Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 2–1 Ross County

Wednesday 26 January 2022, 19:45 · Tannadice Park · Round 23 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee David Munro · Attendance 4,519

Dundee United Clark 74' (pen), 90+1'

Ross County Charles-Cook 53'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Goals21
xG2.961.19
Non-penalty xG2.171.19
Expected Points2.470.39

Dundee United 77%Draw 15%Ross County 8%

Most likely score 3–1, 11%. Final score 2–1, 10%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+3%5%3%7%7%2%8%7%3%5%8%5%2%2%3%2%1%10%11%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

012340153045607590HTClark on for McNulty, 54'Niskanen on for Pawlett, 55'Appere on for Fuchs, 84'Baldwin on for H. Paton, 46'Ramsay on for Spittal and Hungbo on for Samuel, 61'Clark 74' (pen)Clark 90+1'Charles-Cook 53'Dundee United 2.96Ross County 1.19012340153045607590HTClark on for McNulty, 54'Niskanen on for Pawlett, 55'Appere on for Fuchs, 84'Baldwin on for H. Paton, 46'Ramsay on for Spittal and Hungbo on for Samuel, 61'Clark 74' (pen)Clark 90+1'Charles-Cook 53'2.961.19Dundee UnitedRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRoss County

2.96 +2.11xG1.19 +0.06
2.17Non-penalty xG1.19
2.05 +0.97xG on target1.17 −0.06
24 +14Shots15 +4
5 +1.2Shots on target5 +0.9
3 +1.9Big chances2 +0.6
27 +12Touches in the opposition box27 +10
61% +14Possession39% −3
452 +77Passes287 −26
72% +2Pass accuracy56% −10
64% +19Field tilt36% −5
50 +15Final-third entries33 +5
14 +6.5Box entries10 +1.6
11.4 −4Passes per defensive action21.4 +5
6 +1.4Corners6 +2.0
6 −8Tackles13 0
8 −2Interceptions13 +3
18 −3Clearances26 −1
4 +1.3Saves3 −0.4
10 −2Fouls14 +2
1 −0.4Offsides3 +0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

McNulty 10', 0.51 xGEdwards 31', 0.48 xGClark 73', 0.12 xGMcNulty 29', 0.10 xGEdwards 76', 0.10 xGFreeman 79', 0.10 xGFuchs 62', 0.08 xGMcMann 83', 0.07 xGButcher 26', 0.06 xGWatt 21', 0.05 xGHarkes 25', 0.05 xGPawlett 21', 0.04 xGHarkes 43', 0.03 xGEdwards 59', 0.03 xGHarkes 62', 0.03 xGHarkes 69', 0.03 xGFuchs 79', 0.03 xGNiskanen 81', 0.03 xGButcher 38', 0.02 xGAppere 90+3', 0.02 xGWatt 13', 0.01 xGFuchs 83', 0.01 xGClark 90+1', 0.19 xG, goal46%0.99 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.99 xG, 0 goals29%0.63 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.63 xG, 1 goal8%0.17 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals17%0.37 xGEdge of the box: 10 shots, 0.37 xG, 0 goals0%0.01 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.01 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Hungbo 87', 0.26 xGCharles-Cook 67', 0.20 xGCharles-Cook 90+5', 0.20 xGSpittal 51', 0.09 xGBaldwin 90+5', 0.06 xGCharles-Cook 89', 0.05 xGBaldwin 53', 0.04 xGDrysdale 68', 0.04 xGH. Paton 9', 0.03 xGWhite 49', 0.03 xGCallachan 90+5', 0.03 xGDrysdale 49', 0.02 xGIacovitti 61', 0.02 xGVokins 52', 0.01 xGCharles-Cook 53', 0.12 xG, goal17%0.20 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.20 xG, 0 goals42%0.50 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.50 xG, 0 goals29%0.34 xGWide in the box: 3 shots, 0.34 xG, 1 goal11%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRoss County

1.43 17 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.84 10 shots, 1 goal
0.74 6 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.35 5 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
70 min (74%) · Dundee United 1.85, Ross County 0.64 xG
Dundee United ahead
4 min (4%) · Dundee United 0.02, Ross County 0.29 xG
Ross County ahead
21 min (22%) · Dundee United 1.09, Ross County 0.26 xG

Line-ups

1221218336619238932SiegristFreemanEdwardsButcherMcMannFuchsLevittHarkesPawlettMcNultyWattYellow card84'55'54'Dundee United 4-3-3Tam Courts31220163768172610Maynard-BrewerRandallDrysdaleIacovittiVokinsSpittalH. PatonCallachanCharles-CookWhiteSamuelYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card61'46'61'Ross County 4-4-2Malky Mackay

Dundee United substitutes

  • 54' Clark for McNulty · goal 74' (pen), goal 90+1'
  • 55' Niskanen for Pawlett
  • 84' Appere for Fuchs

Ross County substitutes

  • 46' Baldwin for H. Paton · yellow card 50'
  • 61' Ramsay for Spittal
  • 61' Hungbo for Samuel

