Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

Livingston 1–1 St. Mirren

Saturday 19 February 2022, 15:00 · Tony Macaroni Arena · Round 27 · Half-time 0–0 · Referee William Collum · Attendance 4,228

Livingston Anderson 55'

St. Mirren Kiltie 78' · Dunne sent off 83'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Goals11
xG1.290.13
Expected Points2.370.36

Livingston 70%Draw 27%St. Mirren 3%

Most likely score 1–0, 34%. Final score 1–1, 5%.

St. Mirren goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+22%3%5%22%3%8%1%2%34%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.511.50153045607590HTDunne (St. Mirren), red card 83'Shinnie on for Nouble, Soto on for Anderson, and Boyes on for Obileye, 75'Henderson on for Gogic, 64'Main on for Greive, 71'Tanser on for Jones, 76'Anderson 55'Kiltie 78'Livingston 1.29St. Mirren 0.1300.511.50153045607590HTDunne (St. Mirren), red card 83'Shinnie on for Nouble, Soto on for Anderson, and Boyes on for Obileye, 75'Henderson on for Gogic, 64'Main on for Greive, 71'Tanser on for Jones, 76'Anderson 55'Kiltie 78'1.290.13LivingstonSt. Mirren

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.29 +0.44xG0.13 −0.82
1.11 +0.30xG on target0.08 −0.82
14 +4.6Shots4 −7.2
2 −1.2Shots on target1 −3.0
1 0.0Big chances0 −1.0
30 +15Touches in the opposition box9 −8
50% +10Possession50% +4
418 +118Passes418 +76
75% +13Pass accuracy72% +6
62% +24Field tilt38% −5
47 +23Final-third entries39 +10
8 +0.1Box entries3 −6.3
15.3 −1Passes per defensive action17.4 +2
5 +1.3Corners1 −4.4
20 +4Tackles13 0
8 −2.4Interceptions4 −5.5
16 −7Clearances21 +1
0 −3.2Saves2 −2.0
14 0Fouls15 +4
1 −1.4Offsides0 −2.8

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Livingston

Anderson 13', 0.17 xGNouble 54', 0.13 xGFitzwater 59', 0.12 xGAnderson 55', 0.10 xGSoto 90', 0.07 xGForrest 54', 0.06 xGHolt 38', 0.05 xGForrest 88', 0.05 xGForrest 3', 0.03 xGPenrice 38', 0.03 xGOmeonga 17', 0.02 xGObileye 21', 0.02 xGPenrice 49', 0.02 xGAnderson 55', 0.42 xG, goal33%0.42 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.42 xG, 1 goal52%0.67 xGCentral box: 7 shots, 0.67 xG, 0 goals4%0.05 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.05 xG, 0 goals9%0.12 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals2%0.02 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals

St. Mirren

Jones 34', 0.04 xGGreive 35', 0.03 xGJones 7', 0.02 xGKiltie 78', 0.04 xG, goal0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGCentral box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals15%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals85%0.11 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.11 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

LivingstonSt. Mirren

1.17 11 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.07 2 shots, 0 goals
0.00 0 shots, 0 goalsCounter-attacks0.02 1 shot, 0 goals
0.11 3 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.04 1 shot, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
70 min (75%) · Livingston 1.17, St. Mirren 0.09 xG
Livingston ahead
23 min (25%) · Livingston 0.12, St. Mirren 0.04 xG

Line-ups

32256298183317919StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenricePittmanHoltOmeongaForrestAndersonNoubleYellow cardGoalYellow card75'75'75'Livingston 4-3-3David Martindale12241826131143721AlnwickFraserShaughnessyDunneTaitPowerGogicKiltieRonanJonesGreiveSent offGoal64'76'71'St. Mirren 4-2-3-1Jamie Langfield

Livingston substitutes

  • 75' Boyes for Obileye
  • 75' Shinnie for Nouble
  • 75' Soto for Anderson

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 64' Henderson for Gogic
  • 71' Main for Greive
  • 76' Tanser for Jones

Players

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0000.0441
DevlinRB9010.000.2720.25116
FitzwaterCB900.120.0100.0777
ObileyeCB750.020.211−0.0659
Penrice LB900.050.0500.0982
PittmanCM900.000.0420.0001
HoltCM900.050.0310.0757
OmeongaCM900.020.0300.0351
ForrestRW900.140.2330.0736
AndersonST7510.700.1400.1400
Nouble LW750.130.071−0.0135
BoyesDF150.000.0200.0851
ShinnieFW150.000.010−0.0200
SotoFW150.070.000−0.0300

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0220
FraserRB900.000.0400.0627
ShaughnessyCB900.000.0000.0569
Dunne CB830.000.0000.0656
TaitLB900.000.0300.05311
PowerDM9010.000.011−0.0444
GogicDM640.000.0100.0220
KiltieRW9010.040.0100.0021
RonanAM900.000.0420.0351
JonesLW760.060.0210.0751
GreiveST710.030.020−0.0100
HendersonMF260.000.0000.0002
MainFW190.000.000−0.0200
TanserMF140.000.0400.0721

