Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Livingston 0–0 St. Johnstone

Wednesday 27 December 2023, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 20 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Kevin Clancy · Attendance 1,602

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Goals00
xG0.930.25
Expected Points1.940.66

Livingston 51%Draw 40%St. Johnstone 9%

Most likely score 0–0, 31%. Final score 0–0, 31%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%9%13%4%4%31%29%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTKelly on for Shinnie, 74'Montano on for Nottingham, 77'Bradley on for Nouble, 80'Carey on for Kucheriavyi, 41'Considine on for Gallacher, 46'Sprangler on for May, 66'Kane on for Clark, 80'Livingston 0.93St. Johnstone 0.2500.250.50.7510153045607590HTKelly on for Shinnie, 74'Montano on for Nottingham, 77'Bradley on for Nouble, 80'Carey on for Kucheriavyi, 41'Considine on for Gallacher, 46'Sprangler on for May, 66'Kane on for Clark, 80'0.930.25LivingstonSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.93 +0.02xG0.25 −0.66
0.68 0.00xG on target0.19 −0.62
14 +5.3Shots4 −5.6
3 +1.0Shots on target2 −0.7
1 0.0Big chances1 −0.2
25 +9Touches in the opposition box8 −9
50% +7Possession50% +7
348 +30Passes359 +31
62% +1Pass accuracy61% −4
70% +30Field tilt30% −9
37 +12Final-third entries17 −9
10 +2.7Box entries1 −6.4
10.4 −4Passes per defensive action19.8 +3
6 +2.6Corners3 −0.7
15 −2Tackles15 −2
10 +2.2Interceptions6 −3.6
9 −15Clearances27 +1
2 −1.1Saves3 −0.7
12 −1Fouls12 +1
2 +0.3Offsides5 +3.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Devlin 90+3', 0.23 xGGuthrie 26', 0.11 xGPittman 54', 0.11 xGAnderson 90', 0.10 xGDevlin 90+2', 0.08 xGAnderson 87', 0.07 xGPittman 27', 0.04 xGPenrice 46', 0.04 xGObileye 44', 0.03 xGPenrice 46', 0.03 xGGuthrie 53', 0.03 xGDevlin 49', 0.02 xGHolt 62', 0.02 xGHolt 43', 0.01 xG3%0.03 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals53%0.49 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals13%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals29%0.27 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals1%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Clark 14', 0.09 xGSprangler 88', 0.07 xGClark 60', 0.06 xGGordon 14', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals88%0.21 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.47 9 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.13 2 shots, 0 goals
0.10 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.36 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.12 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
93 min (100%) · Livingston 0.93, St. Johnstone 0.25 xG

Line-ups

12165191822298928GeorgeNottinghamObileyeDevlinNoubleHoltShinniePenricePittmanAndersonGuthrieYellow cardYellow card77'80'74'Livingston 3-4-1-2David Martindale11761923422315107MitovOlufunwaGordonRobinsonBrownPhillipsSmithGallacherKucheriavyiClarkMayYellow card46'41'80'66'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Craig Levein

Livingston substitutes

  • 74' Kelly for Shinnie
  • 77' Montano for Nottingham
  • 80' Bradley for Nouble

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 41' Carey for Kucheriavyi · yellow card 90+1'
  • 46' Considine for Gallacher
  • 66' Sprangler for May
  • 80' Kane for Clark

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GeorgeGK900.000.0000.0570
NottinghamCB770.000.0610.0941
ObileyeCB900.030.0100.0463
Devlin CB900.330.0100.09114
NoubleRWB800.000.3230.2172
HoltCM900.030.010−0.0134
ShinnieCM740.000.010−0.0412
PenriceLWB900.080.1220.1037
Pittman AM900.150.0100.0236
AndersonST900.170.0910.0500
GuthrieST900.140.0410.1031
KellyMF160.000.0000.0011
MontanoFW130.000.0000.0120
BradleyMF100.000.0110.0314

