Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 0–1 Hearts

Sunday 5 December 2021, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 17 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 5,597

Hearts Boyce 49'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonHearts
Goals01
xG1.251.84
Expected Points0.871.85

Livingston 20%Draw 28%Hearts 52%

Most likely score 1–2, 17%. Final score 0–1, 6%.

Hearts goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+2%6%8%4%3%8%2%2%8%11%5%1%2%3%2%14%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.520153045607590HTAnderson on for Sibbald, 63'Montaño on for McMillan, 64'Panayiotou on for Oméonga, 68'Moore on for Smith, 16'Haring on for Woodburn, 29'Gnanduillet on for Boyce, 80'Boyce 49'Hearts 1.84Livingston 1.2500.511.520153045607590HTAnderson on for Sibbald, 63'Montaño on for McMillan, 64'Panayiotou on for Oméonga, 68'Moore on for Smith, 16'Haring on for Woodburn, 29'Gnanduillet on for Boyce, 80'Boyce 49'1.841.25LivingstonHearts

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonHearts

1.25 +0.62xG1.84 +0.50
1.11 +0.40xG on target1.54 +0.06
14 +6.3Shots11 −1.4
6 +3.4Shots on target4 −0.4
1 +0.2Big chances2 +0.6
14 +4.2Touches in the opposition box21 −1.2
48% +12Possession52% −1
403 +130Passes431 +1
66% +6Pass accuracy70% −5
46% +15Field tilt54% +2
32 +11Final-third entries35 −7
8 +1.9Box entries11 −0.8
12.4 −4Passes per defensive action14.3 +1
2 −1.5Corners3 −2.4
15 −1Tackles20 +5
9 −1.5Interceptions5 −4.0
10 −13Clearances20 +1
3 −0.3Saves6 +1.7
12 −3Fouls13 +1
6 +4.0Offsides1 −1.1

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Shinnie 25', 0.56 xGSibbald 25', 0.13 xGShinnie 25', 0.08 xGForrest 61', 0.07 xGForrest 5', 0.05 xGShinnie 20', 0.05 xGForrest 28', 0.05 xGForrest 34', 0.05 xGMontaño 65', 0.05 xGAnderson 81', 0.05 xGOméonga 6', 0.03 xGMcMillan 28', 0.03 xGHolt 25', 0.02 xGMcMillan 40', 0.02 xG6%0.08 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.08 xG, 0 goals54%0.68 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.68 xG, 0 goals23%0.29 xGWide in the box: 6 shots, 0.29 xG, 0 goals12%0.15 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals5%0.06 xGFurther out: 2 shots, 0.06 xG, 0 goals

Hearts

Gnanduillet 90+3', 0.71 xGBoyce 68', 0.13 xGMcEneff 76', 0.11 xGMcKay 77', 0.10 xGCochrane 71', 0.06 xGMcEneff 85', 0.06 xGDevlin 30', 0.03 xGHalkett 73', 0.03 xGMcEneff 57', 0.02 xGGnanduillet 90+3', 0.02 xGBoyce 49', 0.59 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals40%0.74 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.74 xG, 1 goal49%0.90 xGWide in the box: 4 shots, 0.90 xG, 0 goals11%0.21 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.21 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonHearts

1.17 12 shots, 0 goalsOpen play1.11 9 shots, 1 goal
0.03 1 shot, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.71 1 shot, 0 goals
0.05 1 shot, 0 goalsSet pieces0.03 1 shot, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
49 min (52%) · Livingston 1.08, Hearts 0.62 xG
Hearts ahead
45 min (48%) · Livingston 0.17, Hearts 1.23 xG

Line-ups

3225429183321101722StryjekDevlinFitzwaterParkesPenriceHoltOméongaMcMillanSibbaldForrestShinnieYellow cardYellow card68'64'63'Livingston 4-3-2-1David Martindale1419328141718109GordonSouttarHalkettKingsleySmithMcEneffDevlinCochraneMcKayBoyceWoodburnYellow cardYellow cardGoal16'80'29'Hearts 3-4-3Robbie Neilson

Livingston substitutes

  • 63' Anderson for Sibbald · yellow card 73'
  • 64' Montaño for McMillan
  • 68' Panayiotou for Oméonga

Hearts substitutes

  • 16' Moore for Smith
  • 29' Haring for Woodburn · yellow card 70'
  • 80' Gnanduillet for Boyce · yellow card 90'