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0110
Freeman RB900.100.1430.32113
EdwardsCB900.610.0110.0888
ButcherCB900.080.0300.0976
McMannLB900.070.0200.1084
FuchsCM840.130.1110.1474
LevittCM900.000.2620.2375
HarkesCM900.140.042−0.0452
PawlettRW550.040.1210.0710
McNultyST540.600.0300.0210
WattLW9010.050.6920.48122
ClarkMF3621.100.010−0.0401
NiskanenDF350.030.021−0.0711
AppereFW60.020.000−0.0100

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
Maynard-BrewerGK900.000.0100.0851
RandallRB900.000.0100.02211
Drysdale CB900.060.000−0.01014
IacovittiCB900.020.0000.04411
VokinsLB900.010.2620.0953
Spittal RM610.090.2010.2193
H. PatonCM460.030.010−0.0435
CallachanCM900.030.0100.0543
Charles-Cook LM9010.570.0510.0713
WhiteST900.030.1600.0420
SamuelST610.000.0100.0001
Baldwin DF440.100.0110.0016
RamsayDF290.000.0200.0432
HungboFW290.260.0630.0530

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Butcher and Edwards: 3 passesEdwards and Fuchs: 3 passesHarkes and McNulty: 3 passesPawlett and McNulty: 3 passesPawlett and Watt: 3 passesSiegrist and Butcher: 4 passesButcher and Harkes: 4 passesButcher and Pawlett: 4 passesLevitt and Pawlett: 4 passesButcher and Levitt: 5 passesFuchs and Levitt: 5 passesFreeman and Watt: 6 passesMcMann and Levitt: 6 passesMcNulty and Watt: 6 passesFreeman and Fuchs: 7 passesButcher and McMann: 7 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 8 passesMcMann and Watt: 8 passesHarkes and Watt: 8 passesHarkes and Levitt: 9 passesMcMann and Harkes: 10 passesEdwards and Levitt: 12 passesSiegrist: 5 completed passesFreeman: 17 completed passesButcher: 18 completed passesEdwards: 11 completed passesMcMann: 20 completed passesFuchs: 10 completed passesHarkes: 20 completed passesLevitt: 22 completed passesPawlett: 11 completed passesMcNulty: 7 completed passesWatt: 15 completed passes1221812336623198932SiegristFreemanButcherEdwardsMcMannFuchsHarkesLevittPawlettMcNultyWattStarters until 54' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Ross County

Vokins and Charles-Cook: 3 passesSamuel and White: 3 passesMaynard-Brewer and White: 4 passesDrysdale and Spittal: 4 passesRandall and Spittal: 5 passesRandall and Samuel: 5 passesSpittal and H. Paton: 5 passesSpittal and White: 5 passesH. Paton and Charles-Cook: 11 passesMaynard-Brewer: 6 completed passesRandall: 8 completed passesDrysdale: 5 completed passesIacovitti: 6 completed passesVokins: 4 completed passesSpittal: 21 completed passesSamuel: 8 completed passesH. Paton: 9 completed passesCallachan: 6 completed passesCharles-Cook: 10 completed passesWhite: 3 completed passes31220163710681726Maynard-BrewerRandallDrysdaleIacovittiVokinsSpittalSamuelH. PatonCallachanCharles-CookWhiteStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannHarkes14
FreemanFuchs11
ButcherEdwards11
LevittEdwards9
FreemanWatt9

Ross County

FromToPasses
Maynard-BrewerWhite8
Charles-CookH. Paton7
SpittalWhite6
DrysdaleSpittal4
H. PatonCharles-Cook4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

2−2.58+1.816+0.49+2.04−1.84−1.55−2.36−1.92−3.06+1.03−0.85−1.05−1.25+0.37+3.82−0.62−1.61−3.02−0.72+0.52+0.82+0.82−0.31+0.10−0.30−0.50−0.42+1.15−3.33−3.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Ross County

7+1.93−3.024+8.36−1.48+1.712+4.313+5.56−0.511+2.56−2.66+0.66+1.58+4.810+5.47+0.63−1.33+0.31−1.730.01−2.71−1.22−0.10−0.72+0.52+0.31+0.10−0.12+1.40−0.30−0.7FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.020.020.010.030.040.030.030.050.020.060.020.090.030.050.040.24−0.080.07−0.020.070.25−0.060.36LessMore

Ross County

0.040.040.010.010.010.010.010.020.010.010.020.010.030.010.010.010.01−0.030.050.04−0.020.05−0.110.120.110.11LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee United0.88 → 0.91Ross County1.06 → 1.05Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.31 → 1.30Ross County1.43 → 1.46

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six17%26%+9
11th7%3%−4
Bottom2%1%−1
Ross County
Top six7%3%−4
11th14%19%+5
Bottom6%9%+3
Dundee FC
11th28%29%+1
Bottom51%49%−2
Motherwell
Top six78%76%−2

From the forecast before the match (26 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Expected goals1.251.13
Win38%33%
Expected Points1.441.27
Clean sheet32%29%

