Digressive Celts

Matches › 2020/21

Dundee United 0–2 Ross County

Saturday 1 May 2021, 15:00 · Tannadice Park · Round 36 · Half-time 0–2

Ross County White 24', Iacovitti 28'

Post-match

Result and Expected Points

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Goals02
xG0.162.18
Expected Points0.112.81

Dundee United 1%Draw 8%Ross County 91%

Most likely score 0–2, 30%. Final score 0–2, 30%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+4%19%21%8%2%4%5%4%1%30%Final score

Own goals have no xG.

xG race

01230153045607590HTPawlett on for Harkes, 57'Appere on for Shankland and Chalmers on for McNulty, 58'K. Smith on for Reynolds, 66'Hoti on for Fuchs, 73'Charles-Cook on for Spittal, 76'Lakin on for Gardyne, 90+1'White 24'Iacovitti 28'Ross County 2.18Dundee United 0.1601230153045607590HTPawlett on for Harkes, 57'Appere on for Shankland and Chalmers on for McNulty, 58'K. Smith on for Reynolds, 66'Hoti on for Fuchs, 73'Charles-Cook on for Spittal, 76'Lakin on for Gardyne, 90+1'White 24'Iacovitti 28'2.180.16Dundee UnitedRoss County

Each side's xG added up shot by shot through the match. Stoppage time is shaded as far as the last shot or event recorded in it. Triangles along the foot mark each side's substitutions.

Match stats

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.16 −0.77xG2.18 +1.18
0.00 −0.89xG on target2.70 +1.86
3 −6.7Shots12 +2.2
0 −3.0Shots on target6 +2.9
0 −1.2Big chances3 +1.7
62% +15Possession38% −10
558 +191Passes337 −44
76% +11Pass accuracy66% −3
43% +4Field tilt57% +12
47 +15Final-third entries32 −3
7 −2.1Box entries7 −0.7
7.8 −7Passes per defensive action18.0 +4
3 −1.1Corners4 −0.2
24 +10Tackles13 −1
12 +1Interceptions12 +1
20 −5Clearances20 −5
4 +0.1Saves0 −3.3
11 −2Fouls17 +3
1 −0.7Offsides2 +0.5

The small figure beside each value is its difference from the side's average per league match this season before this one. Field tilt is each side's share of the open-play passes completed in the final third; entries are completed open-play passes and carries into the final third and the box; passes per defensive action (PPDA) counts the opponent's passes in its own 60% of the pitch for each tackle, interception, challenge, or foul there.

Chance locations

Dundee United

Clark 39', 0.07 xGChalmers 61', 0.07 xGFuchs 30', 0.02 xG0%0.00 xGSix-yard box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals44%0.07 xGCentral box: 1 shot, 0.07 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGWide in the box: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals56%0.09 xGEdge of the box: 2 shots, 0.09 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Ross County

Gardyne 85', 0.71 xGCharles-Cook 81', 0.37 xGWhite 7', 0.13 xGKelly 20', 0.12 xGGardyne 45', 0.06 xGNaismith 62', 0.05 xGKelly 81', 0.05 xGGardyne 18', 0.04 xGWhite 56', 0.03 xGWhite 84', 0.03 xGIacovitti 28', 0.52 xG, goalWhite 24', 0.08 xG, goal73%1.60 xGSix-yard box: 3 shots, 1.60 xG, 1 goal12%0.27 xGCentral box: 3 shots, 0.27 xG, 1 goal7%0.15 xGWide in the box: 2 shots, 0.15 xG, 0 goals7%0.16 xGEdge of the box: 4 shots, 0.16 xG, 0 goals0%0.00 xGFurther out: 0 shots, 0.00 xG, 0 goals

Each area's share of the side's xG from open play and set pieces, with the xG in it. The two wide areas of the box count together, as on the club pages. Shots shows each of those shots instead, sized by its xG, with goals filled in.

Chance types

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.07 1 shot, 0 goalsOpen play0.93 9 shots, 1 goal
0.09 2 shots, 0 goalsSet pieces1.26 3 shots, 1 goal

xG by type of chance, with each side's shots and goals beside it.

Game state

Level
24 min (26%) · Dundee United 0.00, Ross County 0.36 xG
Ross County ahead
67 min (74%) · Dundee United 0.16, Ross County 1.82 xG

Line-ups

1926121723186692410MehmetL. SmithReynoldsEdwardsRobsonHarkesButcherFuchsMcNultyShanklandClark66'57'73'58'58'Dundee United 4-3-3Micky Mellon1232516420112218726LaidlawNaismithDonaldsonIacovittiHjeldeSpittalVigursTillsonKellyGardyneWhiteGoalYellow cardYellow cardYellow cardGoal76'90+1'Ross County 4-5-1John Hughes

Dundee United substitutes

  • 57' Pawlett for Harkes
  • 58' Chalmers for McNulty
  • 58' Appere for Shankland
  • 66' K. Smith for Reynolds
  • 73' Hoti for Fuchs

Ross County substitutes

  • 76' Charles-Cook for Spittal
  • 90+1' Lakin for Gardyne

Players

Dundee United

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
MehmetGK900.000.0000.0112
L. SmithRB900.000.0700.1587
ReynoldsCB660.000.0200.13118
EdwardsCB900.000.0400.21114
RobsonLB900.000.0100.0026
HarkesCM570.000.0210.0014
ButcherCM900.000.0300.1189
FuchsCM730.020.0100.0224
McNultyRW580.000.030−0.0333
ShanklandST580.000.010−0.0402
ClarkLW900.070.020−0.0314
PawlettMF330.000.0100.0121
ChalmersMF320.070.0000.0520
AppereFW320.000.041−0.0100
K. SmithDF240.000.0400.0842
HotiMF170.000.0400.0330

Ross County

PlayerPosMinGAxGxAKPxTProgDef
LaidlawGK900.000.0000.0660
NaismithRB9010.050.3020.0541
DonaldsonCB900.000.0110.0349
Iacovitti CB9010.520.0100.0527
HjeldeLB900.000.0100.02210
Spittal RM7610.000.3820.3652
Vigurs CM900.000.0300.0628
TillsonCM900.000.2010.1253
KellyCM900.170.0210.0220
GardyneLM900.810.0710.0843
WhiteST9010.270.031−0.1201
Charles-CookFW140.370.0000.0121
LakinMF00.000.0200.0210

Starters, then substitutes in the order they came on. KP is chances created and Def defensive actions (tackles, blocks, clearances, and interceptions). xT is the expected threat added by the player's completed open-play passes and carries, and Prog counts progressive passes and carries.

Pass networks

Dundee United

L. Smith and Reynolds: 5 passesL. Smith and Harkes: 5 passesEdwards and Harkes: 5 passesReynolds and Fuchs: 5 passesRobson and Harkes: 5 passesFuchs and Butcher: 5 passesButcher and Clark: 5 passesL. Smith and Butcher: 6 passesEdwards and Clark: 6 passesReynolds and Shankland: 6 passesMehmet and Edwards: 8 passesMehmet and Reynolds: 8 passesL. Smith and Shankland: 8 passesButcher and Shankland: 8 passesL. Smith and Edwards: 9 passesL. Smith and McNulty: 9 passesMcNulty and Shankland: 9 passesL. Smith and Fuchs: 10 passesRobson and Butcher: 10 passesReynolds and Butcher: 12 passesEdwards and Reynolds: 14 passesEdwards and Butcher: 14 passesReynolds and Robson: 19 passesReynolds and Harkes: 19 passesMehmet: 18 completed passesL. Smith: 28 completed passesEdwards: 34 completed passesReynolds: 49 completed passesRobson: 28 completed passesFuchs: 15 completed passesHarkes: 24 completed passesButcher: 33 completed passesMcNulty: 13 completed passesShankland: 14 completed passesClark: 10 completed passes1921261766231892410MehmetL. SmithEdwardsReynoldsRobsonFuchsHarkesButcherMcNultyShanklandClarkStarters until 57' · lines join pairs with 5+ passes

