Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Dundee United 0–1 Livingston

Saturday 11 December 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 18 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 4,552

Livingston Obileye 66' (pen)

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Goals01
xG0.871.22
Non-penalty xG0.870.43
Expected Points0.951.71

Dundee United 21%Draw 34%Livingston 46%

Most likely score 1–1, 24%. Final score 0–1, 22%.

Livingston goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+6%10%2%5%9%2%2%9%4%2%1%22%24%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTSporle on for Freeman, 49'Appere on for Clark and Meekison on for Glass, 86'Bailey on for Montano, 52'Pittman on for Omeonga, 56'Shinnie on for Anderson, 62'Obileye 66' (pen)Livingston 1.22Dundee United 0.8700.511.50153045607590HTSporle on for Freeman, 49'Appere on for Clark and Meekison on for Glass, 86'Bailey on for Montano, 52'Pittman on for Omeonga, 56'Shinnie on for Anderson, 62'Obileye 66' (pen)1.220.87Dundee UnitedLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.87 +0.02xG1.22 +0.52
0.87Non-penalty xG0.43
0.16 −1.01xG on target1.06 +0.33
16 +5.8Shots9 +0.8
3 −1.1Shots on target2 −0.9
0 −1.2Big chances1 +0.1
35 +20Touches in the opposition box14 +2
60% +14Possession40% +3
457 +87Passes307 +23
72% +4Pass accuracy61% 0
80% +34Field tilt20% −13
49 +16Final-third entries20 −2
17 +9.8Box entries8 +1.4
14.3 −1Passes per defensive action14.5 −2
3 −1.5Corners1 −2.4
15 +1Tackles20 +4
7 −2.9Interceptions20 +9.5
12 −10Clearances31 +9
1 −1.9Saves3 −0.2
13 0Fouls15 +1
0 −1.6Offsides3 +0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Niskanen 87', 0.20 xGPawlett 69', 0.11 xGHarkes 41', 0.09 xGClark 83', 0.07 xGMulgrew 60', 0.06 xGClark 37', 0.05 xGMulgrew 39', 0.04 xGSporle 88', 0.04 xGNiskanen 9', 0.03 xGNiskanen 10', 0.03 xGGlass 53', 0.03 xGClark 59', 0.03 xGMcMann 80', 0.03 xGNiskanen 22', 0.02 xGSporle 64', 0.02 xGFuchs 36', 0.01 xG3%0.03 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals77%0.67 xGCentral box: 9 shots, 0.67 xG, 0 goals15%0.13 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGEdge of the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals5%0.04 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Forrest 18', 0.11 xGObileye 3', 0.08 xGAnderson 62', 0.06 xGFitzwater 18', 0.05 xGForrest 61', 0.05 xGMontano 5', 0.04 xGBailey 70', 0.03 xGForrest 34', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals30%0.13 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals40%0.17 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.17 xG, 0 goals30%0.13 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.13 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.67 11 shots, 0 goalsOpen play0.30 6 shots, 0 goals
0.20 5 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.13 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsPenalties0.79 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
66 min (73%) · Dundee United 0.42, Livingston 1.19 xG
Livingston ahead
24 min (27%) · Dundee United 0.45, Livingston 0.03 xG

Line-ups

122124332321667810SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannHarkesGlassFuchsNiskanenPawlettClarkYellow cardYellow cardYellow card49'86'86'Dundee United 4-4-1-1Tam Courts322562921183317911StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceMcMillanHoltOmeongaForrestAndersonMontanoYellow cardGoalYellow cardYellow card56'62'52'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Dundee United substitutes

  • 49' Sporle for Freeman
  • 86' Meekison for Glass
  • 86' Appere for Clark

Livingston substitutes

  • 52' Bailey for Montano
  • 56' Pittman for Omeonga
  • 62' Shinnie for Anderson

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
SiegristGK900.000.0000.0220
FreemanRB490.000.0610.1121
Edwards CB900.000.0400.0134
MulgrewCB900.090.0100.0788
McMannLB900.030.0100.10104
HarkesRM900.090.0910.1074
Glass CM860.030.0820.1583
Fuchs CM900.010.0200.09125
NiskanenLM900.280.0700.1333
PawlettAM900.110.3070.0441
ClarkST860.150.0320.0813
SporleDF410.060.1610.2351
MeekisonMF40.000.0000.0101
AppereFW40.000.1320.0820

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0010.0450
Devlin RB900.000.0100.01211
FitzwaterCB900.050.0200.04213
ObileyeCB9010.870.0100.04413
PenriceLB900.000.0110.0135
McMillan CM900.000.010−0.0127
Holt CM900.000.0000.00112
OmeongaCM560.000.0000.0023
ForrestRW900.180.0720.0834
AndersonST620.060.0010.0100
MontanoLW520.040.0210.0123
BaileyMF380.030.0000.0112
PittmanMF340.000.0110.0422
ShinnieFW280.000.0000.0101

