00	0.06	0	0.04	3	5
Watkins	ST	75	0.17	0.01	0	−0.01	0	1
Anderson	FW	59	0.00	0.07	1	−0.06	0	0
McKenzie	MF	34	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	0	2
Ndaba	DF	15	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Polworth	MF	15	0.00	0.08	1	0.20	4	1
Cameron	FW	15	0.00	0.01	0	−0.01	0	1
Bainbridge	DF	0	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

From	To	Passes
Nilsen	Shinnie	16
Molloy	Nilsen	14
MacKenzie	McGrath	13
Nilsen	Molloy	10
Shinnie	Nilsen	9

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Findlay	O'Hara	7
Donnelly	Deas	6
Mayo	O'Hara	6
Deas	Kennedy	5
Lyons	Mayo	5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

Against its average of 2 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 2 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Aberdeen
Top six	85%	90%	+5
11th	1%	<1%	−1
Kilmarnock
Top six	37%	31%	−6
11th	9%	10%	+1
Bottom	6%	8%	+2

From the forecast before the match (25 August 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Aberdeen	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	1.63	1.03
Win	51%	23%
Expected Points	1.78	0.96
Clean sheet	36%	20%

Aberdeen 51%Draw 26%Kilmarnock 23%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

From the forecast as it stood on 25 August 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Aberdeen win	Draw	Kilmarnock win
Aberdeen
Top six	85%	90%	84%	77%
11th	1%	<1%	<1%	2%
Kilmarnock
Top six	37%	31%	38%	51%
11th	9%	10%	8%	6%
Bottom	6%	8%	5%	3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Aberdeen	Kilmarnock
Position	3rd	12th
Played	2	2
Won, drawn, lost	2–⁠0–⁠0	0–⁠0–⁠2
Points	6 (3.00 per game)	0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	1.84	0.69
Goals	5–⁠2	0–⁠7
xG per game	1.70–⁠1.06	0.97–⁠2.45
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.60–⁠1.30	0.00, 1.74–⁠1.79
Away: points, xG per game	3.00, 1.79–⁠0.81	0.00, 0.20–⁠3.11
Manager	Jimmy Thelin (2)	Derek McInnes (78)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Aberdeen		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+3%	+4%	−33%	+26%
Counter-attacks	+6%	−52%	−20%	−40%
Set pieces	+40%	−10%	+40%	+12%
Penalties	−57%	+4%	−57%	+86%
Headers	+69%	−7%	+3%	−17%
Left side	+42%	+3%	−29%	−1%
Centre	−4%	−3%	−14%	+21%
Right side	+14%	−18%	−1%	+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+42%+19%Centre−4%+21%Right side+14%−1%Open play+3%+26%Counter-attacks+6%−40%Set pieces+40%+12%Headers+69%−17%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdAberdeen concededLeft side−29%−18%Centre−14%−3%Right side−1%+3%Open play−33%+4%Counter-attacks−20%−52%Set pieces+40%−10%Headers+3%−7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenKilmarnock

1.70xG0.97

1.06xG against2.45

48%Possession30%

16.0Shots9.5

12.5Shots against22.0

4.5Shots on target2.0

3.5Big chances2.0

26.0Touches in the opposition box15.5

341Passes214

73%Pass accuracy58%

6.5Corners2.5

56%Field tilt24%

30.5Final-third entries23.0

15.0Box entries6.5

14.2Passes per defensive action21.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	35	2.96	0.44
Ahead	55	0.89	1.45
Behind	0	–	–

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	10	0.09	2.21
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	80	1.08	2.49

xG by period

Aberdeen

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.09	0.16	0–0
16–30	0.54	0.00	1–0
31–45	0.46	0.63	1–1
46–60	0.17	0.02	1–0
61–75	0.27	0.05	1–0
76–90	0.17	0.20	1–1

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.01	0.13	0–1
16–30	0.07	0.30	0–1
31–45	0.15	0.89	0–2
46–60	0.00	0.26	0–1
61–75	0.22	0.29	0–0
76–90	0.53	0.58	0–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

Kilmarnock

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
24 February 2024	Kilmarnock	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.94–0.48
6 December 2023	Aberdeen	0–1	Kilmarnock	xG 1.14–0.64
29 October 2023	Kilmarnock	2–0	Aberdeen	xG 1.85–0.29
8 April 2023	Aberdeen	2–0	Kilmarnock	xG 2.20–1.09
28 December 2022	Kilmarnock	2–1	Aberdeen	xG 1.91–0.42
1 October 2022	Aberdeen	4–1	Kilmarnock	xG 2.33–0.47

9 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Kilmarnock won 4, and 0 were drawn. Goals 11–8 and xG 1.20–1.07 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Miovski	37	3,242	16	2	0.48	0.12
Sokler	8	860	1	2	0.44	0.13
McGrath	33	2,840	11	3	0.24	0.13
Morris	5	482	0	1	0.08	0.14

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Armstrong	38	3,188	6	10	0.23	0.28
Vassell	34	2,705	9	3	0.26	0.05
Kennedy	31	2,867	3	3	0.16	0.15
Watkins	34	2,806	9	3	0.26	0.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.