Saturday 11 September 2021, 15:00 · Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park · Round 5 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 5,015
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Dundee FC
Livingston
Goals
0
0
xG
1.08
0.44
Expected Points
1.87
0.78
Dundee FC 50%Draw 36%Livingston 14%
Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 0–0, 22%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee FCLivingston
1.08 +0.26xG0.44 −0.30
1.27 +0.33xG on target0.29 −0.15
21 +11.0Shots12 +3.5
8 +4.5Shots on target4 +2.2
1 0.0Big chances0 −0.8
51% +6Possession49% +8
334 +14Passes331 +35
68% +3Pass accuracy63% +1
64% +22Field tilt36% −3
37 +9Final-third entries29 +6
13 +5.0Box entries7 −1.0
16.2 +3Passes per defensive action8.0 −6
9 +4.2Corners8 +4.0
13 −2Tackles28 +11
9 +1.5Interceptions9 −2.8
22 +2Clearances19 −3
4 −0.5Saves8 +5.2
12 −1Fouls19 +4
3 +1.8Offsides2 +0.8
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee FC
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
0–0
0'HTFT
Level
93 min (100%) · Dundee FC 1.08, Livingston 0.44 xG
Line-ups
Dundee FC substitutes
64'McDaid for McCowan
65'Cummings for Jakubiak
82'McGowan for Anderson
Livingston substitutes
27'Bailey for Sibbald · yellow card 76'
58'Hamilton for Anderson
73'Jacobs for Williamson
Players
Dundee FC
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Legzdins
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Kerr
RB
90
0.05
0.28
3
0.30
11
4
Ashcroft
CB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.10
8
9
Sweeney
CB
90
0.06
0.00
0
0.04
5
11
Marshall
LB
90
0.00
0.20
1
0.25
9
8
McGhee
CM
90
0.08
0.03
1
0.04
4
4
Byrne
CM
90
0.00
0.03
1
0.04
6
5
Anderson
CM
82
0.22
0.05
1
0.10
4
1
McCowan
RW
64
0.14
0.10
3
0.07
6
2
Griffiths
ST
90
0.39
0.07
3
0.18
4
2
Jakubiak
LW
65
0.01
0.01
0
0.01
2
1
McDaid
FW
26
0.10
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Cummings
FW
25
0.03
0.02
0
0.00
2
2
McGowan
MF
8
0.02
0.00
0
0.00
1
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
1
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.18
3
0.12
4
7
Obileye
CB
90
0.03
0.00
0
0.04
3
11
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.09
0.01
0
0.04
3
8
Penrice
LB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.06
5
11
Holt
DM
90
0.03
0.04
0
0.15
9
5
Williamson
RM
73
0.05
0.01
0
0.04
2
6
Sibbald
CM
27
0.04
0.01
1
0.01
1
1
Shinnie
CM
90
0.03
0.11
1
−0.03
3
3
Forrest
LM
90
0.02
0.01
0
0.04
1
5
Anderson
ST
58
0.07
0.05
2
−0.10
0
0
Bailey
FW
63
0.02
0.12
2
0.04
3
4
Hamilton
FW
32
0.05
0.01
0
0.00
0
0
Jacobs
MF
17
0.02
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee FC
Livingston
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee FC
From
To
Passes
Kerr
McGhee
9
Sweeney
Marshall
9
Legzdins
Ashcroft
9
McGhee
Kerr
8
Ashcroft
Kerr
7
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Devlin
Shinnie
10
Holt
Devlin
6
Holt
Shinnie
6
Shinnie
Fitzwater
6
Shinnie
Holt
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee FC
Against its average of 4 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 4 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Dundee FC
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee FC
Top six
5%
4%
−1
11th
19%
20%
+1
Bottom
46%
45%
−1
Livingston
Top six
15%
14%
−1
11th
14%
14%
0
Bottom
8%
9%
+1
Ross County
Top six
5%
6%
+1
11th
26%
24%
−2
Bottom
26%
27%
+1
From the forecast before the match (11 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee FC
Livingston
Expected goals
1.10
1.34
Win
30%
42%
Expected Points
1.18
1.53
Clean sheet
26%
33%
Dundee FC 30%Draw 28%Livingston 42%
Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 11 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee FC win
Draw
Livingston win
Dundee FC
Top six
5%
9%
4%
3%
11th
19%
20%
20%
19%
Bottom
46%
34%
45%
55%
Livingston
Top six
15%
10%
14%
19%
11th
14%
19%
14%
10%
Bottom
8%
13%
9%
4%
Ross County
Top six
5%
5%
6%
4%
11th
26%
23%
24%
29%
Bottom
26%
30%
27%
23%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Dundee FC
Livingston
Position
10th
12th
Played
4
4
Won, drawn, lost
0–2–2
0–0–4
Points
2 (0.50 per game)
0 (0.00 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.81
0.93
Goals
4–11
2–9
xG per game
0.82–2.51
0.74–1.41
Home: points, xG per game
1.00, 0.94–2.14
0.00, 1.12–1.37
Away: points, xG per game
0.00, 0.69–2.87
0.00, 0.35–1.45
Manager
James McPake (4)
David Martindale (27)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee FC
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−20%
+57%
−40%
+19%
Counter-attacks
−2%
+80%
+16%
−68%
Set pieces
−25%
−7%
−1%
+4%
Penalties
−67%
+211%
−79%
−58%
Headers
−8%
+12%
−1%
+21%
Left side
−37%
−8%
average
+5%
Centre
−27%
+62%
−38%
+8%
Right side
+13%
+47%
−27%
+28%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.
Matchups
Dundee FC attacking
Dundee FC createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−37%+28%Centre−27%+8%Right side+13%+5%Open play−20%+19%Counter-attacks−2%−68%Set pieces−25%+4%Headers−8%+21%
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee FC concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft sideaverage+47%Centre−38%+62%Right side−27%−8%Open play−40%+57%Counter-attacks+16%+80%Set pieces−1%−7%Headers−1%+12%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Dundee FCLivingston
0.82xG0.74
2.51xG against1.41
44%Possession41%
10.0Shots8.5
16.0Shots against14.8
3.5Shots on target1.8
1.0Big chances0.8
320Passes296
66%Pass accuracy62%
4.8Corners4.0
42%Field tilt40%
27.9Final-third entries23.2
8.0Box entries8.0
13.0Passes per defensive action14.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Dundee FC
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
34
0.63
2.34
Ahead
7
0.06
3.12
Behind
49
1.05
2.53
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
52
0.72
1.11
Ahead
6
1.51
2.99
Behind
33
0.63
1.60
xG by period
Dundee FC
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.21
0.17
1–1
16–30
0.04
0.64
0–2
31–45
0.07
0.30
1–2
46–60
0.22
0.48
1–3
61–75
0.07
0.41
0–1
76–90
0.21
0.51
1–2
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.28
0–1
16–30
0.01
0.03
0–0
31–45
0.18
0.09
2–0
46–60
0.03
0.37
0–3
61–75
0.26
0.04
0–0
76–90
0.13
0.61
0–5
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
Most used players by position
Dundee FC
Formations: 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2)
Livingston
Formations: 4-3-3 (3), 4-1-4-1 (1)
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Key players
Livingston
Player
Starts
Min
G
A
xG per 90
xA per 90
Forrest
25
2,173
5
1
0.17
0.18
Pittman
40
3,592
6
2
0.17
0.06
Devlin
38
3,426
2
2
0.06
0.10
Holt
31
2,756
1
4
0.05
0.10
Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.