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

Edwards and McMann: 5 passesMcMann and Fuchs: 5 passesMcMann and Niskanen: 5 passesFreeman and Glass: 6 passesEdwards and Fuchs: 6 passesHarkes and Fuchs: 6 passesGlass and Niskanen: 6 passesPawlett and Clark: 6 passesSiegrist and Mulgrew: 7 passesFreeman and Pawlett: 7 passesMcMann and Harkes: 7 passesMcMann and Clark: 7 passesHarkes and Pawlett: 7 passesNiskanen and Clark: 7 passesFreeman and Harkes: 8 passesGlass and Clark: 8 passesFuchs and Pawlett: 9 passesEdwards and Mulgrew: 10 passesEdwards and Harkes: 11 passesMulgrew and McMann: 11 passesSiegrist: 11 completed passesFreeman: 14 completed passesEdwards: 26 completed passesMulgrew: 23 completed passesMcMann: 26 completed passesHarkes: 22 completed passesFuchs: 21 completed passesGlass: 17 completed passesNiskanen: 9 completed passesPawlett: 19 completed passesClark: 15 completed passes122124332366217810SiegristFreemanEdwardsMulgrewMcMannHarkesFuchsGlassNiskanenPawlettClarkStarters until 49' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Penrice: 3 passesStryjek and Holt: 3 passesDevlin and McMillan: 3 passesObileye and McMillan: 3 passesPenrice and Forrest: 3 passesHolt and Forrest: 3 passesMcMillan and Forrest: 3 passesStryjek and Obileye: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 4 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 4 passesForrest and Anderson: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 5 passesObileye and Penrice: 5 passesFitzwater and Holt: 5 passesPenrice and Montano: 5 passesHolt and McMillan: 5 passesPenrice and Omeonga: 6 passesPenrice and McMillan: 6 passesForrest and Montano: 6 passesObileye and Holt: 7 passesPenrice and Holt: 8 passesOmeonga and Holt: 8 passesDevlin and Forrest: 9 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 16 passesStryjek: 15 completed passesDevlin: 13 completed passesObileye: 16 completed passesFitzwater: 16 completed passesPenrice: 17 completed passesOmeonga: 10 completed passesHolt: 27 completed passesMcMillan: 14 completed passesForrest: 15 completed passesAnderson: 3 completed passesMontano: 7 completed passes322652933182117911StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterPenriceOmeongaHoltMcMillanForrestAndersonMontanoStarters until 52' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
McMannMulgrew12
EdwardsHarkes11
MulgrewMcMann11
FuchsPawlett9
EdwardsMulgrew9

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterStryjek11
HoltPenrice7
StryjekFitzwater7
DevlinFitzwater6
ForrestDevlin5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

0−4.56+0.25−3.87+0.17+0.73−2.77+1.35−2.711+3.14−1.111+6.45+1.211+4.914+8.17+2.62−1.46+3.54+0.46+2.11−1.72+0.43+1.91−0.44+1.60−1.11+0.71+0.50−0.52+1.16−10.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Livingston

10+5.09+3.220+4.17−0.14−3.19+1.920+12.513+6.511+2.77−2.611+5.012+7.511+7.48+2.813+6.13−1.53+0.52−0.75+1.83−1.32−0.34+3.10−1.41−0.81−0.60−1.60−0.30−0.71+0.62+1.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 17 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.030.010.030.030.020.030.050.030.040.020.010.040.090.040.090.090.080.090.09−0.07−0.010.090.120.14LessMore

Livingston

0.030.010.010.010.010.01−0.010.010.040.010.010.01−0.02−0.010.020.01−0.01−0.010.050.06LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackDundee United0.89 → 0.89Livingston0.92 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.30 → 1.31Livingston1.26 → 1.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Dundee United
Top six52%38%−14
11th3%5%+2
Bottom2%3%+1
Livingston
Top six12%20%+8
11th14%11%−3
Bottom11%6%−5
Motherwell
Top six61%62%+1
11th3%3%0
Dundee FC
Top six7%7%0
11th21%22%+1
Bottom25%27%+2

From the forecast before the match (11 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Expected goals1.070.97
Win37%31%
Expected Points1.421.26
Clean sheet38%34%

Dundee United 37%Draw 32%Livingston 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Livingston goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%7%7%4%1%3%3%1%14%12%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 11 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawLivingston win
Dundee United
Top six52%65%50%38%
11th3%1%3%5%
Bottom2%<1%1%3%
Livingston
Top six12%6%10%20%
11th14%17%15%11%
Bottom11%16%11%6%
Motherwell
Top six61%59%63%62%
11th3%3%2%3%
Dundee FC
Top six7%6%7%7%
11th21%21%21%22%
Bottom25%24%26%27%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–35 DecCeltic (H)xG 0.21–4.36
  2. L0–130 NovMotherwell (A)xG 0.31–1.72
  3. D1–127 NovRoss County (A)xG 0.47–1.53
  4. W1–020 NovAberdeen (H)xG 0.58–0.69
  5. L2–56 NovHearts (A)xG 0.85–2.14
  6. L0–130 OctSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.84–0.33

