Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 1–1 Aberdeen

Saturday 7 May 2022, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 36 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Bobby Madden · Attendance 14,509

Hibernian McGinn 83'

Aberdeen Bates 55'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianAberdeen
Goals11
xG2.020.63
Expected Points2.380.42

Hibernian 73%Draw 19%Aberdeen 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 17%. Final score 1–1, 11%.

Aberdeen goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+4%3%11%3%4%10%8%2%4%3%1%14%17%12%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTJasper on for Campbell, 65'Scott on for Melkersen, 71'Stevenson on for Henderson and Bushiri on for Hanlon, 88'Ramirez on for Watkins and Ojo on for Polvara, 64'McGeouch on for Barron and Montgomery on for MacKenzie, 85'Considine on for McCrorie, 90+8'McGinn 83'Bates 55'Hibernian 2.02Aberdeen 0.6301230153045607590HTJasper on for Campbell, 65'Scott on for Melkersen, 71'Stevenson on for Henderson and Bushiri on for Hanlon, 88'Ramirez on for Watkins and Ojo on for Polvara, 64'McGeouch on for Barron and Montgomery on for MacKenzie, 85'Considine on for McCrorie, 90+8'McGinn 83'Bates 55'2.020.63HibernianAberdeen

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianAberdeen

2.02 +0.90xG0.63 −0.51
2.51 +1.50xG on target1.06 −0.09
17 +5Shots8 −5
5 +1.7Shots on target2 −2.5
2 +0.6Big chances2 +0.9
53% −1Possession47% −10
396 −22Passes371 −79
81% +5Pass accuracy78% +3
60% +7Field tilt40% −17
45 +6Final-third entries27 −12
9 −1.9Box entries3 −6.5
10.0 −3Passes per defensive action15.4 +1
10 +4.5Corners4 −0.9
18 +4Tackles15 +3
11 +1.5Interceptions15 +7.1
8 −9Clearances22 +5
1 −1.4Saves4 +2.5
12 0Fouls11 −2
2 +0.1Offsides5 +3.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Newell 75', 0.61 xGPorteous 4', 0.17 xGNewell 5', 0.09 xGClarke 66', 0.09 xGHanlon 71', 0.09 xGScott 90+4', 0.09 xGDoig 90+7', 0.09 xGCampbell 61', 0.07 xGNewell 51', 0.06 xGMelkersen 63', 0.06 xGHanlon 16', 0.05 xGMelkersen 27', 0.04 xGPorteous 90+1', 0.04 xGDoig 90+5', 0.04 xGMcGinn 70', 0.03 xGJasper 90+7', 0.01 xGMcGinn 83', 0.39 xG, goal49%1.00 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 1.00 xG, 1 goal32%0.65 xGCentral box: 8 shots, 0.65 xG, 0 goals7%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals12%0.24 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Aberdeen

Bates 76', 0.14 xGFerguson 22', 0.12 xGFerguson 31', 0.07 xGFerguson 25', 0.03 xGHayes 37', 0.03 xGMacKenzie 22', 0.02 xGFerguson 55', 0.02 xGBates 55', 0.21 xG, goal33%0.21 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.21 xG, 1 goal41%0.26 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.26 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals13%0.08 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals13%0.08 xGFurther out: 3 shots, 0.08 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianAberdeen

1.34 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.16 3 shots, 0 goals
0.68 10 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.47 5 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
70 min (71%) · Hibernian 0.68, Aberdeen 0.49 xG
Aberdeen ahead
28 min (29%) · Hibernian 1.34, Aberdeen 0.14 xG

Line-ups

1654222113803234MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonClarkeDoyle-HayesNewellDoigHendersonCampbellMelkersenGoal88'88'65'71'Hibernian 3-4-2-1David Gray12527329191021177LewisMcCrorieGallagherBatesMacKenzieBarronFergusonBesuijenPolvaraHayesWatkinsGoalYellow card90+8'85'85'64'64'Aberdeen 4-2-3-1Jim Goodwin