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Livingston

Devlin and Anderson: 5 passesFitzwater and Nouble: 5 passesObileye and Nouble: 5 passesFitzwater and Pittman: 6 passesFitzwater and Forrest: 6 passesPenrice and Pittman: 6 passesDevlin and Omeonga: 7 passesFitzwater and Holt: 7 passesObileye and Penrice: 7 passesAnderson and Nouble: 7 passesFitzwater and Omeonga: 8 passesPenrice and Forrest: 8 passesOmeonga and Forrest: 8 passesDevlin and Forrest: 9 passesDevlin and Nouble: 9 passesDevlin and Holt: 10 passesPenrice and Omeonga: 10 passesOmeonga and Holt: 10 passesOmeonga and Nouble: 10 passesPenrice and Holt: 12 passesPenrice and Nouble: 12 passesFitzwater and Obileye: 14 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 16 passesStryjek and Obileye: 17 passesStryjek: 22 completed passesDevlin: 31 completed passesFitzwater: 36 completed passesObileye: 30 completed passesPenrice: 30 completed passesOmeonga: 29 completed passesHolt: 26 completed passesPittman: 14 completed passesForrest: 23 completed passesAnderson: 10 completed passesNouble: 25 completed passes32256293318817919StryjekDevlinFitzwaterObileyePenriceOmeongaHoltPittmanForrestAndersonNoubleStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

St. Mirren

Fraser and Greive: 5 passesShaughnessy and Dunne: 5 passesShaughnessy and Kiltie: 5 passesShaughnessy and Ronan: 5 passesKiltie and Greive: 5 passesFraser and Shaughnessy: 6 passesTait and Gogic: 6 passesAlnwick and Tait: 7 passesTait and Power: 7 passesGogic and Power: 7 passesDunne and Power: 8 passesAlnwick and Shaughnessy: 9 passesDunne and Tait: 9 passesPower and Ronan: 9 passesAlnwick and Dunne: 10 passesFraser and Ronan: 11 passesRonan and Jones: 13 passesShaughnessy and Power: 15 passesTait and Ronan: 15 passesFraser and Power: 17 passesTait and Jones: 17 passesAlnwick: 18 completed passesFraser: 25 completed passesShaughnessy: 29 completed passesDunne: 21 completed passesTait: 37 completed passesGogic: 16 completed passesPower: 37 completed passesKiltie: 11 completed passesRonan: 32 completed passesJones: 17 completed passesGreive: 11 completed passes12241821361143721AlnwickFraserShaughnessyDunneTaitGogicPowerKiltieRonanJonesGreiveStarters until 64' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Livingston

FromToPasses
HoltPenrice10
StryjekObileye10
FitzwaterStryjek10
PenriceForrest9
ObileyeFitzwater9

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
TaitJones15
TaitRonan12
FraserPower11
RonanTait10
FraserRonan9

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Livingston

6+0.24−2.18+0.912+5.59+1.05−2.710+3.74−4.316+6.78+1.83−1.82−2.02−3.09+2.57+2.72−0.83+0.430.04−0.32−0.53+1.510.02+0.33+1.01−0.31+0.62+1.52+1.71+0.13−13.0FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 26 matches

St. Mirren

4+0.114+7.817+1.42−4.26+1.19+2.710+2.74−2.69+1.211+3.53−3.02−3.33−1.02−4.38+1.34+0.21−1.71−1.61−3.23−0.71−0.81−0.32+1.11−0.81−1.33+2.01+0.80−0.80−0.20−0.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 25 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Livingston

0.010.030.010.030.040.010.020.040.040.010.080.040.030.010.040.010.050.03−0.010.020.02−0.030.040.17LessMore

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.030.040.010.02−0.010.020.010.040.030.020.010.010.05−0.01−0.010.01−0.01−0.050.050.08LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston0.96 → 0.96St. Mirren0.94 → 0.93Defence (lower is better)Livingston1.18 → 1.16St. Mirren1.26 → 1.26

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Livingston
Top six34%28%−6
11th2%3%+1
Bottom<1%<1%0
St. Mirren
Top six46%46%0
11th2%2%0
Aberdeen
Top six52%54%+2
11th1%1%0
Dundee FC
11th38%35%−3
Bottom48%50%+2

From the forecast before the match (19 February 2022): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Expected goals1.200.90
Win42%27%
Expected Points1.571.12
Clean sheet41%30%

Livingston 42%Draw 31%St. Mirren 27%

Most likely score 1–0, 14%. Both sides score 42%.

