Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee FC 0–4 Livingston

Saturday 26 February 2022, 15:00 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 28 · Half-time 0–3 · Referee Bobby Madden · Attendance 4,679

Livingston Anderson 6', 21', Pittman 18', Fitzwater 65'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee FCLivingston
Goals04
xG0.492.72
Expected Points0.152.76

Dundee FC 2%Draw 9%Livingston 89%

Most likely score 0–3, 18%. Final score 0–4, 10%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+2%8%10%4%1%5%9%10%6%2%2%2%1%17%18%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTMcMullan on for Rossi, 23'McGinn on for Mulligan and Adam on for Byrne, 46'Marshall on for Rudden, 59'McGowan on for Anderson, 81'Bailey on for Nouble and Soto on for Anderson, 72'Longridge on for Penrice and Chukwuemeka on for Forrest, 81'Shinnie on for Pittman, 85'Anderson 6'Pittman 18'Anderson 21'Fitzwater 65'Livingston 2.72Dundee FC 0.4901230153045607590HTMcMullan on for Rossi, 23'McGinn on for Mulligan and Adam on for Byrne, 46'Marshall on for Rudden, 59'McGowan on for Anderson, 81'Bailey on for Nouble and Soto on for Anderson, 72'Longridge on for Penrice and Chukwuemeka on for Forrest, 81'Shinnie on for Pittman, 85'Anderson 6'Pittman 18'Anderson 21'Fitzwater 65'2.720.49Dundee FCLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee FCLivingston

0.49 −0.27xG2.72 +1.85
0.03 −0.72xG on target3.18 +2.36
9 −0.5Shots17 +7.4
1 −2.5Shots on target8 +4.9
0 −0.8Big chances3 +2.0
11 −5Touches in the opposition box23 +7
54% +14Possession46% +6
360 +72Passes312 +7
63% +2Pass accuracy65% +3
45% +9Field tilt55% +16
28 +3Final-third entries44 +19
6 −2.1Box entries11 +3.1
17.6 +1Passes per defensive action10.3 −6
5 +0.3Corners4 +0.3
15 +2Tackles19 +3
8 −1.4Interceptions11 +0.7
14 −9Clearances22 −1
4 +0.4Saves1 −2.1
11 −3Fouls13 −1
1 −0.9Offsides3 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee FC

Mullen 44', 0.11 xGRossi 15', 0.10 xGMullen 39', 0.10 xGSweeney 45', 0.06 xGMullen 9', 0.05 xGMcGhee 15', 0.03 xGSweeney 42', 0.02 xGSweeney 13', 0.01 xGAdam 87', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals78%0.38 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.38 xG, 0 goals4%0.02 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.02 xG, 0 goals10%0.05 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals8%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Anderson 47', 0.20 xGPenrice 30', 0.13 xGAnderson 34', 0.13 xGFitzwater 52', 0.09 xGHolt 53', 0.09 xGAnderson 34', 0.08 xGForrest 41', 0.04 xGBailey 74', 0.04 xGOmeonga 74', 0.03 xGOmeonga 43', 0.02 xGForrest 47', 0.02 xGPittman 50', 0.02 xGShinnie 88', 0.02 xGAnderson 21', 0.64 xG, goalAnderson 6', 0.63 xG, goalPittman 18', 0.49 xG, goalFitzwater 65', 0.08 xG, goal68%1.86 xGSix-yard box: 4 shots, 1.86 xG, 3 goals21%0.57 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.57 xG, 1 goal1%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals8%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals3%0.07 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee FCLivingston

0.22 3 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.75 12 shots, 2 goals
0.27 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.97 5 shots, 2 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
6 min (7%) · Dundee FC 0.00, Livingston 0.63 xG
Livingston ahead
84 min (93%) · Dundee FC 0.49, Livingston 2.09 xG

Line-ups

21223565281524920LawlorDaley-CampbellRossiMcGheeSweeneyKerrByrneMulliganAndersonMullenRuddenYellow cardYellow card23'46'46'81'59'Dundee FC 5-3-2Mark McGhee32256298183319917StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenricePittmanHoltOmeongaNoubleAndersonForrestGoalGoalGoalGoal81'85'72'72'81'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 23' McMullan for Rossi
  • 46' Adam for Byrne
  • 46' McGinn for Mulligan
  • 59' Marshall for Rudden
  • 81' McGowan for Anderson

Livingston substitutes

  • 72' Bailey for Nouble
  • 72' Soto for Anderson
  • 81' Longridge for Penrice
  • 81' Chukwuemeka for Forrest
  • 85' Shinnie for Pittman

