Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 2–0 Dundee FC

Tuesday 18 January 2022, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 21 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Dickinson · Attendance 1,612

Livingston Anderson 46', 56'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonDundee FC
Goals20
xG1.270.56
Expected Points1.930.76

Livingston 54%Draw 31%Dundee FC 15%

Most likely score 1–0, 20%. Final score 2–0, 14%.

Dundee FC goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%2%14%3%14%8%2%5%3%1%15%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTChukwuemeka on for Shinnie, 67'Forrest on for Bailey, 74'Longridge on for Penrice and Montano on for Anderson, 84'Elliot on for Marshall, 7'Mulligan on for Adam, 58'Jakubiak on for McGowan and Griffiths on for McMullan, 65'Anderson 46'Anderson 56'Livingston 1.27Dundee FC 0.5600.511.50153045607590HTChukwuemeka on for Shinnie, 67'Forrest on for Bailey, 74'Longridge on for Penrice and Montano on for Anderson, 84'Elliot on for Marshall, 7'Mulligan on for Adam, 58'Jakubiak on for McGowan and Griffiths on for McMullan, 65'Anderson 46'Anderson 56'1.270.56LivingstonDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonDundee FC

1.27 +0.54xG0.56 −0.23
0.47 −0.24xG on target0.79 +0.01
13 +4.6Shots9 −0.4
5 +2.2Shots on target4 +0.4
2 +1.2Big chances0 −0.8
23 +10Touches in the opposition box16 +1
50% +11Possession50% +10
365 +69Passes359 +68
68% +6Pass accuracy67% +5
59% +23Field tilt41% +3
32 +9Final-third entries32 +6
12 +4.7Box entries11 +3.2
16.8 +1Passes per defensive action19.5 +4
4 +0.6Corners9 +4.7
12 −4Tackles15 +2
10 −0.5Interceptions8 −1.6
14 −9Clearances19 −3
4 +0.9Saves3 −0.5
10 −4Fouls12 −2
1 −1.5Offsides1 −1.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 13', 0.28 xGAnderson 26', 0.23 xGAnderson 26', 0.18 xGAnderson 46', 0.15 xGObileye 41', 0.11 xGShinnie 20', 0.05 xGPittman 12', 0.04 xGBailey 16', 0.02 xGObileye 56', 0.02 xGBailey 20', 0.01 xGOmeonga 26', 0.01 xGAnderson 56', 0.10 xG, goalAnderson 46', 0.06 xG, goal17%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.21 xG, 1 goal70%0.88 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.88 xG, 0 goals7%0.09 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.09 xG, 1 goal1%0.01 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals6%0.07 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

McCowan 44', 0.17 xGMcMullan 9', 0.10 xGMullen 16', 0.08 xGMulligan 64', 0.06 xGJakubiak 90', 0.04 xGGriffiths 90+4', 0.04 xGMcGhee 66', 0.03 xGMullen 85', 0.03 xGMcMullan 31', 0.02 xG5%0.03 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals39%0.22 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals16%0.09 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals33%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals7%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonDundee FC

0.91 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.30 5 shots, 0 goals
0.36 6 shots, 2 goalsSet pieces0.26 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
46 min (49%) · Livingston 1.15, Dundee FC 0.36 xG
Livingston ahead
48 min (51%) · Livingston 0.12, Dundee FC 0.20 xG

Line-ups

32256291883314922StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceHoltPittmanOmeongaBaileyAndersonShinnieYellow cardYellow cardGoalGoalYellow card84'74'84'67'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale1264310262418917LegzdinsKerrMcGheeFontaineMarshallMcGowanAdamAndersonMcMullanMullenMcCowanYellow cardYellow card7'65'58'65'Dundee FC 4-3-3James McPake

Livingston substitutes

  • 67' Chukwuemeka for Shinnie
  • 74' Forrest for Bailey
  • 84' Longridge for Penrice
  • 84' Montano for Anderson

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 7' Elliot for Marshall
  • 58' Mulligan for Adam · yellow card 85'
  • 65' Jakubiak for McGowan
  • 65' Griffiths for McMullan

