Saturday 5 August 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 1 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Steven McLean · Attendance 6,818
Hearts Oda 75', Shankland 90+6'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Goals
0
2
xG
0.94
1.77
Expected Points
0.75
1.99
St. Johnstone 16%Draw 27%Hearts 57%
Most likely score 1–1, 15%. Final score 0–2, 11%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
St. JohnstoneHearts
0.94xG1.77
0.06xG on target3.89
10Shots16
3Shots on target9
1Big chances5
19Touches in the opposition box30
32%Possession68%
207Passes457
44%Pass accuracy77%
20%Field tilt80%
17Final-third entries47
4Box entries17
11.9Passes per defensive action8.5
6Corners9
18Tackles5
15Interceptions8
26Clearances17
7Saves2
14Fouls13
2Offsides2
Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
75'90+6'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
75 min (77%) · St. Johnstone 0.87, Hearts 1.12 xG
Hearts ahead
22 min (23%) · St. Johnstone 0.07, Hearts 0.65 xG
Line-ups
St. Johnstone substitutes
63'Kucheriavyi for Wright
77'Smith for Phillips
77'Jephcott for May
90'Steven for Ballantyne
Hearts substitutes
59'Lowry for Nieuwenhof
69'Tagawa for Forrest
84'Baningime for Devlin
84'Boyce for Oda · yellow card 90+5', 1 assist
Players
St. Johnstone
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Mitov
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
4
0
Olufunwa
RB
90
0.17
0.00
0
0.01
2
10
McClelland
CB
90
0.05
0.00
0
0.02
0
6
Gordon
CB
90
0.52
0.00
0
0.12
1
5
Gallacher
LB
90
0.00
0.10
1
0.01
0
6
McGowan
DM
90
0.01
0.01
0
0.01
2
11
Phillips
DM
77
0.05
0.00
0
−0.01
0
5
Wright
RW
63
0.00
0.02
0
0.04
3
3
Ballantyne
AM
90
0.10
0.00
0
−0.01
0
4
Carey
LW
90
0.00
0.22
3
0.13
6
4
May
ST
77
0.03
0.00
0
−0.01
0
2
Kucheriavyi
MF
27
0.02
0.03
0
0.04
2
1
Smith
MF
13
0.00
0.01
1
−0.02
0
2
Jephcott
FW
13
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Steven
FW
0
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Hearts
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Clark
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.07
4
0
Atkinson
RB
90
0.07
0.09
0
0.22
7
5
Kent
CB
90
0.03
0.01
0
0.07
8
6
Rowles
CB
90
0.01
0.01
0
0.12
13
5
Kingsley
LB
90
0.05
0.25
3
0.20
9
4
Haring
DM
90
0.08
0.05
1
0.07
6
5
Devlin
DM
84
0.00
0.02
1
0.02
4
4
Oda
RW
84
1
0.42
0.05
1
0.03
5
2
Nieuwenhof
AM
59
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
2
1
Forrest
LW
69
0.00
0.02
0
−0.01
3
1
Shankland
ST
90
1
0.88
0.25
1
0.02
2
0
Lowry
MF
31
0.00
0.13
1
0.10
4
0
Tagawa
FW
21
0.17
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Baningime
MF
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Boyce
FW
6
1
0.05
0.52
1
0.20
2
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
St. Johnstone
From
To
Passes
Mitov
Carey
3
Gallacher
Carey
3
Carey
Gordon
3
Carey
Ballantyne
3
Olufunwa
May
3
Hearts
From
To
Passes
Rowles
Kent
20
Kent
Rowles
17
Clark
Rowles
13
Haring
Rowles
12
Kingsley
Rowles
11
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.
Threat
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
St. Johnstone
Top six
29%
21%
−8
11th
12%
15%
+3
Bottom
10%
13%
+3
Hearts
Top six
68%
78%
+10
11th
3%
1%
−2
Bottom
1%
1%
0
From the forecast before the match (5 August 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Expected goals
1.30
1.25
Win
37%
35%
Expected Points
1.40
1.32
Clean sheet
29%
27%
St. Johnstone 37%Draw 28%Hearts 35%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 53%.
From the forecast as it stood on 5 August 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
St. Johnstone win
Draw
Hearts win
St. Johnstone
Top six
29%
38%
28%
21%
11th
12%
9%
13%
15%
Bottom
10%
7%
10%
13%
Hearts
Top six
68%
60%
67%
78%
11th
3%
4%
3%
1%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
St. Johnstone
Hearts
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−25%
+11%
+11%
+21%
Counter-attacks
−54%
−79%
+21%
−46%
Set pieces
−23%
−15%
−8%
+44%
Penalties
−22%
−35%
+43%
−9%
Headers
−40%
−3%
−14%
+38%
Left side
−27%
+10%
−9%
+15%
Centre
−25%
−4%
+8%
+29%
Right side
−26%
−1%
+19%
+24%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
St. Johnstone attacking
St. Johnstone createdHearts concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−27%+24%Centre−25%+29%Right side−26%+15%Open play−25%+21%Counter-attacks−54%−46%Set pieces−23%+44%Headers−40%+38%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Digressive Celts