Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Ross County 0–1 Dundee FC

Saturday 16 December 2023, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 18 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Colin Steven · Attendance 4,014

Dundee FC Shaughnessy 90+7'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Ross CountyDundee FC
Goals01
xG0.902.43
Expected Points0.342.50

Ross County 6%Draw 16%Dundee FC 78%

Most likely score 1–2, 16%. Final score 0–1, 5%.

Dundee FC goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+5%11%4%6%4%1%2%8%5%2%2%1%15%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBrophy on for White, 67'Sheaf on for Dhanda, 75'Samuel on for Brown, 89'Sylla on for Boateng and Mulligan on for Cameron, 62'Rudden on for Robinson, 75'Reilly on for Bakayoko, 90+1'Shaughnessy 90+7'Dundee FC 2.43Ross County 0.9001230153045607590HTBrophy on for White, 67'Sheaf on for Dhanda, 75'Samuel on for Brown, 89'Sylla on for Boateng and Mulligan on for Cameron, 62'Rudden on for Robinson, 75'Reilly on for Bakayoko, 90+1'Shaughnessy 90+7'2.430.90Ross CountyDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Ross CountyDundee FC

0.90 +0.03xG2.43 +1.04
0.11 −0.77xG on target1.13 −0.44
10 0Shots17 +5
3 −0.4Shots on target3 −1.3
1 −0.6Big chances2 −0.2
19 +3Touches in the opposition box36 +16
48% +4Possession52% +9
314 −13Passes346 +10
64% 0Pass accuracy62% −7
52% +8Field tilt48% +8
31 +2Final-third entries33 −1
11 +2.1Box entries11 +2.0
14.5 −1Passes per defensive action11.4 −6
2 −3.1Corners9 +4.1
5 −9Tackles20 +4
9 −0.6Interceptions8 −1.9
30 +6Clearances21 −4
2 −1.8Saves2 −0.9
10 −2Fouls10 0
2 +0.1Offsides0 −1.7

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Ross County

Brown 86', 0.26 xGMurray 24', 0.13 xGMurray 52', 0.12 xGMurray 45+2', 0.11 xGBrown 48', 0.11 xGBrophy 86', 0.10 xGLeak 42', 0.02 xGNightingale 57', 0.02 xGDhanda 1', 0.01 xGMurray 39', 0.01 xG13%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals47%0.42 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.42 xG, 0 goals12%0.11 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals23%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals4%0.04 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Bakayoko 70', 0.80 xGRobinson 53', 0.17 xGBakayoko 46', 0.08 xGMcGhee 45', 0.07 xGDonnelly 45', 0.06 xGBeck 90+2', 0.06 xGCameron 15', 0.05 xGMcCowan 45+2', 0.05 xGMcCowan 90+7', 0.05 xGBakayoko 15', 0.04 xGMcCowan 66', 0.04 xGDonnelly 64', 0.03 xGBakayoko 37', 0.02 xGCameron 38', 0.02 xGMcCowan 55', 0.02 xGBoateng 60', 0.02 xGShaughnessy 90+7', 0.83 xG, goal70%1.70 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.70 xG, 1 goal11%0.27 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.27 xG, 0 goals13%0.31 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.31 xG, 0 goals5%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals1%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Ross CountyDundee FC

0.64 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.55 10 shots, 0 goals
0.11 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.08 1 shot, 0 goals
0.15 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.79 6 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
99 min (99%) · Ross County 0.90, Dundee FC 2.43 xG
Dundee FC ahead
1 min (1%) · Ross County 0.00, Dundee FC 0.00 xG

Line-ups

1355424263102615LaidlawNightingaleBaldwinLeakBrownRandallAllardicePurringtonDhandaWhiteMurrayYellow card89'75'67'Ross County 3-4-1-2Derek Adams315122561023173169CarsonShaughnessyLamieDonnellyMcGheeCameronBoatengMcCowanBeckRobinsonBakayokoYellow cardGoal62'62'75'90+1'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty

Ross County substitutes

  • 67' Brophy for White
  • 75' Sheaf for Dhanda
  • 89' Samuel for Brown

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 62' Mulligan for Cameron · yellow card 78'
  • 62' Sylla for Boateng
  • 75' Rudden for Robinson
  • 90+1' Reilly for Bakayoko

Players

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0410.0113
NightingaleCB900.020.0010.0446
BaldwinCB900.000.0100.0549
LeakCB900.020.0000.07513
BrownRWB890.370.1120.0674
Randall CM900.000.0100.0224
AllardiceCM900.000.0210.0241
PurringtonLWB900.000.0100.0114
DhandaAM750.010.0720.0232
WhiteST670.000.001−0.0214
MurrayST900.380.1210.3371
BrophyFW230.100.000−0.0100
SheafMF150.000.0400.0421
SamuelFW10.000.000––0

