Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 2–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 16 October 2021, 18:00 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 9 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 6,876

Dundee FC Griffiths 49', McCowan 62'

Aberdeen Ramirez 67'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCAberdeen
Goals21
xG0.560.96
Expected Points0.951.67

Dundee FC 19%Draw 38%Aberdeen 43%

Most likely score 0–1, 22%. Final score 2–1, 3%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+10%2%12%16%6%2%3%3%2%21%22%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTSheridan on for Griffiths, 57'Mullen on for McCowan, 71'Anderson on for Byrne, 90+2'Watkins on for Hayes and McGinn on for Ojo, 65'Emmanuel-Thomas on for Ferguson, 90+7'Griffiths 49'McCowan 62'Ramirez 67'Aberdeen 0.96Dundee FC 0.5600.250.50.7510153045607590HTSheridan on for Griffiths, 57'Mullen on for McCowan, 71'Anderson on for Byrne, 90+2'Watkins on for Hayes and McGinn on for Ojo, 65'Emmanuel-Thomas on for Ferguson, 90+7'Griffiths 49'McCowan 62'Ramirez 67'0.960.56Dundee FCAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCAberdeen

0.56 −0.34xG0.96 −0.09
0.66 −0.23xG on target1.05 +0.16
9 −3Shots17 +4
3 −1.2Shots on target7 +2.9
1 +0.1Big chances1 0.0
14 −4Touches in the opposition box24 +9
33% −12Possession67% +7
239 −86Passes495 +24
58% −7Pass accuracy78% −1
33% −9Field tilt67% +12
26 −2Final-third entries56 +14
7 −2.0Box entries13 +4.8
19.5 +6Passes per defensive action7.1 −6
3 −2.0Corners8 +2.6
10 −5Tackles14 +3
9 +0.2Interceptions10 +0.5
20 +1Clearances14 −3
5 +1.2Saves1 −0.1
13 0Fouls10 −4
3 +1.5Offsides0 −1.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

McCowan 42', 0.08 xGGriffiths 42', 0.04 xGSweeney 43', 0.04 xGMcCowan 27', 0.03 xGMcCowan 1', 0.02 xGMcMullan 22', 0.02 xGAdam 35', 0.02 xGGriffiths 49', 0.22 xG, goalMcCowan 62', 0.09 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals21%0.12 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals39%0.22 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.22 xG, 1 goal36%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.20 xG, 1 goal4%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Hedges 17', 0.10 xGFerguson 24', 0.07 xGHedges 34', 0.07 xGHedges 70', 0.06 xGHedges 7', 0.05 xGRamirez 34', 0.05 xGBrown 84', 0.04 xGFerguson 34', 0.03 xGMacKenzie 10', 0.02 xGFerguson 31', 0.02 xGRamirez 32', 0.02 xGHayes 32', 0.02 xGFerguson 40', 0.02 xGMacKenzie 59', 0.02 xGBrown 90+8', 0.02 xGFerguson 55', 0.01 xGRamirez 67', 0.34 xG, goal35%0.34 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.34 xG, 1 goal32%0.31 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals27%0.26 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCAberdeen

0.40 5 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.75 13 shots, 1 goal
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.13 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.21 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (49%) · Dundee FC 0.47, Aberdeen 0.47 xG
Dundee FC ahead
51 min (51%) · Dundee FC 0.09, Aberdeen 0.49 xG

Line-ups

1214536268172918LegzdinsKerrAshcroftSweeneyMarshallMcGheeAdamByrneMcCowanGriffithsMcMullanYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal90+2'71'57'Dundee FC 4-3-3James McPake252252731681911917WoodsRamsayGallagherBatesMacKenzieOjoBrownFergusonHedgesRamirezHayesYellow cardYellow cardGoal65'90+7'65'Aberdeen 4-3-3Stephen Glass

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 57' Sheridan for Griffiths · yellow card 90+6'
  • 71' Mullen for McCowan · yellow card 90+10'
  • 90+2' Anderson for Byrne

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 65' McGinn for Ojo
  • 65' Watkins for Hayes · yellow card 90+10'
  • 90+7' Emmanuel-Thomas for Ferguson

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LegzdinsGK900.000.0200.0640
KerrRB900.000.0200.0657
AshcroftCB900.000.0410.07114
SweeneyCB900.040.0100.0119
MarshallLB900.000.0000.0013
McGheeCM9010.000.061−0.0804
Adam CM900.020.0220.0643
Byrne CM900.000.0400.0710
McCowanRW7110.220.0600.1170
GriffithsST5710.260.0810.0121
McMullanLW9010.020.3840.0473
Sheridan FW330.000.0000.0001
Mullen FW190.000.0000.0101
AndersonMF00.000.0000.0110

