Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Rangers 3–0 Livingston

Saturday 31 July 2021, 13:30 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 1 · Half-time 1–0 · Attendance 23,000

Rangers Hagi 8', Wright 78', Roofe 90'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersLivingston
Goals30
xG1.840.07
Expected Points2.680.17

Rangers 84%Draw 15%Livingston 1%

Most likely score 2–0, 28%. Final score 3–0, 16%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+13%2%2%16%1%6%2%27%28%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTWright on for Hagi, 31'Lundstram on for Aribo, 64'Roofe on for Sakala, 71'Kabia on for Lewis, 56'Devlin on for Sibbald, 64'Hamilton on for Anderson, 67'Hagi 8'Wright 78'Roofe 90'Rangers 1.84Livingston 0.0700.511.520153045607590HTWright on for Hagi, 31'Lundstram on for Aribo, 64'Roofe on for Sakala, 71'Kabia on for Lewis, 56'Devlin on for Sibbald, 64'Hamilton on for Anderson, 67'Hagi 8'Wright 78'Roofe 90'1.840.07RangersLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersLivingston

1.84xG0.07
3.42xG on target0.00
18Shots2
8Shots on target0
3Big chances0
44Touches in the opposition box2
77%Possession23%
621Passes181
88%Pass accuracy50%
90%Field tilt10%
62Final-third entries11
16Box entries1
11.0Passes per defensive action17.7
7Corners1
8Tackles23
9Interceptions18
6Clearances27
0Saves5
8Fouls14
6Offsides3

Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Kamara 90+2', 0.29 xGKent 59', 0.18 xGTavernier 90', 0.18 xGAribo 9', 0.13 xGLundstram 90+2', 0.10 xGAribo 33', 0.09 xGKent 78', 0.08 xGWright 70', 0.06 xGTavernier 4', 0.05 xGTavernier 88', 0.05 xGGoldson 82', 0.03 xGKent 11', 0.02 xGWright 49', 0.02 xGKent 81', 0.02 xGBassey 83', 0.02 xGRoofe 90', 0.41 xG, goalHagi 8', 0.08 xG, goalWright 78', 0.03 xG, goal43%0.79 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.79 xG, 1 goal29%0.53 xGCentral box: 5 shots, 0.53 xG, 1 goal21%0.38 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.38 xG, 1 goal5%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals3%0.05 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.05 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Hamilton 68', 0.04 xGAnderson 41', 0.03 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals43%0.03 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.03 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals57%0.04 xGEdge of the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersLivingston

1.56 13 shots, 2 goalsOpen play0.07 2 shots, 0 goals
0.28 5 shots, 1 goalSet pieces0.00 0 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (9%) · Rangers 0.13, Livingston 0.00 xG
Rangers ahead
86 min (91%) · Rangers 1.71, Livingston 0.07 xG

Line-ups

332626318101773014McLaughlinTavernierGoldsonBalogunBasseyKamaraDavisAriboHagiSakalaKentGoal64'31'71'Rangers 4-3-3Steven Gerrard322165168181017929StryjekMcMillanObileyeFitzwaterLewisPittmanHoltSibbaldForrestAndersonPenriceYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardYellow card56'64'67'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Rangers substitutes

  • 31' Wright for Hagi · goal 78'
  • 64' Lundstram for Aribo
  • 71' Roofe for Sakala · goal 90'

Livingston substitutes

  • 56' Kabia for Lewis
  • 64' Devlin for Sibbald · yellow card 90+4'
  • 67' Hamilton for Anderson

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McLaughlinGK900.000.0000.0200
TavernierRB9020.280.2830.0391
GoldsonCB900.030.0410.18107
BalogunCB900.000.0000.0934
BasseyLB900.020.1410.1793
KamaraCM900.290.1400.1042
DavisCM900.000.1510.2395
AriboCM640.220.040−0.0620
HagiRW3110.080.061−0.0410
SakalaST710.000.0010.0110
KentLW900.300.0840.1280
WrightFW5910.110.1010.0861
LundstramMF260.100.0310.0531
RoofeFW1910.410.0100.0100