Livingston

  1. W1–08 DecHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.95
  2. L0–15 DecHearts (H)xG 1.25–1.84
  3. L0–21 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.08–1.18
  4. L1–328 NovRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.70
  5. D1–120 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.76–0.91
  6. D0–030 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.10–1.80

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedLivingston
Position4th9th
Played1717
Won, drawn, lost7–⁠4–⁠64–⁠4–⁠9
Points25 (1.47 per game)16 (0.94 per game)
Expected Points per game1.120.77
Goals15–⁠1813–⁠23
xG per game0.85–⁠1.330.70–⁠1.52
Home: points, xG per game1.88, 0.80–⁠1.450.88, 0.96–⁠1.51
Away: points, xG per game1.11, 0.91–⁠1.231.00, 0.48–⁠1.54
ManagerTam Courts (17)David Martindale (40)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.18AttackDundee United0.89, 11thLivingston0.92, 9thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.30, 8thLivingston1.26, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecDundee United attack: 0.89Livingston attack: 0.920.920.89LivingstonDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecDundee United defence: 1.30Livingston defence: 1.261.301.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−22%+3%−38%+14%
Counter-attacks+18%−15%−26%+28%
Set pieces−38%+32%−38%+14%
Penalties−100%−18%−100%+106%
Headers−13%+27%−44%+8%
Left side−9%+7%−9%+21%
Centre−12%+22%−44%+9%
Right side−60%−15%−50%+21%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdLivingston concededLeft side−9%+21%Centre−12%+9%Right side−60%+21%Open play−22%+14%Counter-attacks+18%+28%Set pieces−38%+14%Headers−13%+8%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdDundee United concededLeft side−9%−15%Centre−44%+22%Right side−50%+7%Open play−38%+3%Counter-attacks−26%−15%Set pieces−38%+32%Headers−44%+27%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedLivingston

0.85xG0.70
1.33xG against1.52
46%Possession37%
10.2Shots8.2
13.5Shots against14.8
4.1Shots on target2.9
1.2Big chances0.9
14.9Touches in the opposition box11.8
370Passes284
68%Pass accuracy61%
4.5Corners3.4
46%Field tilt33%
33.0Final-third entries22.0
7.2Box entries6.6
15.3Passes per defensive action16.6

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level500.811.12
Ahead160.571.34
Behind241.131.76

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level450.641.14
Ahead160.932.08
Behind290.681.79

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.180–1
16–300.110.141–6
31–450.200.345–3
46–600.150.143–2
61–750.160.223–1
76–900.160.303–5

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.090.181–3
16–300.130.224–4
31–450.190.225–2
46–600.040.230–4
61–750.150.221–4
76–900.100.472–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMCMLMSTSiegrist 14Carson 3Freeman 10Smith 5Smith 2Edwards 16Smith 1Mulgrew 16Reynolds 1McMann 12Robson 4Sporle 1Pawlett 9Niskanen 3Chalmers 2Fuchs 13Pawlett 2Levitt 6Butcher 5Clark 4Harkes 15Hoti 2Niskanen 9Pawlett 4Sporle 2Clark 10McNulty 4Appere 24-5-1 in 7 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-5-1 (7), 4-3-3 (3), 4-4-1-1 (2), 4-4-2 (2), 4-1-4-1 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 17Devlin 13McMillan 4Fitzwater 16Obileye 13Parkes 5Penrice 6Longridge 5Kelly 3Pittman 6Bailey 4McMillan 2Holt 17Omeonga 9Shinnie 3Sibbald 3Bailey 5Sibbald 4Forrest 2Anderson 12Shinnie 5Forrest 8Montano 3Bailey 24-3-3 in 5 of 17 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (5), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
27 October 2021Livingston1–1Dundee UnitedxG 0.34–1.83
13 February 2021Dundee United3–0LivingstonxG 1.93–0.93
5 December 2020Livingston2–0Dundee UnitedxG 1.20–0.42
2 October 2020Dundee United1–2LivingstonxG 0.06–3.09

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 1, Livingston won 2, and 1 was a draw. Goals 5–5 and xG 1.06–1.39 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Clark141,203210.200.08
Pawlett151,310200.140.14
Niskanen12924130.070.15
Harkes151,387320.130.06

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest111,021110.210.10
Pittman6593110.210.04
Anderson12886430.150.08
Shinnie9874110.110.09

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.