Hibernian substitutes

  • 65' Jasper for Campbell
  • 71' Scott for Melkersen · 1 assist
  • 88' Stevenson for Henderson
  • 88' Bushiri for Hanlon

Aberdeen substitutes

  • 64' Ramirez for Watkins
  • 64' Ojo for Polvara
  • 85' Montgomery for MacKenzie
  • 85' McGeouch for Barron
  • 90+8' Considine for McCrorie

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0110
McGinnCB9010.420.0200.09114
PorteousCB900.210.2210.0776
HanlonCB880.130.0000.0443
ClarkeRWB900.090.0630.02105
Doyle-HayesCM900.000.0200.07510
NewellCM900.760.4120.0525
DoigLWB900.140.0200.2055
HendersonAM880.000.3850.1431
CampbellAM650.070.0000.0011
MelkersenST710.110.0000.0201
JasperFW250.010.1200.1930
ScottFW1910.090.3010.0000
StevensonDF20.000.0000.0000
BushiriDF20.000.0000.0000

Aberdeen

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LewisGK900.000.0000.0012
McCrorieRB900.000.0100.0185
GallagherCB9010.000.1810.04312
Bates CB9010.350.0000.02214
MacKenzieLB850.020.0100.0003
BarronDM850.000.0220.0332
FergusonDM900.230.0200.0765
BesuijenRW900.000.0100.0352
PolvaraAM640.000.010−0.0124
HayesLW900.030.2820.3535
WatkinsST640.000.011−0.0210
RamirezFW260.000.0000.0000
OjoMF260.000.0000.0113
MontgomeryDF50.000.000−0.0101
McGeouchMF50.000.0000.0000
ConsidineDF00.000.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Porteous and Clarke: 4 passesClarke and Campbell: 4 passesDoig and Melkersen: 4 passesMacey and Hanlon: 5 passesMcGinn and Henderson: 5 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 5 passesHenderson and Melkersen: 5 passesHanlon and Newell: 6 passesClarke and Henderson: 6 passesDoig and Newell: 6 passesHanlon and Doig: 7 passesDoyle-Hayes and Newell: 7 passesDoyle-Hayes and Campbell: 7 passesDoyle-Hayes and Henderson: 7 passesMacey and Porteous: 8 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 8 passesPorteous and Newell: 8 passesHanlon and Henderson: 8 passesClarke and Newell: 8 passesDoig and Doyle-Hayes: 8 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 10 passesMcGinn and Clarke: 11 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesClarke and Doyle-Hayes: 12 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 17 passesMacey: 15 completed passesMcGinn: 28 completed passesPorteous: 33 completed passesHanlon: 22 completed passesClarke: 23 completed passesDoig: 19 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 37 completed passesNewell: 24 completed passesCampbell: 13 completed passesHenderson: 18 completed passesMelkersen: 6 completed passes1654232211328034MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonClarkeDoigDoyle-HayesNewellCampbellHendersonMelkersenStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Aberdeen

McCrorie and Hayes: 4 passesMacKenzie and Barron: 4 passesMacKenzie and Hayes: 4 passesBarron and Watkins: 4 passesMcCrorie and Bates: 5 passesMcCrorie and Watkins: 5 passesGallagher and Barron: 5 passesMacKenzie and Polvara: 5 passesMcCrorie and Polvara: 6 passesBates and Barron: 6 passesGallagher and Polvara: 7 passesFerguson and Hayes: 8 passesFerguson and Polvara: 8 passesPolvara and Besuijen: 8 passesMcCrorie and Barron: 9 passesMacKenzie and Besuijen: 9 passesBarron and Ferguson: 9 passesFerguson and Watkins: 9 passesLewis and Gallagher: 10 passesBates and MacKenzie: 10 passesMcCrorie and Gallagher: 11 passesBates and Ferguson: 11 passesMcCrorie and Ferguson: 13 passesGallagher and Bates: 13 passesGallagher and Ferguson: 13 passesMacKenzie and Ferguson: 21 passesLewis: 11 completed passesMcCrorie: 27 completed passesGallagher: 30 completed passesBates: 31 completed passesMacKenzie: 33 completed passesBarron: 22 completed passesFerguson: 47 completed passesHayes: 12 completed passesPolvara: 22 completed passesBesuijen: 11 completed passesWatkins: 12 completed passes12527329191721107LewisMcCrorieGallagherBatesMacKenzieBarronFergusonHayesPolvaraBesuijenWatkinsStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
ClarkeMcGinn13
PorteousDoyle-Hayes12
McGinnClarke12
Doyle-HayesMcGinn11
Doyle-HayesClarke10

