Saturday 13 February 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 29 · Half-time 2–0
Dundee United Sporle 1', Shankland 35', 83' · Pawlett sent off 31'
Livingston Fitzwater sent off 61'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Dundee United
Livingston
Goals
3
0
xG
1.93
0.93
Expected Points
2.11
0.66
Dundee United 63%Draw 23%Livingston 14%
Most likely score 2–1, 13%. Final score 3–0, 7%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
Dundee UnitedLivingston
1.93 +1.03xG0.93 −0.27
2.70 +1.86xG on target1.56 +0.49
11 +1.5Shots13 +2.9
6 +3.2Shots on target9 +6.1
4 +2.9Big chances1 −0.6
20 +6Touches in the opposition box20 +2
38% −10Possession62% +14
270 −103Passes431 +89
48% −18Pass accuracy63% +2
27% −13Field tilt73% +23
17 −15Final-third entries41 +8
11 +2.7Box entries9 +0.7
17.8 +3Passes per defensive action8.9 −4
3 −1.2Corners4 −0.9
12 −2Tackles19 +3
12 0Interceptions9 −3
28 +4Clearances15 −3
9 +5.6Saves2 0.0
11 −2Fouls12 −2
3 +1.6Offsides3 +1.0
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Dundee United
Livingston
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
1'35'83'
1–02–03–0
0'HTFT
Level
1 min (1%) · Dundee United 0.46, Livingston 0.00 xG
Dundee United ahead
89 min (99%) · Dundee United 1.47, Livingston 0.93 xG
Line-ups
Dundee United substitutes
34'Harkes for Sporle · 1 assist
78'McNulty for Appere
Livingston substitutes
12'Emmanuel-Thomas for Robinson
64'Kabia for Sibbald
64'Poplatnik for Pittman
71'Lawson for Bartley
Players
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
3
1
Smith
RB
90
0.00
0.01
1
0.04
3
8
Edwards
CB
90
0.05
0.00
0
0.01
1
11
Reynolds
CB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
3
11
Robson
LB
90
1
0.00
0.10
2
0.24
7
5
Fuchs
DM
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.00
1
5
Butcher
DM
90
0.04
0.08
0
0.10
5
6
Appere
RW
78
0.06
0.00
0
0.03
2
3
Pawlett
AM
31
0.00
0.04
1
0.01
1
0
Sporle
LW
34
1
0.46
0.08
1
0.00
0
1
Shankland
ST
90
2
1.24
0.06
1
0.11
2
2
Harkes
MF
56
1
0.08
0.19
1
0.12
6
1
McNulty
FW
12
0.00
0.01
0
−0.03
0
0
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.05
5
3
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.06
5
9
Fitzwater
CB
61
0.08
0.01
0
0.07
5
3
Guthrie
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
5
10
Serrano
LB
90
0.07
0.04
2
0.20
6
4
Pittman
CM
64
0.12
0.00
0
−0.01
0
0
Bartley
CM
71
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
1
4
Holt
CM
90
0.03
0.07
1
0.09
9
6
Mullin
RW
90
0.00
0.21
3
0.17
5
0
Robinson
ST
12
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
0
Sibbald
LW
64
0.04
0.05
1
0.03
2
2
Emmanuel-Thomas
FW
78
0.20
0.08
1
0.00
1
1
Kabia
MF
26
0.26
0.01
1
−0.01
1
2
Poplatnik
FW
26
0.13
0.01
0
−0.02
0
1
Lawson
MF
19
0.00
0.01
1
0.01
2
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Smith
Fuchs
9
Reynolds
Shankland
5
Robson
Harkes
5
Robson
Shankland
5
Harkes
Butcher
5
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Serrano
Holt
10
Holt
Mullin
10
Devlin
Mullin
10
Holt
Serrano
10
Devlin
Stryjek
9
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Dundee United
Against its average of 28 matches
Livingston
Against its average of 27 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Dundee United
Livingston
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Dundee United
Top six
2%
6%
+4
11th
5%
1%
−4
Bottom
1%
<1%
−1
Livingston
Top six
99%
98%
−1
From the forecast before the match (13 February 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Dundee United
Livingston
Expected goals
0.84
1.35
Win
23%
48%
Expected Points
0.98
1.73
Clean sheet
26%
43%
Dundee United 23%Draw 29%Livingston 48%
Most likely score 0–1, 14%. Both sides score 43%.
From the forecast as it stood on 13 February 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Dundee United win
Draw
Livingston win
Dundee United
Top six
2%
6%
2%
1%
11th
5%
1%
4%
7%
Bottom
1%
<1%
<1%
1%
Livingston
Top six
99%
98%
>99%
>99%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Dundee United
Livingston
Position
7th
5th
Played
28
27
Won, drawn, lost
7–10–11
11–6–10
Points
31 (1.11 per game)
39 (1.44 per game)
Expected Points per game
0.96
1.42
Goals
23–38
35–31
xG per game
0.90–1.52
1.20–1.09
Home: points, xG per game
1.14, 0.89–1.62
1.29, 1.08–1.31
Away: points, xG per game
1.07, 0.91–1.42
1.62, 1.34–0.84
Manager
Micky Mellon (28)
David Martindale (12)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Dundee United
Livingston
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−27%
+25%
−3%
−27%
Counter-attacks
+61%
+99%
−100%
−33%
Set pieces
−35%
+19%
+16%
+9%
Penalties
−59%
−38%
−36%
+7%
Headers
−49%
+14%
+16%
+4%
Left side
average
+30%
−13%
−35%
Centre
−41%
+13%
+14%
−10%
Right side
−23%
+46%
−19%
−11%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft sideaverage−11%Centre−41%−10%Right side−23%−35%Open play−27%−27%Counter-attacks+61%−33%Set pieces−35%+9%Headers−49%+4%
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−13%+46%Centre+14%+13%Right side−19%+30%Open play−3%+25%Counter-attacks−100%+99%Set pieces+16%+19%Headers+16%+14%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
Dundee UnitedLivingston
0.90xG1.20
1.52xG against1.09
48%Possession48%
9.5Shots10.1
15.5Shots against9.4
2.8Shots on target2.9
1.1Big chances1.6
14.1Touches in the opposition box17.5
373Passes342
66%Pass accuracy61%
4.2Corners4.9
40%Field tilt50%
31.8Final-third entries32.5
8.3Box entries8.3
15.2Passes per defensive action12.6
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
49
0.74
1.28
Ahead
16
1.14
1.33
Behind
26
1.06
2.08
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
49
1.03
0.97
Ahead
17
1.22
0.95
Behind
24
1.53
1.41
xG by period
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.13
0.15
3–3
16–30
0.19
0.20
4–9
31–45
0.11
0.30
3–7
46–60
0.17
0.22
5–3
61–75
0.07
0.35
1–7
76–90
0.23
0.30
7–9
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.17
0.09
7–2
16–30
0.24
0.23
3–11
31–45
0.11
0.23
2–7
46–60
0.21
0.21
9–9
61–75
0.21
0.13
5–0
76–90
0.27
0.19
9–2
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts