Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 2–2 Aberdeen

Sunday 19 May 2024, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 38 · Half-time 1–1 · Referee Chris Graham · Attendance 6,119

Ross County Murray 5', Dhanda 68' (pen)

Aberdeen Sokler 32', McGrath 50' · MacDonald sent off 64'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyAberdeen
Goals22
xG2.301.30
Non-penalty xG1.521.30
Expected Points2.110.66

Ross County 63%Draw 23%Aberdeen 14%

Most likely score 2–1, 14%. Final score 2–2, 11%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+1%4%9%5%2%8%3%6%7%3%2%4%3%14%11%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMacDonald (Aberdeen), red card 64'Loturi on for Leak, 60'Sims on for Brown, 80'Brophy on for Harmon, 87'Duk on for Clarkson and Rubezic on for Sokler, 67'Miovski on for Hoilett and Jensen on for MacKenzie, 78'Murray 5'Dhanda 68' (pen)Sokler 32'McGrath 50'Ross County 2.30Aberdeen 1.3001230153045607590HTMacDonald (Aberdeen), red card 64'Loturi on for Leak, 60'Sims on for Brown, 80'Brophy on for Harmon, 87'Duk on for Clarkson and Rubezic on for Sokler, 67'Miovski on for Hoilett and Jensen on for MacKenzie, 78'Murray 5'Dhanda 68' (pen)Sokler 32'McGrath 50'2.301.30Ross CountyAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyAberdeen

2.30 +1.35xG1.30 −0.11
1.52Non-penalty xG1.30
2.01 +1.07xG on target2.22 +0.95
15 +5Shots11 −1
6 +2.7Shots on target4 −0.2
3 +1.5Big chances2 +0.2
19 +1Touches in the opposition box19 −5
44% 0Possession56% +7
302 −36Passes398 +27
69% +3Pass accuracy73% +5
60% +17Field tilt40% −6
50 +18Final-third entries30 −2
9 −0.1Box entries7 −4.0
11.8 −3Passes per defensive action16.0 +2
3 −1.6Corners7 +2.3
14 0Tackles15 −2
8 −1.4Interceptions6 −1.7
21 −6Clearances14 −10
2 −2.0Saves4 +0.8
14 +2Fouls10 −1
1 −0.6Offsides2 +0.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

White 3', 0.61 xGNightingale 90+1', 0.22 xGWhite 90+2', 0.20 xGRandall 49', 0.08 xGDhanda 72', 0.08 xGMurray 77', 0.08 xGLoturi 86', 0.05 xGBrown 58', 0.03 xGNightingale 77', 0.03 xGKing 87', 0.03 xGDhanda 90', 0.03 xGDhanda 3', 0.02 xGRandall 77', 0.01 xGMurray 5', 0.05 xG, goal14%0.22 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.22 xG, 0 goals63%0.96 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.96 xG, 0 goals5%0.08 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 1 goal14%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Shinnie 45+1', 0.10 xGHoilett 55', 0.08 xGDevlin 3', 0.07 xGClarkson 29', 0.07 xGGartenmann 32', 0.07 xGMacKenzie 59', 0.07 xGHoilett 15', 0.03 xGClarkson 3', 0.02 xGMacKenzie 55', 0.02 xGSokler 32', 0.44 xG, goalMcGrath 50', 0.31 xG, goal58%0.76 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.76 xG, 2 goals25%0.32 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.32 xG, 0 goals6%0.08 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals11%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.96 9 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.58 5 shots, 1 goal
0.56 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.72 6 shots, 1 goal
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
48 min (52%) · Ross County 1.49, Aberdeen 0.51 xG
Ross County ahead
27 min (29%) · Ross County 0.00, Aberdeen 0.62 xG
Aberdeen ahead
18 min (19%) · Ross County 0.82, Aberdeen 0.17 xG

Line-ups

135542421816101526LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakBrownRandallKingHarmonDhandaMurrayWhiteYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalYellow cardYellow card60'80'87'Ross County 3-4-1-2Don Cowie2426273847103019RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieBarronShinnieMcGrathClarksonHoilettSoklerYellow cardSent offGoalGoal78'67'78'67'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Peter Leven

Ross County substitutes

  • 60' Loturi for Leak
  • 80' Sims for Brown
  • 87' Brophy for Harmon

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 67' Rubezic for Sokler
  • 67' Duk for Clarkson
  • 78' Jensen for MacKenzie
  • 78' Miovski for Hoilett

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0552
NightingaleCB900.240.0100.0547
Baldwin CB900.000.0100.09610
LeakCB600.000.0000.0348
Brown RWB800.030.0200.0357
RandallCM900.090.0100.0345
KingCM900.030.0710.0643
HarmonLWB870.000.0110.0142
DhandaAM9010.920.6630.3642
Murray ST9010.130.0830.1550
White ST900.800.000−0.0300
LoturiMF300.050.0400.1050
SimsFW100.000.0100.0330
BrophyFW30.000.0000.0200

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0111
Devlin RB900.070.2400.0454
GartenmannCB900.070.0000.0337
MacDonald CB640.000.0000.0453
MacKenzieLB780.090.0100.1163
BarronDM9010.000.6410.1961
ShinnieDM900.100.0200.0431
McGrathRW9010.310.0300.0358
ClarksonAM670.100.0520.0941
HoilettLW7810.120.5130.2271
SoklerST6710.440.0000.0131
RubezicDF230.000.0000.0512
DukFW230.000.0200.0111
JensenDF120.000.0000.0005
MiovskiFW120.000.0000.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Leak: 3 passesBaldwin and King: 3 passesBaldwin and White: 3 passesBrown and Dhanda: 3 passesKing and Dhanda: 3 passesBaldwin and Brown: 4 passesHarmon and White: 4 passesDhanda and Murray: 4 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 5 passesLaidlaw and White: 5 passesNightingale and Brown: 5 passesLeak and Randall: 5 passesLeak and Harmon: 5 passesBrown and Murray: 5 passesBrown and White: 5 passesLeak and Dhanda: 7 passesKing and Harmon: 7 passesHarmon and Dhanda: 7 passesLeak and King: 8 passesNightingale and Dhanda: 9 passesLaidlaw: 10 completed passesBaldwin: 12 completed passesNightingale: 13 completed passesLeak: 19 completed passesBrown: 11 completed passesRandall: 5 completed passesKing: 15 completed passesHarmon: 14 completed passesDhanda: 18 completed passesMurray: 6 completed passesWhite: 9 completed passes153542421816101526LaidlawBaldwinNightingaleLeakBrownRandallKingHarmonDhandaMurrayWhiteStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Devlin and Clarkson: 5 passesGartenmann and Barron: 5 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 5 passesShinnie and Hoilett: 5 passesBarron and Clarkson: 5 passesMacDonald and Clarkson: 6 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 6 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 6 passesShinnie and Barron: 6 passesMcGrath and Hoilett: 6 passesDevlin and Sokler: 7 passesMcGrath and Clarkson: 7 passesGartenmann and Shinnie: 8 passesMacDonald and Barron: 8 passesClarkson and Hoilett: 8 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 10 passesMacKenzie and Shinnie: 11 passesDevlin and McGrath: 12 passesGartenmann and MacDonald: 13 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 14 passesDevlin and Barron: 14 passesMacDonald and MacKenzie: 14 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 15 passesRoos: 17 completed passesDevlin: 37 completed passesGartenmann: 34 completed passesMacDonald: 32 completed passesMacKenzie: 33 completed passesShinnie: 22 completed passesBarron: 30 completed passesMcGrath: 16 completed passesClarkson: 25 completed passesHoilett: 21 completed passesSokler: 8 completed passes2426273487103019RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieShinnieBarronMcGrathClarksonHoilettSoklerStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
DhandaNightingale9
NightingaleBrown6
HarmonDhanda6
KingHarmon6
DhandaLoturi6

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieHoilett12
BarronDevlin10
DevlinMcGrath9
DevlinGartenmann8
MacKenzieMacDonald7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

2−2.24−3.617+0.89+0.58+2.73−4.23−3.82−3.66−1.410+0.81−4.03−2.10−3.550.04−2.66+1.72−2.00−2.38+4.511+5.97+4.52+0.510.00−1.77+4.74+2.91+0.50−0.70−0.41+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Aberdeen

3−1.76−1.38+0.52−2.212+4.76−0.14−2.08−0.216+7.62−3.59+3.82−1.71−4.060.02−2.60−3.21−1.12−1.71−3.72−0.41−0.90−0.91−0.51−1.40−0.91+0.50−0.41+0.71+0.79−6.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 37 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.020.010.010.010.030.010.030.010.040.060.070.020.110.010.050.010.020.010.030.010.050.010.180.15LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.040.010.010.020.020.020.020.010.030.020.050.010.070.050.010.080.010.190.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRoss County1.01 → 1.04Aberdeen1.30 → 1.28Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.56 → 1.54Aberdeen1.28 → 1.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th12%18%+6
St. Johnstone
11th88%82%−6

From the forecast before the match (19 May 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyAberdeen
Expected goals1.151.39
Win31%42%
Expected Points1.201.53
Clean sheet25%32%

Ross County 31%Draw 28%Aberdeen 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Aberdeen goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%8%4%1%8%9%4%1%5%7%5%2%2%3%2%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 May 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawAberdeen win
Ross County
11th12%–18%18%
St. Johnstone
11th88%>99%82%82%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. D1–115 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.47–0.58
  2. L1–511 MayMotherwell (H)xG 1.21–1.65
  3. W2–14 MayHibernian (H)xG 1.83–2.55
  4. L0–227 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.99–1.46
  5. W3–214 AprRangers (H)xG 2.91–3.57
  6. L0–16 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 0.47–0.98

Aberdeen

  1. W5–115 MayLivingston (H)xG 1.77–1.65
  2. W4–012 MayHibernian (A)xG 2.33–1.03
  3. W1–04 MaySt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.34–0.99
  4. W1–027 AprMotherwell (H)xG 2.32–0.41
  5. D0–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.01–1.11
  6. D0–06 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.92–0.76

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyAberdeen
Position10th7th
Played3737
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠10–⁠1912–⁠11–⁠14
Points34 (0.92 per game)47 (1.27 per game)
Expected Points per game0.981.32
Goals36–⁠6546–⁠50
xG per game0.95–⁠1.601.41–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game1.39, 1.12–⁠1.441.47, 1.63–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game0.47, 0.79–⁠1.761.06, 1.18–⁠1.66
ManagerDon Cowie (14)Peter Leven (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.33AttackRoss County1.01, 10thAberdeen1.30, 4thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.56, 11thAberdeen1.28, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRoss County attack: 1.01Aberdeen attack: 1.301.301.01AberdeenRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayRoss County defence: 1.56Aberdeen defence: 1.281.561.28

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%+21%−8%+10%
Counter-attacks−24%+19%+49%−33%
Set pieces−41%+5%+22%average
Penalties−100%−5%−32%+49%
Headers−27%−23%+4%+8%
Left side−15%+24%+3%+10%
Centre−29%+19%+12%+3%
Right side−22%+4%−9%−1%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdAberdeen concededLeft side−15%−1%Centre−29%+3%Right side−22%+10%Open play−17%+10%Counter-attacks−24%−33%Set pieces−41%averageHeaders−27%+8%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdRoss County concededLeft side+3%+4%Centre+12%+19%Right side−9%+24%Open play−8%+21%Counter-attacks+49%+19%Set pieces+22%+5%Headers+4%−23%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyAberdeen

0.95xG1.41
1.60xG against1.53
44%Possession49%
10.2Shots12.4
15.6Shots against13.1
3.3Shots on target4.2
1.5Big chances1.8
18.1Touches in the opposition box23.8
338Passes371
66%Pass accuracy68%
4.6Corners4.7
43%Field tilt46%
31.9Final-third entries31.7
9.1Box entries11.0
15.0Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.071.32
Ahead150.871.74
Behind280.801.98

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level491.141.33
Ahead201.801.53
Behind211.681.99

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.193–8
16–300.160.248–8
31–450.150.343–10
46–600.170.239–9
61–750.130.235–7
76–900.160.388–23

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.224–7
16–300.180.317–8
31–450.280.1810–3
46–600.230.209–5
61–750.250.237–9
76–900.320.399–18

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 24Wickens 13Nightingale 17Ayina 10Efete 7Baldwin 29Leak 32Borthwick-Jacks… 2Borthwick-JacksonHarmon 1Brown 24Efete 7Randall 3Randall 21Dhanda 5Sheaf 4Loturi 15Allardice 10King 9Reid 13Purrington 11Harmon 9Dhanda 19King 4Sims 4White 24Murray 34Brophy 9Sims 43-4-1-2 in 17 of 37 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (17), 4-4-2 (6), 4-5-1 (4), 3-4-3 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 3-4-2-1 (1), 3-1-4-2 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 36Doohan 1Devlin 30Milne 3Gartenmann 2Gartenmann 24Rubezic 10Jensen 23MacDonald 13MacKenzie 4MacKenzie 18Shinnie 8McGarry 4Barron 23McGrath 5Hayes 3Shinnie 26Clarkson 9Polvara 4Polvara 9McGrath 9Devlin 6Clarkson 18McGrath 8Polvara 3Hoilett 9Duk 8McGrath 7Miovski 31Duk 3Sokler 24-2-3-1 in 13 of 37 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (13), 3-4-1-2 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-2-2-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 March 2024Aberdeen2–1Ross CountyxG 0.71–0.82
2 January 2024Ross County0–3AberdeenxG 0.14–1.72
24 September 2023Aberdeen4–0Ross CountyxG 3.33–0.85
14 April 2023Ross County0–1AberdeenxG 0.94–0.65
2 January 2023Aberdeen0–0Ross CountyxG 2.08–0.44
3 September 2022Ross County1–1AberdeenxG 1.36–0.83

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 2, Aberdeen won 6, and 4 were drawn. Goals 9–19 and xG 0.76–1.73 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sims10995300.350.05
Murray352,8651340.260.10
White242,159530.270.04
Brophy111,121320.220.04

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Sokler5639020.450.17
Miovski363,1401620.490.11
Hoilett9754260.150.37
Duk161,612450.260.15

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.