Dundee United 38%Draw 29%Ross County 33%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 49%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+10%6%2%7%3%7%8%5%2%3%3%2%1%10%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRoss County win
Dundee United
Top six17%26%14%9%
11th7%3%8%11%
Bottom2%1%2%4%
Ross County
Top six7%3%5%13%
11th14%19%15%8%
Bottom6%9%5%3%
Dundee FC
11th28%29%28%28%
Bottom51%49%52%53%
Motherwell
Top six78%76%79%79%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L1–218 JanSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.49–1.46
  2. L1–326 DecHibernian (H)xG 0.54–1.80
  3. L0–118 DecRangers (A)xG 0.33–2.27
  4. L0–111 DecLivingston (H)xG 0.87–1.22
  5. L0–35 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.21–4.36
  6. L0–130 NovMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–1.72

Ross County

  1. W3–118 JanMotherwell (H)xG 1.20–0.59
  2. L1–226 DecHearts (A)xG 1.00–1.73
  3. W2–122 DecSt. Johnstone (A)xG 2.15–0.32
  4. D1–118 DecLivingston (A)xG 0.57–1.00
  5. L1–215 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.65–2.72
  6. W3–211 DecDundee FC (H)xG 2.13–1.64

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Position7th10th
Played2121
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠4–⁠105–⁠6–⁠10
Points25 (1.19 per game)21 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.041.26
Goals17–⁠2530–⁠36
xG per game0.85–⁠1.401.13–⁠1.38
Home: points, xG per game1.36, 0.84–⁠1.461.20, 1.32–⁠1.29
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.85–⁠1.330.82, 0.95–⁠1.46
ManagerTam Courts (21)Malky Mackay (21)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee United0.88, 10thRoss County1.06, 6thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.31, 9thRoss County1.43, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanDundee United attack: 0.88Ross County attack: 1.061.060.88Ross CountyDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanDundee United defence: 1.31Ross County defence: 1.431.431.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−21%+13%−10%+16%
Counter-attacks+4%−12%−47%+34%
Set pieces−32%+22%−22%+39%
Penalties−100%+42%+78%−64%
Headers−12%+22%−41%+56%
Left side−10%+5%−24%+22%
Centre−17%+33%−18%+23%
Right side−45%−16%average+23%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side−10%+23%Centre−17%+23%Right side−45%+22%Open play−21%+16%Counter-attacks+4%+34%Set pieces−32%+39%Headers−12%+56%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−24%−16%Centre−18%+33%Right sideaverage+5%Open play−10%+13%Counter-attacks−47%−12%Set pieces−22%+22%Headers−41%+22%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.85xG1.13
1.40xG against1.38
46%Possession42%
10.4Shots10.5
13.5Shots against15.1
3.8Shots on target4.1
1.1Big chances1.4
15.4Touches in the opposition box16.9
375Passes313
69%Pass accuracy66%
4.6Corners4.0
46%Field tilt40%
35.1Final-third entries28.2
7.5Box entries8.4
15.7Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.731.25
Ahead130.571.34
Behind281.181.69

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.911.31
Ahead151.621.22
Behind301.211.55

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.160–2
16–300.100.131–6
31–450.170.345–4
46–600.150.183–3
61–750.160.294–3
76–900.190.294–7

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.153–6
16–300.230.214–7
31–450.190.219–8
46–600.070.211–5
61–750.230.278–3
76–900.330.345–7

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 17Carson 4Freeman 12Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 18Neilson 1Smith 1Mulgrew 20McMann 1Reynolds 1McMann 14Robson 4Sporle 2Pawlett 10Niskanen 3Chalmers 2Fuchs 15Mochrie 2Levitt 7Glass 5Butcher 5Harkes 17Meekison 2Hoti 2Niskanen 11Pawlett 4Sporle 3Clark 11McNulty 5Appere 24-5-1 in 7 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (7), 4-4-1-1 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 5-3-2 (1), 3-5-2 (1), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMaynard-Brewer 15Laidlaw 6Clarke 10Randall 7Burroughs 2Baldwin 14Clarke 5Watson 4Iacovitti 15Paton 1Burroughs 1Vokins 6Randall 5B. Paton 5Tillson 11Spittal 8Callachan 5Cancola 9Paton 8Charles-Cook 1Hungbo 10Charles-Cook 3Spittal 2Callachan 11Tillson 3Paton 3Charles-Cook 14Spittal 5Callachan 1White 14D. Samuel 3A. Samuel 24-2-3-1 in 11 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (11), 4-5-1 (2), 4-3-3 (2), 3-4-1-2 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-5-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 November 2021Ross County1–1Dundee UnitedxG 1.53–0.47
2 October 2021Dundee United1–0Ross CountyxG 1.26–0.90
1 May 2021Dundee United0–2Ross CountyxG 0.16–2.18
6 February 2021Ross County0–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.74–1.65
31 October 2020Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 1.79–0.88
15 August 2020Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.42–1.34

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 4, Ross County won 1, and 1 was a draw. Goals 8–5 and xG 1.11–1.28 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett171,483200.140.14
Clark171,491210.190.07
Niskanen141,118130.080.14
Harkes181,657320.130.06

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
D. Samuel5610100.400.06
Charles-Cook201,607820.190.12
Hungbo11964230.150.14
Callachan171,496310.250.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.