Aberdeen

FromToPasses
FergusonMacKenzie13
MacKenzieFerguson10
MacKenzieBesuijen9
BatesFerguson9
BatesGallagher9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

4−0.71−3.62−3.68+3.39+2.311+4.15−0.73−5.16−0.93−2.95−0.21−2.79+2.31−4.35−0.47+3.34+1.812+8.78+3.55+2.52+0.510.00−1.22−0.62+1.01+0.92+1.01+0.70−1.04−7.8FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Aberdeen

7+2.68+2.412+0.69+4.050.04−2.99+3.15+0.38+1.07−1.27+1.05+0.46+2.84−1.54−1.93−1.15+1.95+2.71−1.76+1.41−1.30−1.30−0.92+0.70−2.42+1.30−0.20−0.71+0.71+0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.010.010.020.030.010.010.050.010.030.040.060.060.03−0.01−0.010.050.06−0.010.02−0.010.010.090.10−0.010.24LessMore

Aberdeen

0.010.020.010.020.040.010.010.040.020.020.010.020.07−0.05−0.020.010.070.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.16AttackHibernian1.06 → 1.07Aberdeen1.07 → 1.07Defence (lower is better)Hibernian0.99 → 0.99Aberdeen1.05 → 1.06

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianAberdeen
Expected goals1.100.87
Win40%28%
Expected Points1.521.15
Clean sheet42%33%

Hibernian 40%Draw 32%Aberdeen 28%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 39%.

Aberdeen goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%8%7%3%3%3%1%15%11%15%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 7 May 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

Form

Hibernian

  1. L0–130 AprLivingston (A)xG 1.12–1.32
  2. W1–023 AprSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.72–0.69
  3. L1–39 AprHearts (A)xG 0.52–0.94
  4. D1–12 AprDundee United (H)xG 1.51–0.46
  5. L1–319 MarAberdeen (A)xG 0.55–2.19
  6. D0–05 MarSt. Johnstone (H)xG 0.99–0.44

Aberdeen

  1. W1–030 AprDundee FC (H)xG 1.54–0.85
  2. L1–223 AprLivingston (H)xG 2.15–1.54
  3. L0–19 AprRoss County (H)xG 1.06–0.92
  4. D2–22 AprDundee FC (A)xG 0.89–1.07
  5. W3–119 MarHibernian (H)xG 2.19–0.55
  6. L0–15 MarRangers (A)xG 0.09–1.69

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianAberdeen
Position8th9th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠11–⁠1410–⁠9–⁠16
Points41 (1.17 per game)39 (1.11 per game)
Expected Points per game1.421.43
Goals32–⁠3840–⁠44
xG per game1.12–⁠1.041.14–⁠0.97
Home: points, xG per game1.41, 1.14–⁠0.931.56, 1.44–⁠0.80
Away: points, xG per game0.94, 1.10–⁠1.130.65, 0.82–⁠1.14
ManagerDavid Gray (2)Jim Goodwin (9)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.16AttackHibernian1.06, 5thAberdeen1.07, 4thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian0.99, 3rdAberdeen1.05, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian attack: 1.06Aberdeen attack: 1.071.071.06AberdeenHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprMayHibernian defence: 0.99Aberdeen defence: 1.051.050.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianAberdeen
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−3%−21%−19%−31%
Counter-attacks+49%+13%−49%−40%
Set pieces−35%−9%+9%−5%
Penaltiesaverageaverage+61%+21%
Headers−22%−2%+10%−13%
Left side−2%−8%−4%−29%
Centre−19%−19%−18%−22%
Right side+4%−20%−12%−27%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdAberdeen concededLeft side−2%−27%Centre−19%−22%Right side+4%−29%Open play−3%−31%Counter-attacks+49%−40%Set pieces−35%−5%Headers−22%−13%