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0110
DevlinRB900.000.1520.32117
FitzwaterCB900.000.0100.1193
ObileyeCB900.130.0100.0671
PenriceLB8410.000.1210.1253
Holt CM900.000.000−0.0202
Pittman CM900.040.011−0.0212
OmeongaCM900.010.0100.0127
BaileyRW740.040.1320.0104
AndersonST8420.990.0510.0223
Shinnie LW670.050.0110.0131
ChukwuemekaFW230.000.0100.0433
ForrestFW160.000.0000.0101
LongridgeDF60.000.0000.0000
MontanoFW60.000.010−0.0221

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LegzdinsGK900.000.0000.0440
KerrRB900.000.0710.2489
McGheeCB900.030.010−0.13310
FontaineCB900.000.0100.0786
MarshallLB70.000.0000.0110
McGowanCM650.000.0410.0430
Adam CM580.000.0000.0432
Anderson CM900.000.0210.0016
McMullanRW650.120.0910.1461
MullenST900.110.1700.0921
McCowanLW900.170.2210.0221
ElliotDF830.000.0100.0237
Mulligan MF320.060.0100.0221
JakubiakFW250.040.0000.0102
GriffithsFW250.040.0310.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Omeonga: 3 passesObileye and Bailey: 3 passesObileye and Anderson: 3 passesFitzwater and Penrice: 3 passesPenrice and Holt: 3 passesPenrice and Anderson: 3 passesOmeonga and Holt: 3 passesBailey and Anderson: 3 passesObileye and Shinnie: 4 passesFitzwater and Anderson: 4 passesHolt and Pittman: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 5 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 5 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesFitzwater and Pittman: 6 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 6 passesDevlin and Bailey: 7 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 7 passesObileye and Holt: 8 passesPenrice and Omeonga: 8 passesObileye and Penrice: 9 passesStryjek and Obileye: 15 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 18 passesDevlin and Pittman: 18 passesStryjek: 21 completed passesDevlin: 24 completed passesObileye: 27 completed passesFitzwater: 23 completed passesPenrice: 19 completed passesOmeonga: 11 completed passesHolt: 20 completed passesPittman: 17 completed passesBailey: 8 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passesShinnie: 14 completed passes32265293318814922StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterPenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanBaileyAndersonShinnieStarters until 67' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
PittmanDevlin13
FitzwaterStryjek12
StryjekObileye11
StryjekFitzwater10
DevlinPittman10

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
FontaineKerr14
ElliotMcGhee11
KerrFontaine8
KerrMcGowan7
McGowanMcMullan7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.50−5.814−1.86−1.51−5.99+1.57−1.15−1.55−3.17−2.45−1.28+3.315+11.28+2.84−2.97+2.74+1.35+2.44+0.92−2.32−0.51−0.11−0.10−1.61−0.81−0.40−0.51+0.40−0.40−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Dundee FC

8+2.716+1.25−3.07+0.84−1.96+0.38−0.611+4.43−3.32−2.23−0.45−0.88+2.52−1.52−1.82−0.41−2.53−0.51−1.04+2.20−1.51−0.24+2.40−0.80−0.31−0.11+0.80−0.83−4.53−4.3FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 20 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.030.020.020.100.080.090.040.010.010.010.010.030.090.020.010.02−0.02−0.07−0.010.020.14LessMore

Dundee FC

0.010.030.010.010.010.040.020.040.010.040.010.010.020.020.050.110.040.040.07−0.210.020.20LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston0.90 → 0.91Dundee FC0.83 → 0.82Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.24 → 1.23Dundee FC1.41 → 1.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six7%11%+4
11th10%7%−3
Bottom6%3%−3
Dundee FC
Top six1%<1%−1
11th25%26%+1
Bottom42%49%+7
St. Johnstone
11th27%29%+2
Bottom31%29%−2
Ross County
11th18%18%0
Bottom11%10%−1

From the forecast before the match (18 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonDundee FC
Expected goals1.240.85
Win44%25%
Expected Points1.641.05
Clean sheet43%29%

Livingston 44%Draw 31%Dundee FC 25%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Dundee FC goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+10%5%1%6%2%9%8%3%1%4%3%1%1%1%13%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 18 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawDundee FC win
Livingston
Top six7%11%5%3%
11th10%7%11%16%
Bottom6%3%7%11%
Dundee FC
Top six1%<1%<1%1%
11th25%26%26%24%
Bottom42%49%42%28%
St. Johnstone
11th27%29%27%22%
Bottom31%29%30%36%
Ross County
11th18%18%18%16%
Bottom11%10%11%14%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L1–226 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.43–0.92
  2. D1–118 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.00–0.57
  3. W1–011 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.22–0.87
  4. W1–08 DecHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.95
  5. L0–15 DecHearts (H)xG 1.25–1.84
  6. L0–21 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.08–1.18

