Digressive Celts

Matches › 2021/22

St. Mirren 1–1 Livingston

Saturday 20 November 2021, 15:00 · The SMISA Stadium · Round 14 · Half-time 0–0 · Attendance 3,016

St. Mirren McGrath 68'

Livingston Devlin 88'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

St. MirrenLivingston
Goals11
xG0.910.76
Expected Points1.461.17

St. Mirren 36%Draw 37%Livingston 27%

Most likely score 1–0, 18%. Final score 1–1, 17%.

Livingston goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+5%5%1%8%7%3%2%1%18%14%18%17%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

00.250.50.7510153045607590HTDunne on for McCarthy, 34'Dennis on for Ronan, 61'Main on for Brophy, 78'Panayiotou on for Anderson, Longridge on for Shinnie, and Forrest on for Montano, 75'McGrath 68'Devlin 88'St. Mirren 0.91Livingston 0.7600.250.50.7510153045607590HTDunne on for McCarthy, 34'Dennis on for Ronan, 61'Main on for Brophy, 78'Panayiotou on for Anderson, Longridge on for Shinnie, and Forrest on for Montano, 75'McGrath 68'Devlin 88'0.910.76St. MirrenLivingston

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

St. MirrenLivingston

0.91 −0.11xG0.76 +0.12
0.23 −0.80xG on target0.74 +0.05
11 −1.0Shots9 +0.9
4 0.0Shots on target5 +2.5
0 −1.1Big chances0 −0.8
13 −4.1Touches in the opposition box10 +0.1
55% +6Possession45% +9
395 +38Passes328 +57
69% 0Pass accuracy65% +6
53% +7Field tilt47% +14
27 −6Final-third entries29 +8
7 −2.8Box entries8 +2.0
16.1 +3Passes per defensive action12.1 −4
7 +2.0Corners3 −0.8
13 0Tackles15 −2
10 +0.6Interceptions14 +3.5
13 −4Clearances26 +3
4 +0.9Saves2 −1.2
13 0Fouls16 +2
1 −2.2Offsides2 +0.4

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

St. Mirren

Brophy 17', 0.32 xGBrophy 13', 0.18 xGShaughnessy 90+3', 0.10 xGPower 22', 0.08 xGDennis 85', 0.05 xGBrophy 50', 0.04 xGMcGrath 70', 0.04 xGMcGrath 62', 0.03 xGMain 83', 0.03 xGDunne 73', 0.02 xGMcGrath 68', 0.03 xG, goal34%0.32 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.32 xG, 0 goals30%0.28 xGCentral box: 2 shots, 0.28 xG, 0 goals13%0.12 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.12 xG, 0 goals18%0.17 xGEdge of the box: 5 shots, 0.17 xG, 1 goal4%0.04 xGFurther out: 1 shot, 0.04 xG, 0 goals

Livingston

Forrest 88', 0.20 xGMontano 56', 0.12 xGMontano 10', 0.11 xGMontano 57', 0.10 xGBailey 37', 0.08 xGMontano 66', 0.06 xGDevlin 7', 0.02 xGBailey 26', 0.02 xGDevlin 88', 0.04 xG, goal14%0.11 xGSix-yard box: 1 shot, 0.11 xG, 0 goals64%0.49 xGCentral box: 4 shots, 0.49 xG, 0 goals3%0.02 xGWide in the box: 1 shot, 0.02 xG, 0 goals18%0.14 xGEdge of the box: 3 shots, 0.14 xG, 1 goal0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

St. MirrenLivingston

0.45 7 shots, 1 goalOpen play0.51 6 shots, 1 goal
0.47 4 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces0.24 3 shots, 0 goals

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
73 min (78%) · St. Mirren 0.77, Livingston 0.52 xG
St. Mirren ahead
20 min (22%) · St. Mirren 0.14, Livingston 0.24 xG

Line-ups

1452226834397AlnwickShaughnessyMcCarthyFraserTaitPowerFlynnTanserRonanBrophyMcGrathYellow cardGoal34'61'78'St. Mirren 3-4-1-2Jim Goodwin322542118331122149StryjekDevlinFitzwaterParkesMcMillanHoltOmeongaMontanoShinnieBaileyAndersonGoal75'75'75'Livingston 3-4-2-1David Martindale

