Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–3 Rangers

Sunday 28 November 2021, 12:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 15 · Half-time 1–2 · Attendance 8,825

Livingston Anderson 30'

Rangers Arfield 8', Aribo 16', Sakala 78'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonRangers
Goals13
xG0.941.70
Expected Points0.811.91

Livingston 18%Draw 28%Rangers 54%

Most likely score 1–1, 17%. Final score 1–3, 8%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+5%9%9%5%2%7%8%3%3%6%6%3%1%17%14%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTShinnie on for Anderson and Penrice on for McMillan, 59'Kabia on for Bailey, 80'Sakala on for Kent and Patterson on for Hagi, 73'Defoe on for Morelos, 90+2'Anderson 30'Arfield 8'Aribo 16'Sakala 78'Rangers 1.70Livingston 0.9400.511.520153045607590HTShinnie on for Anderson and Penrice on for McMillan, 59'Kabia on for Bailey, 80'Sakala on for Kent and Patterson on for Hagi, 73'Defoe on for Morelos, 90+2'Anderson 30'Arfield 8'Aribo 16'Sakala 78'1.700.94LivingstonRangers

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonRangers

0.94 +0.29xG1.70 −0.27
1.64 +0.94xG on target2.07 −0.07
7 −1.2Shots19 −0.7
4 +1.3Shots on target8 +1.5
2 +1.2Big chances1 −1.2
9 −0.9Touches in the opposition box32 −4.2
28% −9Possession72% +8
280 +4Passes692 +159
66% +6Pass accuracy88% +4
12% −22Field tilt88% +9
24 +3Final-third entries53 −4
4 −2.2Box entries20 +0.8
20.6 +4Passes per defensive action8.5 −5
3 −0.7Corners7 −2.2
13 −3Tackles21 +9
8 −2.8Interceptions3 −3.1
23 0Clearances11 −3
5 +1.9Saves3 +1.5
14 0Fouls12 +1
5 +3.4Offsides1 −0.6

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Forrest 42', 0.55 xGForrest 30', 0.12 xGAnderson 9', 0.04 xGMcMillan 9', 0.04 xGBailey 9', 0.03 xGHolt 87', 0.02 xGAnderson 30', 0.14 xG, goal59%0.55 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.55 xG, 0 goals19%0.18 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.18 xG, 1 goal4%0.04 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals16%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

Rangers

Sakala 76', 0.32 xGArfield 22', 0.13 xGArfield 60', 0.13 xGHagi 48', 0.11 xGHagi 50', 0.09 xGAribo 58', 0.07 xGAribo 27', 0.06 xGMorelos 83', 0.05 xGArfield 90+1', 0.05 xGKent 53', 0.04 xGKent 10', 0.03 xGMorelos 12', 0.03 xGMorelos 39', 0.03 xGArfield 44', 0.03 xGDefoe 90+3', 0.02 xGTavernier 67', 0.01 xGArfield 8', 0.25 xG, goalSakala 78', 0.19 xG, goalAribo 16', 0.07 xG, goal30%0.51 xGSix-yard box: 2 shots, 0.51 xG, 1 goal49%0.84 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.84 xG, 1 goal10%0.17 xGWide in the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal11%0.19 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.19 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonRangers

0.92 6 shots, 1 goalOpen play1.51 18 shots, 2 goals
0.02 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.19 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
8 min (9%) · Livingston 0.00, Rangers 0.25 xG
Rangers ahead
86 min (91%) · Livingston 0.94, Rangers 1.45 xG

Line-ups

322542118331714119StryjekDevlinFitzwaterParkesMcMillanHoltOmeongaForrestBaileyMontanoAndersonYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal59'80'59'Livingston 3-4-2-1David Martindale12633118177371420McGregorTavernierGoldsonBasseyBarisicKamaraAriboHagiArfieldKentMorelosGoalGoalYellow card73'73'90+2'Rangers 4-2-3-1Giovanni van Bronckhorst

Livingston substitutes

  • 59' Penrice for McMillan
  • 59' Shinnie for Anderson
  • 80' Kabia for Bailey

Rangers substitutes

  • 73' Patterson for Hagi
  • 73' Sakala for Kent · goal 78'
  • 90+2' Defoe for Morelos

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.0872
Devlin CB900.000.0000.04211
FitzwaterCB900.000.2710.1247
ParkesCB900.000.0000.02210
McMillanRWB590.040.010−0.0213
HoltCM900.020.0100.0114
Omeonga CM900.000.000−0.0124
Forrest LWB900.660.060−0.0241
BaileyAM800.030.0100.0211
MontanoAM900.000.0000.0566
AndersonST5910.180.010−0.0401
PenriceDF310.000.0000.0100
ShinnieFW310.000.0000.0110
KabiaMF100.000.0000.0110