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Carson GK900.000.0000.0000
ShaughnessyCB9010.830.2110.1633
LamieCB900.000.021−0.02210
DonnellyCB900.100.1710.11711
McGheeRWB900.070.031−0.0355
CameronCM620.070.0220.0323
BoatengCM620.020.0100.0234
McCowanCM900.160.1020.26106
BeckLWB900.060.3630.0644
RobinsonST750.170.010−0.0400
BakayokoST900.950.0200.0011
Mulligan MF280.000.0700.0631
SyllaMF280.000.0000.0323
RuddenFW150.000.0000.0000
ReillyMF00.000.0100.0110

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Ross County

Baldwin and Brown: 4 passesBaldwin and Allardice: 4 passesLeak and Allardice: 4 passesAllardice and White: 4 passesPurrington and White: 4 passesNightingale and Dhanda: 5 passesLeak and Dhanda: 5 passesLeak and White: 5 passesBrown and White: 5 passesRandall and White: 5 passesAllardice and Dhanda: 5 passesBaldwin and Leak: 6 passesBaldwin and Dhanda: 6 passesNightingale and Allardice: 6 passesRandall and Allardice: 6 passesRandall and Dhanda: 6 passesAllardice and Purrington: 6 passesLaidlaw and Leak: 7 passesBaldwin and White: 7 passesLeak and Purrington: 8 passesBrown and Dhanda: 8 passesDhanda and Murray: 8 passesBrown and Randall: 9 passesLaidlaw: 12 completed passesBaldwin: 27 completed passesNightingale: 17 completed passesLeak: 18 completed passesBrown: 16 completed passesRandall: 17 completed passesAllardice: 21 completed passesPurrington: 16 completed passesDhanda: 21 completed passesWhite: 11 completed passesMurray: 10 completed passes1535424263102615LaidlawBaldwinNightingaleLeakBrownRandallAllardicePurringtonDhandaWhiteMurrayStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Shaughnessy and Bakayoko: 4 passesDonnelly and Cameron: 4 passesDonnelly and Robinson: 4 passesMcGhee and Boateng: 4 passesMcGhee and McCowan: 4 passesBoateng and Cameron: 4 passesShaughnessy and Cameron: 5 passesLamie and Boateng: 5 passesDonnelly and Beck: 5 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 6 passesBeck and McCowan: 6 passesBoateng and McCowan: 6 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 6 passesDonnelly and Boateng: 7 passesMcCowan and Robinson: 7 passesShaughnessy and McGhee: 8 passesLamie and Donnelly: 9 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 10 passesCameron and McCowan: 11 passesCarson: 6 completed passesShaughnessy: 18 completed passesLamie: 21 completed passesDonnelly: 21 completed passesMcGhee: 12 completed passesBeck: 9 completed passesBoateng: 22 completed passesCameron: 14 completed passesMcCowan: 28 completed passesBakayoko: 9 completed passesRobinson: 11 completed passes315122563231017916CarsonShaughnessyLamieDonnellyMcGheeBeckBoatengCameronMcCowanBakayokoRobinsonStarters until 62' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Ross County

FromToPasses
RandallBrown8
BaldwinWhite7
NightingaleAllardice5
LaidlawLeak5
PurringtonLeak5

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McCowanCameron8
McCowanBakayoko7
McGheeMcCowan7
LamieDonnelly6
BoatengDonnelly6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Ross County

3−1.811+3.617+4.618+7.97+1.87−1.14−2.44−1.63−5.110−0.22−3.22−3.24+0.94−0.44−2.06+0.90−4.43+0.80−4.67+2.24+1.13+1.40−0.80−1.81−1.42+0.60−0.60−1.12+1.61+0.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Dundee FC

6+0.79+1.314−3.38−1.35−3.19+2.22−3.89+1.97−1.99+2.55+0.14−0.15+0.36+0.15−0.11−2.35+3.13−0.74+0.71−1.52+0.20−0.91−0.35+1.90−0.81+0.51+0.51+0.51+0.32−6.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Ross County

0.010.010.010.020.030.040.020.030.020.010.050.040.020.010.020.010.07−0.040.050.030.17LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.010.010.020.010.010.010.100.040.030.030.040.080.020.080.06−0.05−0.070.040.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackRoss County1.00 → 0.98Dundee FC1.11 → 1.15Defence (lower is better)Ross County1.45 → 1.48Dundee FC1.46 → 1.40

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
Top six13%6%−7
11th17%22%+5
Bottom12%17%+5
Dundee FC
Top six29%42%+13
11th9%6%−3
Bottom5%2%−3

From the forecast before the match (16 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Ross CountyDundee FC
Expected goals1.381.12
Win42%30%
Expected Points1.551.17
Clean sheet33%25%

Ross County 42%Draw 28%Dundee FC 30%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 51%.

