Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Hibernian 1–0 St. Johnstone

Sunday 26 September 2021, 15:00 · Easter Road Stadium · Round 7 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 13,263

Hibernian Boyle 61' (pen)

St. Johnstone McCart sent off 75'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Goals10
xG1.900.22
Non-penalty xG1.110.22
Expected Points2.690.18

Hibernian 85%Draw 13%St. Johnstone 2%

Most likely score 2–0, 27%. Final score 1–0, 26%.

St. Johnstone goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+6%1%7%6%15%3%5%1%1%26%27%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTMcCart (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 75'Doyle-Hayes on for Magennis, 46'Stevenson on for Doig, 62'Gullan on for Allan, 85'Middleton on for Muller, 68'Gilmour on for Craig and May on for Kane, 80'Boyle 61' (pen)Hibernian 1.90St. Johnstone 0.2200.511.520153045607590HTMcCart (St. Johnstone), second yellow card 75'Doyle-Hayes on for Magennis, 46'Stevenson on for Doig, 62'Gullan on for Allan, 85'Middleton on for Muller, 68'Gilmour on for Craig and May on for Kane, 80'Boyle 61' (pen)1.900.22HibernianSt. Johnstone

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.90 +0.03xG0.22 −0.63
1.11Non-penalty xG0.22
1.45 −0.58xG on target0.55 −0.02
16 0Shots6 −5
7 +2.2Shots on target3 +0.3
1 −1.2Big chances0 −0.7
61% +6Possession39% −7
451 +35Passes291 −37
78% +2Pass accuracy69% +5
66% +6Field tilt34% −16
43 +3Final-third entries30 +2
15 +0.7Box entries9 0.0
8.6 −6Passes per defensive action21.3 +8
9 +3.0Corners5 −0.3
18 +4Tackles15 +1
4 −5.0Interceptions10 +0.3
20 +3Clearances21 0
3 +0.3Saves6 +3.3
10 0Fouls11 −2
2 +0.2Offsides0 −2.2

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Hibernian

Boyle 59', 0.14 xGHanlon 77', 0.13 xGDoig 6', 0.12 xGHanlon 43', 0.12 xGBoyle 32', 0.11 xGNisbet 69', 0.11 xGBoyle 76', 0.09 xGBoyle 39', 0.08 xGGullan 90+1', 0.06 xGNisbet 90+4', 0.05 xGNisbet 72', 0.04 xGAllan 80', 0.03 xGMagennis 15', 0.02 xGBoyle 48', 0.01 xGBoyle 70', 0.01 xG11%0.12 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.12 xG, 0 goals65%0.74 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.74 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals17%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

St. Johnstone

Rooney 56', 0.11 xGKane 18', 0.03 xGO'Halloran 27', 0.03 xGRooney 25', 0.02 xGKane 30', 0.02 xGMiddleton 78', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals64%0.14 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.14 xG, 0 goals27%0.06 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals9%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

HibernianSt. Johnstone

0.68 10 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.07 3 shots, 0 goals
0.06 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.11 1 shot, 0 goals
0.38 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 2 shots, 0 goals
0.79 1 shot, 1 goalPenalties0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
61 min (65%) · Hibernian 1.38, St. Johnstone 0.20 xG
Hibernian ahead
33 min (35%) · Hibernian 0.52, St. Johnstone 0.02 xG

Line-ups

1654311727231015MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigNewellMagennisCaddenAllanBoyleNisbetYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow card62'46'85'Hibernian 4-2-3-1Jack Ross1162541910262411219ClarkMullerNorthcottMcCartRooneyWotherspoonCraigBoothO'HalloranCrawfordKaneYellow cardYellow cardSent off, second yellowYellow card68'80'80'St. Johnstone 3-4-2-1Callum Davidson

Hibernian substitutes

  • 46' Doyle-Hayes for Magennis · yellow card 90+4'
  • 62' Stevenson for Doig
  • 85' Gullan for Allan

St. Johnstone substitutes

  • 0' Ambrose
  • 68' Middleton for Muller
  • 80' Gilmour for Craig
  • 80' May for Kane

Players

Hibernian

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MaceyGK900.000.0000.0102
McGinnRB900.000.0200.12122
Porteous CB900.000.3910.35119
HanlonCB900.250.0420.1098
DoigLB620.120.0110.0231
Newell DM900.000.3230.1218
MagennisDM460.020.0200.0202
CaddenRW900.000.0500.0622
AllanAM850.030.1020.0330
BoyleLW9011.230.0710.0831
Nisbet ST900.210.0120.0440
Doyle-Hayes MF440.000.0200.0114
StevensonDF280.000.1220.0624
GullanFW50.060.0000.0000

St. Johnstone

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
ClarkGK900.000.2800.0831
Muller CB680.000.1100.2234
NorthcottCB900.00–––––
McCart CB750.000.0410.04510
RooneyRWB900.130.0100.0375
WotherspoonCM900.000.0320.0653
Craig CM800.000.021−0.0115
BoothLWB900.000.0100.0554
O'HalloranAM900.030.0110.0761
CrawfordAM900.000.0310.0112
KaneST800.040.0000.0112
Ambrose900.000.000––0
MiddletonMF220.020.0000.0501
GilmourMF100.000.0000.0101
MayFW100.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Hibernian