Players

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LawlorGK900.000.0100.0652
Daley-Campbell RWB900.000.0100.0223
RossiCB230.100.0000.0000
McGheeCB900.030.0100.0236
SweeneyCB900.080.0000.01114
KerrLWB900.000.0210.0464
ByrneCM460.000.0000.0242
MulliganCM460.000.0100.0320
AndersonCM810.000.1720.1246
Mullen ST900.260.0100.1621
RuddenST590.000.020−0.0100
McMullanMF670.000.1120.0120
AdamMF440.010.0100.0132
McGinnMF440.000.031−0.0110
MarshallDF310.000.0000.0211
McGowanMF90.000.0000.0000

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0341
DevlinRB9010.000.5910.2166
FitzwaterCB9010.170.0000.0447
ObileyeCB900.000.0110.0886
PenriceLB810.130.1110.1178
PittmanCM8510.510.0110.0431
HoltCM900.090.0100.00313
OmeongaCM900.040.0100.0368
NoubleRW7210.000.5820.2182
AndersonST7221.670.000−0.0201
ForrestLW8110.050.0730.2982
BaileyMF180.040.000−0.0110
SotoFW180.000.0200.0000
LongridgeDF90.000.0000.0001
ChukwuemekaFW90.000.0010.0111
ShinnieFW50.020.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee FC

Lawlor and McGhee: 3 passesSweeney and Rossi: 3 passesSweeney and Anderson: 3 passesKerr and Anderson: 3 passesKerr and Rudden: 3 passesMulligan and Rudden: 3 passesDaley-Campbell and Rudden: 4 passesKerr and Mullen: 4 passesAnderson and Mullen: 4 passesSweeney and McGhee: 5 passesMcGhee and Rossi: 5 passesSweeney and Kerr: 8 passesLawlor: 5 completed passesDaley-Campbell: 5 completed passesSweeney: 11 completed passesMcGhee: 11 completed passesRossi: 6 completed passesKerr: 14 completed passesAnderson: 7 completed passesByrne: 8 completed passesMulligan: 3 completed passesMullen: 5 completed passesRudden: 8 completed passes21225635224815920LawlorDaley-CampbellSweeneyMcGheeRossiKerrAndersonByrneMulliganMullenRuddenStarters until 23' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Devlin and Omeonga: 4 passesPittman and Forrest: 4 passesNouble and Anderson: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 5 passesDevlin and Forrest: 5 passesObileye and Nouble: 5 passesPenrice and Pittman: 5 passesOmeonga and Forrest: 5 passesNouble and Forrest: 5 passesDevlin and Pittman: 6 passesDevlin and Anderson: 6 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 6 passesObileye and Penrice: 7 passesHolt and Nouble: 7 passesDevlin and Holt: 8 passesPittman and Nouble: 8 passesDevlin and Nouble: 9 passesPenrice and Omeonga: 9 passesPenrice and Forrest: 14 passesStryjek: 9 completed passesDevlin: 26 completed passesObileye: 19 completed passesFitzwater: 12 completed passesPenrice: 23 completed passesOmeonga: 19 completed passesHolt: 19 completed passesPittman: 16 completed passesNouble: 19 completed passesAnderson: 7 completed passesForrest: 15 completed passes32265293318819917StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterPenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanNoubleAndersonForrestStarters until 72' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
SweeneyKerr11
KerrAnderson10
KerrMullen9
KerrMcGowan6
McGheeDaley-Campbell5

Livingston

FromToPasses
PenriceForrest10
OmeongaPenrice8
ForrestPenrice7
HoltDevlin6
PenriceObileye6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee FC

3−2.56−1.06−2.012+5.18+0.83−3.45−0.810+1.08+0.94−2.35+0.72−1.46+0.410+4.40−3.43−0.60−2.21−2.23−0.51−0.93+1.10−1.52+0.92+0.40−0.80−0.30−1.00−0.30−0.87−7.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

Livingston

9+3.21−5.015−0.67−0.213+6.311+3.05−2.64−2.45−3.26−3.65−1.310+5.33−0.96+1.13−3.68+3.64+1.31−1.730.012+7.70−2.43+1.43+2.02+0.33+0.90−1.30−0.40−0.53+2.61+0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 27 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee FC

0.010.030.020.010.010.010.010.030.010.020.020.020.030.01−0.010.020.05−0.010.07−0.01−0.04−0.050.140.11LessMore

Livingston

0.010.030.010.040.010.020.030.010.010.030.010.020.04−0.010.020.060.05−0.01−0.010.020.360.26LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee FC0.82 → 0.81Livingston0.96 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.36 → 1.44Livingston1.16 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee FC
11th30%24%−6
Bottom57%68%+11
Livingston
Top six27%43%+16
11th3%1%−2
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Johnstone
11th42%50%+8
Bottom35%26%−9
Motherwell
Top six57%53%−4

From the forecast before the match (26 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee FCLivingston
Expected goals0.961.05
Win32%36%
Expected Points1.271.41
Clean sheet35%38%

Dundee FC 32%Draw 32%Livingston 36%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 41%.