St. Mirren substitutes

  • 34' Dunne for McCarthy
  • 61' Dennis for Ronan
  • 78' Main for Brophy

Livingston substitutes

  • 75' Longridge for Shinnie
  • 75' Forrest for Montano
  • 75' Panayiotou for Anderson

Players

St. Mirren

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
AlnwickGK900.000.0000.0560
Shaughnessy CB900.100.0100.07107
McCarthyCB340.000.0000.0121
FraserCB900.000.0100.0754
TaitRWB9010.000.0730.0314
PowerCM900.080.1600.1055
FlynnCM900.000.0100.0245
TanserLWB900.000.4830.2534
RonanAM610.000.0300.0211
BrophyST780.530.0100.0111
McGrathST9010.100.1400.0332
DunneDF560.020.0000.0422
DennisFW290.050.0110.0211
MainFW120.030.0010.0020

Livingston

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
StryjekGK900.000.0100.09101
DevlinCB9010.060.1510.2159
FitzwaterCB900.000.0000.0338
ParkesCB900.000.0300.0837
McMillanRWB900.000.0100.02310
HoltCM900.000.1610.1644
OmeongaCM900.000.0100.0117
MontanoLWB750.400.0410.0014
ShinnieAM750.000.021−0.0421
BaileyAM900.100.2620.1042
AndersonST750.000.0110.0122
LongridgeDF150.000.0000.0013
ForrestFW150.200.0300.0110
PanayiotouFW150.000.0000.0000

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

St. Mirren

Alnwick and McCarthy: 3 passesShaughnessy and Power: 3 passesMcCarthy and Power: 3 passesPower and Flynn: 3 passesFlynn and Brophy: 3 passesTanser and Ronan: 3 passesTanser and Brophy: 3 passesRonan and Brophy: 3 passesAlnwick and Tanser: 4 passesShaughnessy and Tait: 4 passesMcCarthy and Ronan: 4 passesFlynn and Ronan: 5 passesRonan and McGrath: 5 passesFraser and Power: 6 passesMcCarthy and Flynn: 7 passesFraser and Flynn: 7 passesFraser and McGrath: 7 passesShaughnessy and McCarthy: 8 passesMcCarthy and Fraser: 8 passesShaughnessy and Ronan: 10 passesAlnwick: 10 completed passesShaughnessy: 17 completed passesMcCarthy: 21 completed passesFraser: 17 completed passesTait: 5 completed passesPower: 12 completed passesFlynn: 18 completed passesTanser: 5 completed passesRonan: 16 completed passesMcGrath: 9 completed passesBrophy: 3 completed passes1452226834379AlnwickShaughnessyMcCarthyFraserTaitPowerFlynnTanserRonanMcGrathBrophyStarters until 34' · lines join pairs with 3+ passes

Livingston

Stryjek and Parkes: 4 passesParkes and Montano: 4 passesDevlin and Holt: 4 passesMcMillan and Omeonga: 4 passesMcMillan and Shinnie: 4 passesOmeonga and Holt: 4 passesStryjek and Devlin: 5 passesFitzwater and Parkes: 5 passesParkes and Shinnie: 5 passesMcMillan and Bailey: 5 passesOmeonga and Shinnie: 5 passesHolt and Bailey: 5 passesFitzwater and Holt: 6 passesDevlin and Bailey: 6 passesFitzwater and Devlin: 7 passesMontano and Holt: 7 passesMontano and Shinnie: 7 passesBailey and Shinnie: 7 passesStryjek and Fitzwater: 8 passesDevlin and McMillan: 8 passesMcMillan and Holt: 10 passesStryjek: 14 completed passesFitzwater: 19 completed passesParkes: 12 completed passesDevlin: 21 completed passesMcMillan: 24 completed passesMontano: 14 completed passesOmeonga: 11 completed passesHolt: 26 completed passesBailey: 16 completed passesShinnie: 18 completed passesAnderson: 8 completed passes325422111331814229StryjekFitzwaterParkesDevlinMcMillanMontanoOmeongaHoltBaileyShinnieAndersonStarters until 75' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

