Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Motherwell 3–3 Dundee FC

Saturday 2 December 2023, 15:00 · Fir Park · Round 15 · Half-time 1–2 · Referee Iain Snedden · Attendance 4,491

Motherwell Biereth 6', Mugabi 68', Wilkinson 90+7' · Paton sent off 72'

Dundee FC Cameron 30', Beck 34', Robinson 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

MotherwellDundee FC
Goals33
xG0.891.59
Expected Points0.821.90

Motherwell 18%Draw 28%Dundee FC 54%

Most likely score 1–1, 16%. Final score 3–3, 1%.

Dundee FC goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+6%11%5%1%6%6%2%3%6%6%2%1%1%13%16%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTPaton (Motherwell), red card 72'Wilkinson on for Butcher, 61'Bair on for Obika and Gent on for O'Donnell, 70'Shaw on for Biereth, 86'Tiffoney on for McGhee, 81'Mulligan on for Cameron and Robinson on for Rudden, 86'Biereth 6'Mugabi 68'Wilkinson 90+7'Cameron 30'Beck 34'Robinson 88'Dundee FC 1.59Motherwell 0.8900.511.520153045607590HTPaton (Motherwell), red card 72'Wilkinson on for Butcher, 61'Bair on for Obika and Gent on for O'Donnell, 70'Shaw on for Biereth, 86'Tiffoney on for McGhee, 81'Mulligan on for Cameron and Robinson on for Rudden, 86'Biereth 6'Mugabi 68'Wilkinson 90+7'Cameron 30'Beck 34'Robinson 88'1.590.89MotherwellDundee FC

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

MotherwellDundee FC

0.89 −0.25xG1.59 +0.19
1.68 +0.51xG on target1.61 +0.05
9 −1Shots16 +4
4 +0.6Shots on target4 −0.4
3 +1.3Big chances2 −0.2
14 −6Touches in the opposition box25 +5
38% −6Possession62% +20
329 −16Passes539 +221
69% +3Pass accuracy82% +14
31% −13Field tilt69% +30
32 +1Final-third entries58 +26
7 −3.4Box entries11 +2.2
31.5 +16Passes per defensive action16.5 −1
4 −0.6Corners4 −0.8
11 −6Tackles12 −4
11 +2.6Interceptions7 −3.3
28 +3Clearances18 −9
1 −1.5Saves2 −0.8
6 −7Fouls9 −1
1 −0.1Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Motherwell

Obika 57', 0.35 xGCasey 1', 0.06 xGWilkinson 80', 0.04 xGBiereth 45+1', 0.03 xGMugabi 67', 0.02 xGWilkinson 83', 0.02 xGMugabi 68', 0.18 xG, goalWilkinson 90+7', 0.14 xG, goalBiereth 6', 0.04 xG, goal20%0.18 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.18 xG, 1 goal51%0.45 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.45 xG, 0 goals24%0.21 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.21 xG, 2 goals2%0.02 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Dundee FC

Bakayoko 38', 0.13 xGMulligan 87', 0.10 xGRudden 37', 0.08 xGPortales 82', 0.08 xGRudden 82', 0.05 xGBeck 30', 0.04 xGBakayoko 90+1', 0.04 xGMcGhee 30', 0.03 xGMcCowan 51', 0.03 xGCameron 73', 0.03 xGPortales 90+1', 0.03 xGRudden 16', 0.02 xGCameron 24', 0.02 xGBeck 34', 0.51 xG, goalRobinson 88', 0.21 xG, goalCameron 30', 0.19 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals82%1.29 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 1.29 xG, 3 goals9%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals9%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

MotherwellDundee FC

0.65 7 shots, 2 goalsOpen play1.03 8 shots, 2 goals
0.24 2 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.56 8 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
31 min (31%) · Motherwell 0.16, Dundee FC 0.98 xG
Motherwell ahead
24 min (24%) · Motherwell 0.00, Dundee FC 0.30 xG
Dundee FC ahead
44 min (44%) · Motherwell 0.73, Dundee FC 0.31 xG

