Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Johnstone 1–2 Hibernian

Saturday 27 November 2021, 15:00 · McDiarmid Park · Round 15 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 3,362

St. Johnstone Porteous 40' (og) · Bryson sent off 45+1'

Hibernian Nisbet 83', Murphy 86'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Goals12
xG0.122.27
Expected Points0.122.78

St. Johnstone 1%Draw 10%Hibernian 90%

Most likely score 0–2, 27%. Final score 1–2, 3%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+7%10%4%1%3%3%3%1%20%27%20%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTBryson (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 45+1'MacPherson on for Vertainen, 46'Brown on for Rooney, 75'Solomon-Otabor on for Davidson, 87'Murphy on for McGinn, 61'Allan on for Gullan, 71'Scott on for Doyle-Hayes, 77'Porteous 40' (og)Nisbet 83'Murphy 86'Hibernian 2.27St. Johnstone 0.1201230153045607590HTBryson (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 45+1'MacPherson on for Vertainen, 46'Brown on for Rooney, 75'Solomon-Otabor on for Davidson, 87'Murphy on for McGinn, 61'Allan on for Gullan, 71'Scott on for Doyle-Hayes, 77'Porteous 40' (og)Nisbet 83'Murphy 86'2.270.12St. JohnstoneHibernian

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.12 −0.69xG2.27 +0.94
0.00 −0.71xG on target1.72 +0.31
2 −7.6Shots20 +8.2
0 −2.6Shots on target4 0.0
0 −0.8Big chances4 +2.7
6 −10Touches in the opposition box36 +22
37% −6Possession63% +10
316 −11Passes505 +106
60% −3Pass accuracy79% +5
19% −24Field tilt81% +28
25 −3Final-third entries69 +30
3 −4.7Box entries22 +10.2
20.0 +4Passes per defensive action12.2 −1
1 −4.0Corners11 +5.8
10 −4Tackles12 −2
10 −0.3Interceptions9 +0.3
37 +15Clearances7 −10
2 −1.2Saves0 −2.8
10 −2Fouls11 0
1 −0.4Offsides4 +2.0

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Johnstone

Gordon 40', 0.09 xGO'Halloran 24', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals75%0.09 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals25%0.03 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Hibernian

Porteous 90+6', 0.50 xGMurphy 84', 0.29 xGNisbet 90+6', 0.25 xGGullan 32', 0.19 xGDoig 58', 0.12 xGPorteous 71', 0.11 xGMurphy 67', 0.07 xGMurphy 68', 0.06 xGDoig 3', 0.04 xGCampbell 32', 0.04 xGCadden 51', 0.04 xGAllan 77', 0.04 xGCampbell 14', 0.03 xGCampbell 42', 0.03 xGCampbell 22', 0.02 xGHanlon 57', 0.02 xGGullan 3', 0.01 xGCadden 31', 0.01 xGNisbet 83', 0.21 xG, goalMurphy 86', 0.19 xG, goal1%0.03 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals87%1.98 xGCentral box: 10 shots, 1.98 xG, 2 goals2%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals8%0.18 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.18 xG, 0 goals2%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play1.13 13 shots, 2 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.94 3 shots, 0 goals
0.09 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.19 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
43 min (44%) · St. Johnstone 0.03, Hibernian 0.82 xG
St. Johnstone ahead
44 min (45%) · St. Johnstone 0.09, Hibernian 0.69 xG
Hibernian ahead
10 min (10%) · St. Johnstone 0.00, Hibernian 0.75 xG

Line-ups

15641981324112117ClarkDendonckerGordonMcCartRooneyDavidsonBrysonBoothO'HalloranCrawfordVertainenYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellow75'87'46'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson16542722113321519MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellDoigCampbellNisbetGullanOwn goalYellow cardGoal61'77'71'Hibernian 3-4-1-2Jack Ross

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 46' MacPherson for Vertainen
  • 75' Brown for Rooney · yellow card 81'
  • 87' Solomon-Otabor for Davidson

Hibernian substitutes

  • 61' Murphy for McGinn · goal 86', 1 assist
  • 71' Allan for Gullan · 1 assist
  • 77' Scott for Doyle-Hayes

Players

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.0000.0332
DendonckerCB900.000.0100.0549
GordonCB900.090.0100.05311
McCartCB900.000.0100.04516
RooneyRWB750.000.0100.0157
Davidson CM870.000.0100.0015
Bryson CM450.000.0100.0304
BoothLWB900.000.0000.0114
O'HalloranAM900.030.000−0.0510
CrawfordAM900.000.4010.2651
VertainenST460.000.0000.0111
MacPhersonMF440.000.0100.0111
Brown DF150.000.0000.0011
Solomon-OtaborMF30.000.010−0.0200

