Digressive Celts

Matches › 2022/23

Aberdeen 3–0 St. Mirren

Wednesday 24 May 2023, 19:45 · Pittodrie Stadium · Round 37 · Half-time 2–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 16,303

Aberdeen Clarkson 14', Shinnie 43', 49'

St. Mirren Small sent off 30'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Goals30
xG1.530.70
Expected Points2.020.70

Aberdeen 58%Draw 28%St. Mirren 14%

Most likely score 1–0, 16%. Final score 3–0, 6%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%7%2%4%4%6%5%2%2%1%16%15%13%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTSmall (St. Mirren), red card 30'Watkins on for Miovski, 34'Barron on for Ramadani, 71'Bavidge on for Duk, 75'Tanser on for R. Taylor and Offord on for Baccus, 46'Gallagher on for Strain and Jamieson on for Main, 75'F. Taylor on for Kiltie, 80'Clarkson 14'Shinnie 43'Shinnie 49'Aberdeen 1.53St. Mirren 0.7000.511.520153045607590HTSmall (St. Mirren), red card 30'Watkins on for Miovski, 34'Barron on for Ramadani, 71'Bavidge on for Duk, 75'Tanser on for R. Taylor and Offord on for Baccus, 46'Gallagher on for Strain and Jamieson on for Main, 75'F. Taylor on for Kiltie, 80'Clarkson 14'Shinnie 43'Shinnie 49'1.530.70AberdeenSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

AberdeenSt. Mirren

1.53 +0.27xG0.70 −0.46
1.56 +0.31xG on target0.88 −0.16
15 +3Shots6 −6
6 +2.2Shots on target4 +0.6
1 −0.8Big chances1 −0.6
60% +13Possession40% +2
459 +106Passes305 +26
77% +8Pass accuracy63% +1
57% +17Field tilt43% +4
43 +8Final-third entries25 −6
9 −1.2Box entries7 −2.2
9.2 −6Passes per defensive action10.7 −6
2 −3.0Corners2 −3.3
18 +3Tackles25 +10
7 −1.9Interceptions10 +1.2
14 −11Clearances10 −13
4 +0.8Saves4 +1.5
13 +3Fouls14 +1
2 +0.7Offsides0 −1.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Aberdeen

McCrorie 36', 0.19 xGWatkins 82', 0.12 xGDuk 36', 0.08 xGShinnie 18', 0.07 xGDuk 54', 0.05 xGScales 19', 0.04 xGMcCrorie 45+2', 0.04 xGMcCrorie 87', 0.04 xGMcCrorie 24', 0.03 xGDuk 26', 0.02 xGRamadani 45+2', 0.02 xGRamadani 34', 0.01 xGShinnie 43', 0.43 xG, goalShinnie 49', 0.34 xG, goalClarkson 14', 0.06 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals77%1.19 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 1.19 xG, 2 goals14%0.21 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals6%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 1 goal3%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Main 69', 0.29 xGMain 22', 0.17 xGGogic 22', 0.08 xGStrain 62', 0.08 xGO'Hara 38', 0.04 xGO'Hara 77', 0.04 xG24%0.17 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.17 xG, 0 goals17%0.12 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals41%0.29 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.29 xG, 0 goals11%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals6%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

AberdeenSt. Mirren

0.83 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.12 2 shots, 0 goals
0.61 3 shots, 1 goalCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.10 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.58 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
14 min (15%) · Aberdeen 0.06, St. Mirren 0.00 xG
Aberdeen ahead
78 min (85%) · Aberdeen 1.47, St. Mirren 0.70 xG

Line-ups

241827421620617119RoosPollockMacDonaldScalesMcCrorieRamadaniClarksonShinnieHayesDukMiovskiGoalGoalGoal71'75'34'Aberdeen 3-5-2Barry Robson123224516131761011CarsonStrainFraserShaughnessyR. TaylorSmallGogicBaccusO'HaraMainKiltieSent offYellow card75'46'46'75'80'St. Mirren 5-3-2Steve Robinson

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 34' Watkins for Miovski
  • 71' Barron for Ramadani
  • 75' Bavidge for Duk

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 46' Offord for Baccus
  • 46' Tanser for R. Taylor
  • 75' Gallagher for Strain
  • 75' Jamieson for Main
  • 80' F. Taylor for Kiltie

Players

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
RoosGK900.000.0000.0321
PollockCB900.000.0000.0535
MacDonaldCB900.000.0000.0444
ScalesCB900.040.0100.0749
McCrorieRWB900.300.0510.0953
RamadaniCM7110.030.0620.1032
ClarksonCM9010.060.1340.1356
ShinnieCM9020.840.1500.1351
HayesLWB900.000.0610.07106
DukST750.150.0210.0840
MiovskiST340.000.001−0.0901
WatkinsFW560.120.0100.0420
BarronMF190.000.0000.0101
BavidgeFW150.000.0000.0000