St. Mirren goalsLivingston goals0123456+0123456+5%2%6%2%9%8%4%1%4%3%1%1%1%13%10%14%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 19 February 2022: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowLivingston winDrawSt. Mirren win
Livingston
Top six34%50%28%15%
11th2%1%3%4%
Bottom<1%<1%<1%1%
St. Mirren
Top six46%31%46%69%
11th2%3%2%1%
Aberdeen
Top six52%52%54%49%
11th1%1%1%1%
Dundee FC
11th38%39%35%37%
Bottom48%47%50%47%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Livingston

  1. D1–19 FebRoss County (A)xG 1.75–0.48
  2. W2–15 FebAberdeen (H)xG 1.06–1.02
  3. L1–21 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 1.24–0.41
  4. W3–229 JanHibernian (A)xG 1.88–1.32
  5. L0–126 JanRangers (A)xG 0.34–1.51
  6. W2–018 JanDundee FC (H)xG 1.27–0.56

St. Mirren

  1. W2–19 FebSt. Johnstone (H)xG 2.22–1.02
  2. W1–05 FebHibernian (A)xG 0.38–1.22
  3. D1–11 FebMotherwell (H)xG 0.46–0.81
  4. W1–025 JanAberdeen (H)xG 0.13–0.47
  5. W2–118 JanDundee United (A)xG 1.46–1.49
  6. L0–226 DecRangers (A)xG 0.06–2.12

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

LivingstonSt. Mirren
Position9th6th
Played2625
Won, drawn, lost8–⁠6–⁠127–⁠11–⁠7
Points30 (1.15 per game)32 (1.28 per game)
Expected Points per game1.051.13
Goals25–⁠3325–⁠34
xG per game0.85–⁠1.290.95–⁠1.47
Home: points, xG per game1.17, 1.02–⁠1.221.23, 0.92–⁠1.05
Away: points, xG per game1.14, 0.71–⁠1.351.33, 0.98–⁠1.93
ManagerDavid Martindale (49)Jamie Langfield (0)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackLivingston0.96, 7thSt. Mirren0.94, 9thDefence (lower is better)Livingston1.18, 6thSt. Mirren1.26, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston attack: 0.96St. Mirren attack: 0.940.960.94St. MirrenLivingstonDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovDecJanFebLivingston defence: 1.18St. Mirren defence: 1.261.261.18

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

LivingstonSt. Mirren
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−36%average−38%+30%
Counter-attacks−14%−8%−8%+12%
Set pieces−10%+14%+19%average
Penalties−43%+42%−11%+18%
Headers−27%+7%+24%−1%
Left side−5%−4%−18%+32%
Centre−34%average−15%+16%
Right side−37%+18%−40%+22%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−5%+22%Centre−34%+16%Right side−37%+32%Open play−36%+30%Counter-attacks−14%+12%Set pieces−10%averageHeaders−27%−1%

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−18%+18%Centre−15%averageRight side−40%−4%Open play−38%averageCounter-attacks−8%−8%Set pieces+19%+14%Headers+24%+7%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

LivingstonSt. Mirren

0.85xG0.95
1.29xG against1.47
40%Possession46%
9.4Shots11.2
13.9Shots against15.3
3.2Shots on target4.0
1.0Big chances1.0
15.4Touches in the opposition box17.4
300Passes342
62%Pass accuracy66%
3.7Corners5.4
38%Field tilt43%
24.1Final-third entries29.3
7.9Box entries9.3
16.2Passes per defensive action15.3

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level440.811.06
Ahead190.951.59
Behind260.851.47

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level480.961.23
Ahead190.921.46
Behind240.951.96

xG by period

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.172–6
16–300.150.155–4
31–450.170.196–4
46–600.130.196–4
61–750.150.202–7
76–900.160.394–8

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.080.205–4
16–300.100.221–7
31–450.150.265–7
46–600.250.294–5
61–750.120.345–8
76–900.250.165–3

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 26Devlin 21McMillan 4Fitzwater 1Fitzwater 24Obileye 22Parkes 5Longridge 1Penrice 13Longridge 7Kelly 3Pittman 11Bailey 4McMillan 4Holt 26Kelly 1Omeonga 18Penrice 3Shinnie 3Bailey 10Sibbald 6Forrest 3Anderson 17Shinnie 6Nouble 2Forrest 13Montano 4Shinnie 44-3-3 in 13 of 26 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (13), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 3-1-4-2 (1), 4-3-2-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMAMSTAlnwick 24Lyness 1Fraser 21Henderson 3Tait 1Shaughnessy 23McCarthy 11Dunne 14Millar 6Tait 4Fraser 4Power 22McGrath 3Reid 3Erhahon 7Flynn 7Ronan 5Tanser 22Tait 3McGrath 12Kiltie 7Millar 3Ronan 10Brophy 8Jones 3Main 11Brophy 9Greive 23-4-2-1 in 6 of 25 starts

Formations: 3-4-2-1 (6), 3-4-1-2 (6), 4-2-3-1 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-5-1-1 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 4-4-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
20 November 2021St. Mirren1–1LivingstonxG 0.91–0.76
2 October 2021Livingston0–1St. MirrenxG 1.03–0.77
20 February 2021St. Mirren1–1LivingstonxG 0.71–0.29
21 November 2020Livingston0–1St. MirrenxG 0.46–0.39
1 August 2020St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 1.04–0.55

5 league meetings since 2020/21: Livingston won 0, St. Mirren won 3, and 2 were drawn. Goals 2–5 and xG 0.62–0.76 per game.

Key players

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Forrest181,645420.220.14
Anderson171,346830.240.06
Montano6603010.190.07
Bailey161,417210.120.08

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Brophy181,440600.310.01
Tanser221,852240.070.23
Tait9897010.170.09
Ronan181,477630.120.13

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.