Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–1 Dundee United

Wednesday 27 October 2021, 19:45 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 11 · Half-time 1–1 · Attendance 2,586

Livingston Clark 36' (og) · Williamson sent off 45+1'

Dundee United Pawlett 43'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonDundee United
Goals11
xG0.341.83
Expected Points0.222.64

Livingston 3%Draw 14%Dundee United 83%

Most likely score 0–2, 28%. Final score 1–1, 10%.

Dundee United goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+3%12%3%10%10%4%1%2%25%28%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTWilliamson (Livingston), red card 45+1'Montano on for Anderson, 46'Parkes on for Forrest, 72'Hamilton on for Bailey, 77'Fuchs on for Glass, 60'Chalmers on for Niskanen, 61'Biamou on for Clark, 73'Clark 36' (og)Pawlett 43'Dundee United 1.83Livingston 0.3400.511.520153045607590HTWilliamson (Livingston), red card 45+1'Montano on for Anderson, 46'Parkes on for Forrest, 72'Hamilton on for Bailey, 77'Fuchs on for Glass, 60'Chalmers on for Niskanen, 61'Biamou on for Clark, 73'Clark 36' (og)Pawlett 43'1.830.34LivingstonDundee United

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonDundee United

0.34 −0.39xG1.83 +0.99
0.18 −0.63xG on target1.86 +0.69
9 +0.4Shots15 +5.0
1 −1.9Shots on target3 −1.3
0 −1.0Big chances3 +1.8
15 +5Touches in the opposition box14 −1
33% −6Possession67% +23
260 −24Passes540 +192
58% −3Pass accuracy80% +13
21% −16Field tilt79% +36
26 +4Final-third entries61 +29
7 +0.6Box entries8 +0.5
25.6 +11Passes per defensive action8.1 −6
4 +0.2Corners4 −0.7
8 −10Tackles14 −1
6 −5Interceptions7 −4
23 0Clearances12 −11
2 −1.5Saves1 −1.5
6 −10Fouls13 −1
1 −0.3Offsides1 −0.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Fitzwater 36', 0.07 xGAnderson 6', 0.06 xGObileye 31', 0.06 xGForrest 39', 0.04 xGWilliamson 23', 0.03 xGPittman 39', 0.03 xGFitzwater 40', 0.03 xGMontano 89', 0.01 xGHolt 90+1', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals46%0.16 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals17%0.06 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.06 xG, 0 goals20%0.07 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.07 xG, 0 goals17%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Dundee United

Biamou 83', 0.37 xGClark 13', 0.10 xGEdwards 45+3', 0.10 xGPawlett 1', 0.08 xGGlass 24', 0.08 xGGlass 58', 0.04 xGChalmers 87', 0.03 xGLevitt 62', 0.02 xGClark 72', 0.02 xGMulgrew 73', 0.02 xGMulgrew 75', 0.02 xGLevitt 78', 0.02 xGMulgrew 89', 0.02 xGGlass 32', 0.01 xGPawlett 43', 0.90 xG, goal54%0.98 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.98 xG, 1 goal31%0.57 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.57 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals12%0.22 xGEdge of the box: 6 shots, 0.22 xG, 0 goals3%0.06 xGFurther out: 4 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonDundee United

0.20 5 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.71 13 shots, 1 goal
0.14 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.12 2 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
89 min (93%) · Livingston 0.17, Dundee United 0.93 xG
Livingston ahead
7 min (7%) · Livingston 0.17, Dundee United 0.90 xG

Line-ups

32256241812148179StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeKellyHoltWilliamsonBaileyPittmanForrestAndersonYellow cardSent off77'72'46'Livingston 4-2-3-1David Martindale122124338192123710SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannPawlettLevittGlassHarkesNiskanenClarkYellow cardYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow cardOwn goal60'61'73'Dundee United 4-5-1Tam Courts

Livingston substitutes

  • 46' Montano for Anderson
  • 72' Parkes for Forrest
  • 77' Hamilton for Bailey

Dundee United substitutes

  • 60' Fuchs for Glass
  • 61' Chalmers for Niskanen
  • 73' Biamou for Clark

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0560
DevlinRB900.000.0710.1193
Fitzwater CB900.090.0000.0338
ObileyeCB900.060.0110.0778
KellyLB900.000.0900.0778
HoltDM900.010.0210.0542
Williamson DM450.030.0200.0111
BaileyRW770.000.0820.0722
PittmanAM900.030.0000.0211
ForrestLW720.040.041−0.0110
AndersonST460.060.010−0.0411
MontanoFW440.010.0000.0103
ParkesDF180.000.0000.0002
HamiltonFW130.000.0000.0001