Livingston goalsDundee FC goals0123456+0123456+7%3%7%2%6%6%3%1%2%2%1%14%13%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee FC winDrawLivingston win
Dundee FC
11th30%35%30%24%
Bottom57%42%58%68%
Livingston
Top six27%14%21%43%
11th3%5%2%1%
Bottom<1%1%<1%<1%
St. Johnstone
11th42%32%42%50%
Bottom35%46%35%26%
Motherwell
Top six57%61%58%53%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee FC

  1. L2–320 FebCeltic (A)xG 0.36–2.64
  2. W2–19 FebHearts (A)xG 0.86–1.76
  3. L1–25 FebRoss County (H)xG 1.12–1.78
  4. D0–01 FebDundee United (H)xG 0.87–0.69
  5. D0–026 JanSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.22–0.67
  6. L0–218 JanLivingston (A)xG 0.56–1.27

Livingston

  1. D1–119 FebSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.29–0.13
  2. D1–19 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.75–0.48
  3. W2–15 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.06–1.02
  4. L1–21 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.24–0.41
  5. W3–229 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.88–1.32
  6. L0–126 JanRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.51

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee FCLivingston
Position12th9th
Played2627
Won, drawn, lost5–⁠6–⁠158–⁠7–⁠12
Points21 (0.81 per game)31 (1.15 per game)
Expected Points per game0.911.10
Goals23–⁠4526–⁠34
xG per game0.76–⁠1.520.87–⁠1.25
Home: points, xG per game1.08, 0.93–⁠1.271.15, 1.04–⁠1.14
Away: points, xG per game0.57, 0.62–⁠1.731.14, 0.71–⁠1.35
ManagerMark McGhee (1)David Martindale (50)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee FC0.82, 12thLivingston0.96, 8thDefence (lower is better)Dundee FC1.36, 11thLivingston1.16, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC attack: 0.82Livingston attack: 0.960.960.82LivingstonDundee FCDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebDundee FC defence: 1.36Livingston defence: 1.161.361.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee FCLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−42%+44%−33%−4%
Counter-attacks−67%−48%−15%−8%
Set pieces−9%−14%−14%+9%
Penalties−71%+18%−43%+42%
Headers−28%+8%−29%+2%
Left side−49%+6%−5%−8%
Centre−31%+36%−34%−4%
Right side−28%+25%−34%+13%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdLivingston concededLeft side−49%+13%Centre−31%−4%Right side−28%−8%Open play−42%−4%Counter-attacks−67%−8%Set pieces−9%+9%Headers−28%+2%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee FC concededLeft side−5%+25%Centre−34%+36%Right side−34%+6%Open play−33%+44%Counter-attacks−15%−48%Set pieces−14%−14%Headers−29%+8%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee FCLivingston

0.76xG0.87
1.52xG against1.25
40%Possession40%
9.5Shots9.6
15.0Shots against13.6
3.5Shots on target3.1
0.8Big chances1.0
15.6Touches in the opposition box16.0
288Passes305
61%Pass accuracy63%
4.7Corners3.7
36%Field tilt38%
25.3Final-third entries24.9
8.1Box entries7.9
16.3Passes per defensive action16.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.671.33
Ahead140.971.15
Behind310.811.95

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.851.01
Ahead190.931.53
Behind250.851.47

xG by period

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.124–3
16–300.090.305–8
31–450.080.363–12
46–600.190.285–9
61–750.140.233–7
76–900.120.243–6

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.172–6
16–300.140.155–4
31–450.160.186–4
46–600.150.187–4
61–750.140.192–7
76–900.160.384–9

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee FC

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWLegzdins 24Lawlor 2Kerr 17Elliot 5Daley-Campbell 3Fontaine 15Ashcroft 12Kerr 1Sweeney 19McGhee 4Marshall 18Kerr 5McGhee 1Anderson 17McGhee 11McMullan 2Byrne 13McGowan 10Robertson 1Adam 16Mulligan 2McMullan 15McCowan 3McGowan 3Mullen 10Griffiths 7McMullan 2McCowan 10McMullan 4McGowan 34-3-3 in 8 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 3-5-2 (4), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-1-1 (3), 4-5-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 27Devlin 22McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 25Obileye 23Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 14Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 12Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 27Kelly 1Omeonga 19Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 10Sibbald 6Forrest 4Anderson 18Shinnie 6Nouble 2Forrest 13Montano 4Shinnie 44-3-3 in 14 of 27 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (14), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 January 2022Livingston2–0Dundee FCxG 1.27–0.56
11 September 2021Dundee FC0–0LivingstonxG 1.08–0.44

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee FC won 0, Livingston won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 0–2 and xG 0.82–0.85 per game.

Key players

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Cummings4607300.410.09
Mullen121,115500.310.03
McMullan242,006070.080.19
Griffiths9828200.200.04

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest191,735420.220.14
Anderson181,421930.270.07
Montano6603010.190.07
Bailey161,417210.120.08

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.