Ross County

Laidlaw and Donaldson: 4 passesIacovitti and Kelly: 4 passesTillson and Kelly: 4 passesTillson and Gardyne: 4 passesNaismith and Vigurs: 5 passesSpittal and Tillson: 5 passesSpittal and Gardyne: 5 passesTillson and Vigurs: 5 passesGardyne and White: 5 passesDonaldson and Tillson: 6 passesSpittal and Kelly: 6 passesTillson and White: 6 passesKelly and White: 6 passesSpittal and Vigurs: 7 passesLaidlaw and White: 8 passesHjelde and Kelly: 8 passesVigurs and Kelly: 8 passesVigurs and Gardyne: 8 passesNaismith and Gardyne: 9 passesHjelde and Gardyne: 10 passesSpittal and White: 10 passesKelly and Gardyne: 10 passesNaismith and Tillson: 11 passesHjelde and Vigurs: 12 passesNaismith and Spittal: 24 passesLaidlaw: 15 completed passesNaismith: 29 completed passesIacovitti: 9 completed passesDonaldson: 14 completed passesHjelde: 25 completed passesSpittal: 29 completed passesTillson: 24 completed passesVigurs: 27 completed passesKelly: 22 completed passesGardyne: 24 completed passesWhite: 17 completed passes1231625420221118726LaidlawNaismithIacovittiDonaldsonHjeldeSpittalTillsonVigursKellyGardyneWhiteStarters until 76' · lines join pairs with 4+ passes

Each starter at the average position of their passes and receptions until the side's first substitution or red card, sized by completed passes. Lines join pairs who passed to each other often, thicker for more passes.

Passing combinations

Dundee United

FromToPasses
RobsonReynolds12
EdwardsButcher11
K. SmithEdwards11
ReynoldsHarkes10
MehmetReynolds9

Ross County

FromToPasses
SpittalNaismith14
NaismithSpittal10
LaidlawWhite9
HjeldeGardyne9
GardyneKelly7

The five pairs with the most completed passes from one to the other over the whole match.

Defensive actions

Dundee United

3−2.08+1.513−4.15−2.713+5.35−1.96−1.35−2.15−3.312+2.89+3.52−3.16+1.62−3.79+3.67+2.83−0.64+1.35+2.25+1.04+1.70−1.31+0.10−1.76+4.00−0.60−0.21+0.50−0.41+0.5FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Ross County

2−3.57+0.65−3.97+1.213+5.52−5.55−2.89−0.49+0.44−1.210+4.56+2.47+1.56+0.36+1.83−0.72−0.37+3.73−1.13+0.94+2.92+0.82+0.51−1.01+0.30−0.31+0.31+0.52+1.27−8.4FewerMore than the season average

Against its average of 35 matches

Where each side made its tackles, interceptions, clearances, blocks, recoveries, challenges, and fouls, attacking up the page. Areas are shaded by the difference from the side's average per match this season before this one: amber for more, blue for fewer.

Threat

Dundee United

0.010.010.010.030.030.020.070.040.060.050.030.020.050.01−0.010.03−0.010.02−0.020.05−0.07−0.010.010.130.10LessMore

Ross County

0.010.050.010.010.030.010.010.020.040.010.100.020.010.010.02−0.01−0.03−0.010.06−0.020.050.120.100.17LessMore

Expected threat added by completed open-play passes and carries, by where the move started, attacking up the page. Expected threat is the chance that possession in an area leads to a goal; a move adds the difference between where it ends and where it starts.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee United0.92 → 0.89Ross County0.94 → 0.97Defence (lower is better)Dundee United1.36 → 1.38Ross County1.59 → 1.55

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday (ring) and after it (dot); a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs after the matchday, spread up and down only so they don't overlap. The change takes in the whole matchday.

League probabilities

ChanceBeforeWith this resultChange
Ross County
11th60%57%−3
Bottom23%8%−15
Kilmarnock
11th19%35%+16
Bottom2%3%+1
Hamilton Academical
11th21%8%−13
Bottom75%89%+14

From the forecast before the match (1 May 2021): each chance then, and across the simulations in which the match ended this way. The change is in percentage points.

Pre-match

As things stood before kick-off.

Forecast

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Expected goals1.401.07
Win44%28%
Expected Points1.591.13
Clean sheet34%25%

Dundee United 44%Draw 28%Ross County 28%

Most likely score 1–1, 13%. Both sides score 50%.