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0320
McGinnCB610.000.0200.11112
PorteousCB900.610.1000.28143
HanlonCB900.020.0200.1076
CaddenRWB900.050.3010.3962
Doyle-HayesCM770.000.0620.0523
NewellCM900.000.3410.0882
DoigLWB900.160.2210.49162
Campbell AM900.120.040−0.0231
NisbetST9010.460.1740.0332
GullanST710.200.1030.0931
MurphyMF29110.610.1310.0713
AllanMF1910.040.2410.2120
ScottFW130.000.0100.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Johnstone

Clark and Gordon: 3 passesClark and Rooney: 3 passesGordon and Bryson: 3 passesRooney and Crawford: 3 passesBooth and Bryson: 3 passesBryson and Vertainen: 3 passesO'Halloran and Crawford: 3 passesDendoncker and Gordon: 4 passesDendoncker and Bryson: 4 passesRooney and O'Halloran: 4 passesRooney and Vertainen: 4 passesBooth and Crawford: 4 passesBryson and Crawford: 4 passesRooney and Davidson: 5 passesDavidson and Vertainen: 5 passesBryson and O'Halloran: 5 passesCrawford and Vertainen: 5 passesRooney and Bryson: 6 passesMcCart and Booth: 8 passesDendoncker and Rooney: 10 passesClark: 8 completed passesDendoncker: 13 completed passesGordon: 11 completed passesMcCart: 11 completed passesRooney: 15 completed passesBooth: 11 completed passesDavidson: 11 completed passesBryson: 15 completed passesO'Halloran: 8 completed passesCrawford: 12 completed passesVertainen: 7 completed passes15641924813112117ClarkDendonckerGordonMcCartRooneyBoothDavidsonBrysonO'HalloranCrawfordVertainenStarters until 45+1' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Hibernian

McGinn and Hanlon: 5 passesPorteous and Campbell: 5 passesCadden and Nisbet: 5 passesHanlon and Doyle-Hayes: 6 passesHanlon and Newell: 6 passesCadden and Newell: 6 passesDoyle-Hayes and Gullan: 6 passesDoig and Campbell: 6 passesCampbell and Gullan: 6 passesMacey and McGinn: 7 passesMcGinn and Nisbet: 7 passesPorteous and Nisbet: 7 passesNewell and Campbell: 7 passesPorteous and Newell: 8 passesMcGinn and Newell: 9 passesMcGinn and Campbell: 9 passesDoyle-Hayes and Newell: 9 passesNewell and Nisbet: 10 passesMcGinn and Cadden: 11 passesPorteous and Doyle-Hayes: 13 passesHanlon and Porteous: 15 passesHanlon and Doig: 15 passesNewell and Doig: 15 passesMcGinn and Doyle-Hayes: 20 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 22 passesMacey: 15 completed passesMcGinn: 48 completed passesHanlon: 34 completed passesPorteous: 44 completed passesCadden: 17 completed passesDoyle-Hayes: 32 completed passesNewell: 40 completed passesDoig: 27 completed passesCampbell: 16 completed passesGullan: 14 completed passesNisbet: 19 completed passes16452722113321915MaceyMcGinnHanlonPorteousCaddenDoyle-HayesNewellDoigCampbellGullanNisbetStarters until 61' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
DendonckerRooney11
BoothMcCart7
GordonDendoncker6
DendonckerBrown6
DavidsonRooney5

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousMcGinn12
DoigHanlon12
McGinnDoyle-Hayes11
DoigNewell11
PorteousCadden11

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Johnstone

10+4.112+5.623+10.87+1.83−1.58+1.15−2.89+2.911+2.66−2.04−2.35−0.42−1.64−2.23−2.54+0.44+0.30−2.44+1.53−1.72−0.93+1.20−0.52+0.20−2.12+0.91+0.20−0.70−0.40−1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Hibernian

4−0.70−4.95−6.85−0.25−0.43−4.33−4.24−2.010+2.616+10.07+1.14−0.82−1.29+2.910+5.77+2.23−0.11−1.16+2.84+0.42−0.23+1.31+0.22+1.01−1.10−1.10−0.14+3.20−0.23+2.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Johnstone

0.010.010.010.020.020.010.010.010.010.070.030.020.030.01−0.04−0.020.07−0.020.18LessMore

Hibernian

0.010.020.010.010.040.030.020.050.050.010.030.070.050.10−0.010.070.060.080.210.100.050.170.370.28LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackSt. Johnstone0.98 → 0.97Hibernian1.28 → 1.31Defence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12 → 1.15Hibernian1.07 → 1.05

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Johnstone
Top six28%19%−9
11th8%11%+3
Bottom3%5%+2
Hibernian
Top six78%86%+8
11th1%<1%−1

From the forecast before the match (27 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Expected goals0.951.15
Win29%40%
Expected Points1.191.50
Clean sheet32%39%

St. Johnstone 29%Draw 31%Hibernian 40%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Hibernian goalsSt. Johnstone goals0123456+0123456+8%3%8%3%6%6%4%1%2%2%1%13%13%11%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Johnstone winDrawHibernian win
St. Johnstone
Top six28%40%27%19%
11th8%5%8%11%
Bottom3%1%3%5%
Hibernian
Top six78%69%76%86%
11th1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Johnstone

