Digressive Celts

Matches › 2023/24

Rangers 1–0 Motherwell

Sunday 24 September 2023, 15:00 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 6 · Half-time 1–0 · Referee Alan James Muir · Attendance 48,539

Rangers Dessers 24'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersMotherwell
Goals10
xG1.000.72
Expected Points1.551.09

Rangers 40%Draw 36%Motherwell 24%

Most likely score 1–0, 17%. Final score 1–0, 17%.

Motherwell goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%5%9%7%3%3%2%17%13%17%16%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSouttar on for Matondo, 38'Jack on for Dessers, 67'Sima on for Wright, 68'Rice on for Cifuentes, 78'Roofe on for Lammers, 79'Shaw on for Miller, 71'Wilkinson on for Bair, 78'Gent on for Spencer, 83'Dessers 24'Rangers 1.00Motherwell 0.7200.511.50153045607590HTSouttar on for Matondo, 38'Jack on for Dessers, 67'Sima on for Wright, 68'Rice on for Cifuentes, 78'Roofe on for Lammers, 79'Shaw on for Miller, 71'Wilkinson on for Bair, 78'Gent on for Spencer, 83'Dessers 24'1.000.72RangersMotherwell

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersMotherwell

1.00 −0.92xG0.72 −0.45
0.80 −1.27xG on target0.74 −0.64
17 −3Shots9 −4
7 +0.8Shots on target4 −0.8
0 −3.2Big chances1 −0.6
62% −3Possession38% −11
604 +38Passes363 −4
87% +6Pass accuracy75% +7
66% −4Field tilt34% −21
56 −1Final-third entries32 0
10 −7Box entries8 −3
10.8 0Passes per defensive action20.0 +6
2 −4.4Corners2 −4.2
14 −1Tackles15 −4
10 +1.6Interceptions8 −0.4
14 +3Clearances19 −7
3 +1.0Saves6 +5.0
14 +2Fouls15 +2
3 0.0Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Dessers 45+5', 0.19 xGLammers 53', 0.13 xGDessers 64', 0.08 xGMatondo 24', 0.06 xGLammers 7', 0.05 xGLammers 47', 0.05 xGLammers 64', 0.05 xGLammers 36', 0.04 xGLundstram 27', 0.03 xGWright 29', 0.03 xGLammers 43', 0.03 xGLammers 65', 0.03 xGBarisic 75', 0.03 xGCifuentes 14', 0.02 xGLammers 45+5', 0.02 xGCifuentes 77', 0.02 xGDessers 24', 0.15 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals51%0.51 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.51 xG, 1 goal24%0.24 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.24 xG, 0 goals25%0.25 xGEdge of the box: 8 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Motherwell

Shaw 76', 0.24 xGSpittal 86', 0.11 xGShaw 88', 0.11 xGWilkinson 90+5', 0.08 xGSlattery 16', 0.07 xGShaw 72', 0.06 xGSpittal 1', 0.02 xGPaton 5', 0.02 xGSpencer 20', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals59%0.43 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.43 xG, 0 goals25%0.18 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals14%0.10 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.10 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersMotherwell

0.92 16 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.61 8 shots, 0 goals
0.08 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.00 0 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.11 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (24%) · Rangers 0.27, Motherwell 0.12 xG
Rangers ahead
76 min (76%) · Rangers 0.73, Motherwell 0.60 xG

Line-ups

12626311541714239ButlandTavernierGoldsonDaviesBarisicCifuentesLundstramMatondoLammersWrightDessersYellow cardGoal78'38'79'68'67'Rangers 4-2-3-1Michael Beale11651523812228147KellyMcGinnMugabiCaseyO'DonnellMillerPatonSpencerSlatteryBairSpittalYellow cardYellow card71'83'78'Motherwell 3-4-3Stuart Kettlewell

Rangers substitutes

  • 38' Souttar for Matondo
  • 67' Jack for Dessers
  • 68' Sima for Wright
  • 78' Rice for Cifuentes · yellow card 90+1'
  • 79' Roofe for Lammers

Motherwell substitutes

  • 71' Shaw for Miller
  • 78' Wilkinson for Bair
  • 83' Gent for Spencer

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ButlandGK900.000.0000.0430
TavernierRB900.000.1120.24119
GoldsonCB900.000.0210.1074
Davies CB900.000.0610.1585
BarisicLB900.030.0300.0217
CifuentesDM780.040.0400.0864
LundstramDM900.030.0310.0653
MatondoRW3810.060.0220.0421
LammersAM790.400.0520.0663
WrightLW680.030.0410.0322
DessersST6710.420.011−0.0101
SouttarDF520.000.0200.0953
JackMF230.000.011−0.0100
SimaFW220.000.0000.0220
Rice MF120.000.0100.0210
RoofeFW110.000.0200.0200