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MitovGK900.000.0000.0123
OlufunwaCB900.000.0000.0447
GordonCB900.030.0000.0119
RobinsonCB900.000.0000.0117
BrownRWB900.000.0100.0145
PhillipsCM900.000.0000.0008
SmithCM900.000.0110.0220
GallacherLWB460.000.000−0.0305
Kucheriavyi AM410.000.000−0.0101
ClarkAM800.140.000−0.0101
MayST660.000.0000.0212
Carey MF490.000.0200.0640
ConsidineDF440.000.0000.0413
SpranglerMF240.070.0000.0111
KaneFW100.000.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Nottingham and Guthrie: 5 passesObileye and Shinnie: 5 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesDevlin and Penrice: 5 passesNouble and Anderson: 5 passesShinnie and Penrice: 5 passesShinnie and Guthrie: 5 passesHolt and Penrice: 5 passesPittman and Guthrie: 5 passesGuthrie and Anderson: 5 passesGeorge and Nottingham: 6 passesGeorge and Guthrie: 6 passesNottingham and Devlin: 6 passesObileye and Devlin: 6 passesPittman and Anderson: 6 passesNottingham and Obileye: 7 passesNottingham and Holt: 7 passesDevlin and Shinnie: 7 passesNouble and Holt: 7 passesShinnie and Holt: 7 passesDevlin and Guthrie: 8 passesNottingham and Nouble: 9 passesGeorge and Obileye: 11 passesGeorge and Devlin: 13 passesGeorge: 21 completed passesNottingham: 27 completed passesObileye: 22 completed passesDevlin: 35 completed passesNouble: 16 completed passesShinnie: 23 completed passesHolt: 23 completed passesPenrice: 13 completed passesPittman: 13 completed passesGuthrie: 11 completed passesAnderson: 14 completed passes12165192218298289GeorgeNottinghamObileyeDevlinNoubleShinnieHoltPenricePittmanGuthrieAndersonStarters until 74' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Johnstone

Olufunwa and Brown: 3 passesOlufunwa and Clark: 3 passesRobinson and Phillips: 3 passesMitov and Olufunwa: 4 passesOlufunwa and Phillips: 4 passesGallacher and Phillips: 4 passesGallacher and Kucheriavyi: 4 passesSmith and Clark: 4 passesPhillips and Smith: 5 passesMitov and Gordon: 7 passesRobinson and Kucheriavyi: 8 passesBrown and Smith: 11 passesMitov: 10 completed passesOlufunwa: 9 completed passesGordon: 8 completed passesRobinson: 9 completed passesBrown: 8 completed passesGallacher: 6 completed passesPhillips: 14 completed passesSmith: 15 completed passesKucheriavyi: 8 completed passesClark: 4 completed passesMay: 2 completed passes11761923342215107MitovOlufunwaGordonRobinsonBrownGallacherPhillipsSmithKucheriavyiClarkMayStarters until 41' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinGuthrie8
NottinghamNouble7
ObileyeGeorge7
GeorgeGuthrie7
DevlinGeorge7

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
SmithBrown15
BrownSmith8
OlufunwaBrown8
PhillipsSmith7
PhillipsOlufunwa6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

0−6.46−1.43−4.04−1.92−4.34−3.82−2.33−5.110+2.87+0.40−5.42−1.67+1.48+1.86+1.64−0.64+2.26+3.211+6.15+2.02−0.21+0.34+1.78+4.90−0.80−0.32+1.31+0.70−0.64−11.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 18 matches

St. Johnstone

3−2.74−3.917+2.89−0.76−1.68+1.85−2.27+0.75−3.216+7.311+4.86+1.31−2.76+0.87+0.46+2.01−2.31−0.73+0.33−1.62+0.11−0.20−1.410.020.01+0.50−0.20−0.21+0.80−0.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 19 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.020.010.040.020.020.010.01−0.010.030.040.050.030.06−0.010.030.020.050.02−0.010.020.020.010.080.14LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.010.020.020.01−0.010.010.02−0.020.01−0.010.020.030.02LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.27AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.96St. Johnstone0.97 → 0.95Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.40 → 1.37St. Johnstone1.43 → 1.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six1%<1%−1
11th22%23%+1
Bottom47%50%+3
St. Johnstone
Top six6%5%−1
11th22%22%0
Bottom15%14%−1
Motherwell
11th22%20%−2
Bottom16%16%0
Ross County
Top six6%6%0
11th22%21%−1
Bottom17%16%−1

From the forecast before the match (27 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.300.96
Win44%27%
Expected Points1.601.10
Clean sheet38%27%

Livingston 44%Draw 29%St. Johnstone 27%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

St. Johnstone goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+9%5%2%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Livingston
Top six1%2%<1%<1%
11th22%22%23%20%
Bottom47%37%50%60%
St. Johnstone
Top six6%3%5%10%
11th22%23%22%18%
Bottom15%22%14%7%
Motherwell
11th22%21%20%24%
Bottom16%18%16%14%
Ross County
Top six6%6%6%5%
11th22%21%21%24%
Bottom17%18%16%15%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–223 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.00–3.66
  2. L1–220 DecAberdeen (A)xG 1.53–1.00
  3. D0–016 DecKilmarnock (H)xG 1.14–0.88
  4. L0–19 DecHibernian (H)xG 1.34–0.22
  5. L0–125 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.59–0.81
  6. L0–212 NovRangers (H)xG 0.13–2.68

