Matches › 2020/21

Rangers 1–0 Kilmarnock

Saturday 13 February 2021, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 29 · Half-time 1–0

Rangers Jack 38'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	Rangers	Kilmarnock
Goals	1	0
xG	1.47	0.08
Expected Points	2.58	0.23

Rangers 80%Draw 19%Kilmarnock 1%

Most likely score 1–0, 36%. Final score 1–0, 36%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersKilmarnock

1.47 −0.67xG0.08 −0.93

1.38 −0.56xG on target0.00 −0.94

13 −4Shots2 −8

6 +0.1Shots on target0 −3.0

2 −0.8Big chances0 −1.0

31 −1Touches in the opposition box10 −9

63% −4Possession37% −9

550 −66Passes329 −34

80% −4Pass accuracy66% −2

68% −11Field tilt32% −16

68 +9Final-third entries23 −14

16 −2.2Box entries4 −5.8

10.3 0Passes per defensive action14.4 0

10 +3.3Corners3 −1.9

14 0Tackles15 +2

12 +3.0Interceptions13 +1.8

13 +1Clearances26 +9

0 −1.7Saves5 +2.7

16 +5Fouls16 +4

5 +3.4Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

Rangers

Kilmarnock

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersKilmarnock

0.63 7 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.08 2 shots, 0 goals

0.59 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

0.24 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–0

Level: 38 min (42%) · Rangers 0.24, Kilmarnock 0.08 xG
Rangers ahead: 52 min (58%) · Rangers 1.22, Kilmarnock 0.00 xG

Line-ups

Rangers substitutes

79' Wright for Hagi
88' Arfield for Kent

Kilmarnock substitutes

64' Burke for Dicker
79' Whitehall for McKenzie
80' Dabo for Tshibola

Players

Rangers

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
McGregor	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	0
Tavernier	RB	90		0.33	0.12	0	0.11	9	7
Goldson	CB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.09	6	5
Balogun	CB	90		0.09	0.00	0	0.05	2	8
Barisic	LB	90		0.00	0.04	0	0.04	6	5
Aribo	CM	90		0.66	0.05	1	0.11	10	8
Jack	CM	90	1	0.03	0.07	3	0.15	9	4
Davis	CM	90		0.04	0.43	0	0.24	9	0
Hagi	RW	79		0.09	0.02	0	0.02	2	2
Itten	ST	90		0.05	0.10	2	0.20	5	2
Kent	LW	88		0.18	0.17	1	0.15	5	0
Wright	FW	11		0.00	0.01	0	0.02	4	0
Arfield	MF	2		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0

Kilmarnock

Player	Pos	Min	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Doyle	GK	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	0
McGowan	RB	90	0.00	0.01	0	0.02	3	4
Dikamona	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.02	2	9
Medley	CB	90	0.00	0.00	0	0.03	3	10
Haunstrup	LB	90	0.04	0.02	1	0.09	5	8
Tshibola	CM	80	0.00	0.01	0	0.01	0	5
Dicker	CM	64	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	3
Mulumbu	CM	90	0.00	0.06	1	0.14	2	2
Kiltie	RW	90	0.04	0.04	0	0.03	3	3
Kabamba	ST	90	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	3
McKenzie	LW	79	0.00	0.00	0	0.01	2	8
Burke	MF	26	0.00	0.01	0	0.00	2	0
Whitehall	FW	11	0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Dabo	MF	10	0.00	0.00	0	0.00	1	3

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Kilmarnock

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

From	To	Passes
Davis	Jack	15
Balogun	Goldson	15
Jack	Davis	14
Tavernier	Goldson	14
Jack	Aribo	13

Kilmarnock

From	To	Passes
Haunstrup	Medley	10
McGowan	Mulumbu	9
Mulumbu	Haunstrup	8
Mulumbu	Tshibola	6
Tshibola	Mulumbu	6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

Against its average of 28 matches

Kilmarnock

Against its average of 28 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

Kilmarnock

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
Kilmarnock
Top six	<1%	<1%	0
11th	21%	22%	+1
Bottom	8%	10%	+2
Ross County
11th	39%	38%	−1
Bottom	38%	37%	−1
Hamilton Academical
11th	31%	30%	−1
Bottom	53%	53%	0

From the forecast before the match (13 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	Rangers	Kilmarnock
Expected goals	2.16	0.51
Win	75%	7%
Expected Points	2.43	0.39
Clean sheet	60%	12%

Rangers 75%Draw 18%Kilmarnock 7%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Both sides score 36%.

