Saturday 27 November 2021, 15:00 · Global Energy Stadium · Round 15 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 3,214
Ross County Baldwin 90+3' · Clarke sent off 75'
Dundee United Appere 49'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Ross County
Dundee United
Goals
1
1
xG
1.53
0.47
Expected Points
2.38
0.40
Ross County 72%Draw 23%Dundee United 6%
Most likely score 1–0, 30%. Final score 1–1, 17%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Ross CountyDundee United
1.53 +0.49xG0.47 −0.50
1.17 +0.09xG on target0.30 −1.04
9 −1Shots8 −3
5 +1.0Shots on target4 −0.4
2 +0.7Big chances0 −1.5
22 +3Touches in the opposition box10 −6
53% +11Possession47% 0
412 +92Passes382 +9
73% +5Pass accuracy65% −4
53% +12Field tilt47% +1
31 +4Final-third entries26 −9
12 +3.2Box entries4 −3.6
14.8 −4Passes per defensive action37.0 +23
5 +1.4Corners2 −2.9
9 −4Tackles11 −3
10 +0.3Interceptions7 −3.0
22 −3Clearances32 +10
3 −0.4Saves3 +0.3
11 −1Fouls12 −1
1 −1.5Offsides1 −0.7
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Ross County
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
49'90+3'
0–00–1
0'HTFT
Level
50 min (53%) · Ross County 0.47, Dundee United 0.25 xG
Dundee United ahead
44 min (47%) · Ross County 1.05, Dundee United 0.21 xG
Line-ups
Ross County substitutes
60'Watson for Iacovitti
61'Hungbo for Charles-Cook · 1 assist
73'Samuel for Tillson
Dundee United substitutes
62'Sporle for Niskanen
Players
Ross County
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Maynard-Brewer
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
4
0
Clarke
RB
75
0.02
0.06
1
0.12
8
7
Baldwin
CB
90
1
1.07
0.01
0
0.07
6
7
Iacovitti
CB
60
0.00
0.00
0
0.04
5
2
Randall
LB
90
0.00
0.10
0
0.01
5
6
Tillson
DM
73
0.00
0.00
0
−0.01
1
4
Cancola
DM
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.01
0
7
Spittal
RW
90
0.25
0.52
2
0.18
4
3
Paton
AM
90
0.19
0.05
2
0.10
5
3
Charles-Cook
LW
61
0.00
0.15
0
0.19
2
1
White
ST
90
0.00
0.01
0
−0.18
2
0
Watson
DF
30
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
2
Hungbo
FW
29
1
0.00
0.48
1
0.01
3
0
Samuel
FW
17
0.00
0.01
1
0.02
0
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.05
5
0
Freeman
RB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
4
Edwards
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
1
12
Mulgrew
CB
90
0.04
0.00
0
0.00
1
3
McMann
LB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.03
2
5
Pawlett
RM
90
0.00
0.17
1
0.10
4
4
Harkes
CM
90
0.01
0.03
0
0.02
7
8
Hoti
CM
90
0.11
0.02
0
0.01
4
5
Niskanen
LM
62
0.00
0.00
0
0.02
0
0
Clark
AM
90
0.09
0.02
2
−0.04
1
5
Appere
ST
90
1
0.22
0.01
0
0.02
4
1
Sporle
DF
28
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
0
4
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Ross County
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Ross County
From
To
Passes
Maynard-Brewer
Baldwin
10
Baldwin
Clarke
10
Iacovitti
Randall
9
Randall
Paton
8
Clarke
Baldwin
8
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Freeman
Appere
11
Freeman
Pawlett
10
Edwards
Harkes
8
Harkes
Freeman
8
Mulgrew
Edwards
8
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Ross County
Against its average of 13 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 14 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Ross County
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Ross County
Top six
3%
2%
−1
11th
29%
30%
+1
Bottom
28%
31%
+3
Dundee United
Top six
68%
68%
0
11th
2%
2%
0
Bottom
1%
<1%
−1
Dundee FC
11th
24%
25%
+1
Bottom
52%
49%
−3
Motherwell
Top six
53%
52%
−1
11th
4%
3%
−1
Bottom
1%
2%
+1
From the forecast before the match (27 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Ross County
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.21
1.19
Win
36%
35%
Expected Points
1.37
1.34
Clean sheet
30%
30%
Ross County 36%Draw 29%Dundee United 35%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 50%.
From the forecast as it stood on 27 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Ross County win
Draw
Dundee United win
Ross County
Top six
3%
7%
2%
1%
11th
29%
27%
30%
31%
Bottom
28%
20%
31%
35%
Dundee United
Top six
68%
58%
68%
79%
11th
2%
3%
2%
1%
Bottom
1%
1%
<1%
<1%
Dundee FC
11th
24%
20%
25%
27%
Bottom
52%
57%
49%
48%
Motherwell
Top six
53%
56%
52%
52%
11th
4%
4%
3%
4%
Bottom
1%
2%
2%
1%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Ross County
Dundee United
Position
12th
4th
Played
13
14
Won, drawn, lost
2–3–8
7–3–4
Points
9 (0.69 per game)
24 (1.71 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.14
1.30
Goals
18–26
14–13
xG per game
1.04–1.43
0.97–1.07
Home: points, xG per game
0.83, 1.28–1.25
2.14, 0.88–1.03
Away: points, xG per game
0.57, 0.83–1.58
1.29, 1.05–1.11
Manager
Malky Mackay (13)
Tam Courts (14)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Ross County
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−7%
+36%
−7%
−15%
Counter-attacks
−78%
+27%
+78%
−47%
Set pieces
−49%
+5%
−29%
+4%
Penalties
+48%
−51%
−100%
−9%
Headers
−48%
+42%
−1%
+11%
Left side
−24%
+44%
+1%
+1%
Centre
−42%
+10%
+8%
−16%
Right side
+27%
+47%
−57%
−11%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Ross County attacking
Ross County createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−24%−11%Centre−42%−16%Right side+27%+1%Open play−7%−15%Counter-attacks−78%−47%Set pieces−49%+4%Headers−48%+11%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdRoss County concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side+1%+47%Centre+8%+10%Right side−57%+44%Open play−7%+36%Counter-attacks+78%+27%Set pieces−29%+5%Headers−1%+42%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Ross CountyDundee United
1.04xG0.97
1.43xG against1.07
42%Possession47%
10.4Shots10.9
14.6Shots against12.6
4.0Shots on target4.4
1.3Big chances1.5
19.3Touches in the opposition box15.9
320Passes373
68%Pass accuracy69%
3.6Corners4.9
40%Field tilt46%
27.1Final-third entries34.8
8.8Box entries7.6
18.9Passes per defensive action14.1
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Ross County
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
0.72
1.28
Ahead
16
1.80
1.27
Behind
34
1.05
1.68
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
55
0.87
1.07
Ahead
16
0.59
1.16
Behind
18
1.60
1.00
xG by period
Ross County
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.10
0.16
3–4
16–30
0.15
0.20
2–5
31–45
0.25
0.24
7–6
46–60
0.06
0.20
0–3
61–75
0.24
0.27
4–3
76–90
0.24
0.35
2–5
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.09
0.15
0–0
16–30
0.13
0.14
1–5
31–45
0.23
0.25
5–2
46–60
0.16
0.13
2–2
61–75
0.17
0.20
3–1
76–90
0.18
0.22
3–3
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts