Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Aberdeen 1–0 Motherwell

Saturday 27 April 2024, 15:00 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 34 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Craig Napier · Attendance 14,794

Aberdeen Gartenmann 60'

Motherwell Vale sent off 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenMotherwell
Goals10
xG2.320.41
Expected Points2.600.26

Aberdeen 82%Draw 14%Motherwell 4%

Most likely score 2–0, 18%. Final score 1–0, 14%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+5%2%7%1%8%2%6%1%8%4%3%1%1%14%18%15%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTVale (Motherwell), red card 56'Duk on for Barron, 71'Jensen on for MacKenzie, 74'Sokler on for Miovski, 90+4'Halliday on for Casey, 70'Nicholson on for Zdravkovski, 71'Mugabi on for O'Donnell and Ebiye on for Miller, 81'Shaw on for Gent, 88'Gartenmann 60'Aberdeen 2.32Motherwell 0.4101230153045607590HTVale (Motherwell), red card 56'Duk on for Barron, 71'Jensen on for MacKenzie, 74'Sokler on for Miovski, 90+4'Halliday on for Casey, 70'Nicholson on for Zdravkovski, 71'Mugabi on for O'Donnell and Ebiye on for Miller, 81'Shaw on for Gent, 88'Gartenmann 60'2.320.41AberdeenMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenMotherwell

2.32 +1.03xG0.41 −0.84
0.93 −0.26xG on target0.12 −1.27
23 +11Shots8 −3
5 +1.0Shots on target3 −0.9
2 +0.4Big chances0 −2.0
35 +12Touches in the opposition box20 0
60% +12Possession40% −5
493 +132Passes321 −31
80% +14Pass accuracy68% +2
63% +18Field tilt37% −8
56 +26Final-third entries34 +2
20 +9.5Box entries11 +1.4
9.6 −5Passes per defensive action15.1 −1
10 +5.5Corners7 +2.5
22 +5Tackles18 +2
8 +0.2Interceptions6 −1.5
21 −4Clearances33 +9
3 −0.3Saves3 +0.3
9 −2Fouls14 +2
1 −0.4Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

Miovski 22', 0.26 xGMiovski 89', 0.26 xGGartenmann 77', 0.24 xGMiovski 68', 0.23 xGDevlin 67', 0.19 xGSokler 90+8', 0.17 xGMiovski 78', 0.14 xGDuk 71', 0.10 xGHoilett 68', 0.09 xGDuk 89', 0.09 xGClarkson 38', 0.06 xGGartenmann 52', 0.06 xGDevlin 75', 0.06 xGMacDonald 52', 0.05 xGClarkson 52', 0.04 xGPolvara 45+1', 0.03 xGMcGrath 70', 0.03 xGHoilett 84', 0.03 xGHoilett 7', 0.02 xGHoilett 55', 0.02 xGHoilett 7', 0.01 xGMacKenzie 38', 0.01 xGGartenmann 60', 0.12 xG, goal40%0.92 xGSix-yard box: 6 shots, 0.92 xG, 0 goals28%0.65 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.65 xG, 1 goal18%0.41 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.41 xG, 0 goals12%0.28 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals2%0.05 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Blaney 26', 0.13 xGO'Donnell 6', 0.08 xGNicholson 90+3', 0.05 xGSpittal 45+2', 0.04 xGEbiye 90+3', 0.04 xGSpittal 31', 0.03 xGSpittal 90+4', 0.03 xGVale 47', 0.01 xG31%0.13 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.13 xG, 0 goals40%0.17 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals21%0.09 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals7%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenMotherwell

1.10 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.27 6 shots, 0 goals
0.42 3 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.80 9 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.14 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
62 min (62%) · Aberdeen 0.69, Motherwell 0.29 xG
Aberdeen ahead
38 min (38%) · Aberdeen 1.63, Motherwell 0.12 xG

Line-ups

2426273821710309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenzieBarronPolvaraMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiGoalYellow card74'71'90+4'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Peter Leven115162021738328714KellyCaseyMcGinnBlaneyO'DonnellZdravkovskiMillerGentValeSpittalBairSent off70'81'71'81'88'Motherwell 3-4-2-1Stuart Kettlewell

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 71' Duk for Barron
  • 74' Jensen for MacKenzie
  • 90+4' Sokler for Miovski

Motherwell substitutes

  • 70' Halliday for Casey
  • 71' Nicholson for Zdravkovski
  • 81' Mugabi for O'Donnell
  • 81' Ebiye for Miller
  • 88' Shaw for Gent

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0310
DevlinRB900.240.0400.1065
Gartenmann CB9010.420.0000.1628
MacDonaldCB900.050.0100.1274
MacKenzieLB740.010.2620.2682
BarronDM710.000.0320.0445
PolvaraDM900.030.0820.1448
McGrathRW900.030.0310.0036
ClarksonAM900.100.1510.1081
HoilettLW9010.170.7770.22610
MiovskiST900.890.063−0.2500
DukMF190.190.0200.1173
JensenDF160.000.0200.0431
SoklerFW00.170.000−0.0100

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0100.0652
CaseyCB700.000.0000.0345
McGinnCB900.000.0100.0549
BlaneyCB900.130.0000.04511
O'DonnellRWB810.080.0700.0554
ZdravkovskiCM710.000.0100.0424
MillerCM810.000.0100.0215
GentLWB880.000.3140.1936
Vale AM560.010.0200.0225
SpittalAM900.100.0200.0158
BairST900.000.020−0.0311
HallidayMF200.000.011−0.0101
NicholsonDF190.050.0100.0431
MugabiDF90.000.0000.0001
EbiyeMF90.040.0100.0210
ShawFW20.000.031−0.0601

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Roos and Barron: 5 passesGartenmann and Clarkson: 5 passesBarron and Clarkson: 5 passesRoos and Gartenmann: 6 passesRoos and MacKenzie: 6 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 6 passesMacKenzie and Clarkson: 6 passesPolvara and Barron: 6 passesDevlin and Clarkson: 7 passesMacDonald and Polvara: 7 passesMcGrath and Clarkson: 7 passesClarkson and Hoilett: 9 passesRoos and MacDonald: 10 passesDevlin and Gartenmann: 11 passesGartenmann and McGrath: 11 passesBarron and McGrath: 11 passesMacKenzie and Polvara: 12 passesGartenmann and MacDonald: 13 passesMacKenzie and Hoilett: 13 passesMacDonald and Barron: 15 passesGartenmann and Barron: 16 passesDevlin and Barron: 19 passesDevlin and McGrath: 19 passesMacDonald and MacKenzie: 24 passesRoos: 21 completed passesDevlin: 34 completed passesGartenmann: 35 completed passesMacDonald: 41 completed passesMacKenzie: 39 completed passesPolvara: 19 completed passesBarron: 46 completed passesMcGrath: 27 completed passesClarkson: 25 completed passesHoilett: 19 completed passesMiovski: 8 completed passes2426273218710309RoosDevlinGartenmannMacDonaldMacKenziePolvaraBarronMcGrathClarksonHoilettMiovskiStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Motherwell

Kelly and Gent: 3 passesKelly and Spittal: 3 passesBlaney and Spittal: 3 passesCasey and McGinn: 3 passesCasey and Spittal: 3 passesGent and Bair: 3 passesZdravkovski and Miller: 3 passesMiller and Vale: 3 passesMiller and Bair: 3 passesKelly and McGinn: 4 passesBlaney and McGinn: 4 passesCasey and Zdravkovski: 4 passesMcGinn and O'Donnell: 4 passesMcGinn and Miller: 4 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 4 passesO'Donnell and Bair: 4 passesBlaney and Miller: 5 passesCasey and Vale: 5 passesZdravkovski and Spittal: 5 passesBlaney and Gent: 6 passesGent and Miller: 8 passesSpittal and Bair: 8 passesCasey and O'Donnell: 9 passesO'Donnell and Vale: 9 passesGent and Spittal: 9 passesMiller and Spittal: 10 passesKelly: 11 completed passesBlaney: 15 completed passesCasey: 20 completed passesMcGinn: 12 completed passesO'Donnell: 18 completed passesGent: 20 completed passesZdravkovski: 10 completed passesMiller: 23 completed passesSpittal: 17 completed passesVale: 9 completed passesBair: 10 completed passes120151623173872814KellyBlaneyCaseyMcGinnO'DonnellGentZdravkovskiMillerSpittalValeBairStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacDonaldMacKenzie16
DevlinMcGrath15
MacKenzieHoilett12
BarronDevlin12
McGrathDevlin10

Motherwell

FromToPasses
MillerSpittal10
GentSpittal7
BairSpittal7
SpittalGent6
SpittalBair5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

3−1.719+3.18+0.46+1.77−0.54−2.24−2.24−1.76+0.93−0.79+4.12−4.15+0.54+0.70−2.16+2.44−0.84+1.63+1.13+2.11−0.55+2.60−1.00−0.50−0.40−0.30−0.43−4.93−5.43−5.6FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Motherwell

0−4.37−0.522+5.213+5.38+2.58+0.85−1.76−0.84−2.88+0.310+4.37+2.12−1.95−0.45−2.54−1.22−1.80−2.90−2.94−0.45+3.02+0.32+1.02+0.82−0.40−1.00−0.40−0.70−0.50−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 33 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.040.010.020.030.010.060.040.050.090.080.010.100.070.040.070.070.010.02−0.06−0.100.140.20LessMore

Motherwell

0.010.010.020.030.020.010.010.010.010.030.050.040.040.030.030.01−0.030.030.020.02−0.05−0.010.14LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.13 → 1.17Motherwell1.22 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40 → 1.34Motherwell1.33 → 1.37

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Aberdeen
11th2%<1%−2
Motherwell
11th<1%1%+1

From the forecast before the match (27 April 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenMotherwell
Expected goals1.391.18
Win41%31%
Expected Points1.511.22
Clean sheet31%25%

Aberdeen 41%Draw 28%Motherwell 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.

Motherwell goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%8%5%2%7%3%7%9%5%2%3%4%2%1%1%10%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 April 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowAberdeen winDrawMotherwell win
Aberdeen
11th2%<1%2%4%
Motherwell
11th<1%1%<1%–

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. D0–013 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.01–1.11
  2. D0–06 AprLivingston (A)xG 0.92–0.76
  3. W2–130 MarRoss County (H)xG 0.71–0.82
  4. W1–016 MarMotherwell (A)xG 1.17–1.32
  5. L0–113 MarDundee FC (A)xG 0.66–1.92
  6. L1–22 MarSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.98–2.01

Motherwell

  1. D1–113 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.97–1.51
  2. W3–26 AprDundee FC (A)xG 2.62–0.47
  3. D1–130 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.84–1.32
  4. L0–116 MarAberdeen (H)xG 1.32–1.17
  5. W2–12 MarRangers (A)xG 0.83–3.40
  6. W3–128 FebLivingston (A)xG 1.25–0.92

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenMotherwell
Position9th8th
Played3333
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠11–⁠148–⁠13–⁠12
Points35 (1.06 per game)37 (1.12 per game)
Expected Points per game1.201.25
Goals35–⁠4946–⁠51
xG per game1.29–⁠1.591.25–⁠1.48
Home: points, xG per game1.19, 1.47–⁠1.471.06, 1.32–⁠1.40
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 1.11–⁠1.701.19, 1.17–⁠1.56
ManagerPeter Leven (5)Stuart Kettlewell (47)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackAberdeen1.13, 7thMotherwell1.22, 5thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.40, 8thMotherwell1.33, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen attack: 1.13Motherwell attack: 1.221.221.13MotherwellAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprAberdeen defence: 1.40Motherwell defence: 1.331.401.33

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+16%−6%+14%
Counter-attacks+58%−24%+11%−36%
Set pieces+11%+10%−24%+7%
Penalties−40%+50%−10%+5%
Headers−6%+15%−13%+39%
Left side−1%+11%−19%+24%
Centre+7%+12%+8%average
Right side−22%+9%−34%+6%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdMotherwell concededLeft side−1%+6%Centre+7%averageRight side−22%+24%Open play−15%+14%Counter-attacks+58%−36%Set pieces+11%+7%Headers−6%+39%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdAberdeen concededLeft side−19%+9%Centre+8%+12%Right side−34%+11%Open play−6%+16%Counter-attacks+11%−24%Set pieces−24%+10%Headers−13%+15%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenMotherwell

1.29xG1.25
1.59xG against1.48
48%Possession45%
11.7Shots11.4
13.4Shots against13.9
4.0Shots on target3.9
1.6Big chances2.0
22.8Touches in the opposition box19.5
361Passes352
67%Pass accuracy66%
4.5Corners4.5
45%Field tilt45%
30.3Final-third entries31.6
10.5Box entries9.6
14.5Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.011.38
Ahead191.511.61
Behind231.682.01

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.981.41
Ahead141.242.12
Behind301.641.29

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.234–7
16–300.170.336–8
31–450.270.199–3
46–600.220.196–4
61–750.220.255–9
76–900.280.405–18

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.135–6
16–300.150.226–12
31–450.210.236–5
46–600.120.302–8
61–750.240.278–10
76–900.380.3219–10

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTRoos 33Devlin 26Milne 3Gartenmann 2Gartenmann 20Rubezic 10MacDonald 9Jensen 23MacKenzie 4MacKenzie 15Shinnie 8Duk 3Barron 19McGrath 5Hayes 3Shinnie 25Clarkson 9Polvara 8Devlin 6Gartenmann 6Clarkson 15McGrath 8Phillips 3Duk 8McGrath 7Hoilett 5Miovski 28Duk 2Sokler 24-2-3-1 in 11 of 33 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-4-1-2 (10), 3-5-2 (3), 5-4-1 (3), 3-4-2-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTKelly 33McGinn 21O'Donnell 6Mugabi 26Butcher 7Casey 24Blaney 15O'Donnell 21Devine 5Spencer 5Spittal 13Zdravkovski 11Paton 10Miller 13Spencer 6Halliday 5Gent 10Slattery 7Spencer 5Bair 13Slattery 9Paton 8Spittal 16Zdravkovski 4Biereth 3Bair 13Vale 6Biereth 63-4-2-1 in 8 of 33 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (8), 3-5-2 (6), 3-4-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 March 2024Motherwell0–1AberdeenxG 1.32–1.17
14 February 2024Aberdeen3–3MotherwellxG 1.44–2.56
1 November 2023Motherwell2–4AberdeenxG 1.44–2.24
4 February 2023Aberdeen3–1MotherwellxG 1.94–0.85
22 October 2022Motherwell1–2AberdeenxG 0.71–1.11
13 August 2022Aberdeen2–3MotherwellxG 1.27–2.72

12 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 5, Motherwell won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 18–18 and xG 1.49–1.34 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski332,8741420.430.11
Sokler4545010.440.06
Duk151,492450.270.15
Clarkson252,305220.120.25

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Biereth111,022650.360.22
Bair262,2011340.450.09
Spittal322,879790.170.24
Vale8673220.270.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.