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0441
DevlinRB900.000.0000.0204
FitzwaterCB900.000.0100.0686
ParkesCB900.000.0000.0223
PenriceLB900.000.1230.0452
Holt CM900.020.0220.0263
OméongaCM680.030.0210.0154
McMillanCM640.050.0320.0731
Sibbald AM630.130.010−0.0113
ForrestAM900.220.0410.1341
ShinnieST900.690.0200.0224
Anderson FW270.050.0000.0310
MontañoDF260.050.000−0.0103
PanayiotouFW220.000.0110.0100

Hearts

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
GordonGK900.000.0000.0111
Souttar CB900.000.0200.08109
HalkettCB900.030.0000.0346
KingsleyCB900.000.0600.2251
SmithRWB160.000.0000.0010
McEneffCM900.190.2210.1354
Devlin CM900.030.0100.00310
CochraneLWB900.060.0410.0115
McKayRW9010.100.5650.2252
BoyceST8010.710.0620.2332
WoodburnLW290.000.0000.0111
MooreDF740.000.0100.0552
Haring MF610.000.0310.0314
Gnanduillet FW100.730.0010.0420

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Stryjek and Oméonga: 5 passesOméonga and Shinnie: 5 passesMcMillan and Forrest: 5 passesHolt and Sibbald: 5 passesSibbald and Shinnie: 5 passesForrest and Shinnie: 5 passesStryjek and Parkes: 6 passesDevlin and Sibbald: 6 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesPenrice and Oméonga: 7 passesMcMillan and Shinnie: 7 passesPenrice and McMillan: 8 passesPenrice and Shinnie: 8 passesFitzwater and Oméonga: 9 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 10 passesPenrice and Forrest: 11 passesDevlin and Holt: 12 passesOméonga and Holt: 12 passesParkes and Penrice: 13 passesParkes and Fitzwater: 14 passesStryjek: 13 completed passesDevlin: 16 completed passesParkes: 24 completed passesFitzwater: 24 completed passesPenrice: 33 completed passesOméonga: 31 completed passesMcMillan: 18 completed passesHolt: 31 completed passesSibbald: 12 completed passesForrest: 10 completed passesShinnie: 17 completed passes3224529332118101722StryjekDevlinParkesFitzwaterPenriceOméongaMcMillanHoltSibbaldForrestShinnieStarters until 63' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
PenriceParkes12
ParkesFitzwater10
OméongaHolt8
PenriceForrest6
StryjekFitzwater6

Hearts

FromToPasses
KingsleyCochrane13
SouttarMoore12
HalkettKingsley10
KingsleyDevlin10
DevlinMcEneff7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

2−3.33−3.15−1.86−1.56−1.23−4.95−1.46−2.217+8.08+2.28+3.53−0.38+3.211+4.412+7.92−0.68+6.04+1.15+0.83+0.70−1.01−0.21−0.91−0.61−0.70−0.40−0.70−0.40−1.18−8.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 15 matches

Hearts

6+2.010+5.09−2.45−0.65−0.26+0.410+3.07+1.412+5.110+4.47+1.27+1.85−1.38+3.52−2.62−1.27+3.43−0.22−2.07+4.40−1.92+0.23+1.30−2.41+0.80−0.61+0.21+0.61−0.13−5.2FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 16 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.010.020.010.010.020.010.030.020.020.020.010.020.010.020.010.020.010.020.030.060.07LessMore

Hearts

0.010.010.010.040.010.020.030.010.070.020.010.050.040.030.010.010.010.090.05−0.050.150.140.140.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackLivingston0.93 → 0.92Hearts1.25 → 1.25Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.27 → 1.27Hearts1.18 → 1.16

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six10%7%−3
11th16%19%+3
Bottom14%19%+5
Hearts
Top six96%98%+2

From the forecast before the match (5 December 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonHearts
Expected goals1.011.29
Win29%42%
Expected Points1.151.56
Clean sheet28%36%

Livingston 29%Draw 29%Hearts 42%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 47%.

Hearts goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+8%4%1%10%8%4%1%5%7%4%2%2%2%1%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 5 December 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawHearts win
Livingston
Top six10%15%9%7%
11th16%12%17%19%
Bottom14%8%13%19%
Hearts
Top six96%93%95%98%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. L0–21 DecAberdeen (A)xG 0.08–1.18
  2. L1–328 NovRangers (H)xG 0.94–1.70
  3. D1–120 NovSt. Mirren (A)xG 0.76–0.91
  4. D0–030 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.10–1.80
  5. D1–127 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.34–1.83
  6. W3–223 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.57–2.11

Hearts

  1. L0–12 DecCeltic (A)xG 0.67–2.86
  2. W2–027 NovSt. Mirren (H)xG 2.16–1.16
  3. L0–220 NovMotherwell (A)xG 0.30–2.16
  4. W5–26 NovDundee United (H)xG 2.14–0.85
  5. L1–230 OctAberdeen (A)xG 0.95–1.11
  6. D1–127 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.94–1.22

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonHearts
Position11th3rd
Played1516
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠4–⁠87–⁠6–⁠3
Points13 (0.87 per game)27 (1.69 per game)
Expected Points per game0.751.50
Goals12–⁠2225–⁠15
xG per game0.63–⁠1.481.34–⁠1.26
Home: points, xG per game0.67, 0.86–⁠1.382.25, 1.77–⁠0.86
Away: points, xG per game1.00, 0.48–⁠1.541.12, 0.91–⁠1.66
ManagerDavid Martindale (38)Robbie Neilson (16)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.19AttackLivingston0.93, 9thHearts1.25, 4thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.27, 8thHearts1.18, 6th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston attack: 0.93Hearts attack: 1.251.250.93HeartsLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecLivingston defence: 1.27Hearts defence: 1.181.271.18

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonHearts
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−47%+14%−4%+9%
Counter-attacks−15%−50%−50%−60%
Set pieces−38%+21%−7%+33%
Penalties−100%+90%+167%−100%
Headers−38%+10%−23%−11%
Left side−30%+1%+50%−14%
Centre−43%+10%−40%+20%
Right side−57%+32%+10%+25%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdHearts concededLeft side−30%+25%Centre−43%+20%Right side−57%−14%Open play−47%+9%Counter-attacks−15%−60%Set pieces−38%+33%Headers−38%−11%

Hearts attacking

Hearts createdLivingston concededLeft side+50%+32%Centre−40%+10%Right side+10%+1%Open play−4%+14%Counter-attacks−50%−50%Set pieces−7%+21%Headers−23%+10%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonHearts

0.63xG1.34
1.48xG against1.26
36%Possession53%
7.7Shots12.4
14.9Shots against13.9
2.6Shots on target4.4
0.8Big chances1.4
9.8Touches in the opposition box22.2
273Passes430
60%Pass accuracy75%
3.5Corners5.4
31%Field tilt52%
21.2Final-third entries42.1
6.1Box entries11.8
16.8Passes per defensive action13.5

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level460.531.11
Ahead140.822.18
Behind300.711.71

Hearts

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level451.541.16
Ahead301.390.99
Behind150.682.07

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.171–3
16–300.060.183–4
31–450.210.245–2
46–600.050.200–3
61–750.130.231–4
76–900.090.452–6

Hearts

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.203–2
16–300.170.165–1
31–450.350.195–4
46–600.310.212–2
61–750.200.175–4
76–900.170.325–2

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 15Devlin 11McMillan 4Fitzwater 14Obileye 13Parkes 3Longridge 5Penrice 4Kelly 3Pittman 6Bailey 4Parkes 1Holt 15Omeonga 7Shinnie 3Williamson 3Bailey 5Forrest 2Devlin 2Anderson 12Shinnie 3Forrest 6Montano 3Bailey 24-3-3 in 4 of 15 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Hearts

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBRWSTLWGordon 16Souttar 14Moore 4Smith 1Halkett 15Kingsley 11Cochrane 3Smith 13McKay 1McEneff 1Baningime 15Woodburn 1Devlin 10Haring 5Halliday 1Cochrane 9Halliday 5Kingsley 2McKay 7Ginnelly 5Woodburn 3Boyce 11Ginnelly 3Gnanduillet 2Mackay-Steven 7Woodburn 6McKay 23-4-3 in 10 of 16 starts

Formations: 3-4-3 (10), 3-4-2-1 (4), 4-2-3-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
25 September 2021Hearts3–0LivingstonxG 2.43–0.12

1 league meeting since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, Hearts won 1, and 0 were drawn. Goals 0–3 and xG 0.12–2.43 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest9841110.180.10
Pittman6570110.220.02
Anderson12859430.150.09
Bailey11973200.090.07

Hearts

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Boyce11988610.640.05
McKay10885010.150.34
Mackay-Steven8669230.360.09
Moore5456010.070.16

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.