St. Mirren

FromToPasses
FraserMcGrath9
PowerShaughnessy7
FlynnFraser7
ShaughnessyTait7
ShaughnessyMcGrath7

Livingston

FromToPasses
FitzwaterStryjek8
McMillanDevlin6
FitzwaterParkes5
McMillanHolt5
HoltMcMillan5

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

St. Mirren

8+4.23−3.04−1.87+1.88+0.99+2.23−2.84−3.28+0.59+2.86+0.33−1.49+3.34−3.06+1.81−2.11−1.52−1.46+2.42−0.30−1.70−1.23+0.95+3.03+2.01+0.60−0.90−0.10−0.59−4.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 13 matches

Livingston

5−0.64−2.78−9.05−1.57−1.220+13.49+1.07+0.89+0.67−1.87+1.34−0.22−1.53−2.26−0.21−2.84+1.51−0.86+3.79+5.23+0.90−1.21−0.31−1.11−0.84+2.50−0.41+0.30−0.41−0.1FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 12 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

St. Mirren

0.010.010.010.010.010.010.060.010.010.02−0.020.020.020.020.100.010.030.030.010.12−0.010.010.010.010.17LessMore

Livingston

0.020.050.010.020.030.010.020.010.010.020.010.010.07−0.020.030.010.01−0.020.010.14−0.020.25LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackSt. Mirren1.03 → 1.02Livingston0.97 → 0.96Defence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.33 → 1.32Livingston1.31 → 1.29

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
St. Mirren
Top six20%16%−4
11th10%11%+1
Bottom4%5%+1
Livingston
Top six16%15%−1
11th14%14%0
Bottom7%7%0

From the forecast before the match (20 November 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

St. MirrenLivingston
Expected goals1.191.04
Win39%31%
Expected Points1.461.24
Clean sheet35%31%

St. Mirren 39%Draw 30%Livingston 31%

Most likely score 1–1, 14%. Both sides score 46%.

Livingston goalsSt. Mirren goals0123456+0123456+6%2%7%2%8%8%4%1%3%3%2%11%11%12%14%

From the forecast as it stood on 20 November 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowSt. Mirren winDrawLivingston win
St. Mirren
Top six20%27%16%13%
11th10%7%11%13%
Bottom4%2%5%7%
Livingston
Top six16%10%15%24%
11th14%17%14%9%
Bottom7%9%7%4%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

St. Mirren

  1. D0–06 NovSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.76–0.18
  2. L0–130 OctDundee FC (H)xG 0.79–0.66
  3. D2–227 OctMotherwell (A)xG 2.27–1.25
  4. L1–224 OctRangers (H)xG 0.06–2.62
  5. W3–216 OctRoss County (A)xG 1.10–1.15
  6. W1–02 OctLivingston (A)xG 0.77–1.03

Livingston

  1. D0–030 OctCeltic (A)xG 0.10–1.80
  2. D1–127 OctDundee United (H)xG 0.34–1.83
  3. W3–223 OctRoss County (A)xG 0.57–2.11
  4. W3–016 OctSt. Johnstone (A)xG 1.55–1.45
  5. L0–12 OctSt. Mirren (H)xG 1.03–0.77
  6. L0–325 SepHearts (A)xG 0.12–2.43

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

St. MirrenLivingston
Position8th10th
Played1312
Won, drawn, lost3–⁠6–⁠43–⁠3–⁠6
Points15 (1.15 per game)12 (1.00 per game)
Expected Points per game1.260.75
Goals15–⁠2110–⁠16
xG per game1.02–⁠1.430.64–⁠1.53
Home: points, xG per game0.83, 0.92–⁠1.150.80, 0.85–⁠1.32
Away: points, xG per game1.43, 1.11–⁠1.681.14, 0.50–⁠1.68
ManagerJim Goodwin (51)David Martindale (35)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.22AttackSt. Mirren1.03, 8thLivingston0.97, 11thDefence (lower is better)St. Mirren1.33, 9thLivingston1.31, 8th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovSt. Mirren attack: 1.03Livingston attack: 0.971.030.97LivingstonSt. MirrenDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0AugSepOctNovSt. Mirren defence: 1.33Livingston defence: 1.311.331.31

