Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
RangersKilmarnock
2.27 −0.09xG1.55 +0.34
2.27Non-penalty xG0.76
3.77 +1.66xG on target1.95 +0.76
18 −3Shots6 −8
6 −0.8Shots on target2 −1.8
4 +0.5Big chances2 +0.2
31 −4Touches in the opposition box13 −10
61% −2Possession39% −8
538 −9Passes335 −2
84% +2Pass accuracy76% +12
61% −10Field tilt39% −12
69 +10Final-third entries38 +4
21 +2Box entries7 −5
7.7 −4Passes per defensive action12.9 −2
7 +0.7Corners5 −1.5
27 +12Tackles24 +11
4 −3.9Interceptions7 +0.1
25 +10Clearances19 −1
1 −0.9Saves4 +1.1
10 −1Fouls13 +1
1 −1.0Offsides0 −1.2
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
41'45'58'61'
0–02–03–1
0'HTFT
Level
41 min (45%) · Rangers 0.58, Kilmarnock 0.68 xG
Rangers ahead
51 min (55%) · Rangers 1.69, Kilmarnock 0.87 xG
Line-ups
Rangers substitutes
71'Sterling for Dowell
71'Silva for Dessers
84'Matondo for McCausland
84'Wright for Sima
89'Raskin for Cantwell
Kilmarnock substitutes
18'Watson for Donnelly · yellow card 41'
62'Mackay-Steven for Armstrong
62'Watkins for Vassell
86'Deas for Ndaba
86'Murray for Kennedy
Players
Rangers
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Butland
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Tavernier
RB
90
0.16
0.23
2
0.16
14
10
Goldson
CB
90
1
0.00
0.05
1
0.17
13
12
Souttar
CB
90
0.04
0.04
0
0.18
12
7
Yilmaz
LB
90
1
0.00
0.34
2
0.31
9
5
Dowell
CM
71
0.04
0.26
0
0.20
10
4
Lundstram
CM
90
0.01
0.03
1
0.06
7
5
Cantwell
CM
89
1
0.66
0.21
0
0.13
5
2
McCausland
RW
84
1
0.45
0.10
4
0.11
7
2
Dessers
ST
71
1
0.44
0.16
2
0.06
2
1
Sima
LW
84
1
0.38
0.04
1
0.15
4
2
Sterling
DF
19
0.01
0.00
1
0.00
1
5
Silva
FW
19
0.08
0.00
0
0.04
2
0
Matondo
FW
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
0
Wright
FW
6
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Raskin
MF
1
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
2
Kilmarnock
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Dennis
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
0
Wright
RB
90
0.00
0.06
1
0.14
7
8
Mayo
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.06
5
6
Findlay
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
8
12
Ndaba
LB
86
0.02
0.04
0
0.10
2
8
Armstrong
RM
62
1
0.79
0.01
0
0.04
3
2
McKenzie
CM
90
0.02
0.01
0
−0.02
0
4
Donnelly
CM
18
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
0
2
Polworth
CM
90
0.07
0.05
0
0.08
4
1
Kennedy
LM
86
0.00
0.04
0
0.07
7
0
Vassell
ST
62
0.66
0.01
0
0.02
2
2
Watson
MF
72
0.00
0.27
2
0.01
3
3
Mackay-Steven
FW
28
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
0
1
Watkins
FW
28
0.00
0.01
0
−0.05
0
3
Deas
DF
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
2
0
Murray
MF
4
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
0
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Rangers
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Rangers
From
To
Passes
Souttar
Goldson
18
Goldson
Tavernier
17
Goldson
Souttar
17
Lundstram
Souttar
14
Souttar
Yilmaz
14
Kilmarnock
From
To
Passes
Kennedy
Polworth
10
Polworth
Findlay
10
Dennis
Wright
9
Armstrong
McKenzie
6
Polworth
Kennedy
6
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Rangers
Against its average of 19 matches
Kilmarnock
Against its average of 21 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Rangers
Title
35%
38%
+3
Kilmarnock
Top six
89%
87%
−2
Celtic
Title
65%
62%
−3
From the forecast before the match (2 January 2024): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Expected goals
2.54
0.56
Win
80%
6%
Expected Points
2.54
0.31
Clean sheet
57%
8%
Rangers 80%Draw 14%Kilmarnock 6%
Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 40%.
From the forecast as it stood on 2 January 2024: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Rangers win
Draw
Kilmarnock win
Rangers
Title
35%
38%
25%
20%
Kilmarnock
Top six
89%
87%
93%
98%
Celtic
Title
65%
62%
75%
80%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Position
2nd
4th
Played
19
21
Won, drawn, lost
14–1–4
8–7–6
Points
43 (2.26 per game)
31 (1.48 per game)
Expected Points per game
2.43
1.42
Goals
38–10
23–20
xG per game
2.36–0.54
1.21–1.08
Home: points, xG per game
2.33, 2.39–0.61
1.91, 1.25–0.92
Away: points, xG per game
2.20, 2.33–0.49
1.00, 1.16–1.26
Manager
Philippe Clement (11)
Derek McInnes (59)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Rangers
Kilmarnock
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
+81%
−59%
−14%
−28%
Counter-attacks
+39%
−59%
−33%
−32%
Set pieces
+30%
−43%
+21%
+4%
Penalties
+170%
−100%
−46%
−18%
Headers
+47%
−56%
+36%
−18%
Left side
+54%
−42%
+3%
−39%
Centre
+61%
−64%
−17%
−15%
Right side
+81%
−49%
+9%
−7%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
RangersKilmarnock
2.36xG1.21
0.54xG against1.08
63%Possession47%
20.6Shots13.8
7.1Shots against11.7
6.8Shots on target3.8
3.5Big chances1.8
34.9Touches in the opposition box23.5
547Passes337
82%Pass accuracy64%
6.3Corners6.5
71%Field tilt51%
59.0Final-third entries33.8
18.5Box entries12.3
11.3Passes per defensive action14.4
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Rangers
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
24
2.19
0.80
Ahead
46
2.33
0.40
Behind
19
2.62
0.57
Kilmarnock
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
47
1.08
1.03
Ahead
19
1.11
1.24
Behind
24
1.55
1.05
xG by period
Rangers
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.24
0.12
3–3
16–30
0.40
0.08
11–1
31–45
0.40
0.06
4–2
46–60
0.32
0.10
1–1
61–75
0.40
0.09
6–2
76–90
0.59
0.10
13–1
Kilmarnock
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.14
2–3
16–30
0.23
0.16
5–3
31–45
0.22
0.17
2–6
46–60
0.21
0.07
3–3
61–75
0.16
0.20
5–1
76–90
0.29
0.34
6–4
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts