Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Rangers 1–0 Livingston

Wednesday 26 January 2022, 19:45 · Ibrox Stadium · Round 23 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee Don Robertson · Attendance 48,343

Rangers Arfield 75'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

RangersLivingston
Goals10
xG1.510.34
Expected Points2.280.46

Rangers 67%Draw 26%Livingston 7%

Most likely score 1–0, 24%. Final score 1–0, 24%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+15%5%10%1%7%1%9%3%3%1%24%19%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTRoofe on for Itten and Arfield on for Sands, 59'Jack on for Wright, 76'Nouble on for Anderson, 65'Forrest on for Shinnie and McMillan on for Longridge, 76'Chukwuemeka on for Bailey, 80'Arfield 75'Rangers 1.51Livingston 0.3400.511.520153045607590HTRoofe on for Itten and Arfield on for Sands, 59'Jack on for Wright, 76'Nouble on for Anderson, 65'Forrest on for Shinnie and McMillan on for Longridge, 76'Chukwuemeka on for Bailey, 80'Arfield 75'1.510.34RangersLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

RangersLivingston

1.51 −0.45xG0.34 −0.42
0.58 −1.57xG on target0.18 −0.52
18 −1.1Shots6 −2.7
6 −0.7Shots on target2 −0.9
0 −2.4Big chances0 −0.9
52 +17Touches in the opposition box10 −4
70% +6Possession30% −10
579 +27Passes261 −38
85% 0Pass accuracy65% +3
78% +2Field tilt22% −15
49 −8Final-third entries21 −2
28 +8.7Box entries8 +0.5
8.4 −4Passes per defensive action19.9 +4
10 +1.8Corners4 +0.6
19 +6Tackles16 0
8 +1.8Interceptions19 +8.5
8 −6Clearances26 +4
2 +0.2Saves4 +0.8
11 0Fouls9 −5
1 −0.9Offsides2 −0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Rangers

Sakala 39', 0.28 xGSakala 55', 0.20 xGGoldson 42', 0.12 xGWright 45+1', 0.09 xGGoldson 33', 0.08 xGWright 26', 0.07 xGLowry 69', 0.07 xGItten 47', 0.06 xGTavernier 59', 0.06 xGKamara 13', 0.05 xGBarisic 22', 0.05 xGWright 70', 0.05 xGBassey 75', 0.05 xGLowry 3', 0.04 xGSakala 7', 0.04 xGSakala 71', 0.03 xGBarisic 24', 0.02 xGArfield 75', 0.17 xG, goal36%0.54 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 0.54 xG, 1 goal37%0.56 xGCentral box: 6 shots, 0.56 xG, 0 goals14%0.21 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals13%0.20 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.20 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Fitzwater 35', 0.16 xGFitzwater 90+1', 0.09 xGBailey 4', 0.03 xGFitzwater 36', 0.02 xGBailey 50', 0.02 xGShinnie 10', 0.01 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals74%0.25 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.25 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals26%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

RangersLivingston

1.21 14 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.05 2 shots, 0 goals
0.30 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.28 4 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
76 min (83%) · Rangers 1.51, Livingston 0.24 xG
Rangers ahead
16 min (17%) · Rangers 0.00, Livingston 0.09 xG

Line-ups

126331511819231130McGregorTavernierGoldsonBasseyBarisicLowryKamaraSandsWrightIttenSakalaYellow card59'76'59'Rangers 4-3-3Giovanni van Bronckhorst3225638183314922StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyeLongridgePittmanHoltOmeongaBaileyAndersonShinnieYellow cardYellow card76'80'65'76'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale

Rangers substitutes

  • 59' Arfield for Sands · goal 75'
  • 59' Roofe for Itten
  • 76' Jack for Wright

Livingston substitutes

  • 65' Nouble for Anderson
  • 76' McMillan for Longridge
  • 76' Forrest for Shinnie
  • 80' Chukwuemeka for Bailey

Players

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0210
TavernierRB900.060.7640.41106
Goldson CB900.200.0900.20138
BasseyCB900.050.0710.1371
BarisicLB9010.070.2730.37125
LowryCM900.100.0410.0565
KamaraCM900.050.1820.1762
SandsCM590.000.0100.0124
WrightRW760.210.0410.1491
IttenST590.060.030−0.0700
SakalaLW900.540.2640.33104
ArfieldMF3110.170.010−0.0601
RoofeFW310.000.0100.0210
JackMF140.000.0200.0220

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.0541
DevlinRB900.000.0100.00210
FitzwaterCB900.270.0310.2657
ObileyeCB900.000.0010.04411
Longridge LB760.000.0200.0347
PittmanCM900.000.0200.0116
HoltCM900.000.0100.0137
Omeonga CM900.000.0200.0325
BaileyRW800.050.1610.0432
AndersonST650.000.0000.0003
ShinnieLW760.010.010−0.0204
NoubleFW250.000.0310.0011
McMillanMF140.000.0000.0000
ForrestFW140.000.0200.0311
ChukwuemekaFW100.000.0000.0002