Motherwell

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
KellyGK900.000.0000.0550
McGinnCB900.000.0200.0897
MugabiCB900.000.0000.02210
Casey CB900.000.000−0.0219
O'DonnellRWB900.000.2620.45111
Miller CM710.000.0200.0553
PatonCM900.020.0420.0646
SpencerLWB830.010.0110.0014
SlatteryRW900.070.0410.0020
BairST780.000.010−0.0212
SpittalLW900.130.1300.2342
ShawFW190.410.000−0.0100
WilkinsonFW120.080.0000.0101
GentMF70.000.0000.0111

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Butland and Davies: 4 passesTavernier and Lundstram: 4 passesCifuentes and Lundstram: 4 passesCifuentes and Matondo: 4 passesMatondo and Lammers: 4 passesTavernier and Lammers: 5 passesDavies and Wright: 5 passesGoldson and Cifuentes: 5 passesGoldson and Wright: 5 passesLammers and Wright: 5 passesButland and Goldson: 6 passesCifuentes and Lammers: 6 passesCifuentes and Wright: 6 passesLundstram and Lammers: 6 passesLundstram and Wright: 6 passesGoldson and Matondo: 7 passesBarisic and Lundstram: 8 passesDavies and Barisic: 11 passesDavies and Lundstram: 11 passesGoldson and Lundstram: 11 passesTavernier and Matondo: 15 passesTavernier and Cifuentes: 18 passesTavernier and Goldson: 22 passesDavies and Goldson: 26 passesButland: 11 completed passesTavernier: 31 completed passesDavies: 34 completed passesGoldson: 42 completed passesBarisic: 14 completed passesCifuentes: 25 completed passesLundstram: 27 completed passesMatondo: 13 completed passesLammers: 16 completed passesWright: 14 completed passesDessers: 3 completed passes12266311541714239ButlandTavernierDaviesGoldsonBarisicCifuentesLundstramMatondoLammersWrightDessersStarters until 38' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Motherwell

Casey and McGinn: 4 passesO'Donnell and Miller: 4 passesKelly and Casey: 5 passesCasey and Miller: 5 passesSpencer and Spittal: 5 passesMiller and Bair: 5 passesCasey and Mugabi: 6 passesSlattery and Spittal: 6 passesKelly and O'Donnell: 7 passesMugabi and McGinn: 7 passesPaton and Slattery: 7 passesPaton and Spittal: 7 passesO'Donnell and Bair: 8 passesSpencer and Paton: 8 passesMcGinn and O'Donnell: 9 passesO'Donnell and Slattery: 9 passesMiller and Slattery: 10 passesBair and Spittal: 10 passesMiller and Spittal: 11 passesKelly and McGinn: 12 passesMcGinn and Slattery: 13 passesMcGinn and Miller: 14 passesKelly: 23 completed passesCasey: 17 completed passesMugabi: 13 completed passesMcGinn: 35 completed passesO'Donnell: 18 completed passesSpencer: 10 completed passesPaton: 19 completed passesMiller: 30 completed passesSlattery: 22 completed passesBair: 17 completed passesSpittal: 22 completed passes11551622212388147KellyCaseyMugabiMcGinnO'DonnellSpencerPatonMillerSlatteryBairSpittalStarters until 71' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
DaviesGoldson30
GoldsonDavies20
BarisicDavies19
GoldsonSouttar19
CifuentesTavernier18

Motherwell

FromToPasses
McGinnO'Donnell11
KellyMcGinn9
SlatteryO'Donnell8
SlatteryMcGinn7
McGinnMiller7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

3−1.02−2.611+4.01−2.83−0.46+0.44+0.412+3.212+4.67+0.23−1.611+3.09+1.64−0.84+0.86+1.04−0.61−1.630.01−1.21−0.81−1.01−0.60−0.40−0.80−0.62+1.01−4.46−4.23−4.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Motherwell

3−4.017−1.67+1.25−1.44−3.211+3.29+0.28+2.48+3.86+1.47+1.48+4.65+2.03−3.03+1.81−1.01−1.23+2.41−1.40−1.40−1.22+1.41+0.60−1.05−4.43−5.02−5.43−4.43−4.80−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 5 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.030.010.010.020.020.010.020.050.040.040.030.090.080.090.020.030.060.020.10−0.03−0.010.17LessMore

Motherwell

0.030.030.010.020.010.010.010.050.01−0.010.010.030.070.030.010.020.20−0.020.020.05−0.01−0.030.030.35LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRangers2.20 → 2.15Motherwell1.19 → 1.18Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.73 → 0.73Motherwell1.30 → 1.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title30%32%+2
Motherwell
Top six73%71%−2
11th2%2%0
Bottom1%1%0
Celtic
Title70%68%−2

From the forecast before the match (24 September 2023): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersMotherwell
Expected goals2.630.60
Win80%6%
Expected Points2.550.31
Clean sheet55%7%