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0120
FreemanRB900.000.0300.0121
EdwardsCB900.100.0100.0716
Mulgrew CB900.050.4110.36149
McMann LB900.000.1110.2485
PawlettRM9010.980.072−0.0422
LevittCM900.040.1620.15105
GlassCM600.130.0300.0121
Harkes CM900.000.0910.0864
Niskanen LM6110.000.6110.1321
ClarkST730.130.0500.0911
FuchsMF300.000.0310.0201
ChalmersFW290.030.3830.3190
BiamouFW170.370.0000.0001

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Fitzwater: 3 passesObileye and Kelly: 3 passesObileye and Bailey: 3 passesObileye and Pittman: 3 passesFitzwater and Holt: 3 passesWilliamson and Anderson: 3 passesHolt and Pittman: 3 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 4 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 4 passesKelly and Williamson: 4 passesStryjek and Kelly: 5 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesKelly and Anderson: 5 passesKelly and Forrest: 6 passesObileye and Holt: 7 passesDevlin and Bailey: 9 passesStryjek: 7 completed passesDevlin: 13 completed passesObileye: 13 completed passesFitzwater: 10 completed passesKelly: 15 completed passesWilliamson: 7 completed passesHolt: 12 completed passesBailey: 10 completed passesPittman: 8 completed passesForrest: 7 completed passesAnderson: 6 completed passes32265241218148179StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterKellyWilliamsonHoltBaileyPittmanForrestAndersonStarters until 45+1' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Dundee United

Edwards and Harkes: 5 passesPawlett and Clark: 5 passesFreeman and Glass: 6 passesFreeman and Clark: 6 passesEdwards and Pawlett: 6 passesMulgrew and Clark: 6 passesPawlett and Levitt: 6 passesHarkes and Glass: 6 passesLevitt and Clark: 6 passesMcMann and Clark: 7 passesPawlett and Harkes: 7 passesGlass and Levitt: 7 passesFreeman and Harkes: 10 passesMcMann and Niskanen: 10 passesHarkes and Levitt: 10 passesFreeman and Levitt: 11 passesMulgrew and McMann: 12 passesMulgrew and Harkes: 12 passesMulgrew and Levitt: 12 passesSiegrist and Edwards: 13 passesFreeman and Edwards: 13 passesMcMann and Glass: 14 passesMcMann and Levitt: 14 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 15 passesEdwards and Levitt: 15 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 16 passesSiegrist: 15 completed passesFreeman: 36 completed passesEdwards: 36 completed passesMulgrew: 35 completed passesMcMann: 33 completed passesPawlett: 21 completed passesHarkes: 28 completed passesGlass: 20 completed passesLevitt: 47 completed passesNiskanen: 12 completed passesClark: 16 completed passes122124338232119710SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannPawlettHarkesGlassLevittNiskanenClarkStarters until 60' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
KellyForrest6
DevlinBailey6
HoltObileye6
StryjekKelly5
KellyAnderson5

Dundee United

FromToPasses
LevittMcMann15
MulgrewLevitt14
McMannMulgrew13
EdwardsMulgrew13
FreemanEdwards12

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

4−1.49+2.117+1.29+1.19+3.77−1.513+4.47+1.12−2.53−0.77+1.910+3.82−2.33+0.520.01−1.54−0.10−2.43+1.91−0.51−1.31−1.01−0.70−0.52+1.40−0.52+0.92−5.23−5.92−4.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Dundee United

4−0.34−1.19+0.78+0.34−2.64−1.06+0.37−0.15−3.15−0.16+1.13−1.25−1.53−3.56+1.47+3.630.06+3.43−0.71−1.80−1.53+1.71−0.54+1.22+1.10−0.31+0.31+0.51+0.17−12.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 10 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.010.040.020.030.040.020.050.030.010.02−0.01−0.010.08−0.010.01−0.01−0.02−0.100.110.09LessMore

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.020.020.040.010.030.070.050.030.020.040.040.090.080.060.030.140.02−0.01−0.050.150.150.230.18LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.96Dundee United0.90 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.28 → 1.31Dundee United1.25 → 1.24

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six16%13%−3
11th14%14%0
Bottom5%6%+1
Dundee United
Top six64%64%0
11th2%2%0
Dundee FC
11th31%30%−1
Bottom33%34%+1
Ross County
11th27%27%0
Bottom54%53%−1

From the forecast before the match (27 October 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonDundee United
Expected goals1.170.93
Win41%28%
Expected Points1.531.16
Clean sheet40%31%