Macey and McGinn: 3 passesMcGinn and Allan: 3 passesMcGinn and Boyle: 3 passesPorteous and Cadden: 3 passesPorteous and Allan: 3 passesHanlon and Magennis: 3 passesDoig and Newell: 3 passesDoig and Nisbet: 3 passesMagennis and Allan: 3 passesMagennis and Boyle: 4 passesPorteous and Newell: 5 passesHanlon and Newell: 6 passesCadden and Allan: 6 passesCadden and Boyle: 6 passesMacey and Porteous: 8 passesMcGinn and Newell: 8 passesPorteous and Magennis: 8 passesHanlon and Doig: 10 passesPorteous and Hanlon: 11 passesMagennis and Cadden: 12 passesMcGinn and Magennis: 13 passesMcGinn and Cadden: 14 passesMcGinn and Porteous: 16 passesMacey: 11 completed passesMcGinn: 34 completed passesPorteous: 32 completed passesHanlon: 21 completed passesDoig: 11 completed passesNewell: 14 completed passesMagennis: 23 completed passesCadden: 23 completed passesAllan: 7 completed passesBoyle: 6 completed passesNisbet: 4 completed passes1654311727231015MaceyMcGinnPorteousHanlonDoigNewellMagennisCaddenAllanBoyleNisbetStarters until 46' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

St. Johnstone

Muller and Craig: 3 passesMuller and O'Halloran: 3 passesMcCart and Kane: 3 passesBooth and Craig: 3 passesWotherspoon and Crawford: 3 passesClark and McCart: 4 passesClark and Rooney: 4 passesRooney and Craig: 4 passesRooney and O'Halloran: 4 passesWotherspoon and Craig: 4 passesWotherspoon and O'Halloran: 4 passesCraig and Kane: 4 passesRooney and Wotherspoon: 5 passesRooney and Crawford: 5 passesBooth and Crawford: 5 passesBooth and O'Halloran: 5 passesBooth and Kane: 5 passesCraig and Crawford: 5 passesMcCart and Crawford: 6 passesMcCart and Craig: 7 passesMuller and Rooney: 9 passesMcCart and Booth: 9 passesBooth and Wotherspoon: 9 passesClark: 11 completed passesMuller: 10 completed passesMcCart: 19 completed passesRooney: 16 completed passesBooth: 20 completed passesWotherspoon: 15 completed passesCraig: 26 completed passesCrawford: 14 completed passesO'Halloran: 7 completed passesKane: 3 completed passes11641924102621119ClarkMullerMcCartRooneyBoothWotherspoonCraigCrawfordO'HalloranKaneStarters until 68' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Hibernian

FromToPasses
PorteousMcGinn13
McGinnPorteous13
CaddenMcGinn12
PorteousHanlon12
McGinnCadden11

St. Johnstone

FromToPasses
RooneyWotherspoon7
BoothKane6
McCartBooth6
BoothCrawford6
WotherspoonO'Halloran6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Hibernian

3−1.82−3.710−1.011+6.27+2.34−1.84−3.88+2.24−4.05−0.56+0.73−3.00−4.34−2.55+1.07+3.75+2.73+1.23−0.81−3.03+0.80−1.50−1.22+1.32+0.31−0.200.02+1.00−0.22+1.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

St. Johnstone

11+5.24−1.019+9.06+0.87+1.89+1.85−2.33−3.05−1.712+4.02−5.87+1.72−1.55−1.55−0.74+0.34+0.30−2.80−1.82−2.82−0.70−2.21+0.71−0.80−2.32+0.32+1.710.01+0.52+1.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 6 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Hibernian

0.010.020.010.010.010.020.030.030.050.030.060.010.09−0.010.050.040.02−0.020.060.05−0.010.080.080.28LessMore

St. Johnstone

0.010.050.010.010.010.050.020.020.040.070.010.030.030.030.010.020.040.030.020.01−0.01−0.08−0.01−0.010.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHibernian1.30 → 1.31St. Johnstone0.98 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)Hibernian0.99 → 0.97St. Johnstone1.00 → 1.01

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Hibernian
Title2%2%0
Top six94%97%+3
St. Johnstone
Top six47%41%−6
11th3%4%+1
Bottom1%1%0

From the forecast before the match (26 September 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Expected goals1.320.79
Win49%22%
Expected Points1.760.95
Clean sheet46%27%

Hibernian 49%Draw 30%St. Johnstone 22%

Most likely score 1–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

St. Johnstone goalsHibernian goals0123456+0123456+9%4%1%5%1%11%8%3%5%4%1%2%1%13%15%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 September 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowHibernian winDrawSt. Johnstone win
Hibernian
Title2%2%1%1%
Top six94%97%93%88%
St. Johnstone
Top six47%41%48%61%
11th3%4%3%1%
Bottom1%1%1%<1%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Hibernian

  1. D2–218 SepSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.10–0.82
  2. D0–012 SepHearts (A)xG 1.09–1.23
  3. W2–028 AugLivingston (H)xG 1.05–0.63
  4. D2–222 AugDundee FC (A)xG 2.47–0.76
  5. W3–08 AugRoss County (H)xG 1.62–0.48
  6. W3–21 AugMotherwell (A)xG 2.88–1.47

St. Johnstone

  1. W1–018 SepAberdeen (A)xG 0.31–0.55
  2. L1–211 SepRangers (H)xG 0.65–1.22
  3. D0–029 AugSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.81–1.72
  4. L0–122 AugDundee United (H)xG 0.85–1.36
  5. D1–18 AugMotherwell (H)xG 0.80–1.67
  6. D0–031 JulRoss County (A)xG 1.68–0.31

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

HibernianSt. Johnstone
Position4th9th
Played66
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠3–⁠01–⁠3–⁠2
Points12 (2.00 per game)6 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game2.051.10
Goals12–⁠63–⁠4
xG per game1.87–⁠0.900.85–⁠1.14
Home: points, xG per game2.33, 1.59–⁠0.640.33, 0.77–⁠1.42
Away: points, xG per game1.67, 2.15–⁠1.151.67, 0.93–⁠0.86
ManagerJack Ross (44)Callum Davidson (44)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.14AttackHibernian1.30, 3rdSt. Johnstone0.98, 7thDefence (lower is better)Hibernian0.99, 4thSt. Johnstone1.00, 5th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepHibernian attack: 1.30St. Johnstone attack: 0.981.300.98St. JohnstoneHibernianDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepHibernian defence: 0.99St. Johnstone defence: 1.001.000.99

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

HibernianSt. Johnstone
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+49%−35%−30%−46%
Counter-attacks+98%+98%−100%+78%
Set pieces−32%average−41%+67%
Penalties+233%−100%+11%+11%
Headers−35%+38%−71%−3%
Left side+31%−26%+8%−58%
Centre+32%−19%−55%+37%
Right side+27%−15%−42%−62%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Hibernian attacking

Hibernian createdSt. Johnstone concededLeft side+31%−62%Centre+32%+37%Right side+27%−58%Open play+49%−46%Counter-attacks+98%+78%Set pieces−32%+67%Headers−35%−3%

St. Johnstone attacking

St. Johnstone createdHibernian concededLeft side+8%−15%Centre−55%−19%Right side−42%−26%Open play−30%−35%Counter-attacks−100%+98%Set pieces−41%averageHeaders−71%+38%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

HibernianSt. Johnstone

1.87xG0.85
0.90xG against1.14
56%Possession46%
15.5Shots11.2
10.5Shots against9.0
4.8Shots on target2.7
2.2Big chances0.7
18.0Touches in the opposition box30.0
416Passes328
76%Pass accuracy63%
6.0Corners5.3
59%Field tilt51%
40.1Final-third entries28.5
14.3Box entries9.0
14.6Passes per defensive action13.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Hibernian

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level481.711.10
Ahead301.340.90
Behind123.750.11

St. Johnstone

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level730.840.95
Ahead101.053.33
Behind70.680.02

xG by period

Hibernian

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.180–2
16–300.290.113–1
31–450.260.082–1
46–600.430.104–0
61–750.460.242–0
76–900.320.181–2

St. Johnstone

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.110–0
16–300.080.200–0
31–450.050.171–0
46–600.150.411–2
61–750.270.060–0
76–900.230.171–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Hibernian

GKRBCBCBLBDMDMRWAMLWSTMacey 6McGinn 5Cadden 1Porteous 6Hanlon 4McGregor 2Doig 5Stevenson 1Doyle-Hayes 4Magennis 2Cadden 1Newell 3Gogic 2Boyle 5McGinn 1Magennis 4Newell 1Scott 1Murphy 4Nisbet 1Scott 1Nisbet 3Boyle 1Scott 14-2-3-1 in 5 of 6 starts

Formations: 4-2-3-1 (5), 3-4-1-2 (1)

St. Johnstone

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTClark 6Muller 4Brown 2Kerr 3Gordon 2Ambrose 1McCart 6Rooney 6McCann 4Wotherspoon 2Craig 3Middleton 1Davidson 1Booth 3Devine 3Davidson 2Middleton 2Hendry 2Wotherspoon 3Kane 2May 3O'Halloran 2Kane 13-4-2-1 in 2 of 6 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 3-4-3 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
1 May 2021Hibernian0–1St. JohnstonexG 1.08–0.73
6 March 2021St. Johnstone1–0HibernianxG 0.29–1.03
24 November 2020Hibernian2–2St. JohnstonexG 1.56–1.02
23 August 2020St. Johnstone0–1HibernianxG 0.52–1.53

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Hibernian won 1, St. Johnstone won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 3–4 and xG 1.30–0.64 per game.

Key players

Hibernian

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyle6521500.560.29
Magennis6534210.260.16
McGinn6499120.040.10
Doig5450010.010.09

St. Johnstone

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Rooney6540000.030.10
McCart6540000.000.03
Clark6540000.000.00

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.