Rangers

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
McGregorGK900.000.0000.0100
TavernierRB9020.010.5040.28225
GoldsonCB900.000.0210.1177
BasseyCB900.000.0000.0526
BarisicLB900.000.0820.20134
KamaraDM900.000.0910.1454
AriboDM9010.200.0310.1504
HagiRW730.200.1840.2683
Arfield AM9010.590.0510.0413
KentLW730.070.1110.23141
MorelosST9010.110.7140.1221
PattersonMF170.000.0200.0200
SakalaFW1710.510.0000.0000
DefoeFW00.020.0000.0100

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Devlin: 3 passesParkes and Omeonga: 3 passesParkes and Montano: 3 passesFitzwater and Forrest: 3 passesFitzwater and Montano: 3 passesForrest and Bailey: 3 passesOmeonga and Holt: 3 passesStryjek and Anderson: 4 passesMcMillan and Holt: 4 passesForrest and Holt: 4 passesHolt and Montano: 4 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 5 passesFitzwater and Devlin: 5 passesOmeonga and Montano: 5 passesStryjek and Parkes: 6 passesParkes and Holt: 6 passesMcMillan and Bailey: 6 passesParkes and Fitzwater: 7 passesFitzwater and Holt: 7 passesDevlin and Bailey: 7 passesOmeonga and Bailey: 8 passesDevlin and Holt: 9 passesDevlin and McMillan: 10 passesStryjek: 15 completed passesParkes: 12 completed passesFitzwater: 18 completed passesDevlin: 23 completed passesMcMillan: 14 completed passesForrest: 4 completed passesOmeonga: 16 completed passesHolt: 20 completed passesMontano: 12 completed passesBailey: 13 completed passesAnderson: 2 completed passes324522117331811149StryjekParkesFitzwaterDevlinMcMillanForrestOmeongaHoltMontanoBaileyAndersonStarters until 59' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Rangers

McGregor and Tavernier: 8 passesBarisic and Hagi: 8 passesArfield and Morelos: 8 passesKent and Morelos: 8 passesBarisic and Morelos: 9 passesKamara and Aribo: 9 passesKamara and Arfield: 9 passesTavernier and Morelos: 10 passesHagi and Morelos: 10 passesKamara and Hagi: 11 passesHagi and Arfield: 12 passesGoldson and Kamara: 14 passesKamara and Morelos: 14 passesMcGregor and Bassey: 15 passesTavernier and Arfield: 15 passesBarisic and Aribo: 16 passesBarisic and Kent: 17 passesAribo and Kent: 17 passesBassey and Kamara: 18 passesMcGregor and Goldson: 20 passesTavernier and Kamara: 21 passesBarisic and Kamara: 21 passesBassey and Goldson: 24 passesTavernier and Hagi: 27 passesBassey and Barisic: 38 passesTavernier and Goldson: 43 passesMcGregor: 30 completed passesTavernier: 68 completed passesBassey: 58 completed passesGoldson: 66 completed passesBarisic: 68 completed passesKamara: 68 completed passesAribo: 28 completed passesHagi: 35 completed passesArfield: 30 completed passesKent: 31 completed passesMorelos: 31 completed passes12363118177371420McGregorTavernierBasseyGoldsonBarisicKamaraAriboHagiArfieldKentMorelosStarters until 73' · lines join pairs with 8+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
DevlinFitzwater11
ParkesFitzwater7
FitzwaterStryjek7
McMillanDevlin6
HoltParkes5

Rangers

FromToPasses
GoldsonTavernier35
BasseyBarisic27
GoldsonBassey18
TavernierGoldson18
McGregorGoldson17

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

3−2.54−2.522+5.78+1.63−5.17−0.64−4.16−0.26−2.57−1.67+1.211+6.85+1.64−1.06−0.27+3.43+0.43+1.25+2.44−0.25+2.90−1.10−1.31−1.00−1.71−0.70−0.41+0.31+0.63+1.9FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Rangers

6+0.91−2.98+0.84−1.33−2.83−2.76+1.08+3.95−0.66−1.87+0.64+0.32−2.44−1.07+1.55+0.56+3.03+0.74+0.94−0.64+1.10−2.52+0.43+1.98+5.51+0.11+0.50−1.10−0.610.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.040.020.020.010.020.010.020.010.01−0.010.040.030.03−0.010.01−0.01−0.010.01−0.04−0.060.12LessMore

Rangers

0.010.010.050.030.010.010.040.080.030.030.030.050.060.040.020.030.060.070.080.060.020.120.11−0.010.150.230.19LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.97Rangers1.98 → 1.99Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.29 → 1.30Rangers0.76 → 0.77

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six16%13%−3
11th15%17%+2
Bottom10%11%+1
Rangers
Title65%68%+3
Celtic
Title35%32%−3
Ross County
Top six4%4%0
11th24%24%0
Bottom33%32%−1

From the forecast before the match (28 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonRangers
Expected goals0.662.03
Win11%69%
Expected Points0.522.28
Clean sheet13%52%

