Saturday 5 December 2020, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 16 · Half-time 0–0
Livingston Pittman 57', Bartley 73'
Post-match
Result and Expected Points
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Goals
2
0
xG
1.20
0.42
Expected Points
2.08
0.61
Livingston 59%Draw 31%Dundee United 10%
Most likely score 1–0, 29%. Final score 2–0, 15%.
Own goals have no xG.
xG race
Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.
Match stats
LivingstonDundee United
1.20 −0.07xG0.42 −0.52
1.57 +0.54xG on target0.42 −0.38
11 +0.7Shots7 −2.3
4 +1.3Shots on target2 −0.4
1 −0.5Big chances0 −1.2
25 +5.9Touches in the opposition box6 −3.1
50% +1Possession50% +2
364 +10Passes379 +14
61% −1Pass accuracy60% −7
58% +6Field tilt42% +3
34 −2Final-third entries21 −10
6 −3.4Box entries3 −4.4
8.4 −4Passes per defensive action15.9 +1
6 +0.8Corners2 −2.6
20 +3Tackles10 −4
15 +4Interceptions7 −4
11 −8Clearances18 −8
2 −0.1Saves2 −1.2
11 −4Fouls12 −1
3 +1.3Offsides2 +0.5
The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.
Chance locations
Livingston
Dundee United
Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.
xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.
Game state
57'73'
0–01–02–0
0'HTFT
Level
58 min (63%) · Livingston 0.15, Dundee United 0.26 xG
Livingston ahead
34 min (37%) · Livingston 1.04, Dundee United 0.16 xG
Line-ups
Livingston substitutes
72'Emmanuel-Thomas for Poplatnik
86'Robinson for Sibbald · yellow card 87'
90'Brown for Forrest
Dundee United substitutes
67'Appere for Powers
Players
Livingston
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Stryjek
GK
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.06
5
1
Devlin
RB
90
0.00
0.02
1
0.03
2
3
Fitzwater
CB
90
0.08
0.01
1
0.07
8
6
Guthrie
CB
90
0.11
0.01
0
−0.01
4
5
Serrano
LB
90
0.00
0.03
2
0.18
13
6
Bartley
DM
90
1
0.69
0.02
0
0.00
2
7
Sibbald
DM
86
0.05
0.01
0
0.03
5
3
Mullin
RW
90
0.06
0.31
1
−0.04
2
2
Pittman
AM
90
1
0.03
0.00
0
0.01
2
6
Forrest
LW
90
0.03
0.04
1
−0.05
4
6
Poplatnik
ST
72
1
0.00
0.06
2
−0.03
1
2
Emmanuel-Thomas
FW
18
0.15
0.01
0
0.03
1
1
Robinson
MF
4
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
0
1
Brown
DF
0
0.00
0.00
0
–
–
0
Dundee United
Player
Pos
Min
G
A
xG
xA
KP
xT
Prog
Def
Siegrist
GK
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
2
1
Connolly
CB
90
0.05
0.00
0
0.02
4
7
Edwards
CB
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.03
5
8
Reynolds
CB
90
0.00
0.01
0
0.09
8
4
Smith
RWB
90
0.00
0.03
0
0.05
5
2
Fuchs
CM
90
0.00
0.02
0
0.01
3
3
Powers
CM
67
0.00
0.01
0
0.02
1
5
Harkes
CM
90
0.14
0.10
0
−0.01
2
4
Sporle
LWB
90
0.09
0.21
3
0.10
3
1
McNulty
ST
90
0.00
0.00
0
0.00
2
1
Shankland
ST
90
0.14
0.02
1
0.00
1
2
Appere
FW
23
0.00
0.00
0
0.01
1
1
Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.
Pass networks
Livingston
Dundee United
Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.
Passing combinations
Livingston
From
To
Passes
Forrest
Serrano
10
Devlin
Fitzwater
10
Serrano
Guthrie
8
Stryjek
Serrano
8
Devlin
Mullin
7
Dundee United
From
To
Passes
Reynolds
Shankland
10
Siegrist
Reynolds
7
Connolly
Smith
7
Smith
Harkes
7
Reynolds
Sporle
7
The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.
Defensive actions
Livingston
Against its average of 15 matches
Dundee United
Against its average of 15 matches
Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.