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Rangers

Bassey and Kamara: 5 passesGoldson and Wright: 5 passesKamara and Wright: 5 passesTavernier and Kamara: 6 passesTavernier and Sands: 8 passesTavernier and Itten: 8 passesGoldson and Kamara: 8 passesBarisic and Lowry: 11 passesBarisic and Kamara: 12 passesLowry and Sakala: 12 passesBarisic and Sands: 13 passesKamara and Sands: 13 passesKamara and Sakala: 13 passesTavernier and Wright: 14 passesBarisic and Sakala: 15 passesGoldson and Sands: 16 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 17 passesBassey and Sands: 18 passesMcGregor and Bassey: 21 passesBassey and Goldson: 21 passesTavernier and Goldson: 24 passesBassey and Barisic: 26 passesMcGregor: 31 completed passesTavernier: 37 completed passesBassey: 48 completed passesGoldson: 51 completed passesBarisic: 50 completed passesKamara: 38 completed passesSands: 43 completed passesWright: 15 completed passesLowry: 16 completed passesSakala: 23 completed passesItten: 13 completed passes123631181923513011McGregorTavernierBasseyGoldsonBarisicKamaraSandsWrightLowrySakalaIttenStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Devlin: 3 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 3 passesDevlin and Anderson: 3 passesObileye and Omeonga: 3 passesObileye and Shinnie: 3 passesFitzwater and Holt: 3 passesFitzwater and Bailey: 3 passesFitzwater and Shinnie: 3 passesOmeonga and Anderson: 3 passesStryjek and Obileye: 4 passesLongridge and Pittman: 4 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 4 passesHolt and Shinnie: 4 passesDevlin and Fitzwater: 5 passesDevlin and Bailey: 5 passesLongridge and Holt: 5 passesBailey and Shinnie: 5 passesOmeonga and Bailey: 6 passesObileye and Longridge: 7 passesLongridge and Shinnie: 7 passesObileye and Holt: 10 passesObileye and Fitzwater: 14 passesStryjek: 13 completed passesDevlin: 12 completed passesObileye: 22 completed passesFitzwater: 15 completed passesLongridge: 16 completed passesOmeonga: 15 completed passesPittman: 5 completed passesHolt: 17 completed passesBailey: 11 completed passesAnderson: 4 completed passesShinnie: 11 completed passes3226533381814922StryjekDevlinObileyeFitzwaterLongridgeOmeongaPittmanHoltBaileyAndersonShinnieStarters until 65' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonTavernier25
BasseyBarisic20
GoldsonBassey18
McGregorGoldson18
BasseyMcGregor15

Livingston

FromToPasses
ObileyeFitzwater11
FitzwaterObileye9
HoltObileye8
StryjekObileye7
ObileyeLongridge6

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Rangers

5+0.55+1.04−3.83−1.94−1.35−1.38+2.82−2.63−2.59+1.16−0.47+2.83−1.05+0.212+6.410+5.32−1.11−1.56+2.98+4.00−3.31−1.30−1.84+2.32−0.70−0.90−0.40−0.91+0.40−1.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Livingston

8+2.719+13.516+0.25−2.44−2.611+3.411+3.03−3.411+3.04−5.37+0.85+0.14−0.32−3.44−2.85+0.63+0.21−1.83−0.15+0.82−0.53+1.90−1.12+0.41−0.70−1.40−0.40−0.60−0.40−0.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 21 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Rangers

0.010.010.040.010.040.020.030.040.020.050.010.080.060.060.110.120.10−0.020.060.200.180.14−0.060.020.42LessMore

Livingston

0.010.010.040.040.010.020.030.010.030.010.030.040.020.03−0.020.030.02−0.030.060.12LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.89 → 1.85Livingston0.91 → 0.89Defence (lower is better)Rangers0.68 → 0.67Livingston1.23 → 1.19

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Rangers
Title60%63%+3
Livingston
Top six13%11%−2
11th8%8%0
Bottom2%3%+1
Celtic
Title40%37%−3
Hibernian
Top six92%92%0

From the forecast before the match (26 January 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

RangersLivingston
Expected goals2.310.50
Win78%6%
Expected Points2.500.34
Clean sheet61%10%

Rangers 78%Draw 16%Livingston 6%

Most likely score 2–0, 16%. Both sides score 36%.