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

St. MirrenLivingston
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−34%+23%−49%+15%
Counter-attacks+55%+80%+32%−41%
Set pieces+20%−13%−27%+28%
Penalties−6%+40%−100%+103%
Headers+26%−11%−37%+11%
Left side−11%+23%−25%−12%
Centre−17%+16%−42%+19%
Right side−22%+9%−53%+43%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

St. Mirren attacking

St. Mirren createdLivingston concededLeft side−11%+43%Centre−17%+19%Right side−22%−12%Open play−34%+15%Counter-attacks+55%−41%Set pieces+20%+28%Headers+26%+11%

Livingston attacking

Livingston createdSt. Mirren concededLeft side−25%+9%Centre−42%+16%Right side−53%+23%Open play−49%+23%Counter-attacks+32%+80%Set pieces−27%−13%Headers−37%−11%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

St. MirrenLivingston

1.02xG0.64
1.43xG against1.53
49%Possession36%
12.0Shots8.1
14.4Shots against14.7
4.0Shots on target2.5
1.1Big chances0.8
17.1Touches in the opposition box9.9
356Passes271
69%Pass accuracy59%
5.0Corners3.8
46%Field tilt33%
33.3Final-third entries20.7
9.8Box entries6.0
13.1Passes per defensive action16.4

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

St. Mirren

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level421.060.97
Ahead201.021.81
Behind270.961.86

Livingston

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level490.531.11
Ahead170.822.18
Behind240.741.94

xG by period

St. Mirren

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.070.154–1
16–300.100.201–5
31–450.160.403–6
46–600.210.252–4
61–750.150.312–4
76–900.340.123–1

Livingston

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.100.171–2
16–300.050.172–2
31–450.210.265–2
46–600.040.200–3
61–750.150.261–2
76–900.090.471–5

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

St. Mirren

GKCBCBCBRWBCMCMLWBAMSTSTAlnwick 13Fraser 13McAllister 1Shaughnessy 12McCarthy 10Dunne 3Ronan 3Millar 3Tait 2Power 11McGrath 3Reid 2Erhahon 6Flynn 3Tanser 13McGrath 3Ronan 3Millar 3Main 8McGrath 4Brophy 11Ronan 33-4-1-2 in 4 of 13 starts

Formations: 3-4-1-2 (4), 3-1-4-2 (4), 3-4-2-1 (3), 4-4-2 (1), 3-5-1-1 (1)

Livingston

GKRBCBCBLBCMCMCMRWSTLWStryjek 12Devlin 10McMillan 2Obileye 12Fitzwater 12Penrice 4Longridge 4Kelly 3Pittman 6Bailey 2Parkes 1Holt 12Omeonga 4Williamson 3Penrice 3Bailey 5Forrest 2McMillan 2Anderson 9Shinnie 3Forrest 5Montano 2Lewis 24-3-3 in 4 of 12 starts

Formations: 4-3-3 (4), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-1-4-1 (2), 5-4-1 (1), 4-4-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
2 October 2021Livingston0–1St. MirrenxG 1.03–0.77
20 February 2021St. Mirren1–1LivingstonxG 0.71–0.29
21 November 2020Livingston0–1St. MirrenxG 0.46–0.39
1 August 2020St. Mirren1–0LivingstonxG 1.04–0.55

4 league meetings since 2020/21: St. Mirren won 3, Livingston won 0, and 1 was a draw. Goals 4–1 and xG 0.73–0.58 per game.

Key players

St. Mirren

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Tanser131,109130.080.24
McGrath11974110.120.19
Brophy111,003500.260.02
Ronan9732320.090.16

Livingston

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Anderson9679330.160.11
Pittman6570110.220.02
Forrest7672110.110.11
Bailey8713200.100.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.