Ross County goalsDundee United goals0123456+0123456+9%8%5%2%7%2%8%9%5%2%4%4%2%1%1%11%13%

From the forecast as it stood on 1 May 2021: each side's attack and defence ratings in a Dixon–Coles score model, as on the Forecasts page.

League probabilities by result

ChanceNowDundee United winDrawRoss County win
Ross County
11th60%58%65%57%
Bottom23%34%21%8%
Kilmarnock
11th19%11%17%35%
Bottom2%1%2%3%
Hamilton Academical
11th21%31%19%8%
Bottom75%65%78%89%

Each chance before the match and across the simulations ending in each result. Other teams are listed where a chance moves by at least 3 percentage points.

Form

Dundee United

  1. L0–321 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.15–2.29
  2. W1–010 AprHamilton Academical (A)xG 1.32–2.76
  3. W1–020 MarAberdeen (H)xG 0.46–0.47
  4. D0–07 MarCeltic (H)xG 0.51–1.77
  5. D1–127 FebKilmarnock (A)xG 1.02–1.25
  6. L1–421 FebRangers (A)xG 1.04–3.26

Ross County

  1. L1–321 AprSt. Mirren (H)xG 0.65–2.23
  2. D2–210 AprKilmarnock (A)xG 1.07–0.69
  3. L0–120 MarSt. Johnstone (A)xG 0.15–1.93
  4. L1–213 MarHibernian (H)xG 1.36–2.75
  5. W3–26 MarKilmarnock (H)xG 1.21–1.67
  6. L0–127 FebSt. Mirren (A)xG 1.91–1.41

The last six league matches, newest first, with xG for and against.

Season to date

Dundee UnitedRoss County
Position8th11th
Played3535
Won, drawn, lost10–⁠12–⁠138–⁠6–⁠21
Points42 (1.20 per game)30 (0.86 per game)
Expected Points per game0.950.86
Goals30–⁠4629–⁠64
xG per game0.93–⁠1.581.00–⁠1.81
Home: points, xG per game1.35, 0.90–⁠1.520.89, 1.00–⁠2.03
Away: points, xG per game1.06, 0.96–⁠1.630.82, 1.01–⁠1.57
ManagerMicky Mellon (35)John Hughes (17)

League matches this season before kick-off. The manager's number is league matches in charge since 2020/21.

Ratings

0.51.01.52.0League average 1.15AttackDundee United0.92, 11thRoss County0.94, 10thDefence (lower is better)Dundee United1.36, 9thRoss County1.59, 12th

This season

Attack0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United attack: 0.92Ross County attack: 0.940.940.92Ross CountyDundee UnitedDefence (lower is better)0.51.01.52.0SepOctNovDecJanFebMarAprDundee United defence: 1.36Ross County defence: 1.591.591.36

The goals each side would score (attack) and concede (defence) per game against an average team, from the forecast ratings before this matchday, with their rank among the league's clubs; a lower defence number is better. Grey dots are the other clubs, spread up and down only so they don't overlap.

Strengths and weaknesses

Dundee UnitedRoss County
CreatedConcededCreatedConceded
Open play−18%+32%−18%+38%
Counter-attacks+73%+78%+26%average
Set pieces−44%+15%−16%+20%
Penalties−67%−18%−67%+130%
Headers−57%+33%+12%+5%
Left side+16%+46%−23%+29%
Centre−40%+13%−4%+44%
Right side−24%+42%−28%+12%

xG created and conceded per game against the league average this season: +24% is 24% more than an average side. Left and right are each side's own, so chances conceded on its left come from opponents attacking down their right. Green favours the side and amber doesn't.

Matchups

Dundee United attacking

Dundee United createdRoss County concededLeft side+16%+12%Centre−40%+44%Right side−24%+29%Open play−18%+38%Counter-attacks+73%averageSet pieces−44%+20%Headers−57%+5%

Ross County attacking

Ross County createdDundee United concededLeft side−23%+42%Centre−4%+13%Right side−28%+46%Open play−18%+32%Counter-attacks+26%+78%Set pieces−16%+15%Headers+12%+33%

Each side's xG created per game down each side of the pitch, through the centre, and from each type of chance, against what its opponent concedes there, both relative to the league average.