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WoodsGK900.000.0000.0111
RamsayRB900.000.1730.0782
Gallagher CB900.000.0400.1795
BatesCB900.000.0100.1175
MacKenzieLB9010.040.1020.2796
OjoCM650.000.0710.0433
BrownCM900.060.0730.0154
FergusonCM900.150.0900.1065
Hedges RW900.280.0500.08103
RamirezST9010.410.092−0.0701
HayesLW650.020.0310.0544
McGinnMF250.000.0110.0100
Watkins FW250.000.0600.1351
Emmanuel-ThomasFW00.000.000––0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Kerr and Ashcroft: 3 passesKerr and Griffiths: 3 passesSweeney and Adam: 3 passesAshcroft and McGhee: 3 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 3 passesMcGhee and Griffiths: 3 passesKerr and McGhee: 4 passesSweeney and Marshall: 4 passesSweeney and McMullan: 4 passesAshcroft and Byrne: 4 passesMcCowan and McMullan: 4 passesLegzdins and Sweeney: 5 passesMcCowan and Griffiths: 5 passesMarshall and Adam: 6 passesMarshall and McMullan: 6 passesByrne and McCowan: 6 passesAdam and McMullan: 6 passesAdam and McCowan: 9 passesKerr and McCowan: 12 passesLegzdins: 7 completed passesKerr: 19 completed passesSweeney: 11 completed passesAshcroft: 10 completed passesMarshall: 13 completed passesMcGhee: 6 completed passesByrne: 10 completed passesAdam: 13 completed passesMcCowan: 16 completed passesGriffiths: 8 completed passesMcMullan: 12 completed passes1251436826172918LegzdinsKerrSweeneyAshcroftMarshallMcGheeByrneAdamMcCowanGriffithsMcMullanStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Woods and Gallagher: 6 passesRamsay and Hedges: 6 passesBates and Ojo: 6 passesFerguson and Hedges: 6 passesBrown and Hayes: 6 passesOjo and Brown: 7 passesRamsay and Brown: 8 passesBates and Brown: 8 passesWoods and Bates: 9 passesRamsay and Gallagher: 10 passesGallagher and Brown: 11 passesOjo and Ferguson: 11 passesFerguson and Brown: 11 passesBrown and Hedges: 11 passesGallagher and Ojo: 12 passesRamsay and Ojo: 13 passesMacKenzie and Brown: 13 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 14 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 15 passesBates and MacKenzie: 17 passesGallagher and Bates: 18 passesWoods: 14 completed passesRamsay: 22 completed passesGallagher: 36 completed passesBates: 39 completed passesMacKenzie: 40 completed passesOjo: 30 completed passesFerguson: 30 completed passesBrown: 43 completed passesHedges: 19 completed passesRamirez: 11 completed passesHayes: 16 completed passes252252731619811917WoodsRamsayGallagherBatesMacKenzieOjoFergusonBrownHedgesRamirezHayesStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
KerrMcCowan9
KerrMcGhee8
MarshallMcMullan5
MarshallAdam5
AdamMcCowan5

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
MacKenzieBates16
BatesGallagher16
BatesMacKenzie14
MacKenzieBrown10
GallagherRamsay9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

3−3.06−0.219+4.94−2.56−1.27+1.56+0.68+2.012+3.95−1.57+1.25+2.93−1.05−1.61−3.440.02−1.91−1.81−2.13−0.83+0.80−1.61−0.51−0.51−0.55+4.40−0.40−1.00−0.22+1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Aberdeen

4−1.04−2.55−5.62−2.912+7.47+0.13−1.48+3.05−0.67−1.17+2.04−0.12−1.66+0.67+1.26+3.44+0.53+1.14+1.53−3.62−0.81+0.42+0.90−1.27+4.40−0.500.01+0.400.00−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 8 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.060.010.010.030.020.020.020.010.020.030.020.04−0.010.010.040.030.010.020.03−0.07−0.02−0.010.09LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.030.010.030.040.040.040.010.040.080.040.060.090.010.02−0.01−0.020.040.10−0.05−0.060.36LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee FC0.86 → 0.89Aberdeen1.08 → 1.08Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.51 → 1.50Aberdeen1.01 → 1.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six2%4%+2
11th25%26%+1
Bottom47%35%−12
Aberdeen
Top six51%39%−12
11th2%4%+2
Bottom1%1%0
Ross County
11th31%27%−4
Bottom35%40%+5
Livingston
Top six7%8%+1
11th21%20%−1
Bottom11%15%+4

From the forecast before the match (16 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCAberdeen
Expected goals0.881.31
Win24%46%
Expected Points1.031.67
Clean sheet27%42%