Rangers 80%Draw 14%Motherwell 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Motherwell goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+4%2%7%2%8%2%7%2%8%5%1%4%2%3%2%10%14%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 24 September 2023: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawMotherwell win
Rangers
Title30%32%23%19%
Motherwell
Top six73%71%79%85%
11th2%2%1%<1%
Bottom1%1%<1%–
Celtic
Title70%68%77%81%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W2–016 SepSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.02–0.32
  2. L0–13 SepCeltic (H)xG 1.80–0.95
  3. W2–026 AugRoss County (A)xG 1.96–0.48
  4. W4–012 AugLivingston (H)xG 2.44–0.12
  5. L0–15 AugKilmarnock (A)xG 1.36–0.52
  6. W3–027 MaySt. Mirren (A)xG 1.81–0.55

Motherwell

  1. L0–116 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.18–0.55
  2. W1–03 SepHearts (A)xG 1.14–1.51
  3. W2–126 AugKilmarnock (H)xG 2.15–1.05
  4. W2–113 AugHibernian (H)xG 0.60–0.86
  5. D1–15 AugDundee FC (A)xG 0.76–1.60
  6. W3–228 MayDundee United (H)xG 2.15–2.81

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersMotherwell
Position4th3rd
Played55
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠0–⁠23–⁠1–⁠1
Points9 (1.80 per game)10 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.371.35
Goals8–⁠26–⁠4
xG per game1.92–⁠0.481.17–⁠1.11
Home: points, xG per game1.50, 2.12–⁠0.532.00, 1.31–⁠0.82
Away: points, xG per game2.00, 1.78–⁠0.442.00, 0.95–⁠1.56
ManagerMichael Beale (28)Stuart Kettlewell (19)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.02.5League average 1.30AttackRangers2.20, 2ndMotherwell1.19, 5thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.73, 1stMotherwell1.30, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.02.5SepRangers attack: 2.20Motherwell attack: 1.192.201.19MotherwellRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.02.5SepRangers defence: 0.73Motherwell defence: 1.301.300.73

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersMotherwell
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+60%−54%−8%−15%
Counter-attacks+128%−55%−13%−86%
Set pieces+40%−66%−34%−4%
Penalties−78%−100%+23%+14%
Headers+79%−61%−53%+37%
Left side+61%−35%+14%−23%
Centre+26%−64%−18%−35%
Right side+122%−69%−36%+26%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdMotherwell concededLeft side+61%+26%Centre+26%−35%Right side+122%−23%Open play+60%−15%Counter-attacks+128%−86%Set pieces+40%−4%Headers+79%+37%

Motherwell attacking

Motherwell createdRangers concededLeft side+14%−69%Centre−18%−64%Right side−36%−35%Open play−8%−54%Counter-attacks−13%−55%Set pieces−34%−66%Headers−53%−61%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersMotherwell

1.92xG1.17
0.48xG against1.11
65%Possession49%
20.2Shots12.8
6.8Shots against12.0
6.2Shots on target4.8
3.2Big chances1.6
30.0Touches in the opposition box21.3
566Passes367
81%Pass accuracy68%
6.4Corners6.2
69%Field tilt56%
56.6Final-third entries32.0
16.6Box entries10.8
11.2Passes per defensive action14.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level321.210.65
Ahead442.120.33
Behind142.870.57

Motherwell

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level521.320.55
Ahead220.502.69
Behind161.580.83

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.180.041–0
16–300.140.133–0
31–450.190.020–1
46–600.150.120–0
61–750.410.100–1
76–900.840.084–0

Motherwell

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.030.140–1
16–300.250.121–0
31–450.180.071–0
46–600.170.341–1
61–750.120.121–1
76–900.410.322–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWButland 5Tavernier 5Goldson 4Souttar 4Davies 1Balogun 1Barisic 3Yilmaz 1Sterling 1Raskin 5Cifuentes 1Lundstram 3Roofe 1Jack 1Cantwell 3Dowell 1Lammers 4Roofe 1Dessers 4Danilo 1Danilo 1Roofe 1Lawrence 14-3-3 in 2 of 5 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (2), 4-3-1-2 (2), 4-2-3-1 (1)

Motherwell

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMCMLWBSTSTKelly 5McGinn 4Mugabi 5Casey 5Blaney 1O'Donnell 5Slattery 5Paton 2Miller 5Spittal 3Spencer 3Souaré 2Spittal 2Wilkinson 2Efford 1Bair 53-5-2 in 3 of 5 starts

Formations: 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-3 (1), 5-4-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
18 March 2023Motherwell2–4RangersxG 0.88–4.09
28 December 2022Rangers3–0MotherwellxG 2.55–0.41
16 October 2022Motherwell1–2RangersxG 0.17–1.16
23 April 2022Motherwell1–3RangersxG 0.43–1.92
27 February 2022Rangers2–2MotherwellxG 3.26–1.39
31 October 2021Motherwell1–6RangersxG 0.55–3.09

10 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 7, Motherwell won 0, and 3 were drawn. Goals 30–11 and xG 2.59–0.65 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tavernier433,80717100.300.27
Matondo10990150.250.22
Cantwell181,564640.250.19
Lawrence5470220.250.15

Motherwell

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Efford5474110.260.15
Spittal413,311690.120.19
Obika5506100.250.04
Paton4467100.090.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes. Until a side has played six matches, last season's minutes at the club count too.