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0100.0790
StrainRWB750.080.1010.0124
FraserCB900.000.0100.0327
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0500.0936
R. TaylorCB460.000.0000.0215
Small LWB300.000.5320.1724
Gogic CM900.080.011−0.1564
BaccusCM460.000.0100.0015
O'HaraCM900.080.0400.0535
MainST750.450.0100.1211
KiltieST800.000.000−0.0103
OffordFW440.000.0300.0320
TanserDF440.000.0200.0653
GallagherDF150.000.0000.0112
JamiesonFW150.000.0010.0110
F. TaylorFW100.00––0.010–

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Aberdeen

Scales and Clarkson: 3 passesMcCrorie and Clarkson: 3 passesMcCrorie and Miovski: 3 passesHayes and Miovski: 3 passesHayes and Duk: 3 passesClarkson and Miovski: 3 passesShinnie and Ramadani: 3 passesMiovski and Duk: 3 passesPollock and McCrorie: 4 passesRoos and Scales: 6 passesHayes and Shinnie: 9 passesRoos: 6 completed passesScales: 12 completed passesPollock: 8 completed passesMacDonald: 3 completed passesMcCrorie: 4 completed passesHayes: 11 completed passesClarkson: 11 completed passesShinnie: 11 completed passesRamadani: 3 completed passesMiovski: 7 completed passesDuk: 4 completed passes244182721720616911RoosScalesPollockMacDonaldMcCrorieHayesClarksonShinnieRamadaniMiovskiDukStarters until 34' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Mirren

Carson and Shaughnessy: 3 passesStrain and Fraser: 3 passesShaughnessy and Baccus: 3 passesR. Taylor and Baccus: 3 passesSmall and O'Hara: 3 passesO'Hara and Kiltie: 3 passesShaughnessy and Fraser: 4 passesSmall and Baccus: 4 passesStrain and Baccus: 5 passesShaughnessy and R. Taylor: 5 passesR. Taylor and Small: 7 passesCarson: 2 completed passesStrain: 9 completed passesShaughnessy: 12 completed passesR. Taylor: 10 completed passesFraser: 8 completed passesSmall: 9 completed passesBaccus: 12 completed passesGogic: 1 completed passesO'Hara: 8 completed passesMain: 3 completed passesKiltie: 2 completed passes123452216171361011CarsonStrainShaughnessyR. TaylorFraserSmallBaccusGogicO'HaraMainKiltieStarters until 30' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
PollockMcCrorie13
ScalesRoos13
ScalesShinnie13
RoosScales12
McCroriePollock12

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
KiltieStrain6
ShaughnessyCarson5
ShaughnessyStrain5
CarsonMain5
TanserO'Hara5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Aberdeen

4−0.62−4.68−1.211+4.46−0.16−1.25−1.49+1.914+6.25−0.66+0.43−0.56+0.15−1.98+4.13−1.54+1.36+1.96+1.84+2.31−0.40−1.04+2.62−0.32+1.20−0.21+0.50−0.32+1.25−13.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

St. Mirren

3−1.93−4.580.07+2.512+2.76−1.45−0.15−2.111+4.17+0.63−1.95+1.77+2.812+5.57+2.44+0.12−0.34+0.710+6.29+6.31−0.70−1.01−0.92−0.12+1.13+2.40−0.80−0.50−0.82−12.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 36 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.030.020.010.020.020.040.010.030.030.040.020.030.020.070.010.060.010.010.05−0.050.020.100.12LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.040.020.020.010.020.020.010.030.02−0.020.030.020.010.040.030.010.070.05−0.02−0.040.020.13LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackAberdeen1.10 → 1.13St. Mirren1.05 → 1.03Defence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.31 → 1.28St. Mirren1.33 → 1.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.410.99
Win46%26%
Expected Points1.661.06
Clean sheet37%24%

Aberdeen 46%Draw 28%St. Mirren 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 48%.

St. Mirren goalsAberdeen goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%6%2%9%9%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%10%12%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 May 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Aberdeen

  1. L1–220 MayHearts (A)xG 1.01–2.55
  2. D0–013 MayHibernian (H)xG 0.30–1.95
  3. L0–17 MayRangers (A)xG 1.30–2.00
  4. W2–023 AprRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.90
  5. W1–014 AprRoss County (A)xG 0.65–0.94
  6. W2–08 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 2.20–1.09

St. Mirren

  1. D2–220 MayCeltic (A)xG 1.24–1.73
  2. D2–213 MayHearts (H)xG 1.06–2.13
  3. L1–26 MayHibernian (A)xG 1.61–1.67
  4. L0–222 AprKilmarnock (H)xG 0.51–2.32
  5. L2–515 AprRangers (A)xG 0.30–3.67
  6. W2–08 AprHearts (A)xG 1.25–0.94