From the forecast as it stood on 13 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	Rangers win	Draw	Kilmarnock win
Kilmarnock
Top six	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%
11th	21%	22%	18%	10%
Bottom	8%	10%	6%	3%
Ross County
11th	39%	38%	41%	42%
Bottom	38%	37%	39%	44%
Hamilton Academical
11th	31%	30%	31%	36%
Bottom	53%	53%	53%	52%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

Kilmarnock

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	Rangers	Kilmarnock
Position	1st	10th
Played	28	28
Won, drawn, lost	24–⁠4–⁠0	7–⁠3–⁠18
Points	76 (2.71 per game)	24 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game	2.31	1.14
Goals	68–⁠8	26–⁠40
xG per game	2.14–⁠0.57	1.01–⁠1.34
Home: points, xG per game	3.00, 2.38–⁠0.53	1.00, 1.19–⁠1.36
Away: points, xG per game	2.47, 1.94–⁠0.60	0.71, 0.82–⁠1.33
Manager	Steven Gerrard (28)	Tommy Wright (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	Rangers		Kilmarnock
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	+90%	−50%	−33%	+2%
Counter-attacks	+23%	−23%	−88%	−74%
Set pieces	+26%	−55%	+5%	+25%
Penalties	+64%	−100%	+3%	+3%
Headers	+45%	−48%	−1%	+1%
Left side	+37%	−41%	−20%	+19%
Centre	+79%	−49%	−26%	+3%
Right side	+80%	−62%	−25%	−5%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdKilmarnock concededLeft side+37%−5%Centre+79%+3%Right side+80%+19%Open play+90%+2%Counter-attacks+23%−74%Set pieces+26%+25%Headers+45%+1%

Kilmarnock attacking

Kilmarnock createdRangers concededLeft side−20%−62%Centre−26%−49%Right side−25%−41%Open play−33%−50%Counter-attacks−88%−23%Set pieces+5%−55%Headers−1%−48%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersKilmarnock

2.14xG1.01

0.57xG against1.34

67%Possession46%

17.2Shots10.4

5.9Shots against13.4

5.9Shots on target3.0

2.8Big chances1.0

31.6Touches in the opposition box18.9

616Passes364

85%Pass accuracy68%

6.7Corners4.9

79%Field tilt48%

59.3Final-third entries36.9

18.2Box entries9.8

10.4Passes per defensive action14.9

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	31	2.22	0.68
Ahead	54	2.09	0.54
Behind	5	2.27	0.11

Kilmarnock

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	43	0.92	1.14
Ahead	20	1.09	1.63
Behind	27	1.08	1.46

xG by period

Rangers

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.29	0.12	7–1
16–30	0.42	0.12	17–2
31–45	0.28	0.06	11–1
46–60	0.45	0.07	12–0
61–75	0.34	0.09	12–2
76–90	0.36	0.10	9–2

Kilmarnock

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.10	0.15	4–4
16–30	0.14	0.22	4–7
31–45	0.19	0.16	6–3
46–60	0.21	0.21	5–7
61–75	0.21	0.28	4–8
76–90	0.16	0.33	3–11

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

Formations: 4-3-3 (21), 4-2-3-1 (7)

Kilmarnock

Formations: 4-3-3 (10), 4-4-2 (9), 4-2-3-1 (4), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
1 November 2020	Kilmarnock	0–1	Rangers	xG 0.50–2.80
22 August 2020	Rangers	2–0	Kilmarnock	xG 2.93–0.10

2 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 2, Kilmarnock won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 3–0 and xG 2.87–0.30 per game.

Key players

Rangers

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Roofe	13	1,138	10	2	0.66	0.11
Tavernier	28	2,495	11	9	0.41	0.27
Itten	3	553	4	1	0.43	0.22
Morelos	18	1,482	7	2	0.47	0.12

Kilmarnock

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Burke	22	1,928	7	3	0.25	0.23
Brophy	8	637	2	0	0.32	0.02
Kabamba	19	1,789	5	2	0.28	0.02
Pinnock	8	842	0	3	0.07	0.23

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.