Line-ups

11552066212722924KellyCaseyMugabiBlaneyButcherO'DonnellPatonSpittalSpencerObikaBierethYellow cardGoalYellow cardSent offGoal61'70'70'86'Motherwell 3-1-4-2Stuart Kettlewell312952561023173920CarsonPortalesShaughnessyDonnellyMcGheeCameronBoatengMcCowanBeckBakayokoRuddenGoalYellow cardYellow cardGoal81'86'86'Dundee FC 3-5-2Tony Docherty

Motherwell substitutes

  • 61' Wilkinson for Butcher · yellow card 90+5', goal 90+7'
  • 70' Gent for O'Donnell
  • 70' Bair for Obika
  • 86' Shaw for Biereth · 1 assist

Dundee FC substitutes

  • 81' Tiffoney for McGhee
  • 86' Mulligan for Cameron
  • 86' Robinson for Rudden · goal 88'

Players

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0671
Casey CB900.060.0000.04310
MugabiCB9010.200.0000.14311
BlaneyCB900.000.0000.0129
Butcher DM610.000.0000.0358
O'DonnellRWB700.000.0400.09123
Paton CM720.000.0200.0435
SpittalCM9010.000.4830.32134
SpencerLWB900.000.0100.0233
ObikaST700.350.0100.0030
BierethST8610.070.040−0.0220
Wilkinson FW2910.210.011−0.0401
GentMF200.000.0000.0000
BairFW200.000.000−0.0101
ShawFW410.000.0710.0800

Dundee FC

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
CarsonGK900.000.0000.0211
PortalesCB900.110.0410.17109
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0100.0528
DonnellyCB9010.000.4010.2097
McGheeRWB810.030.030−0.0514
CameronCM8610.230.0510.1061
Boateng CM900.000.0810.0962
McCowan CM900.030.0610.1453
BeckLWB9010.550.1030.0742
BakayokoST900.170.0200.0221
RuddenST8610.150.1510.0511
TiffoneyFW90.000.0010.0000
MulliganMF40.100.0000.0430
RobinsonFW410.210.0000.1400

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Motherwell

Casey and Mugabi: 4 passesButcher and Obika: 4 passesPaton and Spencer: 4 passesSpittal and Spencer: 4 passesSpittal and Obika: 4 passesSpencer and Biereth: 4 passesObika and Biereth: 4 passesKelly and Obika: 5 passesBlaney and Mugabi: 5 passesBlaney and Spencer: 5 passesCasey and Paton: 5 passesButcher and Biereth: 5 passesCasey and Butcher: 6 passesO'Donnell and Biereth: 6 passesPaton and Biereth: 6 passesCasey and O'Donnell: 7 passesO'Donnell and Paton: 7 passesO'Donnell and Spittal: 7 passesButcher and Spittal: 8 passesPaton and Spittal: 8 passesO'Donnell and Obika: 9 passesSpittal and Biereth: 11 passesKelly: 12 completed passesBlaney: 13 completed passesCasey: 19 completed passesMugabi: 10 completed passesButcher: 19 completed passesO'Donnell: 21 completed passesPaton: 18 completed passesSpittal: 23 completed passesSpencer: 12 completed passesObika: 16 completed passesBiereth: 16 completed passes12015566212722924KellyBlaneyCaseyMugabiButcherO'DonnellPatonSpittalSpencerObikaBierethStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Dundee FC

Shaughnessy and Boateng: 6 passesBoateng and McCowan: 6 passesCarson and Donnelly: 7 passesCameron and Bakayoko: 7 passesCameron and Rudden: 7 passesMcCowan and Bakayoko: 8 passesDonnelly and Boateng: 9 passesMcCowan and Cameron: 13 passesDonnelly and McCowan: 14 passesBeck and McCowan: 14 passesMcGhee and Boateng: 15 passesBoateng and Cameron: 16 passesDonnelly and Beck: 17 passesShaughnessy and Donnelly: 18 passesPortales and Boateng: 19 passesShaughnessy and Portales: 22 passesPortales and Cameron: 23 passesMcGhee and Cameron: 30 passesPortales and McGhee: 36 passesCarson: 12 completed passesShaughnessy: 33 completed passesDonnelly: 42 completed passesPortales: 62 completed passesMcGhee: 49 completed passesBeck: 27 completed passesBoateng: 46 completed passesMcCowan: 35 completed passesCameron: 49 completed passesBakayoko: 19 completed passesRudden: 9 completed passes315252963231710920CarsonShaughnessyDonnellyPortalesMcGheeBeckBoatengMcCowanCameronBakayokoRuddenStarters until 81' · lines join pairs with 6+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Motherwell

FromToPasses
SpittalBiereth9
O'DonnellObika6
ButcherSpittal6
PatonSpittal6
PatonO'Donnell5

Dundee FC

FromToPasses
McGheePortales22
PortalesShaughnessy16
CameronMcGhee16
PortalesMcGhee14
McGheeCameron14

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Motherwell

3−2.07−0.921+3.19+1.05−1.37−0.35−2.28−0.84−2.72−4.15−1.05+0.611+6.24−2.62−4.02−2.44+1.15+1.82−1.82−0.21−1.11−0.41−0.320.00−1.00−0.60−0.70−0.71+0.13−5.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 14 matches

Dundee FC

4−1.44−4.35−3.77−1.47+0.28+2.19+1.79−0.26+1.04−0.24−0.54−2.15−0.10−3.71−0.93−0.91−2.41−1.53+1.11+0.13+1.82−1.20−0.90−0.51+0.50−0.50−0.812−6.04−6.11−6.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Motherwell

0.010.030.020.030.030.010.010.010.010.020.030.060.050.030.010.020.020.10−0.050.070.24LessMore

Dundee FC

0.030.040.030.010.050.020.060.020.060.070.060.010.030.010.010.040.08−0.010.02−0.010.200.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackMotherwell1.11 → 1.10Dundee FC1.09 → 1.12Defence (lower is better)Motherwell1.42 → 1.45Dundee FC1.49 → 1.48

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Motherwell
Top six23%20%−3
11th12%12%0
Bottom7%7%0
Dundee FC
Top six31%31%0
11th10%10%0
Bottom6%6%0

From the forecast before the match (2 December 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

MotherwellDundee FC
Expected goals1.541.08
Win47%26%
Expected Points1.681.05
Clean sheet34%21%

Motherwell 47%Draw 27%Dundee FC 26%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 52%.

Dundee FC goalsMotherwell goals0123456+0123456+8%7%4%2%7%2%9%5%2%4%5%3%2%2%1%11%13%9%

From the forecast as it stood on 2 December 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowMotherwell winDrawDundee FC win
Motherwell
Top six23%31%20%13%
11th12%8%12%18%
Bottom7%4%7%12%
Dundee FC
Top six31%23%31%46%
11th10%13%10%6%
Bottom6%8%6%3%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Motherwell

  1. D1–125 NovCeltic (A)xG 0.48–3.25
  2. L1–211 NovHearts (H)xG 1.10–2.08
  3. D2–27 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.58–0.93
  4. L0–14 NovKilmarnock (A)xG 0.61–1.95
  5. L2–41 NovAberdeen (H)xG 1.44–2.24
  6. D3–328 OctRoss County (H)xG 2.34–1.92

Dundee FC

  1. L1–225 NovHibernian (H)xG 1.42–0.84
  2. W4–011 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.62–0.51
  3. W1–05 NovLivingston (H)xG 0.67–1.49
  4. L0–51 NovRangers (H)xG 0.77–5.69
  5. W2–028 OctLivingston (A)xG 2.02–0.14
  6. D0–024 OctRoss County (H)xG 0.96–0.32

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

MotherwellDundee FC
Position9th7th
Played1413
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠4–⁠74–⁠5–⁠4
Points13 (0.93 per game)17 (1.31 per game)
Expected Points per game1.061.37
Goals16–⁠2215–⁠17
xG per game1.14–⁠1.661.40–⁠1.77
Home: points, xG per game1.00, 1.38–⁠1.481.50, 1.38–⁠1.75
Away: points, xG per game0.86, 0.91–⁠1.831.00, 1.43–⁠1.79
ManagerStuart Kettlewell (28)Tony Docherty (13)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.29AttackMotherwell1.11, 7thDundee FC1.09, 8thDefence (lower is better)Motherwell1.42, 8thDundee FC1.49, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovMotherwell attack: 1.11Dundee FC attack: 1.091.111.09Dundee FCMotherwellDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovMotherwell defence: 1.42Dundee FC defence: 1.491.491.42

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

MotherwellDundee FC
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−16%+21%−10%+36%
Counter-attacks−54%+17%+12%+27%
Set pieces−17%+13%+42%+20%
Penalties+16%+54%−17%+25%
Headers−26%+37%−3%+67%
Left side−27%+57%+18%+26%
Centreaverageaverage+13%+43%
Right side−51%+16%−19%+11%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdDundee FC concededLeft side−27%+11%Centreaverage+43%Right side−51%+26%Open play−16%+36%Counter-attacks−54%+27%Set pieces−17%+20%Headers−26%+67%

Dundee FC attacking

Dundee FC createdMotherwell concededLeft side+18%+16%Centre+13%averageRight side−19%+57%Open play−10%+21%Counter-attacks+12%+17%Set pieces+42%+13%Headers−3%+37%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

MotherwellDundee FC

1.14xG1.40
1.66xG against1.77
44%Possession42%
10.4Shots12.0
14.6Shots against14.2
3.4Shots on target4.4
1.7Big chances2.2
19.7Touches in the opposition box19.6
345Passes318
66%Pass accuracy68%
4.6Corners4.8
44%Field tilt39%
30.6Final-third entries32.3
10.4Box entries8.8
16.0Passes per defensive action17.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.791.52
Ahead80.502.69
Behind321.871.63

Dundee FC

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.101.43
Ahead161.711.90
Behind241.802.38

xG by period

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.040.120–1
16–300.120.261–5
31–450.160.141–1
46–600.080.351–3
61–750.240.363–7
76–900.490.4410–5

Dundee FC

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.180–2
16–300.140.302–2
31–450.260.232–2
46–600.340.293–3
61–750.250.283–3
76–900.300.485–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWKelly 14McGinn 9Mugabi 11Butcher 3Casey 14Blaney 5O'Donnell 13McGinn 1Paton 9Slattery 5Butcher 1Spittal 6Miller 5Spencer 1Spencer 9Souaré 2Paton 1Slattery 7Miller 3Paton 1Bair 4Biereth 3Wilkinson 3Bair 7Spittal 5Biereth 13-4-3 in 6 of 14 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (6), 3-5-2 (4), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

Dundee FC

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTCarson 12McCracken 1Portales 8McGhee 3Kerr 2Shaughnessy 13Lamie 9Ashcroft 2Donnelly 1McGhee 6McCowan 2Robertson 2Cameron 7Robertson 2Mulligan 2Boateng 12Sylla 3Beck 2McCowan 9Beck 10Tiffoney 2McCowan 1Bakayoko 12Robinson 4Rudden 6Beck 1McCowan 13-5-2 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (5), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-1-1 (1), 4-3-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
5 August 2023Dundee FC1–1MotherwellxG 1.60–0.76
5 March 2022Motherwell1–1Dundee FCxG 0.79–0.75
27 November 2021Dundee FC3–0MotherwellxG 1.69–0.61
28 August 2021Motherwell1–0Dundee FCxG 0.23–1.15

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Motherwell won 1, Dundee FC won 1, and 2 were drawn. Goals 3–5 and xG 0.60–1.30 per game.

Key players

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Spittal141,260230.200.19
Bair11853200.240.04
Wilkinson6564210.150.13
Blaney5450100.180.07

Dundee FC

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Robinson6518100.570.04
Rudden6600200.420.03
Bakayoko121,074320.350.06
McCowan131,161220.140.17

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.