Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Dundee FC 2–0 Ross County

Saturday 17 February 2024, 15:00 · The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park · Round 26 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Calum Scott · Attendance 5,846

Dundee FC Tiffoney 45', 65'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCRoss County
Goals20
xG0.940.73
Expected Points1.501.13

Dundee FC 38%Draw 37%Ross County 25%

Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Final score 2–0, 8%.

Ross County goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+13%4%5%1%8%7%3%2%2%17%18%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTLamie on for Costelloe, 68'Dodgson on for Beck, 73'Robinson on for Bakayoko and Main on for Tiffoney, 81'White on for Dhanda and Henderson on for Brown, 71'Sims on for Reid, 81'Khela on for Sheaf, 82'Tiffoney 45'Tiffoney 65'Dundee FC 0.94Ross County 0.7300.250.50.7510153045607590HTLamie on for Costelloe, 68'Dodgson on for Beck, 73'Robinson on for Bakayoko and Main on for Tiffoney, 81'White on for Dhanda and Henderson on for Brown, 71'Sims on for Reid, 81'Khela on for Sheaf, 82'Tiffoney 45'Tiffoney 65'0.940.73Dundee FCRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCRoss County

0.94 −0.37xG0.73 −0.12
1.52 +0.17xG on target0.85 +0.03
14 +2.4Shots17 +7.2
4 0.0Shots on target3 −0.2
1 −0.9Big chances1 −0.5
16 −6Touches in the opposition box17 0
52% +9Possession48% +4
389 +56Passes354 +15
73% +6Pass accuracy71% +6
54% +15Field tilt46% +3
39 +6Final-third entries43 +12
8 −1.6Box entries7 −2.3
17.5 0Passes per defensive action14.6 0
6 +0.8Corners2 −3.0
15 0Tackles12 −2
9 +0.2Interceptions9 −0.3
22 −6Clearances25 −1
3 +0.2Saves2 −2.3
9 −0.9Fouls15 +2.5
0 −1.3Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

McGhee 25', 0.15 xGCameron 40', 0.06 xGShaughnessy 18', 0.05 xGCameron 18', 0.04 xGMcGhee 45', 0.04 xGCostelloe 15', 0.03 xGMcGhee 21', 0.03 xGMcCowan 79', 0.03 xGCameron 3', 0.02 xGMcCowan 57', 0.02 xGMcCowan 69', 0.02 xGCameron 70', 0.01 xGTiffoney 45', 0.35 xG, goalTiffoney 65', 0.09 xG, goal16%0.15 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.15 xG, 0 goals43%0.40 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.40 xG, 1 goal4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals33%0.31 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.31 xG, 1 goal4%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Murray 34', 0.26 xGBrophy 4', 0.06 xGMurray 1', 0.05 xGBrophy 41', 0.05 xGMurray 85', 0.05 xGDhanda 7', 0.03 xGBrophy 14', 0.03 xGDhanda 53', 0.03 xGDhanda 62', 0.03 xGBrophy 85', 0.03 xGEfete 34', 0.02 xGDhanda 46', 0.02 xGDhanda 51', 0.02 xGBrophy 62', 0.02 xGSims 86', 0.02 xGAyina 34', 0.01 xGKhela 90+4', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals52%0.38 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals19%0.14 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals27%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCRoss County

0.83 11 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.38 13 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.06 1 shot, 0 goals
0.11 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.30 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
45 min (48%) · Dundee FC 0.78, Ross County 0.51 xG
Dundee FC ahead
49 min (52%) · Dundee FC 0.16, Ross County 0.23 xG

Line-ups

316525631028174497CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDonnellyBeckCameronSyllaMcCowanCostelloeBakayokoTiffoneyYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoal73'68'81'81'Dundee FC 4-3-3Tony Docherty402428424341214101527WickensEfeteAyinaLeakReidBrownSheafLoturiDhandaMurrayBrophyYellow cardYellow card81'71'82'71'Ross County 4-4-2Don Cowie

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 68' Lamie for Costelloe
  • 73' Dodgson for Beck
  • 81' Main for Tiffoney
  • 81' Robinson for Bakayoko

Ross County substitutes

  • 71' Henderson for Brown
  • 71' White for Dhanda
  • 81' Sims for Reid
  • 82' Khela for Sheaf

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0220
McGheeRB900.220.0910.04125
ShaughnessyCB900.050.0900.2079
DonnellyCB900.000.0100.0769
BeckLB730.000.3030.1732
CameronCM900.130.0320.0041
SyllaCM900.000.0100.07613
McCowanCM900.060.1010.21134
Costelloe RW6810.030.3510.1154
Bakayoko ST810.000.010−0.0301
TiffoneyLW8120.440.0420.0931
LamieDF220.000.0000.0002
DodgsonMF170.000.0000.0001
MainFW90.000.0000.0100
RobinsonFW90.000.000−0.0200