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0220
McMillanRB900.000.0000.0014
ObileyeCB900.000.0000.01213
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.01211
Lewis LB560.000.050−0.0114
PittmanCM900.000.000−0.0104
HoltCM900.000.0000.0125
Sibbald CM640.000.0410.1129
Forrest RW900.000.000−0.0109
AndersonST670.030.0000.0100
Penrice LW900.000.0100.0228
KabiaFW340.000.0110.0212
Devlin DF260.000.0100.0103
HamiltonFW230.040.000−0.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Goldson and Bassey: 3 passesGoldson and Aribo: 3 passesAribo and Hagi: 3 passesDavis and Hagi: 3 passesTavernier and Hagi: 4 passesBalogun and Kent: 4 passesKamara and Aribo: 4 passesTavernier and Davis: 5 passesTavernier and Kent: 5 passesBassey and Davis: 5 passesDavis and Kent: 5 passesMcLaughlin and Balogun: 6 passesBalogun and Bassey: 6 passesTavernier and Goldson: 7 passesTavernier and Kamara: 7 passesBalogun and Aribo: 7 passesGoldson and Kamara: 7 passesBassey and Kent: 7 passesKamara and Hagi: 7 passesKamara and Kent: 7 passesAribo and Davis: 7 passesBalogun and Goldson: 9 passesGoldson and Davis: 9 passesBalogun and Davis: 11 passesKamara and Davis: 13 passesBassey and Aribo: 14 passesMcLaughlin: 9 completed passesTavernier: 16 completed passesBalogun: 26 completed passesGoldson: 22 completed passesBassey: 20 completed passesKamara: 24 completed passesAribo: 18 completed passesDavis: 30 completed passesHagi: 9 completed passesSakala: 2 completed passesKent: 16 completed passes332266318171073014McLaughlinTavernierBalogunGoldsonBasseyKamaraAriboDavisHagiSakalaKentStarters until 31' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and McMillan: 3 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 3 passesSibbald and Penrice: 3 passesHolt and Anderson: 3 passesMcMillan and Forrest: 4 passesObileye and Holt: 4 passesLewis and Penrice: 4 passesFitzwater and Lewis: 5 passesMcMillan and Holt: 6 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 6 passesLewis and Holt: 6 passesSibbald and Anderson: 6 passesStryjek: 8 completed passesMcMillan: 10 completed passesFitzwater: 9 completed passesObileye: 6 completed passesLewis: 11 completed passesPittman: 2 completed passesSibbald: 7 completed passesHolt: 14 completed passesForrest: 2 completed passesAnderson: 3 completed passesPenrice: 4 completed passes322156168101817929StryjekMcMillanFitzwaterObileyeLewisPittmanSibbaldHoltForrestAndersonPenriceStarters until 56' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
BalogunGoldson18
BalogunDavis16
KamaraDavis16
BasseyKent15
BalogunBassey14

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterObileye5
ObileyeFitzwater5
McMillanForrest4
FitzwaterLewis4
LewisHolt4

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

5335444222223231122868776LessMore

Livingston

7667511113514341644151131814LessMore

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.010.010.040.020.020.010.040.080.070.030.040.070.050.030.050.050.030.070.010.050.07−0.150.070.100.12LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.020.010.010.010.03−0.01−0.020.010.020.010.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.90 → 1.89Livingston1.03 → 1.01Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.70 → 0.68Livingston1.21 → 1.23

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title61%65%+4
Livingston
Top six37%34%−3
11th8%8%0
Bottom4%5%+1
Celtic
Title35%32%−3

From the forecast before the match (31 July 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersLivingston
Expected goals2.170.60
Win73%8%
Expected Points2.380.44
Clean sheet55%11%

Rangers 73%Draw 18%Livingston 8%

Most likely score 2–0, 15%. Both sides score 41%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+7%3%1%9%2%9%3%6%2%6%3%1%3%2%1%13%15%11%

From the forecast as it stood on 31 July 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawLivingston win
Rangers
Title61%65%55%49%
Livingston
Top six37%34%44%50%
11th8%8%5%5%
Bottom4%5%3%2%
Celtic
Title35%32%41%46%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. W4–015 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.19–1.98
  2. W3–012 MayLivingston (A)xG 2.44–0.87
  3. W4–12 MayCeltic (H)xG 1.33–2.07
  4. D1–121 AprSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.23–1.93
  5. W2–111 AprHibernian (H)xG 0.58–1.09
  6. D1–121 MarCeltic (A)xG 0.83–1.33

Livingston

  1. D0–015 MaySt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.30–0.22
  2. L0–312 MayRangers (H)xG 0.87–2.44
  3. L1–21 MayAberdeen (H)xG 1.35–1.78
  4. L1–221 AprHibernian (A)xG 1.77–2.31
  5. L0–610 AprCeltic (A)xG 0.79–2.83
  6. D1–120 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.09–0.68

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.90, 1stLivingston1.03, 6thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.70, 1stLivingston1.21, 7th

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+73%−40%−9%−7%
Counter-attacks+51%−33%−93%−33%
Set pieces+20%−39%+5%+3%
Penalties+58%−84%−37%+26%
Headers+46%−21%+4%average
Left side+26%−38%−20%−28%
Centre+71%−34%+5%+1%
Right side+63%−51%−20%+7%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't. Until a side has played six matches its figures are blended with last season's, or with the league average where there is no last season to use.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+26%+7%Centre+71%+1%Right side+63%−28%Open play+73%−7%Counter-attacks+51%−33%Set pieces+20%+3%Headers+46%average

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−20%−51%Centre+5%−34%Right side−20%−38%Open play−9%−40%Counter-attacks−93%−33%Set pieces+5%−39%Headers+4%−21%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
12 May 2021Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.87–2.44
3 March 2021Livingston0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.73
25 October 2020Rangers2–0LivingstonxG 1.39–0.87
16 August 2020Livingston0–0RangersxG 0.07–1.11

4 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 3, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 6–0 and xG 1.92–0.54 per game.