Dundee FC 24%Draw 30%Aberdeen 46%

Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%9%8%4%1%4%6%4%2%1%2%1%12%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee FC
Top six2%4%2%1%
11th25%26%26%25%
Bottom47%35%47%53%
Aberdeen
Top six51%39%48%60%
11th2%4%2%1%
Bottom1%1%<1%<1%
Ross County
11th31%27%30%33%
Bottom35%40%36%32%
Livingston
Top six7%8%7%7%
11th21%20%21%20%
Bottom11%15%11%9%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L1–32 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.41–1.90
  2. L0–125 SepRangers (H)xG 1.63–1.65
  3. L0–119 SepDundee United (A)xG 0.84–0.72
  4. D0–011 SepLivingston (H)xG 1.08–0.44
  5. L0–128 AugMotherwell (A)xG 1.15–0.23
  6. D2–222 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.76–2.47

Aberdeen

  1. L1–23 OctCeltic (H)xG 0.57–1.65
  2. L2–326 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.11–1.50
  3. L0–118 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.55–0.31
  4. L0–211 SepMotherwell (A)xG 1.56–0.92
  5. D1–129 AugRoss County (H)xG 2.94–1.15
  6. D1–122 AugHearts (A)xG 0.54–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCAberdeen
Position12th9th
Played88
Won, drawn, lost0–⁠3–⁠52–⁠2–⁠4
Points3 (0.38 per game)8 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.021.26
Goals5–⁠169–⁠11
xG per game0.90–⁠1.841.05–⁠1.05
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.15–⁠1.591.00, 1.18–⁠0.89
Away: points, xG per game0.00, 0.66–⁠2.091.00, 0.91–⁠1.22
ManagerJames McPake (8)Stephen Glass (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee FC0.86, 11thAberdeen1.08, 5thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.51, 11thAberdeen1.01, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC attack: 0.86Aberdeen attack: 1.081.080.86AberdeenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctDundee FC defence: 1.51Aberdeen defence: 1.011.511.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−31%+58%−17%−13%
Counter-attacks−25%+66%−44%−25%
Set pieces−22%−23%+28%−19%
Penalties−12%+165%−100%−12%
Headersaverage−32%+23%+7%
Left side−34%+33%−37%−12%
Centre−47%+47%−9%−18%
Right side+15%+21%+28%−12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side−34%−12%Centre−47%−18%Right side+15%−12%Open play−31%−13%Counter-attacks−25%−25%Set pieces−22%−19%Headersaverage+7%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side−37%+21%Centre−9%+47%Right side+28%+33%Open play−17%+58%Counter-attacks−44%+66%Set pieces+28%−23%Headers+23%−32%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCAberdeen

0.90xG1.05
1.84xG against1.05
45%Possession60%
11.6Shots12.8
15.2Shots against8.4
4.2Shots on target4.1
0.9Big chances1.0
18.5Touches in the opposition box14.7
325Passes471
65%Pass accuracy79%
5.0Corners5.4
42%Field tilt54%
28.5Final-third entries42.4
9.0Box entries8.2
14.0Passes per defensive action12.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.831.47
Ahead40.063.12
Behind421.052.12

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.751.26
Ahead110.550.80
Behind301.730.80

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.250.131–1
16–300.050.430–3
31–450.060.371–4
46–600.270.331–4
61–750.120.241–1
76–900.150.341–3

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.120.160–2
16–300.240.082–1
31–450.120.181–2
46–600.180.223–3
61–750.170.171–1
76–900.210.242–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 8Kerr 5Elliot 3Ashcroft 6Fontaine 4Sweeney 5McGhee 1Marshall 6McGhee 1Anderson 1McGhee 6McGowan 1Byrne 7Robertson 1Anderson 5Adam 4McMullan 5Ashcroft 2McCowan 1Cummings 2McMullan 2Griffiths 2McGowan 3McCowan 2Cummings 14-3-3 in 4 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (2)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 7Woods 1Ramsay 7Gurr 1Gallagher 4Bates 3McCrorie 7Considine 2MacKenzie 6Hayes 1Campbell 1Ferguson 6McGeouch 1Brown 5Longstaff 3McGinn 1Ojo 5Hedges 2Hayes 1Jenks 3Brown 2Ramirez 1Hayes 3Samuels 3Watkins 1Ramirez 6Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 2 of 8 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings3463200.480.10
McMullan7630020.050.22
McGowan4462100.110.05
Anderson6461000.110.05

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ramsay7605030.010.30
Ramirez7623310.270.04
Ferguson7621110.100.09
Brown7658100.150.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.