Livingston 41%Draw 31%Dundee United 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Dundee United goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%1%1%13%11%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 27 October 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawDundee United win
Livingston
Top six16%24%13%8%
11th14%10%14%18%
Bottom5%3%6%8%
Dundee United
Top six64%56%64%74%
11th2%3%2%1%
Dundee FC
11th31%34%30%30%
Bottom33%33%34%33%
Ross County
11th27%26%27%27%
Bottom54%56%53%53%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. W3–223 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.57–2.11
  2. W3–016 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.55–1.45
  3. L0–12 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–0.77
  4. L0–325 SepHearts (A)xG 0.12–2.43
  5. W1–019 SepCeltic (H)xG 0.62–1.24
  6. D0–011 SepDundee FC (A)xG 0.44–1.08

Dundee United

  1. W2–123 OctMotherwell (H)xG 0.83–1.38
  2. W3–016 OctHibernian (A)xG 0.73–0.41
  3. W1–02 OctRoss County (H)xG 1.26–0.90
  4. D1–126 SepCeltic (A)xG 0.98–2.65
  5. W1–019 SepDundee FC (H)xG 0.72–0.84
  6. D0–011 SepSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.20–0.72

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonDundee United
Position9th3rd
Played1010
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠1–⁠66–⁠2–⁠2
Points10 (1.00 per game)20 (2.00 per game)
Expected Points per game0.861.14
Goals9–⁠1510–⁠6
xG per game0.73–⁠1.470.84–⁠1.15
Home: points, xG per game0.75, 0.98–⁠1.192.40, 0.75–⁠1.24
Away: points, xG per game1.17, 0.56–⁠1.661.60, 0.94–⁠1.06
ManagerDavid Martindale (33)Tam Courts (10)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.17AttackLivingston0.96, 10thDundee United0.90, 11thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.28, 8thDundee United1.25, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctLivingston attack: 0.96Dundee United attack: 0.900.960.90Dundee UnitedLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctLivingston defence: 1.28Dundee United defence: 1.251.281.25

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonDundee United
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−42%+4%−22%−19%
Counter-attacks+35%−39%+105%−39%
Set pieces−19%+50%−41%+24%
Penalties−100%+80%−100%+20%
Headers−29%+19%−14%+38%
Left side−18%−15%−15%+1%
Centre−32%+11%−8%+5%
Right side−49%+51%−57%−46%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−18%−46%Centre−32%+5%Right side−49%+1%Open play−42%−19%Counter-attacks+35%−39%Set pieces−19%+24%Headers−29%+38%

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side−15%+51%Centre−8%+11%Right side−57%−15%Open play−22%+4%Counter-attacks+105%−39%Set pieces−41%+50%Headers−14%+19%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonDundee United

0.73xG0.84
1.47xG against1.15
39%Possession44%
8.6Shots10.0
14.5Shots against12.7
2.9Shots on target4.3
1.0Big chances1.2
10.0Touches in the opposition box14.7
284Passes348
60%Pass accuracy68%
3.8Corners4.7
37%Field tilt44%
21.5Final-third entries32.2
6.4Box entries7.5
14.7Passes per defensive action14.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level420.690.98
Ahead200.771.85
Behind280.741.94

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level570.911.27
Ahead220.621.18
Behind110.920.44

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.110.171–2
16–300.060.192–2
31–450.230.194–1
46–600.050.230–3
61–750.180.301–2
76–900.090.381–5

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.170–0
16–300.120.161–2
31–450.220.243–1
46–600.170.122–1
61–750.180.232–1
76–900.080.232–1

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 10Devlin 8McMillan 2Obileye 10Fitzwater 10Penrice 4Longridge 4Kelly 1Pittman 5Bailey 2Williamson 2Holt 10Omeonga 3Penrice 3Sibbald 3Bailey 3Forrest 2McMillan 2Anderson 7Shinnie 3Forrest 4Montano 2Lewis 24-3-3 in 4 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 7Carson 3Smith 5Freeman 4Smith 1Edwards 9Smith 1Mulgrew 9Reynolds 1McMann 6Robson 4Pawlett 4Niskanen 2Edwards 1Fuchs 9Levitt 4Butcher 4Clark 3Harkes 8Pawlett 4Niskanen 4Sporle 2Clark 5McNulty 4Shankland 14-5-1 in 3 of 10 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (3), 4-3-3 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-4-1-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
13 February 2021Dundee United3–0LivingstonxG 1.93–0.93
5 December 2020Livingston2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.20–0.42
2 October 2020Dundee United1–2LivingstonxG 0.06–3.09

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 2, Dundee United won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 4–4 and xG 1.74–0.80 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson7560330.180.13
Pittman5480110.260.02
Forrest6583110.110.12
Bailey6546200.130.05

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pawlett9748100.070.20
Harkes8757220.190.05
Niskanen6464120.130.11
Mulgrew9810110.100.10

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.