Aberdeen attacking

Aberdeen createdHibernian concededLeft side−4%−20%Centre−18%−19%Right side−12%−8%Open play−19%−21%Counter-attacks−49%+13%Set pieces+9%−9%Headers+10%−2%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianAberdeen

1.12xG1.14
1.04xG against0.97
54%Possession57%
11.7Shots13.4
10.6Shots against8.9
3.3Shots on target4.5
1.4Big chances1.1
18.2Touches in the opposition box18.6
418Passes450
76%Pass accuracy75%
5.5Corners4.9
53%Field tilt57%
39.5Final-third entries39.2
10.9Box entries9.5
12.9Passes per defensive action14.1

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level501.120.87
Ahead171.071.13
Behind221.151.32

Aberdeen

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.941.07
Ahead151.171.10
Behind241.530.67

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.143–7
16–300.120.174–6
31–450.200.158–5
46–600.190.196–9
61–750.240.205–4
76–900.220.196–7

Aberdeen

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.150.194–6
16–300.130.126–7
31–450.180.136–6
46–600.140.186–10
61–750.320.1512–8
76–900.220.216–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTMacey 29Dabrowski 6McGinn 13Bushiri 11Boyle 9Porteous 26Wood 1Hanlon 22Stevenson 9Doig 5Cadden 23McGinn 9Doig 1Doyle-Hayes 30Stevenson 2Cadden 2Newell 22Campbell 8Gogic 3Doig 22Stevenson 6Clarke 3Campbell 10Henderson 7Allan 4Nisbet 25Doidge 6Melkersen 5Boyle 11Murphy 8Jasper 53-4-1-2 in 14 of 35 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (14), 4-2-3-1 (8), 3-4-2-1 (6), 4-4-1-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-3 (1), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

Aberdeen

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTLewis 31Woods 4Ramsay 19Ojo 11Gurr 3Gallagher 18McCrorie 18Brown 4Bates 27Considine 2MacKenzie 1Hayes 14MacKenzie 10Campbell 6Ferguson 24Barron 9McGeouch 8Brown 13Ojo 5Longstaff 3Besuijen 9Hedges 9Ojo 6Ferguson 9Brown 6Jenks 6Hayes 10Watkins 8McLennan 4Ramirez 27Watkins 5Emmanuel-Thomas 24-2-3-1 in 15 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (15), 4-3-3 (6), 4-1-4-1 (3), 3-4-1-2 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-1-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
19 March 2022Aberdeen3–1HibernianxG 2.19–0.55
22 December 2021Hibernian1–0AberdeenxG 0.41–0.70
23 October 2021Aberdeen1–0HibernianxG 0.24–0.22
12 May 2021Aberdeen0–1HibernianxG 1.28–0.44
6 February 2021Hibernian2–0AberdeenxG 2.26–0.54
6 November 2020Aberdeen2–0HibernianxG 0.88–0.67

7 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 3, Aberdeen won 4, and 0 were drawn. Goals 5–7 and xG 0.72–1.08 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle201,781730.310.21
Murphy8801210.320.19
Henderson7665100.240.22
Doidge6712200.370.06

Aberdeen

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Ferguson332,9611110.350.08
Watkins141,253320.310.08
Emmanuel-Thomas7673010.080.20
Besuijen121,124200.160.11

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.