Season averages

Dundee UnitedRoss County

0.93xG1.00
1.58xG against1.81
47%Possession48%
9.7Shots9.8
16.1Shots against14.5
3.0Shots on target3.1
1.2Big chances1.3
15.2Touches in the opposition box15.1
367Passes380
65%Pass accuracy69%
4.1Corners4.2
39%Field tilt45%
31.6Final-third entries35.2
9.1Box entries7.7
14.9Passes per defensive action14.0

Per league match this season before kick-off.

Game state this season

Dundee United

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level470.821.29
Ahead201.081.46
Behind241.042.25

Ross County

StateMinutes per gamexG per 90xG against per 90
Level431.001.77
Ahead140.532.02
Behind321.231.76

xG by period

Dundee United

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.160.145–3
16–300.190.185–9
31–450.110.394–12
46–600.140.245–4
61–750.070.362–9
76–900.260.269–9

Ross County

MinutesxG per gamexG againstGoals
1–150.140.314–7
16–300.140.258–11
31–450.150.213–5
46–600.220.354–12
61–750.160.332–14
76–900.200.358–15

Per game this season, with stoppage time counted in its half; goals are totals for and against.

Most used players by position

Dundee United

GKRBCBCBLBRMCMCMLMSTSTSiegrist 32Mehmet 3L. Smith 18Neilson 6Bolton 4Edwards 20Connolly 17K. Smith 1Reynolds 30Robson 1Robson 23Butcher 3Powers 3Bolton 10L. Smith 7Fuchs 3Butcher 16Clark 7Powers 2Harkes 21Fuchs 10Pawlett 10Sporle 10Robson 8Bolton 4McNulty 13Clark 13Appere 7Shankland 26Butcher 5Harkes 24-4-2 in 11 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-4-2 (11), 3-5-2 (10), 4-1-4-1 (4), 4-3-3 (2), 5-3-2 (2), 4-1-2-1-2 (1), 4-2-3-1 (1), 4-4-1-1 (1), 5-4-1 (1), 3-4-1-2 (1), 4-5-1 (1)

Ross County

GKRBCBCBLBDMRMCMCMLMSTLaidlaw 30Doohan 5Naismith 13Randall 10Watson 4Donaldson 19Watson 10Morris 9Iacovitti 27Hjelde 4Grivosti 1Reid 17Tremarco 6Hjelde 4Vigurs 11Tillson 5McKay 5Paton 5Charles-Cook 5Gardyne 4Paton 14Tillson 9Draper 8Vigurs 12Kelly 11Lakin 8Gardyne 10Hylton 6Stewart 6Shaw 11Stewart 9White 84-1-4-1 in 8 of 35 starts

Formations: 4-1-4-1 (8), 4-4-1-1 (5), 3-5-1-1 (4), 4-5-1 (4), 4-3-3 (3), 4-2-3-1 (3), 4-4-2 (2), 3-5-2 (2), 5-4-1 (2), 3-4-1-2 (1), 5-3-2 (1)

This season's most used formation, with up to three players who started most often in each position and their league starts there. Underneath, when a side has used more than one, every formation with its starts.

Head to head

DateHomeAwayxG
6 February 2021Ross County0–2Dundee UnitedxG 0.74–1.65
31 October 2020Dundee United2–1Ross CountyxG 1.79–0.88
15 August 2020Ross County1–2Dundee UnitedxG 1.42–1.34

3 league meetings since 2020/21: Dundee United won 3, Ross County won 0, and 0 were drawn. Goals 6–2 and xG 1.59–1.01 per game.

Key players

Dundee United

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Shankland272,470730.290.11
Clark231,937810.270.13
Sporle141,184420.210.12
Pawlett141,286110.120.16

Ross County

PlayerStartsMinGAxG per 90xA per 90
Stewart191,650210.370.06
McKay141,288510.310.11
White8748320.340.07
Shaw121,259610.290.06

Up to four players a side with the most xG plus xA per 90 minutes, from those with at least 450 league minutes.