Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 2–2 Aberdeen

Saturday 2 April 2022, 15:00 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 32 · Half-time 0–1 · Referee John Beaton · Attendance 7,815

Dundee FC McGhee 62', Mullen 86'

Aberdeen Ramsay 41', McCrorie 81'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCAberdeen
Goals22
xG1.070.89
Expected Points1.481.18

Dundee FC 38%Draw 34%Aberdeen 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 2–2, 4%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+12%5%1%7%2%8%8%4%2%2%1%13%15%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTAdam on for Elliot, 59'McDaid on for Rudden, 70'Watkins on for McLennan, 57'MacKenzie on for Ramsay, 78'McGhee 62'Mullen 86'Ramsay 41'McCrorie 81'Dundee FC 1.07Aberdeen 0.8900.511.50153045607590HTAdam on for Elliot, 59'McDaid on for Rudden, 70'Watkins on for McLennan, 57'MacKenzie on for Ramsay, 78'McGhee 62'Mullen 86'Ramsay 41'McCrorie 81'1.070.89Dundee FCAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCAberdeen

1.07 +0.35xG0.89 −0.21
0.77 +0.08xG on target1.47 +0.33
13 +3.9Shots21 +8.2
5 +1.8Shots on target8 +3.5
1 +0.3Big chances0 −1.2
24 +9Touches in the opposition box40 +23
42% +2Possession58% +1
269 −22Passes381 −71
55% −6Pass accuracy65% −11
35% −2Field tilt65% +9
20 −5Final-third entries43 +5
9 +1.2Box entries20 +11.1
17.2 0Passes per defensive action8.5 −6
2 −2.5Corners7 +2.3
17 +4Tackles10 −2
7 −2.6Interceptions9 +0.8
37 +14Clearances9 −9
5 +1.4Saves3 +1.5
11 −2Fouls17 +4
2 +0.2Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Mullen 13', 0.11 xGMcMullan 17', 0.11 xGRudden 52', 0.11 xGMcGhee 54', 0.07 xGMcGowan 27', 0.06 xGMcDaid 90+3', 0.04 xGMcGowan 17', 0.03 xGAdam 90+3', 0.03 xGMullen 15', 0.02 xGMcGhee 56', 0.02 xGMarshall 90+1', 0.02 xGMullen 86', 0.34 xG, goalMcGhee 62', 0.10 xG, goal9%0.10 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.10 xG, 1 goal72%0.76 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.76 xG, 1 goal6%0.06 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals13%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Bates 12', 0.23 xGRamirez 84', 0.09 xGRamirez 35', 0.07 xGMcCrorie 35', 0.07 xGWatkins 88', 0.07 xGFerguson 23', 0.05 xGBesuijen 44', 0.03 xGWatkins 89', 0.03 xGBarron 4', 0.02 xGFerguson 6', 0.02 xGBesuijen 25', 0.02 xGRamsay 35', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 50', 0.02 xGBesuijen 58', 0.02 xGFerguson 75', 0.02 xGFerguson 79', 0.02 xGHayes 80', 0.02 xGMcCrorie 10', 0.01 xGMcLennan 11', 0.01 xGMcCrorie 81', 0.03 xG, goalRamsay 41', 0.02 xG, goal26%0.23 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.23 xG, 0 goals44%0.39 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.39 xG, 1 goal17%0.15 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals10%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal3%0.03 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.03 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCAberdeen

0.42 8 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.60 17 shots, 1 goal
0.64 5 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.29 4 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
67 min (72%) · Dundee FC 0.42, Aberdeen 0.73 xG
Aberdeen ahead
26 min (28%) · Dundee FC 0.64, Aberdeen 0.17 xG

Line-ups

2116256318810920LawlorElliotKerrSweeneyMcGheeMarshallMcMullanByrneMcGowanMullenRuddenGoalGoal59'70'Dundee FC 5-3-2Mark McGhee122527172910219189LewisRamsayGallagherBatesHayesBarronBesuijenMcCrorieFergusonMcLennanRamirezGoalYellow cardGoal78'57'Aberdeen 4-1-4-1Jim Goodwin

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 59' Adam for Elliot · yellow card 79', 2 assists
  • 70' McDaid for Rudden

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 57' Watkins for McLennan · 1 assist
  • 78' MacKenzie for Ramsay

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LawlorGK900.000.0000.0125
ElliotRWB590.000.1610.1246
KerrCB900.000.0500.11610
SweeneyCB900.000.0100.04611
McGheeCB9010.190.1210.01212
MarshallLWB900.020.0410.1179
McMullanCM900.110.0100.0334
ByrneCM900.000.0210.0120
McGowanCM900.090.1630.0109
MullenST9010.480.000−0.0220
RuddenST700.110.0300.0110
Adam MF3120.030.2630.0210
McDaidDF200.040.0100.0320