St. Johnstone

  1. L1–223 DecKilmarnock (A)xG 1.37–1.37
  2. L0–220 DecRangers (A)xG 0.09–3.14
  3. W1–016 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.94–0.10
  4. D1–19 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.33–1.21
  5. W1–06 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.98–1.93
  6. L1–33 DecCeltic (H)xG 1.36–2.53

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
Position12th9th
Played1819
Won, drawn, lost2–⁠5–⁠114–⁠6–⁠9
Points11 (0.61 per game)18 (0.95 per game)
Expected Points per game1.210.91
Goals10–⁠2713–⁠27
xG per game0.91–⁠1.320.91–⁠1.68
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 1.06–⁠1.231.50, 1.13–⁠1.49
Away: points, xG per game0.50, 0.79–⁠1.400.33, 0.68–⁠1.90
ManagerDavid Martindale (117)Craig Levein (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.27AttackLivingston0.96, 12thSt. Johnstone0.97, 11thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.40, 8thSt. Johnstone1.43, 9th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecLivingston attack: 0.96St. Johnstone attack: 0.970.970.96St. JohnstoneLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecLivingston defence: 1.40St. Johnstone defence: 1.431.431.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−49%−6%−34%+31%
Counter-attacks−9%−36%−90%+99%
Set pieces−27%+14%−2%+13%
Penalties+31%−2%−69%−38%
Headers−25%−6%−1%+24%
Left side−40%+4%−42%+13%
Centre−36%−6%−15%+31%
Right side−49%−5%−45%+50%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−40%+50%Centre−36%+31%Right side−49%+13%Open play−49%+31%Counter-attacks−9%+99%Set pieces−27%+13%Headers−25%+24%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−42%−5%Centre−15%−6%Right side−45%+4%Open play−34%−6%Counter-attacks−90%−36%Set pieces−2%+14%Headers−1%−6%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Johnstone

0.91xG0.91
1.32xG against1.68
43%Possession43%
8.7Shots9.6
13.6Shots against15.2
2.0Shots on target2.7
1.0Big chances1.2
15.7Touches in the opposition box16.8
318Passes328
61%Pass accuracy65%
3.4Corners3.7
40%Field tilt39%
25.3Final-third entries25.7
7.3Box entries7.4
13.9Passes per defensive action17.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level520.821.26
Ahead71.570.76
Behind310.911.57

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.911.18
Ahead150.891.90
Behind260.942.53

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.201–2
16–300.070.181–3
31–450.130.141–4
46–600.150.312–6
61–750.200.174–3
76–900.260.321–9

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.112–1
16–300.160.242–3
31–450.130.182–4
46–600.100.292–5
61–750.160.402–7
76–900.260.463–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTGeorge 15Hamilton 3de Lucas 10Nottingham 4Shinnie 3Obileye 12Devlin 14Sean Kelly 7Parkes 2Brandon 10Mackay 3Nouble 2Holt 16Penrice 5Sangare 2Shinnie 9Pittman 2Sean Kelly 2Penrice 11Pittman 2Montano 2Pittman 9Sangare 4Kelly 4Nouble 8Anderson 6Shinnie 2Nouble 7Guthrie 7Anderson 33-4-2-1 in 6 of 18 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMitov 19McGowan 7Costelloe 4Wright 2Gordon 16McClelland 5Considine 12Robinson 6Brown 7Olufunwa 4Franczak 3Phillips 8Kucheriavyi 4Sprangler 3Smith 7Robinson 6Carey 4Phillips 5Gallacher 3Sprangler 3Smith 5Kucheriavyi 4Carey 3Kane 7May 5Costelloe 3Carey 7Jaiyesimi 5Clark 43-4-1-2 in 6 of 19 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (6), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-5-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
30 September 2023St. Johnstone1–1LivingstonxG 0.62–0.98
28 May 2023St. Johnstone2–0LivingstonxG 2.46–0.99
15 April 2023Livingston2–0St. JohnstonexG 0.72–1.13
14 January 2023St. Johnstone2–4LivingstonxG 1.86–1.46
15 October 2022Livingston1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.08–0.42
7 May 2022Livingston1–1St. JohnstonexG 1.25–1.21

13 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 6, St. Johnstone won 4, and 3 were drawn. Goals 18–12 and xG 0.98–1.13 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson9962300.380.05
Sean Kelly10818300.300.04
Kelly5483000.100.12
Penrice161,428020.020.19

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Kane7778100.400.03
Kucheriavyi10851200.180.09
Carey161,448220.040.16
Gallacher5541000.110.05

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.