Livingston 11%Draw 20%Rangers 69%

Most likely score 0–2, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

Rangers goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+7%9%5%2%4%10%9%6%3%1%1%3%3%2%1%13%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 28 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawRangers win
Livingston
Top six16%28%18%13%
11th15%8%13%17%
Bottom10%4%8%11%
Rangers
Title65%50%61%68%
Celtic
Title35%49%39%32%
Ross County
Top six4%2%4%4%
11th24%25%23%24%
Bottom33%37%36%32%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D1–120 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.76–0.91
  2. D0–030 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.10–1.80
  3. D1–127 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.34–1.83
  4. W3–223 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.57–2.11
  5. W3–016 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.55–1.45
  6. L0–12 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–0.77

Rangers

  1. W4–27 NovRoss County (H)xG 1.23–0.48
  2. W6–131 OctMotherwell (A)xG 3.09–0.55
  3. D2–227 OctAberdeen (H)xG 2.34–1.02
  4. W2–124 OctSt. Mirren (A)xG 2.62–0.06
  5. D1–116 OctHearts (H)xG 3.34–0.49
  6. W2–13 OctHibernian (H)xG 1.68–0.23

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonRangers
Position10th1st
Played1313
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠4–⁠69–⁠3–⁠1
Points13 (1.00 per game)30 (2.31 per game)
Expected Points per game0.782.18
Goals11–⁠1729–⁠13
xG per game0.65–⁠1.481.97–⁠0.68
Home: points, xG per game0.80, 0.85–⁠1.322.14, 1.97–⁠0.57
Away: points, xG per game1.12, 0.53–⁠1.582.50, 1.97–⁠0.81
ManagerDavid Martindale (36)Giovanni van Bronckhorst (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.21AttackLivingston0.96, 10thRangers1.98, 2ndDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.29, 8thRangers0.76, 1st

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovLivingston attack: 0.96Rangers attack: 1.981.980.96RangersLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovLivingston defence: 1.29Rangers defence: 0.761.290.76

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonRangers
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+13%+69%−47%
Counter-attacks+12%−50%−69%−100%
Set pieces−28%+27%+74%−46%
Penalties−100%+107%+55%+3%
Headers−34%+18%+66%−44%
Left side−22%−16%+33%−38%
Centre−41%+19%+54%−55%
Right side−53%+38%+117%−44%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdRangers concededLeft side−22%−44%Centre−41%−55%Right side−53%−38%Open play−47%−47%Counter-attacks+12%−100%Set pieces−28%−46%Headers−34%−44%

Rangers attacking

Rangers createdLivingston concededLeft side+33%+38%Centre+54%+19%Right side+117%−16%Open play+69%+13%Counter-attacks−69%−50%Set pieces+74%+27%Headers+66%+18%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonRangers

0.65xG1.97
1.48xG against0.68
37%Possession64%
8.2Shots19.7
14.4Shots against6.2
2.7Shots on target6.5
0.8Big chances2.2
9.9Touches in the opposition box36.2
276Passes533
60%Pass accuracy84%
3.7Corners9.2
34%Field tilt78%
21.3Final-third entries57.5
6.2Box entries19.2
16.1Passes per defensive action13.2

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level510.551.09
Ahead160.822.18
Behind230.771.85

Rangers

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level301.730.88
Ahead412.010.71
Behind182.280.29

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.171–2
16–300.050.182–2
31–450.200.245–2
46–600.050.190–3
61–750.140.251–3
76–900.100.452–5

Rangers

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.260.143–5
16–300.300.105–1
31–450.310.075–1
46–600.360.095–1
61–750.170.133–2
76–900.580.148–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 13Devlin 10McMillan 3Fitzwater 13Obileye 12Parkes 1Penrice 4Longridge 4Kelly 3Pittman 6Bailey 2Parkes 1Holt 13Omeonga 5Shinnie 3Williamson 3Bailey 5McMillan 2Forrest 2Anderson 10Shinnie 3Forrest 5Bailey 2Montano 24-3-3 in 4 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-4-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Rangers

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWMcGregor 6McLaughlin 6McCrorie 1Tavernier 11Balogun 1Patterson 1Goldson 12Balogun 10Helander 3Simpson 1Bassey 7Barisic 6Aribo 11Lundstram 7Arfield 1Davis 8Kamara 11Bacuna 1Hagi 7Roofe 4Aribo 2Morelos 10Sakala 3Kent 6Wright 3Roofe 24-3-3 in 10 of 13 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (10), 4-2-3-1 (2), 4-3-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
31 July 2021Rangers3–0LivingstonxG 1.84–0.07
12 May 2021Livingston0–3RangersxG 0.87–2.44
3 March 2021Livingston0–1RangersxG 0.35–2.73
25 October 2020Rangers2–0LivingstonxG 1.39–0.87
16 August 2020Livingston0–0RangersxG 0.07–1.11

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Rangers won 4, and 1 was a draw. Goals 0–9 and xG 0.45–1.90 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Pittman6570110.220.02
Forrest7687110.130.11
Anderson10754330.140.10
Bailey9803200.100.08

Rangers

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Roofe6622500.790.17
Morelos10827420.550.07
Tavernier11990380.220.37
Aribo131,090320.190.30

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.