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
WickensGK900.000.0000.0120
EfeteRB900.020.0530.1285
AyinaCB900.010.0010.02318
LeakCB900.000.0100.0678
ReidLB810.000.0320.09104
BrownRM710.000.0510.1040
SheafCM820.000.021−0.0326
Loturi CM900.000.0100.0112
DhandaLM710.130.0210.0543
Murray ST900.350.0330.1370
BrophyST900.190.0100.0021
HendersonMF190.000.1600.2140
WhiteFW190.000.011−0.0102
SimsFW90.020.0010.0111
KhelaMF80.010.0010.0220

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Carson and McGhee: 5 passesSylla and McCowan: 5 passesSylla and Bakayoko: 5 passesMcCowan and Cameron: 5 passesMcCowan and Tiffoney: 5 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 5 passesDonnelly and Sylla: 6 passesBeck and McCowan: 6 passesBeck and Cameron: 7 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 8 passesSylla and Cameron: 8 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 8 passesCarson and Shaughnessy: 10 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 10 passesMcGhee and Shaughnessy: 11 passesCarson and Donnelly: 12 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 12 passesDonnelly and Beck: 12 passesCameron and Costelloe: 13 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 15 passesMcGhee and Costelloe: 17 passesCarson: 17 completed passesMcGhee: 34 completed passesShaughnessy: 28 completed passesDonnelly: 33 completed passesBeck: 24 completed passesSylla: 25 completed passesMcCowan: 24 completed passesCameron: 30 completed passesCostelloe: 19 completed passesBakayoko: 11 completed passesTiffoney: 4 completed passes316525632817104497CarsonMcGheeShaughnessyDonnellyBeckSyllaMcCowanCameronCostelloeBakayokoTiffoneyStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Ross County

Efete and Sheaf: 5 passesAyina and Leak: 5 passesLeak and Loturi: 5 passesReid and Brophy: 5 passesEfete and Loturi: 6 passesEfete and Dhanda: 6 passesEfete and Brophy: 6 passesReid and Murray: 6 passesBrown and Brophy: 6 passesBrown and Murray: 6 passesSheaf and Loturi: 6 passesDhanda and Murray: 7 passesEfete and Ayina: 8 passesReid and Dhanda: 8 passesBrown and Dhanda: 8 passesReid and Loturi: 9 passesLoturi and Dhanda: 9 passesEfete and Brown: 10 passesWickens: 10 completed passesEfete: 25 completed passesAyina: 17 completed passesLeak: 18 completed passesReid: 18 completed passesBrown: 18 completed passesSheaf: 13 completed passesLoturi: 25 completed passesDhanda: 23 completed passesBrophy: 13 completed passesMurray: 13 completed passes402428424341214102715WickensEfeteAyinaLeakReidBrownSheafLoturiDhandaBrophyMurrayStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGheeCostelloe13
McGheeCameron10
CameronMcGhee9
DonnellyBeck8
CarsonDonnelly7

Ross County

FromToPasses
AyinaEfete12
LeakAyina7
EfeteBrown7
LoturiDhanda6
ReidLoturi6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

4−1.08−0.113+3.05−2.45−2.44−3.14−1.48+0.811+3.112+6.44−0.52−1.75+0.37+0.74−0.62−1.23+0.83−0.23−0.11−1.10−1.61−0.11−0.10−2.92+1.30−0.50−0.51+0.40−0.810−9.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Ross County

4−0.37−0.516+0.45−4.97+1.77−0.211+5.36−1.511+1.54−1.06+0.98+4.62−2.88+1.85+0.440.02−0.33−0.98+3.01−1.90−1.71+0.20−1.60−2.43+1.80−0.51+0.20−0.51+0.31−7.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 24 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.020.020.010.060.010.020.020.130.040.040.040.010.010.050.030.020.01−0.050.200.16LessMore

Ross County

0.010.010.010.020.020.030.060.010.020.090.01−0.010.040.070.020.060.010.010.08−0.050.29LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackDundee FC1.12 → 1.13Ross County0.93 → 0.92Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.50 → 1.47Ross County1.62 → 1.61

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
Top six39%49%+10
11th2%<1%−2
Ross County
11th46%47%+1
Bottom24%29%+5
Livingston
11th22%26%+4
Bottom70%66%−4
Aberdeen
Top six39%35%−4

From the forecast before the match (17 February 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCRoss County
Expected goals1.670.99
Win53%22%
Expected Points1.840.91
Clean sheet37%19%

Dundee FC 53%Draw 25%Ross County 22%

Most likely score 1–1, 12%. Both sides score 52%.