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0320
RamsayRB7810.040.0410.17110
Gallagher CB900.000.0400.0753
BatesCB900.230.0000.0347
HayesLB900.020.0530.0567
BarronDM900.020.1930.1933
BesuijenRM900.070.2910.2040
McCrorieCM90110.140.0430.0650
FergusonCM900.100.4830.2445
McLennanLM570.010.0710.0133
RamirezST900.150.041−0.0221
WatkinsFW3310.100.0710.2242
MacKenzieDF120.000.1000.0921

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Lawlor and Elliot: 3 passesLawlor and Kerr: 3 passesElliot and McGowan: 3 passesElliot and Byrne: 3 passesSweeney and McGhee: 3 passesSweeney and Marshall: 3 passesSweeney and McGowan: 3 passesMullen and Rudden: 3 passesSweeney and Mullen: 4 passesKerr and McMullan: 4 passesElliot and Rudden: 5 passesElliot and Kerr: 6 passesMarshall and McGowan: 6 passesMarshall and Mullen: 6 passesMcMullan and Rudden: 6 passesMcGhee and Kerr: 7 passesMcGhee and McGowan: 7 passesLawlor: 5 completed passesElliot: 13 completed passesSweeney: 11 completed passesMcGhee: 14 completed passesKerr: 14 completed passesMarshall: 15 completed passesMcGowan: 14 completed passesByrne: 7 completed passesMcMullan: 7 completed passesMullen: 7 completed passesRudden: 11 completed passes2116562310818920LawlorElliotSweeneyMcGheeKerrMarshallMcGowanByrneMcMullanMullenRuddenStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Aberdeen

Lewis and Bates: 3 passesGallagher and Bates: 3 passesGallagher and Besuijen: 3 passesBarron and McCrorie: 3 passesBesuijen and Ferguson: 3 passesLewis and Hayes: 4 passesGallagher and McCrorie: 4 passesBesuijen and McCrorie: 4 passesFerguson and Ramirez: 4 passesRamsay and Ferguson: 5 passesBates and Hayes: 5 passesBates and Ferguson: 5 passesHayes and Barron: 5 passesGallagher and Barron: 6 passesBarron and Ferguson: 8 passesRamsay and Besuijen: 9 passesRamsay and Gallagher: 10 passesRamsay and McCrorie: 10 passesHayes and McLennan: 10 passesBarron and Besuijen: 10 passesFerguson and McLennan: 10 passesHayes and Ferguson: 12 passesLewis: 8 completed passesRamsay: 18 completed passesGallagher: 20 completed passesBates: 13 completed passesHayes: 24 completed passesBarron: 22 completed passesBesuijen: 12 completed passesFerguson: 26 completed passesMcCrorie: 8 completed passesMcLennan: 13 completed passesRamirez: 7 completed passes122527172910192189LewisRamsayGallagherBatesHayesBarronBesuijenFergusonMcCrorieMcLennanRamirezStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGowanMcGhee5
MarshallMullen5
MarshallMcGowan4
McGheeKerr4
KerrMcMullan4

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
HayesFerguson10
BarronBesuijen9
RamsayMcCrorie9
FergusonHayes7
GallagherRamsay7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

4−1.811+4.122+7.76−2.05−2.317+9.512+5.62−3.98−0.96−1.39+2.88+3.34+0.72−3.412+6.54+0.43−0.53+0.83+0.11−2.520.02+0.20−1.41−0.12+0.41+0.21+0.70−0.80−0.31+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Aberdeen

4−0.73−2.78−3.69+4.150.05−1.04−0.86−1.26−2.44−0.53−0.37+1.57+1.28+4.05+1.83+0.89+6.57+2.52−0.53+1.710.02+0.62−0.51+0.30−0.22+1.30−0.22+1.42−5.31−5.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 31 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.030.010.010.020.050.030.030.020.01−0.020.020.01−0.02−0.010.080.070.09LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.010.030.010.020.020.010.040.050.010.02−0.010.100.010.030.040.100.210.010.030.140.05−0.050.100.030.34LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee FC0.77 → 0.79Aberdeen1.09 → 1.09Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.39 → 1.40Aberdeen1.00 → 1.03

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th12%12%0
Bottom87%88%+1
Aberdeen
Top six38%25%−13
11th<1%<1%0
St. Johnstone
11th78%78%0
Bottom13%12%−1
Livingston
Top six59%63%+4

From the forecast before the match (2 April 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCAberdeen
Expected goals0.781.24
Win23%46%
Expected Points0.991.70
Clean sheet29%46%

Dundee FC 23%Draw 31%Aberdeen 46%

Most likely score 0–1, 16%. Both sides score 39%.

Aberdeen goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+10%4%1%10%8%3%1%4%5%3%1%1%1%14%16%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 April 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawAberdeen win
Dundee FC
11th12%22%12%8%
Bottom87%76%88%92%
Aberdeen
Top six38%4%25%62%
11th<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Johnstone
11th78%67%78%83%
Bottom13%23%12%8%
Livingston
Top six59%66%63%53%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L1–220 MarRangers (H)xG 0.65–3.26
  2. L0–19 MarSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.49–1.09
  3. D1–15 MarMotherwell (A)xG 0.75–0.79
  4. D0–02 MarHibernian (H)xG 0.20–0.58
  5. L0–426 FebLivingston (H)xG 0.49–2.72
  6. L2–320 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.36–2.64

Aberdeen

  1. W3–119 MarHibernian (H)xG 2.19–0.55
  2. L0–15 MarRangers (A)xG 0.09–1.69
  3. L0–22 MarHearts (A)xG 0.92–1.15
  4. D1–126 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.91–0.94
  5. D1–119 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.23–2.62
  6. D1–115 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.12–1.17

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCAberdeen
Position12th10th
Played3131
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠8–⁠189–⁠8–⁠14
Points23 (0.74 per game)35 (1.13 per game)
Expected Points per game0.861.42
Goals25–⁠5336–⁠39
xG per game0.72–⁠1.551.10–⁠0.95
Home: points, xG per game0.88, 0.81–⁠1.431.67, 1.41–⁠0.74
Away: points, xG per game0.60, 0.63–⁠1.660.62, 0.82–⁠1.14
ManagerMark McGhee (6)Jim Goodwin (5)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackDundee FC0.77, 12thAberdeen1.09, 4thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.39, 11thAberdeen1.00, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee FC attack: 0.77Aberdeen attack: 1.091.090.77AberdeenDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarDundee FC defence: 1.39Aberdeen defence: 1.001.391.00

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−42%+45%−17%−28%
Counter-attacks−69%−51%−47%−27%
Set pieces−14%+3%+3%−7%
Penalties−77%+15%+38%−8%
Headers−29%+9%+9%−17%
Left side−50%+12%−5%−25%
Centre−32%+41%−17%−21%
Right side−34%+28%−12%−22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdAberdeen concededLeft side−50%−22%Centre−32%−21%Right side−34%−25%Open play−42%−28%Counter-attacks−69%−27%Set pieces−14%−7%Headers−29%−17%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdDundee FC concededLeft side−5%+28%Centre−17%+41%Right side−12%+12%Open play−17%+45%Counter-attacks−47%−51%Set pieces+3%+3%Headers+9%+9%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCAberdeen

0.72xG1.10
1.55xG against0.95
40%Possession57%
9.1Shots12.8
15.0Shots against8.8
3.2Shots on target4.5
0.7Big chances1.2
14.9Touches in the opposition box17.4
291Passes452
61%Pass accuracy75%
4.5Corners4.7
37%Field tilt56%
25.0Final-third entries37.9
7.8Box entries8.9
16.7Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.661.29
Ahead140.831.54
Behind290.781.97

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.901.09
Ahead161.241.05
Behind261.410.62

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.126–4
16–300.080.315–11
31–450.080.363–12
46–600.180.255–9
61–750.120.273–9
76–900.110.243–8

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.204–6
16–300.140.126–7
31–450.190.135–5
46–600.130.186–10
61–750.310.1411–6
76–900.190.194–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 24Lawlor 5Sharp 2Kerr 20Elliot 6Daley-Campbell 4Fontaine 15Ashcroft 13Rossi 3Sweeney 22McGhee 7Marshall 22Kerr 6McGhee 1Byrne 16McGhee 13McMullan 3Anderson 21McGowan 12Robertson 1Adam 17Mulligan 3McMullan 17McCowan 4McGowan 3Mullen 12Griffiths 7Rudden 3McCowan 10McMullan 5McGinn 44-3-3 in 8 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 4-4-1-1 (4), 4-5-1 (4), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-2 (3), 5-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 27Woods 4Ramsay 17Ojo 9Gurr 3McCrorie 18Gallagher 14Brown 4Bates 23Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 12MacKenzie 8Campbell 6Ferguson 20McGeouch 8Barron 6Brown 13Ojo 5Longstaff 3Hedges 9Besuijen 6Ojo 6Ferguson 9Brown 6Jenks 6Hayes 8Watkins 8McLennan 3Ramirez 25Watkins 3Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 12 of 31 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (12), 4-3-3 (6), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 December 2021Aberdeen2–1Dundee FCxG 1.12–0.12
16 October 2021Dundee FC2–1AberdeenxG 0.56–0.96

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, Aberdeen won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–3 and xG 0.34–1.04 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4607300.410.09
Mullen141,295500.280.03
McGinn4465020.040.23
McMullan282,433170.070.18

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Watkins11979310.370.09
Ferguson292,601910.310.06
Emmanuel-Thomas7673010.080.20
Besuijen8764200.170.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.