Matches › 2023/24

St. Johnstone 1–1 Livingston

Saturday 30 September 2023, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 7 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Graham Grainger · Attendance 2,691

St. Johnstone Costelloe 36' · Gordon sent off 83'

Livingston Sean Kelly 57' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Measure	St. Johnstone	Livingston
Goals	1	1
xG	0.62	0.98
Non-penalty xG	0.62	0.19
Expected Points	0.86	1.76

St. Johnstone 16%Draw 38%Livingston 46%

Most likely score 0–1, 34%. Final score 1–1, 27%.

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.62 −0.11xG0.98 +0.13

0.62Non-penalty xG0.19

0.56 0.00xG on target1.05 +0.20

12 +3.7Shots7 −2.8

2 0.0Shots on target3 +0.3

1 −0.2Big chances1 +0.2

16 0Touches in the opposition box12

45% +3Possession55% +13

331 +11Passes416 +99

62% −2Pass accuracy72% +9

38% +4Field tilt62% +26

27 +2Final-third entries38 +14

4 −3.8Box entries4 −3.5

25.2 +11Passes per defensive action9.9 −3

5 +0.8Corners2 −2.0

12 −4Tackles14 −4

10 −1Interceptions7 −4

17 −9Clearances22 −3

2 −2.8Saves1 −1.7

14 +1Fouls14 −1

3 +1.5Offsides1 −0.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Zones Shots

St. Johnstone

Livingston

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.56 10 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.05 2 shots, 0 goals

0.06 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.14 4 shots, 0 goals

0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

0–01–01–1

Level: 77 min (79%) · St. Johnstone 0.47, Livingston 0.19 xG
St. Johnstone ahead: 21 min (21%) · St. Johnstone 0.15, Livingston 0.79 xG

Line-ups

St. Johnstone substitutes

68' Turner-Cooke for Kucheriavyi
68' May for Jephcott · yellow card 90+2'
84' Olufunwa for Wright
84' McClelland for Costelloe
90+2' Smith for Sprangler

Livingston substitutes

46' Mackay for Brandon · yellow card 48'
62' de Lucas for Parkes
69' Pittman for Shinnie
69' Guthrie for Sangare
78' Stephen Kelly for Sean Kelly

Players

St. Johnstone

Player	Pos	Min	G	A	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
Mitov	GK	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	1
Gordon	CB	83			0.03	0.01	0	−0.06	0	5
Considine	CB	90			0.00	0.00	0	0.01	0	5
Robinson	CB	90			0.02	0.04	2	0.18	10	2
Wright	RWB	84			0.00	0.04	2	0.04	6	0
Phillips	CM	90		1	0.02	0.01	2	0.06	4	4
Sprangler	CM	90			0.05	0.02	0	0.00	2	11
Carey	LWB	90			0.01	0.22	1	0.26	9	3
Kucheriavyi	AM	68			0.00	0.10	2	0.01	2	2
Costelloe	ST	84	1		0.18	0.02	0	0.05	2	2
Jephcott	ST	68			0.28	0.01	1	0.01	1	0
Turner-Cooke	MF	22			0.02	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
May	FW	22			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Olufunwa	DF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	2
McClelland	DF	6			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	3
Smith	MF	0			0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1

Livingston

Player	Pos	Min	G	xG	xA	KP	xT	Prog	Def
George	GK	90		0.00	0.00	0	0.04	5	0
Parkes	CB	62		0.07	0.01	0	0.03	8	8
Obileye	CB	90		0.04	0.02	1	0.09	7	8
Sean Kelly	CB	78	1	0.79	0.15	2	0.05	6	7
Brandon	RWB	46		0.03	0.03	0	0.04	4	4
Holt	CM	90		0.00	0.03	0	0.02	3	4
Shinnie	CM	69		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	1
Penrice	LWB	90		0.00	0.01	0	0.03	7	3
Sangare	AM	69		0.02	0.00	0	0.01	1	4
Nouble	ST	90		0.03	0.04	0	−0.07	8	1
Anderson	ST	90		0.00	0.01	0	−0.02	0	1
Mackay	FW	44		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	2
de Lucas	DF	28		0.00	0.00	0	0.02	1	3
Pittman	MF	21		0.00	0.00	0	0.00	0	0
Guthrie	FW	21		0.00	0.00	0	−0.01	0	0
Stephen Kelly	MF	12		0.00	0.19	1	0.02	1	0

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Livingston

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

From	To	Passes
Robinson	Carey	13
Carey	Robinson	9
Robinson	Phillips	7
Sprangler	Wright	6
Mitov	Robinson	6

Livingston

From	To	Passes
Obileye	Sean Kelly	13
Holt	Penrice	12
Penrice	Nouble	12
George	Obileye	10
Sean Kelly	George	9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