Threat
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.
Ratings
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.
League probabilities
Chance
Before
With this result
Change
Livingston
Top six
14%
20%
+6
11th
11%
8%
−3
Bottom
5%
3%
−2
Dundee United
Top six
31%
24%
−7
11th
6%
9%
+3
Bottom
1%
2%
+1
Motherwell
Top six
49%
50%
+1
11th
4%
4%
0
From the forecast before the match (5 December 2020): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.
Pre-match
As things stood before kick-off.
Forecast
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Expected goals
1.26
0.92
Win
44%
26%
Expected Points
1.61
1.09
Clean sheet
40%
28%
Livingston 44%Draw 30%Dundee United 26%
Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 44%.
From the forecast as it stood on 5 December 2020: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.
League probabilities by result
Chance
Now
Livingston win
Draw
Dundee United win
Livingston
Top six
14%
20%
12%
7%
11th
11%
8%
13%
16%
Bottom
5%
3%
5%
7%
Dundee United
Top six
31%
24%
30%
45%
11th
6%
9%
6%
2%
Bottom
1%
2%
1%
<1%
Motherwell
Top six
49%
50%
52%
46%
11th
4%
4%
3%
4%
Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.
The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.
Season to date
Measure
Livingston
Dundee United
Position
10th
5th
Played
15
15
Won, drawn, lost
3–3–9
5–5–5
Points
12 (0.80 per game)
20 (1.33 per game)
Expected Points per game
1.34
1.05
Goals
14–24
12–18
xG per game
1.27–1.24
0.94–1.49
Home: points, xG per game
0.88, 1.06–1.41
1.38, 0.98–1.51
Away: points, xG per game
0.71, 1.51–1.05
1.29, 0.90–1.47
Manager
David Martindale (0)
Micky Mellon (15)
League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.
Ratings
This season
The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.
Strengths and weaknesses
Chances
Livingston
Dundee United
Created
Conceded
Created
Conceded
Open play
−1%
−20%
−27%
+27%
Counter-attacks
−100%
−65%
+33%
+111%
Set pieces
−2%
+29%
−40%
+3%
Penalties
−11%
−11%
−40%
−70%
Headers
+1%
+17%
−58%
+30%
Left side
−22%
−39%
−8%
+4%
Centre
+18%
+12%
−50%
+15%
Right side
−27%
−7%
−10%
+57%
xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.
Matchups
Livingston attacking
Livingston createdDundee United concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−22%+57%Centre+18%+15%Right side−27%+4%Open play−1%+27%Counter-attacks−100%+111%Set pieces−2%+3%Headers+1%+30%
Dundee United attacking
Dundee United createdLivingston concededBelow averageAboveBelow averageAboveLeft side−8%−7%Centre−50%+12%Right side−10%−39%Open play−27%−20%Counter-attacks+33%−65%Set pieces−40%+29%Headers−58%+17%
Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.
Season averages
LivingstonDundee United
1.27xG0.94
1.24xG against1.49
49%Possession48%
10.3Shots9.3
10.2Shots against14.9
2.7Shots on target2.4
1.5Big chances1.2
19.1Touches in the opposition box9.1
354Passes366
62%Pass accuracy67%
5.2Corners4.6
52%Field tilt39%
35.6Final-third entries31.1
9.4Box entries7.4
12.0Passes per defensive action14.7
Per league match this season before kick-off.
Game state this season
Livingston
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
41
1.08
1.19
Ahead
10
1.09
1.27
Behind
38
1.52
1.29
Dundee United
State
Minutes per game
xG per 90
xG against per 90
Level
54
0.72
1.34
Ahead
23
1.13
1.51
Behind
13
1.57
2.10
xG by period
Livingston
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.20
0.12
3–2
16–30
0.25
0.28
1–9
31–45
0.15
0.29
2–5
46–60
0.20
0.19
3–6
61–75
0.23
0.18
3–0
76–90
0.23
0.18
2–2
Dundee United
Minutes
xG per game
xG against
Goals
1–15
0.14
0.14
2–1
16–30
0.15
0.16
2–2
31–45
0.14
0.30
2–2
46–60
0.22
0.20
3–2
61–75
0.04
0.33
0–5
76–90
0.25
0.35
3–6
Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.
This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.
Digressive Celts