Ross County goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+8%6%3%1%6%2%5%2%5%5%3%2%2%1%11%12%10%10%

From the forecast as it stood on 17 February 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawRoss County win
Dundee FC
Top six39%49%31%23%
11th2%<1%1%5%
Ross County
11th46%47%47%41%
Bottom24%29%23%13%
Livingston
11th22%26%20%15%
Bottom70%66%72%79%
Aberdeen
Top six39%35%43%45%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. W2–111 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 3.19–1.37
  2. L0–27 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.26–1.63
  3. L2–33 FebHearts (H)xG 1.69–1.76
  4. D1–130 JanAberdeen (A)xG 0.59–1.46
  5. W4–127 JanLivingston (A)xG 1.11–2.22
  6. L2–323 JanHearts (A)xG 0.69–2.21

Ross County

  1. L1–314 FebRangers (A)xG 0.54–4.94
  2. L0–56 FebMotherwell (A)xG 1.05–2.91
  3. L0–13 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.58–0.54
  4. D2–230 JanLivingston (A)xG 0.73–1.34
  5. L0–127 JanCeltic (A)xG 1.08–2.02
  6. L0–32 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.14–1.72

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCRoss County
Position6th11th
Played2424
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠8–⁠94–⁠7–⁠13
Points29 (1.21 per game)19 (0.79 per game)
Expected Points per game1.230.89
Goals33–⁠3920–⁠41
xG per game1.31–⁠1.710.85–⁠1.72
Home: points, xG per game1.36, 1.46–⁠1.811.00, 0.84–⁠1.25
Away: points, xG per game1.08, 1.19–⁠1.620.62, 0.86–⁠2.11
ManagerTony Docherty (24)Don Cowie (1)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackDundee FC1.12, 7thRoss County0.93, 12thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.50, 11thRoss County1.62, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC attack: 1.12Ross County attack: 0.931.120.93Ross CountyDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC defence: 1.50Ross County defence: 1.621.621.50

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−17%+21%−23%+34%
Counter-attacks−27%+36%−60%+76%
Set pieces+55%+4%−35%+3%
Penalties−36%+91%−100%+6%
Headers+26%+49%−18%−7%
Left side+4%+22%−19%+25%
Centre+9%+13%−38%+41%
Right side−17%+24%−21%+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRoss County concededLeft side+4%+11%Centre+9%+41%Right side−17%+25%Open play−17%+34%Counter-attacks−27%+76%Set pieces+55%+3%Headers+26%−7%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee FC concededLeft side−19%+24%Centre−38%+13%Right side−21%+22%Open play−23%+21%Counter-attacks−60%+36%Set pieces−35%+4%Headers−18%+49%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCRoss County

1.31xG0.85
1.71xG against1.72
43%Possession44%
11.6Shots9.8
15.2Shots against16.2
4.0Shots on target3.2
1.9Big chances1.5
22.1Touches in the opposition box17.2
333Passes339
67%Pass accuracy65%
5.2Corners5.0
39%Field tilt44%
33.5Final-third entries30.7
9.6Box entries9.3
17.5Passes per defensive action15.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level471.221.45
Ahead201.201.98
Behind231.611.98

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.871.26
Ahead111.381.97
Behind310.632.34

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.161–4
16–300.130.276–4
31–450.210.295–4
46–600.260.275–6
61–750.250.265–6
76–900.320.4611–15

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.130.161–3
16–300.150.283–8
31–450.120.391–8
46–600.150.236–5
61–750.120.254–5
76–900.170.405–12

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 22Sharp 1McCracken 1Portales 10Ashcroft 7McGhee 6Shaughnessy 24Lamie 11Donnelly 6Dodgson 4McGhee 14McCowan 3Robertson 2Cameron 16Robertson 3Mulligan 3Boateng 20Sylla 7Beck 2McCowan 18Tiffoney 1Beck 18Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 22Robinson 8Mellon 2Rudden 9Tiffoney 3Beck 13-5-2 in 10 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (10), 5-3-2 (6), 4-3-3 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-3-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 19Wickens 5Nightingale 14Ayina 5Dhanda 3Baldwin 19Leak 19Borthwick-Jacks… 2Borthwick-JacksonEfete 1Brown 23Randall 1Randall 15Jenks 4Turner 4Allardice 10Loturi 7Dhanda 3Purrington 11Harmon 6Reid 4Dhanda 13Sims 4Loturi 3White 18Brophy 3Murray 23Dhanda 3Sims 13-4-1-2 in 12 of 24 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (12), 4-4-2 (5), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
16 December 2023Ross County0–1Dundee FCxG 0.90–2.43
24 October 2023Dundee FC0–0Ross CountyxG 0.96–0.32
5 February 2022Dundee FC1–2Ross CountyxG 1.12–1.78
11 December 2021Ross County3–2Dundee FCxG 2.13–1.64
27 October 2021Dundee FC0–5Ross CountyxG 0.48–1.57

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 1, Ross County won 3, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–10 and xG 1.33–1.34 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson10890300.480.02
Rudden9821210.330.04
Bakayoko221,900530.290.05
McCowan232,004540.160.14

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray231,808710.260.07
Sims6609000.230.06
White181,493310.210.04
Dhanda231,791230.040.18

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.