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

AberdeenSt. Mirren
Position3rd6th
Played3636
Won, drawn, lost17–⁠3–⁠1612–⁠10–⁠14
Points54 (1.50 per game)46 (1.28 per game)
Expected Points per game1.201.19
Goals53–⁠5543–⁠55
xG per game1.26–⁠1.611.16–⁠1.43
Home: points, xG per game2.11, 1.61–⁠1.201.78, 1.23–⁠1.20
Away: points, xG per game0.89, 0.92–⁠2.010.78, 1.08–⁠1.65
ManagerBarry Robson (13)Steve Robinson (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.24AttackAberdeen1.10, 6thSt. Mirren1.05, 8thDefence (lower is better)Aberdeen1.31, 6thSt. Mirren1.33, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayAberdeen attack: 1.10St. Mirren attack: 1.051.101.05St. MirrenAberdeenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayAberdeen defence: 1.31St. Mirren defence: 1.331.331.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

AberdeenSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−15%+12%−23%+5%
Counter-attacks+88%−3%−31%−15%
Set pieces−9%+19%+4%−15%
Penalties+29%+86%+14%+71%
Headers+10%+10%+13%−3%
Left side−11%+19%−15%+5%
Centre−16%+6%−15%average
Right side+3%+17%−20%−10%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−11%−10%Centre−16%averageRight side+3%+5%Open play−15%+5%Counter-attacks+88%−15%Set pieces−9%−15%Headers+10%−3%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdAberdeen concededLeft side−15%+17%Centre−15%+6%Right side−20%+19%Open play−23%+12%Counter-attacks−31%−3%Set pieces+4%+19%Headers+13%+10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

AberdeenSt. Mirren

1.26xG1.16
1.61xG against1.43
47%Possession38%
11.7Shots11.8
15.1Shots against12.5
3.8Shots on target3.4
1.8Big chances1.6
20.7Touches in the opposition box19.8
353Passes279
69%Pass accuracy62%
5.0Corners5.3
40%Field tilt39%
35.2Final-third entries31.3
10.2Box entries9.2
15.1Passes per defensive action16.7

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level391.111.62
Ahead281.581.26
Behind221.122.04

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level401.111.33
Ahead241.371.39
Behind261.031.60

xG by period

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.235–8
16–300.180.198–5
31–450.290.3111–11
46–600.250.2410–8
61–750.240.3010–10
76–900.230.339–13

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.187–8
16–300.140.183–8
31–450.240.2611–7
46–600.200.229–8
61–750.200.225–10
76–900.240.378–14

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Aberdeen

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTRoos 29Gorter 4Lewis 3McCrorie 18Pollock 13Richardson 9Stewart 21MacDonald 13Scales 28MacKenzie 3Kennedy 13McCrorie 7Richardson 4Ramadani 33Barron 8Duncan 4Clarkson 23Shinnie 11McCrorie 6Hayes 11Duk 5MacKenzie 4Hayes 8Coulson 8Clarkson 7Miovski 35Watkins 1Duncan 1Duk 22Coulson 8Hayes 23-5-2 in 15 of 36 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (15), 4-2-3-1 (11), 3-1-4-2 (3), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

St. Mirren

GKRWBCBCBCBLWBCMCMCMSTSTCarson 36Strain 33Fraser 2Flynn 1Fraser 29Gallagher 20Shaughn… 12ShaughnessyGogic 11Dunne 31R. Taylor 5Tanser 19Tait 7O'Hara 5Baccus 28Kiltie 15Tanser 3Erhahon 20Gogic 11O'Hara 27Flynn 2Ayunga 16Greive 12Watt 7Main 34Brophy 15-3-2 in 29 of 36 starts

Formations: 5-3-2 (29), 3-5-2 (7)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 February 2023Aberdeen1–3St. MirrenxG 0.94–2.21
24 December 2022St. Mirren3–1AberdeenxG 3.27–0.98
6 August 2022Aberdeen4–1St. MirrenxG 3.37–0.93
15 May 2022Aberdeen0–0St. MirrenxG 1.16–0.37
25 January 2022St. Mirren1–0AberdeenxG 0.13–0.47
4 December 2021Aberdeen4–1St. MirrenxG 4.40–0.95

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Aberdeen won 3, St. Mirren won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 15–14 and xG 1.42–1.31 per game.

Key players

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Miovski362,8561620.500.04
Besuijen9897310.230.18
Duk272,3701620.320.04
Kennedy151,231210.100.16

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ayunga161,288320.420.04
Greive121,100400.320.03
Main342,910920.250.08
O'Hara322,7211020.250.07

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.