Against its average of 6 matches

Livingston

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

Livingston

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

Chance	Before	With this result	Change
St. Johnstone
Top six	7%	5%	−2
11th	22%	23%	+1
Bottom	35%	37%	+2
Livingston
Top six	17%	16%	−1
11th	17%	18%	+1
Bottom	15%	14%	−1

From the forecast before the match (30 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Measure	St. Johnstone	Livingston
Expected goals	1.31	1.01
Win	43%	28%
Expected Points	1.57	1.14
Clean sheet	36%	27%

St. Johnstone 43%Draw 29%Livingston 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

From the forecast as it stood on 30 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

Chance	Now	St. Johnstone win	Draw	Livingston win
St. Johnstone
Top six	7%	10%	5%	4%
11th	22%	21%	23%	22%
Bottom	35%	28%	37%	46%
Livingston
Top six	17%	12%	16%	24%
11th	17%	20%	18%	14%
Bottom	15%	21%	14%	8%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

Livingston

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Measure	St. Johnstone	Livingston
Position	12th	10th
Played	6	6
Won, drawn, lost	0–⁠2–⁠4	1–⁠3–⁠2
Points	2 (0.33 per game)	6 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game	0.54	1.10
Goals	2–⁠10	5–⁠11
xG per game	0.73–⁠2.10	0.85–⁠1.35
Home: points, xG per game	0.33, 1.00–⁠1.74	0.67, 1.05–⁠1.33
Away: points, xG per game	0.33, 0.46–⁠2.47	1.33, 0.66–⁠1.37
Manager	Steven MacLean (12)	David Martindale (105)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

This season

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Chances	St. Johnstone		Livingston
Chances	Created	Conceded	Created	Conceded
Open play	−53%	+74%	−36%	+9%
Counter-attacks	−74%	+228%	−70%	−40%
Set pieces	+2%	+20%	−5%	−16%
Penalties	−100%	−100%	−100%	+12%
Headers	−24%	average	+24%	−11%
Left side	−40%	+45%	−31%	+13%
Centre	−32%	+42%	−20%	+7%
Right side	−56%	+166%	−50%	−33%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdLivingston concededLeft side−40%−33%Centre−32%+7%Right side−56%+13%Open play−53%+9%Counter-attacks−74%−40%Set pieces+2%−16%Headers−24%−11%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−31%+166%Centre−20%+42%Right side−50%+45%Open play−36%+74%Counter-attacks−70%+228%Set pieces−5%+20%Headers+24%average

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneLivingston

0.73xG0.85

2.10xG against1.35

42%Possession42%

8.3Shots9.8

17.2Shots against14.0

2.0Shots on target2.7

1.2Big chances0.8

320Passes317

64%Pass accuracy63%

4.2Corners4.0

34%Field tilt35%

25.3Final-third entries23.6

7.8Box entries7.5

14.3Passes per defensive action13.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	0.58	1.76
Ahead	0	–	–
Behind	42	0.91	2.52

Livingston

State	Minutes per game	xG per 90	xG against per 90
Level	48	1.08	0.91
Ahead	14	0.73	1.16
Behind	28	0.52	2.20

xG by period

St. Johnstone

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.19	0.14	0–0
16–30	0.02	0.34	0–1
31–45	0.03	0.23	0–3
46–60	0.09	0.34	0–2
61–75	0.09	0.37	0–2
76–90	0.31	0.69	2–2

Livingston

Minutes	xG per game	xG against	Goals
1–15	0.08	0.24	1–2
16–30	0.05	0.08	0–0
31–45	0.08	0.10	0–0
46–60	0.16	0.42	0–2
61–75	0.26	0.17	3–1
76–90	0.23	0.33	1–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-2-3-1 (2)

Livingston

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

Date	Home	Score	Away	xG
28 May 2023	St. Johnstone	2–0	Livingston	xG 2.46–0.99
15 April 2023	Livingston	2–0	St. Johnstone	xG 0.72–1.13
14 January 2023	St. Johnstone	2–4	Livingston	xG 1.86–1.46
15 October 2022	Livingston	1–0	St. Johnstone	xG 1.08–0.42
7 May 2022	Livingston	1–1	St. Johnstone	xG 1.25–1.21
2 April 2022	St. Johnstone	1–0	Livingston	xG 0.99–0.73

12 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 4, Livingston won 6, and 2 were drawn. Goals 11–17 and xG 1.17–0.97 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

Player	Starts	Min	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Carey	6	540	1	0.02	0.21
McClelland	5	519	0	0.08	0.01
Phillips	6	519	0	0.05	0.01
Mitov	6	540	0	0.00	0.00

Livingston

Player	Starts	Min	G	A	xG per 90	xA per 90
Nouble	6	536	0	1	0.17	0.04
Perez	6	540	1	0	0.17	0.01
Brandon	6	454	0	0	0.02	0.11
Obileye	6	540	0	0	0.10	0.01

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.