Livingston goalsRangers goals0123456+0123456+6%3%7%2%8%2%6%2%7%4%3%2%2%14%16%12%

From the forecast as it stood on 26 January 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowRangers winDrawLivingston win
Rangers
Title60%63%51%47%
Livingston
Top six13%11%18%27%
11th8%8%6%2%
Bottom2%3%2%1%
Celtic
Title40%37%49%53%
Hibernian
Top six92%92%92%87%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Rangers

  1. D1–118 JanAberdeen (A)xG 1.03–1.49
  2. W2–026 DecSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.12–0.06
  3. W1–018 DecDundee United (H)xG 2.27–0.33
  4. W2–015 DecSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.90–0.30
  5. W2–012 DecHearts (A)xG 1.86–1.00
  6. W3–04 DecDundee FC (H)xG 2.81–0.44

Livingston

  1. W2–018 JanDundee FC (H)xG 1.27–0.56
  2. L1–226 DecMotherwell (A)xG 0.43–0.92
  3. D1–118 DecRoss County (H)xG 1.00–0.57
  4. W1–011 DecDundee United (A)xG 1.22–0.87
  5. W1–08 DecHibernian (H)xG 1.23–1.95
  6. L0–15 DecHearts (H)xG 1.25–1.84

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

RangersLivingston
Position1st9th
Played2121
Won, drawn, lost16–⁠4–⁠16–⁠5–⁠10
Points52 (2.48 per game)23 (1.10 per game)
Expected Points per game2.220.91
Goals44–⁠1518–⁠26
xG per game1.96–⁠0.650.76–⁠1.37
Home: points, xG per game2.45, 2.08–⁠0.471.10, 0.99–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game2.50, 1.82–⁠0.851.09, 0.54–⁠1.42
ManagerGiovanni van Bronckhorst (8)David Martindale (44)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackRangers1.89, 2ndLivingston0.91, 9thDefence (lower is better)Rangers0.68, 1stLivingston1.23, 7th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRangers attack: 1.89Livingston attack: 0.911.890.91LivingstonRangersDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanRangers defence: 0.68Livingston defence: 1.231.230.68

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

RangersLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play+69%−49%−35%+7%
Counter-attacks+17%−90%−41%+16%
Set pieces+50%−51%−31%+11%
Penalties+78%+7%−64%+78%
Headers+57%−48%−34%+8%
Left side+27%−41%−10%+9%
Centre+50%−57%−41%+3%
Right side+112%−50%−42%+19%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+27%+19%Centre+50%+3%Right side+112%+9%Open play+69%+7%Counter-attacks+17%+16%Set pieces+50%+11%Headers+57%+8%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−10%−50%Centre−41%−57%Right side−42%−41%Open play−35%−49%Counter-attacks−41%−90%Set pieces−31%−51%Headers−34%−48%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

RangersLivingston

1.96xG0.76
0.65xG against1.37
64%Possession40%
19.1Shots8.7
6.6Shots against14.3
6.7Shots on target2.9
2.4Big chances0.9
35.3Touches in the opposition box14.1
552Passes299
84%Pass accuracy62%
8.2Corners3.4
76%Field tilt37%
57.2Final-third entries23.4
19.3Box entries7.5
12.3Passes per defensive action16.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level331.830.66
Ahead451.960.73
Behind112.280.29

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.771.03
Ahead160.781.84
Behind290.721.63

xG by period

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.137–5
16–300.290.098–2
31–450.300.087–1
46–600.340.077–1
61–750.250.155–3
76–900.520.1310–3

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.161–4
16–300.150.184–4
31–450.170.205–3
46–600.060.212–4
61–750.170.212–5
76–900.120.414–6

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 14McLaughlin 6McCrorie 1Tavernier 19Patterson 1Balogun 1Goldson 20Balogun 10Bassey 8Helander 3Barisic 13Bassey 7Patterson 1Aribo 16Hagi 3Davis 9Lundstram 8Arfield 6Kamara 19Sands 1Bacuna 1Hagi 11Roofe 4Aribo 3Morelos 18Sakala 3Kent 13Wright 3Sakala 24-3-3 in 15 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (15), 4-2-3-1 (5), 4-3-1-2 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 21Devlin 16McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 19Obileye 17Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 10Longridge 5Kelly 3Pittman 7Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 21Kelly 1Omeonga 13Shinnie 3Penrice 3Bailey 6Sibbald 6Forrest 3Anderson 14Shinnie 6Forrest 1Forrest 9Montano 4Shinnie 34-3-3 in 8 of 21 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (8), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
28 November 2021Livingston1–3RangersxG 0.94–1.70
31 July 2021Rangers3–0LivingstonxG 1.84–0.07
12 May 2021Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.87–2.44
3 March 2021Livingston0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.73
25 October 2020Rangers2–0LivingstonxG 1.39–0.87
16 August 2020Livingston0–0RangersxG 0.07–1.11

6 league meetings since 2020/21: Rangers won 5, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 12–1 and xG 1.87–0.53 per game.

Key players

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe6646600.870.16
Morelos181,504840.610.18
Sakala6646510.510.20
Wright5576200.300.23

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest141,288110.190.11
Anderson141,078730.220.07
Montano5477000.240.02
Pittman7737110.180.03

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.