  1. D0–06 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.18–0.76
  2. W1–030 OctDundee United (A)xG 0.33–1.84
  3. D1–127 OctHearts (H)xG 1.22–0.94
  4. L0–223 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.13–2.70
  5. L0–316 OctLivingston (H)xG 1.45–1.55
  6. W3–12 OctDundee FC (H)xG 1.90–0.41

Hibernian

  1. L0–124 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.52–1.21
  2. L1–327 OctCeltic (H)xG 1.50–2.86
  3. L0–123 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.22–0.24
  4. L0–316 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.41–0.73
  5. L1–23 OctRangers (A)xG 0.23–1.68
  6. W1–026 SepSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.90–0.22

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. JohnstoneHibernian
Position9th7th
Played1312
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠5–⁠54–⁠3–⁠5
Points14 (1.08 per game)15 (1.25 per game)
Expected Points per game1.031.56
Goals8–⁠1215–⁠16
xG per game0.81–⁠1.301.33–⁠1.03
Home: points, xG per game0.86, 1.01–⁠1.131.67, 1.43–⁠0.96
Away: points, xG per game1.33, 0.58–⁠1.500.83, 1.24–⁠1.10
ManagerCallum Davidson (51)Jack Ross (50)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackSt. Johnstone0.98, 9thHibernian1.28, 3rdDefence (lower is better)St. Johnstone1.12, 5thHibernian1.07, 4th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovSt. Johnstone attack: 0.98Hibernian attack: 1.281.280.98HibernianSt. JohnstoneDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovSt. Johnstone defence: 1.12Hibernian defence: 1.071.121.07

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. JohnstoneHibernian
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−36%−8%+12%−10%
Counter-attacks−39%+96%+56%+129%
Set pieces−14%+25%−39%−5%
Penalties−51%+48%+113%−100%
Headers−63%+10%−33%+12%
Left side−16%−27%−6%+3%
Centre−36%+33%−7%+7%
Right side−31%−23%+17%−34%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side−16%−34%Centre−36%+7%Right side−31%+3%Open play−36%−10%Counter-attacks−39%+129%Set pieces−14%−5%Headers−63%+12%

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side−6%−23%Centre−7%+33%Right side+17%−27%Open play+12%−8%Counter-attacks+56%+96%Set pieces−39%+25%Headers−33%+10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. JohnstoneHibernian

0.81xG1.33
1.30xG against1.03
43%Possession53%
9.6Shots11.8
12.3Shots against11.1
2.6Shots on target4.0
0.8Big chances1.3
16.1Touches in the opposition box14.5
327Passes398
63%Pass accuracy74%
5.0Corners5.2
44%Field tilt53%
27.6Final-third entries39.3
7.7Box entries11.8
15.5Passes per defensive action12.8

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level570.741.09
Ahead171.061.85
Behind160.801.49

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level441.310.87
Ahead221.110.97
Behind241.571.36

xG by period

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.141–1
16–300.050.121–1
31–450.120.173–2
46–600.130.292–2
61–750.200.260–3
76–900.170.331–3

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.131–4
16–300.150.183–3
31–450.200.143–2
46–600.240.144–2
61–750.390.223–2
76–900.220.211–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 13Muller 7Brown 2Dendoncker 2Gordon 6Ambrose 4Kerr 3McCart 12Rooney 7O'Halloran 4Brown 2MacPherson 4Wotherspoon 4McCann 4Craig 6Bryson 3Davidson 2Booth 10Devine 3Middleton 5Crawford 4Davidson 3Wotherspoon 5Kane 3May 2Kane 7May 4O'Halloran 23-4-2-1 in 5 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (5), 3-5-2 (3), 3-4-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1)

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 12McGinn 10Cadden 2Porteous 9McGregor 4Wood 1Hanlon 10Doig 8Stevenson 2Nisbet 1Doyle-Hayes 9Cadden 1Newell 9Magennis 3Gogic 2Boyle 7Cadden 3McGinn 1Magennis 4Allan 3Newell 1Murphy 6Doig 2Nisbet 1Nisbet 7Boyle 3Scott 14-2-3-1 in 7 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (7), 3-5-2 (2), 4-5-1 (1), 3-4-3 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
26 September 2021Hibernian1–0St. JohnstonexG 1.90–0.22
1 May 2021Hibernian0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.08–0.73
6 March 2021St. Johnstone1–0HibernianxG 0.29–1.03
24 November 2020Hibernian2–2St. JohnstonexG 1.56–1.02
23 August 2020St. Johnstone0–1HibernianxG 0.52–1.53

5 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Johnstone won 2, Hibernian won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–4 and xG 0.56–1.42 per game.

Key players

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
May6580210.270.13
Kane10924200.230.02
Middleton6518000.160.08
Craig6535000.130.06

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle121,061700.410.18
Murphy6489000.300.21
Magennis7580210.240.15
Nisbet10842200.270.04

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.