Dundee FC goalsRoss County goals0123456+0123456+9%9%5%2%7%3%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 16 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRoss County winDrawDundee FC win
Ross County
Top six13%19%10%6%
11th17%13%18%22%
Bottom12%8%13%17%
Dundee FC
Top six29%20%28%42%
11th9%12%9%6%
Bottom5%8%4%2%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Ross County

  1. L0–29 DecSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.62–0.94
  2. W3–05 DecMotherwell (H)xG 1.43–1.18
  3. W1–028 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.66–0.24
  4. D0–025 NovKilmarnock (H)xG 0.88–0.65
  5. L0–111 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.21–0.69
  6. L0–34 NovCeltic (H)xG 0.26–3.40

Dundee FC

  1. L1–39 DecRangers (A)xG 1.11–2.08
  2. D3–32 DecMotherwell (A)xG 1.59–0.89
  3. L1–225 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.42–0.84
  4. W4–011 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.62–0.51
  5. W1–05 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.67–1.49
  6. L0–51 NovRangers (H)xG 0.77–5.69

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Ross CountyDundee FC
Position8th7th
Played1615
Won, drawn, lost4–⁠5–⁠74–⁠6–⁠5
Points17 (1.06 per game)18 (1.20 per game)
Expected Points per game1.031.36
Goals15–⁠2319–⁠23
xG per game0.87–⁠1.461.39–⁠1.73
Home: points, xG per game1.38, 0.95–⁠1.131.50, 1.38–⁠1.75
Away: points, xG per game0.75, 0.79–⁠1.790.86, 1.40–⁠1.70
ManagerDerek Adams (4)Tony Docherty (15)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackRoss County1.00, 10thDundee FC1.11, 7thDefence (lower is better)Ross County1.45, 10thDundee FC1.46, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecRoss County attack: 1.00Dundee FC attack: 1.111.111.00Dundee FCRoss CountyDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecRoss County defence: 1.45Dundee FC defence: 1.461.461.45

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Ross CountyDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−24%+11%−11%+29%
Counter-attacks−68%+59%+4%+18%
Set pieces−35%−19%+42%+8%
Penalties−100%+7%−24%+52%
Headers−22%−30%−4%+49%
Left side−23%−2%+14%+20%
Centre−40%+10%+12%+26%
Right side−16%+7%−22%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee FC concededLeft side−23%+19%Centre−40%+26%Right side−16%+20%Open play−24%+29%Counter-attacks−68%+18%Set pieces−35%+8%Headers−22%+49%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdRoss County concededLeft side+14%+7%Centre+12%+10%Right side−22%−2%Open play−11%+11%Counter-attacks+4%+59%Set pieces+42%−19%Headers−4%−30%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Ross CountyDundee FC

0.87xG1.39
1.46xG against1.73
44%Possession43%
10.0Shots12.1
14.8Shots against14.3
3.4Shots on target4.3
1.6Big chances2.2
16.1Touches in the opposition box20.3
327Passes336
64%Pass accuracy69%
5.1Corners4.9
44%Field tilt40%
29.1Final-third entries34.2
8.9Box entries9.0
15.1Passes per defensive action17.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level530.831.00
Ahead141.561.73
Behind230.542.36

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level461.261.48
Ahead181.481.83
Behind271.562.10

xG by period

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.170.091–0
16–300.120.271–5
31–450.080.341–4
46–600.190.205–5
61–750.120.223–4
76–900.180.344–5

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.171–3
16–300.140.323–4
31–450.280.233–3
46–600.300.283–3
61–750.230.273–4
76–900.290.456–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Ross County

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTLaidlaw 16Nightingale 9Smith 2Loturi 2Baldwin 16Leak 15Harmon 1Brown 15Randall 1Randall 14Turner 4Allardice 8Loturi 4Dhanda 2Purrington 8Harmon 4Reid 3Dhanda 10Sims 2Loturi 2White 13Brophy 2Murray 15Dhanda 1Sims 13-4-1-2 in 9 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (9), 4-4-2 (3), 4-3-1-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 14McCracken 1Portales 10McGhee 3Kerr 2Shaughnessy 15Lamie 10Donnelly 2Ashcroft 2McGhee 8McCowan 2Robertson 2Cameron 9Robertson 2Mulligan 2Boateng 14Sylla 3Beck 2McCowan 11Beck 11Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 14Robinson 4Rudden 8McCowan 1Donnelly 13-5-2 in 7 of 15 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (7), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
24 October 2023Dundee FC0–0Ross CountyxG 0.96–0.32
5 February 2022Dundee FC1–2Ross CountyxG 1.12–1.78
11 December 2021Ross County3–2Dundee FCxG 2.13–1.64
27 October 2021Dundee FC0–5Ross CountyxG 0.48–1.57

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Ross County won 3, Dundee FC won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 10–3 and xG 1.45–1.05 per game.

Key players

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Murray151,167410.220.07
White131,034300.220.04
Loturi8673100.180.05
Dhanda151,098120.030.20

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson6543200.580.03
Rudden8737210.360.04
Bakayoko141,233420.350.05
McCowan151,341220.120.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.