Dundee FC

  1. L1–226 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.12–1.12
  2. L0–118 DecHearts (H)xG 0.14–1.02
  3. L0–114 DecHibernian (A)xG 0.62–1.14
  4. L2–311 DecRoss County (A)xG 1.64–2.13
  5. L0–34 DecRangers (A)xG 0.44–2.81
  6. W1–01 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.01–0.34

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonDundee FC
Position8th11th
Played2020
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠5–⁠104–⁠4–⁠12
Points20 (1.00 per game)16 (0.80 per game)
Expected Points per game0.860.95
Goals16–⁠2618–⁠37
xG per game0.73–⁠1.410.79–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game0.89, 0.96–⁠1.401.20, 0.91–⁠1.28
Away: points, xG per game1.09, 0.54–⁠1.420.40, 0.66–⁠1.78
ManagerDavid Martindale (43)James McPake (20)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston0.90, 9thDundee FC0.83, 12thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.24, 7thDundee FC1.41, 11th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanLivingston attack: 0.90Dundee FC attack: 0.830.900.83Dundee FCLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanLivingston defence: 1.24Dundee FC defence: 1.411.411.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−38%+9%−41%+47%
Counter-attacks−36%+26%−58%−31%
Set pieces−35%+11%−6%−13%
Penalties−62%+89%−62%+13%
Headers−36%+7%−24%average
Left side−13%+12%−44%+14%
Centre−43%+4%−31%+30%
Right side−48%+21%−23%+39%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−13%+39%Centre−43%+30%Right side−48%+14%Open play−38%+47%Counter-attacks−36%−31%Set pieces−35%−13%Headers−36%average

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side−44%+21%Centre−31%+4%Right side−23%+12%Open play−41%+9%Counter-attacks−58%+26%Set pieces−6%+11%Headers−24%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonDundee FC

0.73xG0.79
1.41xG against1.53
39%Possession40%
8.4Shots9.4
14.6Shots against15.5
2.8Shots on target3.6
0.8Big chances0.8
13.5Touches in the opposition box14.6
296Passes291
62%Pass accuracy62%
3.4Corners4.3
35%Field tilt38%
23.1Final-third entries26.4
7.3Box entries7.8
16.0Passes per defensive action15.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.691.05
Ahead150.862.05
Behind310.721.63

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level400.681.27
Ahead150.931.14
Behind350.852.01

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.161–4
16–300.130.194–4
31–450.170.205–3
46–600.040.220–4
61–750.180.222–5
76–900.120.434–6

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.124–3
16–300.100.333–7
31–450.060.333–9
46–600.230.243–7
61–750.120.273–7
76–900.120.252–4

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 20Devlin 15McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 18Obileye 16Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 9Longridge 5Kelly 3Pittman 6McMillan 4Bailey 4Holt 20Kelly 1Omeonga 12Shinnie 3Sibbald 3Sibbald 6Bailey 5Forrest 3Anderson 13Shinnie 6Forrest 1Forrest 9Montano 4Shinnie 24-3-3 in 7 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (7), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 20Kerr 15Elliot 5Ashcroft 12Fontaine 10Kerr 1Sweeney 15McGhee 2Marshall 17McGhee 1Kerr 1McGhee 10McCowan 2McMullan 2Anderson 12McGowan 8Byrne 8Adam 13McMullan 11McCowan 3McGowan 3Mullen 7Griffiths 6McMullan 2McCowan 8McGowan 3McMullan 34-3-3 in 6 of 20 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (6), 3-5-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-5-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
11 September 2021Dundee FC0–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.44

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Dundee FC won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 0–0 and xG 0.44–1.08 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest141,272110.190.11
Montano5471000.240.02
Pittman6647110.200.04
Anderson13994530.150.07

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4607300.410.09
Mullen8741300.360.02
McMullan181,528060.080.20
Griffiths8722200.220.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.